ETH ETFs just logged their longest outflow streak ever while ETH closed October down 16%
US spot Ethereum ETFs sold out of ETH for 23 trading days in a row. October is now closed. Was that the capitulation, or is the ETF bid simply gone for now?
What is new (Glassnode data via Crypto Briefing): - 23 consecutive trading days of net outflows through Oct 30, the longest streak since the funds launched in July 2024. - October outflows topped 1 billion USD, the biggest monthly drain of 2026. Farside's tally puts the month at about 1.61 billion USD. - Oct 30 alone: 155.8 million USD out, and BlackRock's ETHA was 76.6 million USD of it, about half the day. - September was the opposite: about 832 million USD of inflows. - Bigger picture: cumulative net inflows since launch are still about 12.29 billion USD, with about 13.22 billion USD in net assets. Note: trackers do not fully agree on the streak. Farside shows a few small inflow days in October, so treat "23 straight" as Glassnode's count.
The tape (Binance spot, 02:08 UTC Nov 1): - $ETH October candle: 2,686 open, 2,256 close, about -16%. Low 2,174 on Oct 30. - ETH/BTC October: 0.03212 to 0.02908, about -9.5%. Now 0.02919. - $ETH now 2,269 (+1.1% 24h), about 4% above the October low. - $BTC 77,778 (+0.5% 24h). - Hyperliquid ETH funding is at the baseline rate, open interest about 977K ETH. No crowded side.
My take: the ETF wrapper crowd has been the marginal seller all month, while the crowd that holds ETH on-chain kept staking (Crypto Briefing says staking set records in the same window). ETH lost ground to BTC too, so this was not just a market-wide dip. The first green ETF day in November would tell us more than any chart line. Until then, 2,174 is the level I care about.
I am watching TradeAssi whale alerts to see if big Hyperliquid wallets start buying where ETF holders keep selling.
Does the ETF streak break first, or the October low?
FBI officially names North Korea's TraderTraitor for the Binance hack and asks crypto infra to block the funds
Until today the FBI only said it was "aware" of the Binance theft. Now it has named who did it. So what can anyone actually do about stolen ETH that has no issuer to freeze it?
What is new (FBI announcement, Sat Oct 31): - The FBI attributes the theft of more than 6 billion USD from Binance (around Oct 29) to North Korean activity it tracks as TraderTraitor, the same group it blamed for the 1.5 billion USD Bybit theft in Feb 2025. - Together with the Secret Service and IRS Criminal Investigation, it published a list of linked addresses and asked THORNode operators, RPC operators, instant exchanges, DeFi services and analytics firms to block transactions tied to them. - The agencies say the stolen assets are being converted mainly into ETH, and they expect more laundering through DeFi and instant-swap services.
Why it matters: - Stablecoin issuers froze part of the haul within hours. ETH has no issuer, so stopping it now depends on the services the funds pass through next. - This is a request, not a sanctions designation or a court order. A blocked transaction is not a recovered one. - THORChain is named directly. Its public node API (22:46 UTC) still shows trading paused on 11 of 13 chains after this morning's reorg halt; AVAX and XRP have resumed. - Binance still targets Nov 1 for restarting withdrawals.
The tape (Binance spot, 22:46 UTC Oct 31, 24h): - $BTC 77,642 (+0.8%) - $ETH 2,258 (+0.9%) - $BNB 703.4 (+0.5%) - $RUNE 0.655 (+1.4%) Context, not cause. A quiet tape does not mean the market has priced the laundering risk either way.
My take: an official attribution and a public address list make the trail harder to use, but the real scorecard is freezes and funds returned. Watch which providers confirm blocks, and whether the Nov 1 withdrawal restart holds.
Do you think the FBI's block request will actually slow the laundering?
