🚦 Over the past 24 hours, the global bond market saw a concentrated sell-off. Japan’s 10-year government bond yield once touched 3%, the highest since 1996; U.S. 10-year government bond yields rose to around 4.78%—4.80%, the highest since January 2025; UK 10-year government bond yields rose to around 5.22%—5.25%, the highest level since 2008. Of even greater concern is that yields on the long end are rising in sync: -Japan’s 20- and 30-year government bond yields continued to climb; -the UK’s 30-year yields are nearing 5.9%, the highest since 1998; -the U.S. 30-year government bond yield also rose to about 5.27%. This is no longer just an adjustment in the bonds of a single country; it looks more like global capital markets are repricing a key variable: —how long will low-cost funding last?
If the global long-end interest-rate center continues to rise, the impact will not be limited to bonds. Government borrowing costs, corporate financing costs, real estate, stock valuations, AI infrastructure investment, and even the entire risk-asset system will all be recalculated. At the same time, tensions in the Middle East are heating up again, with oil breaking above $90, further reinforcing inflation expectations; combined with the Fed’s policy expectations shifting hawkishly, the rise in Treasury yields is forming a new chain of pressure. What needs to be watched now is not the ups and downs in any one market, but: —what is happening to global funding costs?
September 2: Global bond market sell-off wave hits—signals that the low-interest-rate era is ending are being reinforced
Over the past 24 hours, there has been a wave of concentrated selling across global bond markets.
Japan’s 10-year government bond yield briefly touched 3%, the highest since 1996;
US 10-year government bond yields rise to about 4.78%—4.80%, the highest since January 2025;
UK 10-year government bond yields rise to about 5.22%—5.25%, reaching the highest level since 2008.
What’s even more worth关注 is that long-end yields are rising in tandem:
- Japanese 20- and 30-year government bond yields continue to move higher;
- UK 30-year yields are close to 5.9%, the highest level since 1998;
- US 30-year government bond yields also rise to about 5.27%.
September 2: Global bond market sell-off wave hits—signals that the low-interest-rate era is ending are being reinforced
Over the past 24 hours, there has been a wave of concentrated selling across global bond markets.
Japan’s 10-year government bond yield briefly touched 3%, the highest since 1996;
US 10-year government bond yields rise to about 4.78%—4.80%, the highest since January 2025;
UK 10-year government bond yields rise to about 5.22%—5.25%, reaching the highest level since 2008.
What’s even more worth关注 is that long-end yields are rising in tandem:
- Japanese 20- and 30-year government bond yields continue to move higher;
- UK 30-year yields are close to 5.9%, the highest level since 1998;
- US 30-year government bond yields also rise to about 5.27%.
🚦 Two oil tankers attacked in the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices rise!
Late on Monday (August 31), two ultra-large oil tankers carrying Saudi crude oil were hit one after another by unknown projectiles in the lane on the Omani side of the Strait of Hormuz.
So far, no attacker has been publicly confirmed, but events like this are often framed in the context of Iran or its supporting forces seeking to maintain influence over the strait.
Oil prices therefore increased.
The current Binance WTI contract price is 87.46—will you go long or short?
September 1: Geopolitical volatility flares again, as capital reprices the risk-reward ratio—U.S. Treasuries rise, and crypto still looks resilient
Over the past 24 hours, global capital markets overall remained cautious.
The Middle East situation escalated again, pushing oil prices above $90; coupled with the Fed’s policy expectations shifting more hawkish, Treasury yields rose further, continuing to weigh on the valuation of risk assets such as stocks.
Asia-Pacific markets followed the overnight weakness in U.S. stocks, but the decline was relatively limited.
By contrast, the crypto market showed greater resilience:
In an environment where the U.S. dollar strengthened, Treasury yields rose, and expectations for rate cuts cooled, Bitcoin did not show any obvious risk liquidations; instead, it held an upward trading range.
This means that what the market is truly pricing is no longer just whether there will be a rate cut or not, but:
🚦 Doubao Review | “Hexagram ䷩: Adulting and Fulfilling Others—True Gain Is Letting Value Compound Over Time” This is a personal essay that modernizes and translates the I Ching’s Hexagram 益 (Gain) into contemporary language. It connects three dimensions—classic Chinese learning’s principles, investment logic, and personal growth—with a perspective that is easy to understand and practical.
