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#CPI数据来袭能否触发9月加息
今晚，北京时间9月11日20:30，8月CPI压轴登场。这份数据将直接决定9月16日美联储会议是否重启加息。
上周的非农就业人口 16.2 万人，预期 5.6 万人，这个超预期是极大大大的超，创了3月以来最强单月增速。到现在，市场定价9月加息概率已超过50%，各大预测市场超过1亿美金的用钱投票加息，这和以前随便一个人张嘴喊加息降息，更有参考。
最新7月CPI整体+3.3%（前月3.46%），核心CPI+2.5%。中东地缘持续推高能源成本，油价高涨，输入性通胀压力未消退，距2%的目标还远。
所以，
今晚如果CPI环比超+0.3%，9月加息基本确定。美联储内部已公开分裂，票委们在"压通胀"和"软着陆"之间各执一词，而且沃什近期的言论，也是鹰派信号明显。
美联储还是会靠数据说话，当前热议的特朗普再怎么施压，沃什处在美联储体系中，已经放了鹰，也不太可能违背数据做决议。
但是，
今晚如果CPI环比低于+0.2%，尤其是核心通胀意外降温，给FOMC按兵不动一个台阶。当前10年通胀预期2.34%、消费者1年期预期2.3%，长期预期未脱锚——加息就还能按一按。
做多的$PONS 就有希望解套啦
{future}(PONSUSDT)
#CPI数据来袭能否触发9月加息
今晚，北京时间9月11日20:30，8月CPI压轴登场。这份数据将直接决定9月16日美联储会议是否重启加息。
上周的非农就业人口 16.2 万人，预期 5.6 万人，这个超预期是极大大大的超，创了3月以来最强单月增速。到现在，市场定价9月加息概率已超过50%，各大预测市场超过1亿美金的用钱投票加息，这和以前随便一个人张嘴喊加息降息，更有参考。
最新7月CPI整体+3.3%（前月3.46%），核心CPI+2.5%。中东地缘持续推高能源成本，油价高涨，输入性通胀压力未消退，距2%的目标还远。
所以，
今晚如果CPI环比超+0.3%，9月加息基本确定。美联储内部已公开分裂，票委们在"压通胀"和"软着陆"之间各执一词，而且沃什近期的言论，也是鹰派信号明显。
美联储还是会靠数据说话，当前热议的特朗普再怎么施压，沃什处在美联储体系中，已经放了鹰，也不太可能违背数据做决议。
但是，
今晚如果CPI环比低于+0.2%，尤其是核心通胀意外降温，给FOMC按兵不动一个台阶。当前10年通胀预期2.34%、消费者1年期预期2.3%，长期预期未脱锚——加息就还能按一按。
做多的$PONS 就有希望解套啦
今晚，北京时间9月11日20:30，8月CPI压轴登场。这份数据将直接决定9月16日美联储会议是否重启加息。
上周的非农就业人口 16.2 万人，预期 5.6 万人，这个超预期是极大大大的超，创了3月以来最强单月增速。到现在，市场定价9月加息概率已超过50%，各大预测市场超过1亿美金的用钱投票加息，这和以前随便一个人张嘴喊加息降息，更有参考。
最新7月CPI整体+3.3%（前月3.46%），核心CPI+2.5%。中东地缘持续推高能源成本，油价高涨，输入性通胀压力未消退，距2%的目标还远。
所以，
今晚如果CPI环比超+0.3%，9月加息基本确定。美联储内部已公开分裂，票委们在"压通胀"和"软着陆"之间各执一词，而且沃什近期的言论，也是鹰派信号明显。
美联储还是会靠数据说话，当前热议的特朗普再怎么施压，沃什处在美联储体系中，已经放了鹰，也不太可能违背数据做决议。
但是，
今晚如果CPI环比低于+0.2%，尤其是核心通胀意外降温，给FOMC按兵不动一个台阶。当前10年通胀预期2.34%、消费者1年期预期2.3%，长期预期未脱锚——加息就还能按一按。
做多的$PONS 就有希望解套啦
1
8
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【Go Long】$RAYSOL Current Price 1.60
Three-tier long setup—buy the dip
Entry 1.57～1.59
Stop Loss 1.52
Target 1.74
Risk/Reward 3.0:1
$RAYSOL
Follow me and seize every hourly trading opportunity
【Go Long】$RAYSOL Current Price 1.60
Three-tier long setup—buy the dip
Entry 1.57～1.59
Stop Loss 1.52
Target 1.74
Risk/Reward 3.0:1
$RAYSOL
Follow me and seize every hourly trading opportunity
Three-tier long setup—buy the dip
Entry 1.57～1.59
Stop Loss 1.52
Target 1.74
Risk/Reward 3.0:1
$RAYSOL
Follow me and seize every hourly trading opportunity
17
·
--
【Short】$RVN Current price 0.0023
Operating on reduced volume; direction slightly bearish—watch for a breakdown
Entry 0.0023～0.0023
Stop loss 0.0024
Target 0.0020
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
Funding rate -0.2863%, short-side subsidy
$RVN
Follow me to seize every hourly trading opportunity
【Short】$RVN Current price 0.0023
Operating on reduced volume; direction slightly bearish—watch for a breakdown
Entry 0.0023～0.0023
Stop loss 0.0024
Target 0.0020
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
Funding rate -0.2863%, short-side subsidy
$RVN
Follow me to seize every hourly trading opportunity
Operating on reduced volume; direction slightly bearish—watch for a breakdown
Entry 0.0023～0.0023
Stop loss 0.0024
Target 0.0020
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
Funding rate -0.2863%, short-side subsidy
$RVN
Follow me to seize every hourly trading opportunity
57
·
--
【Go Long】$TAC Current Price 0.0018
15m golden cross confirmed, trend turns bullish
Entry 0.0018～0.0018
Stop Loss 0.0017
Target 0.0020
Risk/Reward 3.0:1
$TAC
Follow me to seize every top-of-the-hour trading opportunity
【Go Long】$TAC Current Price 0.0018
15m golden cross confirmed, trend turns bullish
Entry 0.0018～0.0018
Stop Loss 0.0017
Target 0.0020
Risk/Reward 3.0:1
$TAC
Follow me to seize every top-of-the-hour trading opportunity
15m golden cross confirmed, trend turns bullish
Entry 0.0018～0.0018
Stop Loss 0.0017
Target 0.0020
Risk/Reward 3.0:1
$TAC
Follow me to seize every top-of-the-hour trading opportunity
46
·
--
【Go Long】$LSK current price 0.127
Low volume, running sideways, slightly bullish—wait for a breakout
Entry 0.124～0.126
Stop loss 0.120
Target 0.137
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$LSK