THORChain halts swaps on all chains after an Ethereum reorg caused a 10 ETH double refund
THORChain halts swaps on all chains after an Ethereum reorg caused a 10 ETH double refund How "final" is a deposit that a cross-chain bridge has already seen? THORChain just found out the hard way. One Ethereum block got swapped out, and a 10 ETH mistake was enough to stop swaps across the whole network. What happened (Sat Oct 31): - At 11:34 UTC Ethereum had a one-block reorg. THORChain's own post-mortem says a 10 ETH deposit sat in the dropped block and never made it back onto the main chain. - THORChain had already observed and finalized that deposit. The swap then failed its price limit and was refunded, so the vault paid out 10 ETH it never received. The real deposit from the same sender was refunded too. - Result: one vault is 10 ETH short, and one wallet got about 10 ETH extra. THORChain says nothing points to intent (the wallet has used THORChain for almost two years). - The automatic solvency halt fired. Core devs paused all chains as a precaution while they verify the sequence and ship Bifrost/thornode fixes. No ETA. Why the safeguards missed it: - Every node saw the reorg within seconds, but the re-check that should have dropped the deposit did not get a clear answer in time, so finalization went through on the cached observation. The Binance angle: - Chainalysis linked the halted route to funds stolen from Binance and laundered by DPRK-linked actors (Crypto Briefing, TokenPost). The pause was an accident, not a move against those funds, but it slowed that laundering path. Status right now: - THORChain's public node API (inbound_addresses, checked 19:44 UTC) still shows trading paused on all 13 external chains it lists, including BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP and BSC. Outbound signing is still on for most of them (off for SOL and GAIA). - Per THORChain, swaps sent during the halt are held or refunded once a chain resumes. ETH on the affected vault stays halted until the 10 ETH is recovered or written off. The tape (Binance spot, 19:42 UTC Oct 31, 24h): - $RUNE 0.674 (+5.5%), 24h range 0.636 to 0.733 - $ETH 2,255.38 (+0.9%) - $BTC 77,620.66 (+1.2%) Context, not cause. RUNE being up on the day does not mean the market has priced the halt either way. My take: the loss is small, 10 ETH. The lesson is not. Any protocol that reacts to deposits on another chain is only as safe as its reorg handling. And it is a hard week for "decentralized and unstoppable": the same pause that hurt normal users also held up hacker money. Watch for chain-by-chain restarts and how the 10 ETH gets settled. Would you trust a bridge more or less after a halt like this? Source: https://tradeassi.com/en/news/b8b9c98b-bafe-4006-9b12-ee178fd60511 Not financial advice. DYOR.
Binance hack: 90% now covered, top 10 assets 1:1, 7,499 BTC out of SAFU, withdrawals target Sunday
Binance hack: 90% now covered, top 10 assets 1:1, 7,499 BTC out of SAFU, withdrawals target Sunday Is a "fully backed" statement enough for you, or are you waiting for the math? Binance's Saturday hack update comes with a reserves snapshot and on-chain movement, not just a promise. What changed since Friday: What Binance says now (Oct 31): - About 90% of the roughly $6.3B in stolen token assets has been replaced, up from 80% a day earlier (Cointelegraph). - Balances in 10 assets are fully backed 100%: BTC, ETH, USDT, BNB, SOL, USDC, XRP, USD1, RLUSD and ZEC. - The missing 10% is in less liquid tokens outside that list. Binance keeps buying them through market and OTC deals. - Sources: corporate treasury, part of SAFU, part of the futures insurance fund. No split by source given. - CNBC: "covered" means Binance replaced the backing, not that 90% was recovered from the attacker. The on-chain part: - 7,499 BTC, about $581M, left the SAFU wallet on Saturday. The Defiant says Binance confirmed it as part of the replenishment. - Crypto Briefing put SAFU at about 15,000 BTC before this. Binance says it will rebuild the fund to about $1B. - My rough math, not Binance's: if 15,000 is right, about 7,500 BTC is left, near $582M at today's price. Getting back to $1B needs roughly 5,400 BTC more. Proof of reserves: - New snapshot taken at 00:00 UTC Oct 31. The full zero-knowledge proof takes 40 to 50 hours to generate, and it is now expected by Nov 3. On Friday the talk was Monday. - Baseline from the Oct 1 snapshot: BTC 100.35%, ETH 100.00%, USDT 103.88% (Crypto Briefing). - CertiK said on Friday it needed more information to verify the $5B replacement claim. The Nov 3 proof is the first point where outsiders can check. What to watch: - Withdrawals: still paused. Binance says it is on track for Sunday Nov 1, subject to security checks, reopening in phases, token by token. - The last 10%: if smaller tokens stay closed for long, their order books on other venues could get messy. The tape (Binance spot, 16:47 UTC Oct 31, 24h): - $BNB 705.40 (+0.7%), 24h low 696.00 - $BTC 77,614 (+0.3%), 24h range 76,326 to 77,745 - $ETH 2,253.06 (+1.2%) Context, not cause. A quiet Saturday tape is not proof the market believes the update. My take: 90% plus a top-10 list is real progress, and the SAFU transfer shows money moving, not just words. But a statement on Oct 31 is not evidence. A Sunday restart without delays and a clean Nov 3 proof are. If either slips, stress comes back fast. Would you withdraw on day one, or wait for the proof? Source: https://tradeassi.com/en/news/68777ec9-db54-4aa2-a9e5-ee39d78d790f Not financial advice. DYOR.