✅ Highlights 1. The hexagram’s meaning is interpreted by grasping the core, avoiding the cliché of fortune-telling The article doesn’t stop at “good or bad luck” divination. Instead, it captures the key idea of “reducing what is excessive and benefiting what is insufficient,” and “adulting and reaching what you should—achieving fulfillment.” It pairs and contrasts the losing-and-gaining hexagrams, offering a contemporary, utilitarian interpretation of traditional I Ching studies.
2. Explaining the six lines in plain language and tying them to real-life scenarios Each of the six lines is stripped of obscure classical wording and mapped to real behaviors. It clarifies two common misconceptions: “being altruistic doesn’t mean blindly sacrificing yourself,” and “growth needs boundaries; limitless expansion of desire will invite risk.” It’s very useful as a reference for both career and interpersonal relationships.
3. Cross-disciplinary integration—connecting I Ching studies with investing and life practice It extends Hexagram 益 to investment and entrepreneurship, turning ancient principles into behavioral guidelines that ordinary people can apply. It lowers the barrier to reading Chinese classics, and the purpose is inward self-cultivation rather than outward speculation.
4. Clear structure and a logically closed loop From the original meaning of the hexagram image → detailed explanations of the six lines → application to investing → life practice → concluding summary, with each step building on the last. The ending echoes “Reduce what is useless, and benefit what is true to the heart.” The opening and closing connect tightly, fully expressing the central themes of “discernment and trade-offs, altruism, and long-term compounding.”
📝 Overall Summary A solid piece of accessible, practical I Ching-inspired writing. It distills Hexagram 益 into a life philosophy of “discernment and trade-offs, altruism, long-term thinking, and holding your boundaries.” Whether in the workplace, entrepreneurship, or self-improvement, it offers plenty of inspiration.
Don’t rely on divination for what’s easy|Hexagram ䷩ Gain: An adult achieves self and others—true gain is making value compound continuously
—Altruism is not sacrifice; it means letting value grow continuously through mutual accomplishment.
“Gain” means increasing, growth, and benefiting. ䷩ Gain: Wind over Thunder; the upper pattern is Gentle (Xun ☴), the lower is Arousing (Zhen ☳). Winds rage over thunder, and thus all things are nourished; Reduce the one above and benefit the one below—harm above while increasing benefit below.
At the core of the (Yi) hexagram, what matters is not merely “getting more,” but— Through proper investment and giving, let value keep growing.
Hexagram 41 Yi Sun Loss is about proactively doing subtraction; In Hexagram 42 Yi Gain, it further tells us: —after removing ineffective consumption, where should we direct resources?
September 1: Geopolitical volatility flares again, as capital reprices the risk-reward ratio—U.S. Treasuries rise, and crypto still looks resilient
Over the past 24 hours, global capital markets overall remained cautious.
The Middle East situation escalated again, pushing oil prices above $90; coupled with the Fed’s policy expectations shifting more hawkish, Treasury yields rose further, continuing to weigh on the valuation of risk assets such as stocks.
Asia-Pacific markets followed the overnight weakness in U.S. stocks, but the decline was relatively limited.
By contrast, the crypto market showed greater resilience:
In an environment where the U.S. dollar strengthened, Treasury yields rose, and expectations for rate cuts cooled, Bitcoin did not show any obvious risk liquidations; instead, it held an upward trading range.
This means that what the market is truly pricing is no longer just whether there will be a rate cut or not, but:
🚦 Using the Yijing’s “Hexagram Yi (益)” to look at it, Sun Ge’s little post ended up playing himself! ——“Reduce at the top and increase at the bottom,” gain backfires! In the Yijing’s Yi hexagram, the ninth line says: “Do not seek to gain; others may attack you. If you do not hold fast in your intentions, it will be unlucky.”
This time, it wasn’t just that Sun Ge burned up traffic—it was the entire structure of trust. The HTX platform may also be harmed as a result, leading to a collapse of integrity;
Don’t rely on divination for what’s easy|Hexagram ䷩ Gain: An adult achieves self and others—true gain is making value compound continuously
—Altruism is not sacrifice; it means letting value grow continuously through mutual accomplishment.