Follow me to seize every hourly trading opportunity
【Go Long】$LSK current price 0.127
Low volume, running sideways, slightly bullish—wait for a breakout
Entry 0.124～0.126
Stop loss 0.120
Target 0.137
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$LSK
Follow me to seize every hourly trading opportunity
Low volume, running sideways, slightly bullish—wait for a breakout
Entry 0.124～0.126
Stop loss 0.120
Target 0.137
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$LSK
Follow me to seize every hourly trading opportunity
53
·
--
【Short】$DEXE Current price 1.91
Low volume trading, bearish bias—watch for a breakdown
Entry 1.83～1.86
Stop loss 1.89
Target 1.64
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
Funding rate -0.1844%, shorts receive subsidies
$DEXE
Follow me and seize every hour’s trading opportunity
【Short】$DEXE Current price 1.91
Low volume trading, bearish bias—watch for a breakdown
Entry 1.83～1.86
Stop loss 1.89
Target 1.64
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
Funding rate -0.1844%, shorts receive subsidies
$DEXE
Follow me and seize every hour’s trading opportunity
Low volume trading, bearish bias—watch for a breakdown
Entry 1.83～1.86
Stop loss 1.89
Target 1.64
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
Funding rate -0.1844%, shorts receive subsidies
$DEXE
Follow me and seize every hour’s trading opportunity
119
·
--
【Short】$MARSCOIN current price 0.124
Trading with reduced volume, slightly bearish—watch for a breakdown
Entry 0.126～0.128
Stop loss 0.131
Target 0.113
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$MARSCOIN
Follow me to seize every hourly trading opportunity
【Short】$MARSCOIN current price 0.124
Trading with reduced volume, slightly bearish—watch for a breakdown
Entry 0.126～0.128
Stop loss 0.131
Target 0.113
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$MARSCOIN
Follow me to seize every hourly trading opportunity
Trading with reduced volume, slightly bearish—watch for a breakdown
Entry 0.126～0.128
Stop loss 0.131
Target 0.113
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$MARSCOIN
Follow me to seize every hourly trading opportunity
112
·
--
【Go Long】$US Current price 0.0165
1h golden cross confirmed, trend turns bullish
Entry 0.0152～0.0155
Stop loss 0.0147
Target 0.0168
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$US
Follow me to seize every hourly trading opportunity
【Go Long】$US Current price 0.0165
1h golden cross confirmed, trend turns bullish
Entry 0.0152～0.0155
Stop loss 0.0147
Target 0.0168
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$US
Follow me to seize every hourly trading opportunity
1h golden cross confirmed, trend turns bullish
Entry 0.0152～0.0155
Stop loss 0.0147
Target 0.0168
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$US
Follow me to seize every hourly trading opportunity
5
·
--
【Short】$XVG Current price 0.0026
Trading with reduced volume, bearish bias; watch for a breakdown
Entry 0.0027～0.0027
Stop loss 0.0028
Target 0.0024
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$XVG
Follow me to seize every hour-by-hour trading opportunity
【Short】$XVG Current price 0.0026
Trading with reduced volume, bearish bias; watch for a breakdown
Entry 0.0027～0.0027
Stop loss 0.0028
Target 0.0024
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$XVG
Follow me to seize every hour-by-hour trading opportunity
Trading with reduced volume, bearish bias; watch for a breakdown
Entry 0.0027～0.0027
Stop loss 0.0028
Target 0.0024
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$XVG
Follow me to seize every hour-by-hour trading opportunity
11
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[Go Long] $ETHFI current price 0.700
Trading with reduced volume, slightly bullish in direction—wait for a breakout
Entry 0.686～0.696
Stop loss 0.662
Target 0.758
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$ETHFI
Follow me to seize every hour on trading opportunities
[Go Long] $ETHFI current price 0.700