Nasdaq-listed NXTT may sell or pledge 5,833 BTC: what it means for the tape
A tiny Nasdaq company with a big bitcoin stack says it might let it go. News from TradeAssi briefs: https://tradeassi.com/en/news/0f95d5c1-6dd8-4612-91ed-9e8a969ea9c6 https://tradeassi.com/en/news/99d0f438-55f8-4793-a29d-3e77b04c21ce What the briefs say: Next Technology Holding (NXTT) authorized the sale or lending of its 5,833 BTC, about 450M USD, citing the Binance hack and quantum computing fears. Background (company release, Oct 30): the CEO picks timing, price and size. Options are exchange sales, block trades or BTC-backed loans. No schedule, no promise any deal happens, and none of its BTC sits on Binance. The tape (Binance spot, pulled 14:09 UTC Oct 31): - BTC 77,528, up 0.7% in 24h - 24h range 76,326 to 78,110 - 76,326 is also the 30-day low (30-day high 87,220) - Oct 1 open was 83,624, so BTC is down about 7.3% into the monthly close - Hyperliquid BTC funding at base rate, OI 41,052 BTC (40,545 yesterday): leverage not really coming back My take: 5,833 BTC is about 60% of the last 24h of Binance BTCUSDT spot volume (9,686 BTC), so it is real supply. But block trades or a loan would not touch the order book. The bigger signal is mood: a treasury company citing custody risk is the opposite of "buy every dip". What would change my mind: news of actual exchange deposits from NXTT, or BTC losing the 30-day low on volume. Reference levels only, not a plan: - Below: 76,326 (24h and 30-day low) - Above: 78,110 (24h high), then 78,804 (Oct 30 high) I have TradeAssi price alerts set on BTC at 76,326 and 78,110 so the monthly close does not eat my weekend. Overhang or non-event? Not financial advice. DYOR. #BTC #Bitcoin #NXTT #CryptoMarket #MonthlyClose
Is regulated perp trading finally coming to the US via DeFi rails?
ICE, the owner of the NYSE, is partnering with Hyperliquid's developers to launch regulated perpetual futures in the U.S. - Both crypto and stock perps are in scope - TradeXYZ is also involved - HYPE jumped roughly 13-15% on the news
My take: perps are where most of the volume lives, and a regulated US venue would pull serious institutional money on-chain-style. Big legitimacy win, though I'd watch how much of the decentralized part survives compliance.