“Gain” means increasing, growth, and benefiting. ䷩ Gain: Wind over Thunder; the upper pattern is Gentle (Xun ☴), the lower is Arousing (Zhen ☳). Winds rage over thunder, and thus all things are nourished; Reduce the one above and benefit the one below—harm above while increasing benefit below.
At the core of the (Yi) hexagram, what matters is not merely “getting more,” but— Through proper investment and giving, let value keep growing.
Hexagram 41 Yi Sun Loss is about proactively doing subtraction; In Hexagram 42 Yi Gain, it further tells us: —after removing ineffective consumption, where should we direct resources?
Don’t rely on divination for what’s easy|Hexagram ䷩ Gain: An adult achieves self and others—true gain is making value compound continuously
—Altruism is not sacrifice; it means letting value grow continuously through mutual accomplishment. “Gain” means increasing, growth, and benefiting. ䷩ Gain: Wind over Thunder; the upper pattern is Gentle (Xun ☴), the lower is Arousing (Zhen ☳). Winds rage over thunder, and thus all things are nourished; Reduce the one above and benefit the one below—harm above while increasing benefit below. At the core of the (Yi) hexagram, what matters is not merely “getting more,” but— Through proper investment and giving, let value keep growing. Hexagram 41 Yi Sun Loss is about proactively doing subtraction; In Hexagram 42 Yi Gain, it further tells us: —after removing ineffective consumption, where should we direct resources?
🚦 Brother Sun might want to make some time to review the wisdom in 《The Way of Heaven》! ——The Way is rules; if you have the ability, then you also must have what you cannot do!
In 《The Way of Heaven》, the black-clad figure Zhou Jianhua, who appears for only a few minutes, is widely recognized as the only character in the show who can go toe-to-toe with Ding Yuanyi; this segment of the drama in the TV series is truly thought-provoking; relating to this viral marketing essay by Brother Sun, what caused such public outrage is because he overstepped...
🚦Why do they say Brother Sun’s “extreme marketing” this time may have gone too far? —When “hot publicity, even if negative” starts to backfire, what gets burned isn’t just traffic, but trust.
Brother Sun’s viral “micro-essay” style marketing, pushed too hard, has sparked public outcry across the whole internet!
The real anger in public opinion isn’t entirely about “who the sugar baby is” or “who the victim is,” but about this kind of bottomless marketing that has already crossed the line and amounts to a public execution of personas for the entire crypto community.
This is the most dangerous part of “#孙学 ”-style marketing: —Traffic has no moral sign, but trust does come with a cost.
The I Ching clearly says—“The dragon at the height will have regrets; stripping leads to loss of the house.” When a house is truly in danger, it’s not that the roof suddenly collapses; it’s that the support at the very foundation starts to be peeled away little by little.
What’s worth observing in this situation is: As a super IP in the crypto world, just how much public trust can he exhaust, in exchange for one traffic climax after another?
A man can love beauty, a businessman can tell stories, and an IP can manufacture controversy. But one bottom line cannot be lost: —Don’t use “having no bottom line” as a marketing strategy.
Historically, there are plenty of similar emotional and commercial disputes. From Professor Lang reclaiming a villa gifted to his lover, to the events involving Wu Xiubo and Chen Yulin—these all point to one issue: Once private relationships enter the public narrative, what ultimately gets consumed is often not only the emotions of the people involved, but also the public’s judgment of their persona, credibility, and even commercial value.
So I care more about the next two trends:
1️⃣ Sun Yuchen’s personal “credibility at a discount” In the future, it may be hard for him to collaborate with top players in the crypto industry, as well as with Wall Street institutions;
2️⃣HTX platform’s credibility crisis $TRS.US may face more regulatory storms, and be met with coordinated strikes from competitors;
Traffic can be recreated, but once trust is peeled away, the cost to rebuild it is extremely high.
Perhaps this is the biggest paradox of “black publicity is also publicity”: Black publicity is indeed still publicity, but the cost-effectiveness must be weighed—especially when one’s status has already reached the stage the I Ching calls “the flying dragon in the sky.” #孙宇晨 #景甜 #HTX #币圈心学
🚦 Why do they say, the one who understands is not divined? The I Ching is essentially a system of reasoning and prediction; if you grasp the reasoning logic, you can clearly recognize yourself and distinguish your external environment; so why still need divination?