Trading with reduced volume, slightly bullish in direction—wait for a breakout
Entry 0.686～0.696
Stop loss 0.662
Target 0.758
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$ETHFI
Follow me to seize every hour on trading opportunities
Trading with reduced volume, slightly bullish in direction—wait for a breakout
Entry 0.686～0.696
Stop loss 0.662
Target 0.758
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$ETHFI
Follow me to seize every hour on trading opportunities
25
·
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【Short】$IOST Current price 0.0010
1h death cross confirmation, trend turns bearish
Entry 0.0010～0.0011
Stop loss 0.0011
Target 0.000927
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
Funding rate -0.1118%, short-side subsidy
$IOST
Follow me to seize every on-the-hour trading opportunity
【Short】$IOST Current price 0.0010
1h death cross confirmation, trend turns bearish
Entry 0.0010～0.0011
Stop loss 0.0011
Target 0.000927
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
Funding rate -0.1118%, short-side subsidy
$IOST
Follow me to seize every on-the-hour trading opportunity
1h death cross confirmation, trend turns bearish
Entry 0.0010～0.0011
Stop loss 0.0011
Target 0.000927
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
Funding rate -0.1118%, short-side subsidy
$IOST
Follow me to seize every on-the-hour trading opportunity
15
·
--
【Go Long】$RUNE current price 0.525
1h golden cross confirmed, trend turns bullish
Entry 0.487～0.494
Stop loss 0.470
Target 0.538
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$RUNE
Follow me to seize every hour-on-the-hour trading opportunity
【Go Long】$RUNE current price 0.525
1h golden cross confirmed, trend turns bullish
Entry 0.487～0.494
Stop loss 0.470
Target 0.538
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$RUNE
Follow me to seize every hour-on-the-hour trading opportunity
1h golden cross confirmed, trend turns bullish
Entry 0.487～0.494
Stop loss 0.470
Target 0.538
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$RUNE
Follow me to seize every hour-on-the-hour trading opportunity
75
·
--
【Short】$KOMA Current price 0.0134
Volume up 3.2x, funds fleeing
Entry 0.0125～0.0126
Stop loss 0.0129
Target 0.0112
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$KOMA
Follow me to seize every hour’s trading opportunity
【Short】$KOMA Current price 0.0134
Volume up 3.2x, funds fleeing
Entry 0.0125～0.0126
Stop loss 0.0129
Target 0.0112
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$KOMA
Follow me to seize every hour’s trading opportunity
Volume up 3.2x, funds fleeing
Entry 0.0125～0.0126
Stop loss 0.0129
Target 0.0112
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$KOMA
Follow me to seize every hour’s trading opportunity
174
·
--
【Short】$SAGA Current price 0.0157
Low-volume movement; slightly bearish—watch for a breakdown
Entry 0.0145～0.0148
Stop loss 0.0150
Target 0.0130
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$SAGA
Follow me to seize every hourly trading opportunity
【Short】$SAGA Current price 0.0157
Low-volume movement; slightly bearish—watch for a breakdown
Entry 0.0145～0.0148
Stop loss 0.0150
Target 0.0130
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$SAGA
Follow me to seize every hourly trading opportunity
Low-volume movement; slightly bearish—watch for a breakdown
Entry 0.0145～0.0148
Stop loss 0.0150
Target 0.0130
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$SAGA
Follow me to seize every hourly trading opportunity
11
·
--
【Short】$BEAT Current price 0.0810
Running with lower volume; bias is bearish—watch for a breakdown
Entry 0.0826～0.0839
Stop loss 0.0855
Target 0.0739
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$BEAT
Follow me to seize every on-the-hour trading opportunity
【Short】$BEAT Current price 0.0810
Running with lower volume; bias is bearish—watch for a breakdown
Entry 0.0826～0.0839
Stop loss 0.0855
Target 0.0739
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$BEAT