Tether Q3: $1.5B profit, reserve buffer nearly doubles to $7.95B, and BTC now tops the buffer
Tether Q3: $1.5B profit, reserve buffer nearly doubles to $7.95B, and BTC now tops the buffer Tether published its Q3 2026 attestation today, prepared by BDO. In a week when traders are asking hard questions about where their money sits, the biggest stablecoin issuer just showed its balance sheet. Here is what is in it, and what is not. The numbers (as of Sep 30, per Tether): - Total reserve assets: $191.5B. Total liabilities: about $183.5B, almost all of it USDT in circulation. - Excess reserves (the buffer): $7.95B, up from $4.1B at the end of Q2. An increase of about $3.8B in one quarter. - Q3 net operating profit: $1.5B, in line with Q2. About $4.5B for the first nine months of 2026. - Most of the income came from US Treasury bills and reverse repos. - Direct and indirect T-bill holdings: $132.4B. Cointelegraph notes that is close to South Korea's $134.2B and above the UAE's $116.1B in US government debt. - USDT issuance held broadly steady around $184B through the first three quarters. The bitcoin part: - Tether's BTC reserves were valued at $8.37B at Sep 30, up from about $5.8B at the end of June (Cointelegraph). - That means the BTC pile is now bigger than the whole $7.95B buffer. - My rough math, not Tether's: BTC closed Sep 30 at about $83,624 on Binance and trades near $76,632 now, about 8.4% lower. If the BTC holdings are unchanged, that is roughly $0.7B off their value, which would leave the buffer nearer $7.25B, all else equal. Still positive, but it shows how much the cushion now leans on BTC. What the report does not tell you: - An attestation is a snapshot of one day (Sep 30), not a check of activity through the quarter (The Defiant). - Tether says KPMG US completed its first full financial statement audit in August, but those statements have not been made public. Why it matters this week: - Tether is one of the issuers that froze stablecoins tied to the Binance theft, and USDT is the main quote asset on most exchanges. A bigger buffer is the number that matters if redemptions spike. - USDT is about 60% of a $297.3B stablecoin market (DefiLlama via Cointelegraph). The tape (Binance spot, 19:41 UTC Oct 30, 24h): - $BTC 76,632 (-5.3%), 24h low 76,326 - $ETH 2,232.67 (-4.5%), 24h low 2,174 Snapshot only, not proof of cause. My take: the profit headline is the boring part. The real story is that the safety net nearly doubled while BTC became its biggest swing factor. Next attestation, watch whether the buffer grows faster than the BTC position. Does a BTC-heavy buffer make you more or less comfortable holding USDT? Source: https://tradeassi.com/en/news/e2bbbc51-9d89-4548-b015-97f0bb0cc02a Not financial advice. DYOR.
Top-10 Hyperliquid wallet that sold BTC at $85.9K is back: a fresh ~$16.7M long near $77K
Top-10 Hyperliquid wallet that sold BTC at $85.9K is back: a fresh ~$16.7M long near $77K On a day when $BTC hit a 30-day low and Binance is still dealing with its hack, one of the biggest wallets on the TradeAssi whale leaderboard went the other way and bought. What TradeAssi's whale tracker caught (wallet 0x1bbf...5fc4, #6 on the leaderboard, ~$3.94M total PnL per the tracker): - Today 17:38-17:50 UTC: opened about 109 BTC at ~$77,211 avg (~$8.4M). It started from a flat BTC position. - 18:21-18:27 UTC: added about 108 BTC at $76,900 (~$8.3M). - Total now: 217.22 BTC at ~$77,056 avg, ~$16.7M notional, 2x cross. Account value about $8.29M, liquidation price about $38.8K. - Still open at 19:43 UTC: unrealized about -$94K. No open orders on the book. Why this wallet is worth a look (Hyperliquid public fills, last 60 days): - Sep 2: opened ~175 BTC at ~$77,212 from flat, added ~24 BTC at ~$80,891 on Sep 3. - Oct 2: sold all ~199.7 BTC at ~$85,933. Realized about +$1.65M. - Then nothing for four weeks. Zero fills between Oct 2 and today. - Today's first entry (~$77,211) is almost exactly where it bought in September. Not a bot: only 