On the other hand, if you can’t achieve self-awareness and distinguish what’s around you; what good is asking gods and divining?
Knowing It Is Easy, Not Needing to Divinate|Hexagram ䷨ Reduction: A rational sage knows how to do subtraction in time.
—Wisdom in life does not mean having more; it means knowing what is worth keeping and what should be discarded. Reduction (损) means to reduce, restrain. Hexagram ䷨: To reduce. Mountains and marshes are together; at the foot of the mountain there is a marsh. The marsh waters are devoted to the mountain—so as to lessen oneself and benefit others. Reduction is not a passive loss; Rather, it is actively removing what drains you—leaving limited time, energy, and resources for the people and matters that truly matter. In the fortieth hexagram, ䷧ 解 Release, it is about breaking free from a stuck situation and easing the pressure. In the forty-first hexagram, ䷨ Reduction—what comes next is to ask further: —After the knot is untied and the predicament is resolved, what should be kept, and what must be let go? “To give and take” has never been as simple as choosing what to keep or discard.
The post turns the *I Ching* into a practical “subtraction mindset” set of rules. Its core isn’t fortune-telling about price movements, but resource allocation: time, energy, position sizing, and desire—what to keep, and what to cut.
The author’s main thread is clear: After interpreting the hexagram, you enter Depletion (损). Breaking the stalemate doesn’t mean immediately refilling your position, social life, and desires. Depletion isn’t passive loss—it’s active removal of drain. In investing, it corresponds to: if the logic changes, reduce exposure; if risk worsens, lower leverage; if the value-for-money disappears, switch instruments; if the noise is too loud, trade less. In life, it corresponds to: reduce ineffective socializing, reduce wrong beliefs, reduce emotional drain, and reduce the desire that “if others have it, I must have it.”
Put into crypto-culture context, this line is the hardest: treat adding to positions as confidence, treat stubbornly holding as value, and treat being fully loaded as profit. Sometimes, not losing is the same as making money.
This is closer to the part where real traders actually die than most “I Ching + crypto” content—not that they can’t read candlestick charts, but that after getting out of a bind or after a rebound, they immediately refill leverage and position sizing.
Overall assessment A high-completeness long piece of “classic text turned into trading/life discipline.” Its value isn’t in prediction, but in reminding: In the crypto world, the most expensive thing is often not missing the buy—it’s, after escaping a bind, immediately refilling the reclaimed space.
If compressed into one sentence, it’s the author’s own line: Knowing when to stop is wisdom; being able to let go is vision; being able to reduce is clarity; seeking benefit through depletion is long-termism.
For traders, what’s actionable isn’t memorizing the line judgments (yao-cis), but four moves: if the logic changes, cut the position; if risk rises, reduce leverage; if the instrument is overpriced, switch to somewhere else; if emotions are noisy, don’t trade.
Here, Depletion is like a mirror—not reflecting the next candlestick, but whether you will keep stuffing your pocket again after you’ve gotten unstuck.
Knowing It Is Easy, Not Needing to Divinate|Hexagram ䷨ Reduction: A rational sage knows how to do subtraction in time.
—Wisdom in life does not mean having more; it means knowing what is worth keeping and what should be discarded. Reduction (损) means to reduce, restrain. Hexagram ䷨: To reduce. Mountains and marshes are together; at the foot of the mountain there is a marsh. The marsh waters are devoted to the mountain—so as to lessen oneself and benefit others. Reduction is not a passive loss; Rather, it is actively removing what drains you—leaving limited time, energy, and resources for the people and matters that truly matter. In the fortieth hexagram, ䷧ 解 Release, it is about breaking free from a stuck situation and easing the pressure. In the forty-first hexagram, ䷨ Reduction—what comes next is to ask further: —After the knot is untied and the predicament is resolved, what should be kept, and what must be let go? “To give and take” has never been as simple as choosing what to keep or discard.
$BTC 、$ETH price control has already been taken over by Wall Street; The biggest problem in the crypto market right now is that market control is held by Chinese-language platforms. This mismatch means the crypto market will most likely continue to trade weakly in a range-bound consolidation.