Follow me to seize every on-the-hour trading opportunity
Running with lower volume; bias is bearish—watch for a breakdown
Entry 0.0826～0.0839
Stop loss 0.0855
Target 0.0739
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$BEAT
Follow me to seize every on-the-hour trading opportunity
99
·
--
[Go long] $ZEST Current price 0.131
15m golden cross confirmed, trend turns bullish
Entry 0.127～0.129
Stop loss 0.123
Target 0.141
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$ZEST
Follow me to seize every hourly trading opportunity
[Go long] $ZEST Current price 0.131
15m golden cross confirmed, trend turns bullish
Entry 0.127～0.129
Stop loss 0.123
Target 0.141
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$ZEST
Follow me to seize every hourly trading opportunity
15m golden cross confirmed, trend turns bullish
Entry 0.127～0.129
Stop loss 0.123
Target 0.141
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
$ZEST
Follow me to seize every hourly trading opportunity
73
·
--
【Go Long】$PHAROS Current Price 0.492
Volume up 1.5x, funds entering
Entry 0.454～0.461
Stop Loss 0.438
Target 0.502
Risk/Reward 3.0:1
$PHAROS
Follow me and seize every on-the-hour trading opportunity
【Go Long】$PHAROS Current Price 0.492
Volume up 1.5x, funds entering
Entry 0.454～0.461
Stop Loss 0.438
Target 0.502
Risk/Reward 3.0:1
$PHAROS
Follow me and seize every on-the-hour trading opportunity
Volume up 1.5x, funds entering
Entry 0.454～0.461
Stop Loss 0.438
Target 0.502
Risk/Reward 3.0:1
$PHAROS
Follow me and seize every on-the-hour trading opportunity
44
·
--
【Short】$SKUU Current Price 31.23
Running on lower volume, slightly bearish—watch for a breakdown
Entry 32.23～32.72
Stop Loss 33.36
Target 28.85
Risk-Reward Ratio 3.0:1
$SKUU
Follow me and seize every on-the-hour trading opportunity
【Short】$SKUU Current Price 31.23
Running on lower volume, slightly bearish—watch for a breakdown
Entry 32.23～32.72
Stop Loss 33.36
Target 28.85
Risk-Reward Ratio 3.0:1
$SKUU
Follow me and seize every on-the-hour trading opportunity
Running on lower volume, slightly bearish—watch for a breakdown
Entry 32.23～32.72
Stop Loss 33.36
Target 28.85
Risk-Reward Ratio 3.0:1
$SKUU
Follow me and seize every on-the-hour trading opportunity
23
·
--
【Go long】$NEWT Current price 0.0478
1h golden cross confirmed, trend turns bullish
Entry 0.0447～0.0454
Stop loss 0.0431
Target 0.0494
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
Funding rate -0.5814%, short-side subsidy
$NEWT
Follow me to seize every on-the-hour trading opportunity
【Go long】$NEWT Current price 0.0478
1h golden cross confirmed, trend turns bullish
Entry 0.0447～0.0454
Stop loss 0.0431
Target 0.0494
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
Funding rate -0.5814%, short-side subsidy
$NEWT
Follow me to seize every on-the-hour trading opportunity
1h golden cross confirmed, trend turns bullish
Entry 0.0447～0.0454
Stop loss 0.0431
Target 0.0494
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1
Funding rate -0.5814%, short-side subsidy
$NEWT
Follow me to seize every on-the-hour trading opportunity
90
·
--
【Go Long】$VTHO Current Price 0.000581
Trading with reduced volume; slightly bullish—wait for a breakout
Entry 0.000570～0.000578
Stop Loss 0.000550
Target 0.000630
Risk/Reward 3.0:1
Funding Rate -1.2727%, shorts subsidized
$VTHO
Follow me and seize every on-the-hour trading opportunity
【Go Long】$VTHO Current Price 0.000581
Trading with reduced volume; slightly bullish—wait for a breakout
Entry 0.000570～0.000578
Stop Loss 0.000550
Target 0.000630
Risk/Reward 3.0:1
Funding Rate -1.2727%, shorts subsidized
$VTHO
Follow me and seize every on-the-hour trading opportunity
Trading with reduced volume; slightly bullish—wait for a breakout
Entry 0.000570～0.000578
Stop Loss 0.000550
Target 0.000630
Risk/Reward 3.0:1
Funding Rate -1.2727%, shorts subsidized
$VTHO
Follow me and seize every on-the-hour trading opportunity
1
16
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