273 fills in 60 days, all in four sessions. Low leverage, no grid, no churn. Read the tape honestly: it is already slightly underwater, and it bought into a falling market. One wallet buying is not a bottom call. It sold the last round $8.7K higher, which is the level it would need to see again to repeat that trade. Context, not cause: BTC is down about 5.3% in 24h on Binance (24h low $76,326) as the Binance hack, a Nasdaq 100 sell-off and $1.6B+ in liquidations hit the tape. On Hyperliquid, BTC funding is at the base rate and open interest is about 40.9K BTC. I am not saying any of this is why the wallet bought. Market check (Binance spot, 19:41 UTC): $BTC ~$76,632 (-5.3% 24h). $ETH ~$2,233 (-4.5%). On TradeAssi I'm following this wallet with whale alerts, to see whether it keeps adding, holds, or cuts. Would you buy where this wallet bought last time, or wait for the hack headlines to settle? Not financial advice. This is what the tracker saw, not a trade signal. #WhaleAlert #Hyperliquid #BTC Source: https://tradeassi.com/en/alerts
Binance hack update: $6.34B set aside, North Korea named, withdrawals target Sunday
Yesterday we flagged a suspected drain from Binance hot wallets, with estimates from $2.5B to $5.8B and no confirmation. In the last 24 hours the picture firmed up: the hack is confirmed, the size is clearer, Binance has said who pays, and investigators have named a suspect. The size: TRM Labs puts the theft at about $6.36B, moved out of Binance wallets on 10 blockchains, most of it in about 20 minutes from 20:05 UTC Thursday. Chainalysis puts it at about $6.4B.That makes it the largest crypto theft on record, roughly four times the $1.5B Bybit hack of Feb 2025. Who (per the analytics firms): TRM ("high confidence") and Chainalysis both attribute it to TraderTraitor, the North Korean group the FBI blamed for Bybit.Chainalysis says it saw stolen Binance funds commingling in real time with proceeds of last month's Bitget exploit. North Korea has denied past hacking allegations. How: On Ethereum, the attacker used an EIP-7702 delegation to turn a Binance hot wallet into a sweeper, with 50 pre-signed authorizations prepared in advance (TRM).On the other nine chains, funds left through ordinary signed transfers, which TRM reads as a compromise of Binance's hot-wallet signing infrastructure.Binance says its investigation began with a compromised engineer's laptop and has since found "additional points of breach". Who pays: Binance says it has reserved more than $6.34B of company funds to cover user losses. About $5B is already held in the exact tokens that were stolen; the rest is being bought via market and OTC, which may take longer for low-liquidity tokens. Frozen assets are not counted in that figure. Frozen vs still loose: Tether, Circle, Ripple and World Liberty Financial froze about $2.67B in stablecoins, and Arbitrum's Security Council froze 8,426 ETH and 74.6M ARB (TRM). Binance puts the total frozen at about $3B.The attacker still holds more than 420,000 ETH and 18,270 BTC, about $2.4B beyond any issuer's reach. What to watch next: Withdrawals are still paused. Co-CEO Richard Teng is targeting a restart by Sunday, within about 40 hours of his Friday remarks, but only if the rebuilt withdrawal service passes testing (The Defiant).Teng also promised a full Proof of Reserves report by Monday.Any large sales of the unfrozen ETH and BTC would hit spot liquidity. The tape (Binance spot, 16:40 UTC Oct 30, 24h): $BNB 702.06 (-6.3%), 24h low 680.00$BTC 77,566 (-4.8%), 24h low 76,500$ETH 2,238.47 (-5.1%), 24h low 2,174 Snapshot only, not proof of cause. My take: the reserve number and the Monday PoR report matter more than any screenshot. If withdrawals reopen on schedule and the PoR checks out, the worst-case fear fades. If the date slips, expect another leg of stress. Are you waiting for the PoR report, or already positioned? Source: https://tradeassi.com/en/news/d870afcf-e522-4a38-aa59-68b03028fc36 Not financial advice. DYOR.