LaoYao_crypto
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August 31: Fire flares up again in the Strait of Hormuz, while capital waits for who will blink first
—Geopolitical risk has once again started to heat up. Nonfarm payroll data is about to be released, and capital is recalculating the risk-reward ratio for the next phase. A new week begins, and global capital’s attention has tightened back around four main themes: Pressure for a Fed policy shift|Geopolitical risks in the Middle East rebound|Costs across the AI and semiconductor industry chain|U.S. trade and policy games. Among these, the two things that truly determine this week’s market direction are still: Will the Strait of Hormuz see further escalation, and what policy answer will the United States’ August nonfarm employment figures give the Federal Reserve?
The former determines energy and inflation risks, while the latter determines interest rates and expectations for liquidity.
The standoff between Iran and the U.S. around the Strait of Hormuz escalates, and the U.S. military strikes again. This is both a direct warning to Iran and a clear signal to the global markets: the United States will not easily give up control of key nodes in global energy transport. And Iran’s tough talk, ultimately, will also have to accept the constraints of reality.
Because the real issue is not “whether it dares to retaliate,” but rather: after retaliation, what price does Iran have to pay?
Over the weekend, the oil agreement signed by the Trump administration and Venezuela released a positive expectation of supply expansion for the U.S. domestic market; at the same time, this triggered subtle chain reactions for Iran and major oil-producing countries in the Middle East. With the Trump administration holding alternative supply options, if Iran continues to close the strait, it may not succeed in driving up global oil prices in order to pressure the U.S. The game has evolved from “who blinks first” into a game of “pure self-harm.” #CoinCircleHeartLearning
LaoYao_crypto
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August 31: Fire flares up again in the Strait of Hormuz, while capital waits for who will blink first
—Geopolitical risk has once again started to heat up. Nonfarm payroll data is about to be released, and capital is recalculating the risk-reward ratio for the next phase. A new week begins, and global capital’s attention has tightened back around four main themes: Pressure for a Fed policy shift|Geopolitical risks in the Middle East rebound|Costs across the AI and semiconductor industry chain|U.S. trade and policy games. Among these, the two things that truly determine this week’s market direction are still: Will the Strait of Hormuz see further escalation, and what policy answer will the United States’ August nonfarm employment figures give the Federal Reserve?
The former determines energy and inflation risks, while the latter determines interest rates and expectations for liquidity.
August 31: Fire flares up again in the Strait of Hormuz, while capital waits for who will blink first
—Geopolitical risk has once again started to heat up. Nonfarm payroll data is about to be released, and capital is recalculating the risk-reward ratio for the next phase. A new week begins, and global capital’s attention has tightened back around four main themes: Pressure for a Fed policy shift|Geopolitical risks in the Middle East rebound|Costs across the AI and semiconductor industry chain|U.S. trade and policy games. Among these, the two things that truly determine this week’s market direction are still: Will the Strait of Hormuz see further escalation, and what policy answer will the United States’ August nonfarm employment figures give the Federal Reserve? The former determines energy and inflation risks, while the latter determines interest rates and expectations for liquidity.
The wisdom of the I Ching is not found in divination;
#知易不卜 is a way of analysis and methodology. When combined with macro financial policies and candlestick chart data, it can be very beneficial for investment and personal finance operations.
LaoYao_crypto
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Knowing It Is Easy, Not Needing to Divinate|Hexagram ䷨ Reduction: A rational sage knows how to do subtraction in time.
—Wisdom in life does not mean having more; it means knowing what is worth keeping and what should be discarded. Reduction (损) means to reduce, restrain. Hexagram ䷨: To reduce. Mountains and marshes are together; at the foot of the mountain there is a marsh. The marsh waters are devoted to the mountain—so as to lessen oneself and benefit others. Reduction is not a passive loss; Rather, it is actively removing what drains you—leaving limited time, energy, and resources for the people and matters that truly matter. In the fortieth hexagram, ䷧ 解 Release, it is about breaking free from a stuck situation and easing the pressure. In the forty-first hexagram, ䷨ Reduction—what comes next is to ask further: —After the knot is untied and the predicament is resolved, what should be kept, and what must be let go? “To give and take” has never been as simple as choosing what to keep or discard.
Knowing It Is Easy, Not Needing to Divinate|Hexagram ䷨ Reduction: A rational sage knows how to do subtraction in time.
—Wisdom in life does not mean having more; it means knowing what is worth keeping and what should be discarded. Reduction (损) means to reduce, restrain. Hexagram ䷨: To reduce. Mountains and marshes are together; at the foot of the mountain there is a marsh. The marsh waters are devoted to the mountain—so as to lessen oneself and benefit others. Reduction is not a passive loss; Rather, it is actively removing what drains you—leaving limited time, energy, and resources for the people and matters that truly matter. In the fortieth hexagram, ䷧ 解 Release, it is about breaking free from a stuck situation and easing the pressure. In the forty-first hexagram, ䷨ Reduction—what comes next is to ask further: —After the knot is untied and the predicament is resolved, what should be kept, and what must be let go? “To give and take” has never been as simple as choosing what to keep or discard.
🚦Venezuela’s Acting Vice President: The agreement with the United States is “the revival of the nation” Venezuela’s acting vice president, Delcy Rodríguez, confirmed a “historic” oil agreement reached with the United States. She emphasized that the deal will allow Washington to develop an estimated potential reserve of 65 billion barrels—“having a major impact on our country’s revival.”
Rodríguez said, “It is expected that 17 strategic oil fields will be developed, with investment totaling more than $100 billion, and bringing the nation more than $209 billion in tax revenue.” She also thanked President Trump and Secretary of State Rubio.
Note: - The latest figure for the United States’ crude oil reserves is 300 million barrels; - 6.5 billion barrels is 210 times the current U.S. crude oil reserve.
August 30: Financial Weekly Report—Geo-political risks cool down, and macro hawks make their move: capital recalculates the risk-reward ratio
Key words this week: hawkish remarks|Hormuz|crude oil|inflation expectations|capital repricing In the last full trading week of August, the market’s main narrative began to shift. Tech giants such as Nvidia continued to support risk assets, but the hawkish remarks from the Fed at the Jackson Hole meeting once again brought a problem that the market had temporarily played down back onto the table: Fighting inflation hasn’t ended. If necessary, monetary policy may continue to tighten. Meanwhile: - US July PCE inflation came in above expectations; - Nvidia’s earnings report was released; - Geo-political risks in the Middle East showed signs of temporary easing;
August 30: Financial Weekly Report—Geo-political risks cool down, and macro hawks make their move: capital recalculates the risk-reward ratio
Key words this week: hawkish remarks|Hormuz|crude oil|inflation expectations|capital repricing In the last full trading week of August, the market’s main narrative began to shift. Tech giants such as Nvidia continued to support risk assets, but the hawkish remarks from the Fed at the Jackson Hole meeting once again brought a problem that the market had temporarily played down back onto the table: Fighting inflation hasn’t ended. If necessary, monetary policy may continue to tighten. Meanwhile: - US July PCE inflation came in above expectations; - Nvidia’s earnings report was released; - Geo-political risks in the Middle East showed signs of temporary easing;
Justin Sun wants to use buzzworthy marketing to help HTX get through its integrity crisis; and to further ignite his personal IP, and #孙学 ; so it’s a real win-win. Gong Li has indeed changed for the better; but Justin Sun’s marketing tactics this time are also rather unscrupulous; nearly dragging the entire Chinese crypto circle down with them; as CZ said, marketing can be aggressive a bit, but there still has to be some bottom line.
In the Book of Changes, Qian hexagram says: “Overreaching dragon brings regret.” What is too full cannot last; what is too rigid will break.
Going mainstream is fine, but crossing the line will bring regret.
The trending search is still burning, but the wind direction has already changed. Sun Yuchen’s little essay won attention; the backlash comes faster than the heat— public opinion has shifted from “watching the drama” to “standing on moral lines.”
Not surprising. Yesterday I wrote: when personal IP converts into traffic, what HTX gets is a discount on its credibility.
Get attention if you want—but turning private matters into content means the bottom line is surrendered as well.
䷥ The Jue Hexagram (Bǐ guà) already wrote this step in stone. It’s not that you can’t have disagreements—only that you can’t turn disagreements into hostility. “Two daughters cohabiting, but their aspirations are not the same” —within the same system, the direction can differ; once you tear the face, all that’s left is mutual depletion.
#知易不卜 #币圈心学 #孙宇晨 #景甜 #HTX
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