Coinbase Premium hits a 4-year low as BTC tests 76,500: US buyers step back
US spot buyers went quiet, and one gauge shows it. The tape (Binance spot, pulled 14:17 UTC Oct 30): BTC 76,755.7, down 4.6% in 24h24h range 76,500 to 81,97176,500 is also the 30-day low (30-day high 87,220)Oct 1 open was 83,624, so BTC is down about 8% on the monthHyperliquid BTC funding at base rate, OI 40,545 BTC vs 43,525 a day ago: leverage flushed, not rebuilt News context from TradeAssi briefs: https://tradeassi.com/en/news/41b9cc18-6d15-4a76-b336-5d09c8ff100e https://tradeassi.com/en/news/364fd264-d3a4-47b6-b022-87cd3befbbba https://tradeassi.com/en/news/f0cb6124-148c-4f49-8778-37a8bd9d8303 What the briefs say: the Coinbase Premium dropped to a four-year low, a level last seen right after the FTX collapse in Nov 2022, and liquidations jumped to 1.57B as BTC and ETH slid on the Binance security headlines. Background: CryptoQuant data has the index at about -0.27% on Oct 29. CEO Ki Young Ju called the mood "bearish enough to be bullish". My take: a deep negative premium means US buyers on Coinbase are paying less than the global USDT market. That fits a week with the Fed on hold on Wednesday and a big exchange incident. The Nov 2022 reading came near a cycle low, but one indicator is not a bottom call. What would change my mind: the premium climbing back toward zero while BTC holds 76,500. Reference levels only, not a plan: Below: 76,500 (24h and 30-day low)Above: 78,800 (today's high), then 81,971 (24h high) I keep TradeAssi price alerts on BTC at 76,500 and 78,800 so I am not glued to the chart. Contrarian signal or more US selling ahead? Not financial advice. DYOR. #BTC #Bitcoin #CoinbasePremium #CryptoMarket #Liquidations
Coinbase Q3: 719M profit, but 715M was crypto on its own books. Prediction markets are the story
Coinbase printed a 719M USD profit for Q3. About 715M of that came from gains on crypto it holds on its own balance sheet. Strip that out and adjusted net income was 78M. So the headline is mostly a mark-to-market number. The business underneath is the useful part. What Coinbase reported (Oct 29, after the US close) Total revenue about 1.22B, flat vs Q2 and down 35% vs a year ago.Transaction revenue 590M, down 1% vs Q2 but above the roughly 527M analysts expected. Consumer spot volume was down 59% year over year per the 10-Q.Trading volume 134.5B, global market share 10.7%, the fourth straight quarterly gain.Prediction markets passed 200M in annualized revenue, only launched in February. Daily traders up 60%+ vs Q2.Subscription and services 570M, about 49% of net revenue, with 307M from stablecoins. Average USDC held in Coinbase products hit a record 22B.Same filing: CEO Brian Armstrong adopted a 10b5-1 plan to sell up to about 8.17M shares (roughly 1.31B) from Nov 16 through Oct 2027, above preset price thresholds. Ehrsam and Choi have plans too. My take This is a quarter where retail spot trading dried up and Coinbase still held revenue flat. That came from predictions, derivatives and stablecoin revenue, not from people buying coins. It also tells you how quiet spot retail has been. The insider sale plans are pre-scheduled, so I would not read them as a call on price, but the size is worth knowing. Tape check (Binance spot 24hr, pulled 02:11 UTC Oct 30, reference only) BTC 76,985, down 3.8% on 24h, range 76,500 to 81,971ETH 2,203, down 4.5% on 24hUSDC/USDT 1.0016 The tape today is about other headlines, not this earnings report. Question for you: if spot volume stays this low, do exchanges become prediction market and stablecoin businesses first, and trading venues second? I track exchange headlines like this in the TradeAssi news feed, sorted by impact and sentiment. Source: https://tradeassi.com/en/news/d303fbb0-fe31-4f3d-99ac-9cdc042a478f Also: https://tradeassi.com/en/news/dcbcc1d4-7686-4a2b-b5f5-4bd156fcf48a Not financial advice. DYOR. #Coinbase #Earnings #PredictionMarkets #USDC #CryptoNews
A top-40 Hyperliquid wallet opened a fresh ~$3.3M ETH long, 20x, as Binance hack fears hit
A top-40 Hyperliquid wallet opened a fresh ~$3.3M ETH long, 20x, as Binance hack fears hit While the market was digesting reports of a suspected Binance hot-wallet drain, one of the wallets on TradeAssi's Hyperliquid leaderboard went long $ETH from zero. What TradeAssi's whale tracker caught (wallet 0xb885...3c54, #37 on the leaderboard, ~$1.54M total PnL per the tracker): 21:55-21:58 UTC today: opened a NEW ETH long of 1,450 ETH at ~$2,274.34 avg, about $3.30M notional, 20x cross. The first fill started from a flat ETH position.Still open at 22:43 UTC: mark ~$2,278.6, unrealized about +$6.2K.Right after, 22:03-22:08 UTC, it opened shorts in ENA (985K, ~$179K) and kPEPE ($413K). The rest of the book (so you see the whole picture): An older BTC long: 44.19 BTC at ~$89,642 entry, about $3.5M, down about $465K unrealized.An older ZEC short: 682.2 ZEC at $1,465, up about $140K unrealized.Account value about $854K against ~$8.3M total notional. This is a high-leverage book, not a cautious one. Not a bot: about 250 fills in 14 days, trading in bursts (Oct 16, 18, 24-26, 29). Its last ETH long was opened Oct 24 and closed Oct 25-26 around $2,344. Context, not cause: the long went in about 90 minutes after the first flagged Binance outflow (20:24 UTC). Binance says it is investigating and has not confirmed any impact on user funds. I am not saying the news is why this wallet traded. Read the tape honestly: a long ETH plus short ENA/kPEPE mix looks like a bet that ETH holds up better than higher-beta alts, but only the wallet knows. At 20x, a small move against it matters. Market check (Binance spot, 22:42 UTC): $BTC ~79,136 (-2.7% 24h). $ETH ~2,279 (-3.5%). $BNB ~704 (-7.0%). On TradeAssi I'm following this wallet with whale alerts, to see whether it holds, adds or cuts. Would you buy a hack-headline dip with 20x, or wait for the official report? Not financial advice. This is what the tracker saw, not a trade signal. #WhaleAlert #Hyperliquid #ETH Source: https://tradeassi.com/en/alerts
Binance probes suspected hot-wallet drain of up to ~$5.5B; Tether and Circle freeze ~$1.8B
Binance probes suspected hot-wallet drain of up to ~$5.5B; Tether and Circle freeze ~$1.8B Huge outflows left Binance hot wallets this afternoon. Binance says it is investigating and has NOT confirmed any impact on user funds. If it is confirmed as a hack, it would be the largest crypto hack on record. Treat every number below as early and moving. What happened (Thu Oct 29, UTC): ~20:21: an address funded through Tornado Cash installs an EIP-7702 delegation on a Binance-labeled hot wallet (EIP-7702 lets a normal wallet run delegated smart-contract code).20:24: about 3 minutes later, that wallet sends 167,464 ETH plus 63 token transfers, including about 1.615B USDT, to a brand-new address (Etherscan, via Decrypt).20:24-21:04: analysts flag large outflows of ETH, USDT and USDC from Binance hot wallets. Receiving addresses were new and pushed funds onward within minutes.21:04: Tether freezes about 975M USDT and Circle about 823M USDC in the main receiving address, roughly $1.8B in total. Tether later put its frozen total above 1.5B USDT. The numbers (estimates differ): Decrypt tally: about $5.57B across 3 chains, $3.51B on Ethereum, $1.44B in 18,270 BTC and $630M on Tron.The Block reports outflows of up to $5.8B. Crypto Briefing cites $2.5B to $3.5B.How the attacker got the required signature is still unknown. What Binance and CZ said: Binance on X: "we have not confirmed any impact to user funds" and updates will come through official channels.CZ said on X the outflows looked like a hack, that user funds were safe and losses would be covered in full (via Crypto Briefing). A promise, not yet a post-mortem. Why traders care: Liquidations were about $628M in an hour, mostly longs (Crypto Briefing, BeInCrypto).Stablecoin freezes worked fast. ETH and BTC have no such switch.The previous record was Bybit, about $1.5B in Feb 2025. The tape (Binance spot, 22:42 UTC): $BNB 704.36 (-7.0% 24h), range 680 to 761$BTC 79,136 (-2.7%), $ETH 2,279.4 (-3.5%) Snapshot only, not proof of cause. My take: wait for Binance's own verified update before acting on screenshots. Watch three things: the root cause, whether frozen USDT/USDC is returned, and any confirmed user balance impact. Are you moving funds right now, or waiting for the official report? Source: https://tradeassi.com/en/news/d7538f96-e465-43ee-82f4-f274b25933d1 Not financial advice. DYOR.
Polymarket halts trading after a third-party breach drains about $2.65M from ~995 accounts
Polymarket went into cancel-only mode today after users reported funds leaving their accounts without permission. Third security incident there this year. What happened (Thu Oct 29, all times UTC): ~17:05: a fresh wallet starts receiving funds (investigator StarPlatinum). ~$2.0M by 17:50, ~$2.68M by 18:05.18:05: status page shows cancel-only mode, relayer paused.18:37: Polymarket says it "identified and fixed" the issue on Polymarket.com. One of its third-party providers was compromised, the case went to law enforcement, and "anyone who has been impacted will be made whole."18:55: trading to resume ~3pm ET. Marked resolved 19:05. The numbers: Analyst Conor Grogan counts 995 accounts drained for about $2,654,211. Largest single losses: about $341K and $307K.Per Arkham data cited by Decrypt, the suspected attacker wallet (0x3F99...fc18) holds about $2.65M in $POL, swapped from bridged USDC.e via Relay. StarPlatinum counts about 28.6M POL. How it worked (early findings, not final): Hudson Rock says a script loaded from DebugBear, a web performance monitoring service, looked for a logged-in trading session, tried to sell the user's positions and send the funds out. The attacker wallet was hard-coded in it.How the compromise started is not established yet. No full post-mortem. Why traders care: No smart-contract bug reported. This looks like a website supply-chain attack: the frontend is the weak point.Same pattern as June, when a compromised vendor let hackers inject code into the frontend and take about $3M from fewer than 15 accounts. In May, a private key leak drained about $700K from an internal wallet. The tape (Binance spot, 19:39 UTC): $POL 0.0921, flat in 24h, range 0.0895 to 0.0950$BTC 80,848 (-0.5%), $ETH 2,334.8 (-1.1%) Snapshot only, not proof of cause. My take: "made whole" is the right promise, but three incidents in one year is the real story. Until a post-mortem lands, I would treat any session on a web frontend as a hot wallet. Do you keep funds parked on prediction markets, or withdraw after every bet? Source: https://tradeassi.com/en/news/1a331591-3ea4-45db-a2cb-c248f4d12939 Not financial advice. DYOR.
The HYPE whale we flagged Oct 27 banked ~$184K today, then flipped back into a fresh ~$946K long
On Oct 27 I posted a Hyperliquid wallet that came back after 54 quiet days and opened a 20,000 $HYPE long. Today it took the money, tried two shorts, and then went long again from zero. What TradeAssi's whale tracker caught (wallet 0xad22...4e44, #52 on the leaderboard, ~$1.07M total PnL per the tracker): Oct 27, 19:36-19:38 UTC: opened 20,000 HYPE long at ~$81.44 avg (~$1.63M).Today 13:34-13:35 UTC: closed all 20,000 at ~$90.63 avg. Realized about +$184K.13:43-13:45 UTC: opened a 5,000 HYPE short near $91.2, closed it by 14:12 for about +$3K.14:41 UTC: shorted 2,000 HYPE near $91.1, closed at ~$94.47 at 15:12 for about -$6.7K.15:12 UTC: same minute, flipped to a NEW long: 10,000 HYPE at ~$94.59 avg, ~$946K notional, 10x cross. Started from a flat position.Still open at 16:45 UTC: mark ~$95.80, unrealized about +$12.1K. It also closed a long in xyz:PURRDAT, a trade.xyz market on Hyperliquid, for about +$44.7K today. Context, not cause: today is the day ICE (the NYSE owner) announced a deal with Trade[XYZ] to bring Hyperliquid-based perps into a US-regulated venue, pending approvals. On Hyperliquid, HYPE went from ~$79.3 (09:00 UTC hourly close) to a $97.11 high in the 16:00 UTC hour. Mark ~$95.6 vs ~$79.8 a day earlier. Funding is about 4x the base rate. I am not saying the news is why this wallet traded. Read the tape honestly: the big profit came off the Oct 27 position. The re-entry is half the size, about $4 above where it sold and $13 above its Oct 27 entry. The two shorts in between show this is an active trader, not a set-and-forget holder. Not a bot: in the last 7 days it only traded on Oct 27, 28 and 29. Before that, nothing since Sep 3. Market check (Binance spot, 16:44 UTC): $BTC ~$81.45K (+1.2% 24h). $ETH ~$2,360 (+1.2%). On TradeAssi I'm following this wallet with whale alerts, to see whether it holds the new long or flips again. Would you buy back ~$4 above your own exit after banking +11%, or wait for a pullback? Not financial advice. This is what the tracker saw, not a trade signal. #WhaleAlert #Hyperliquid #HYPE Source: https://tradeassi.com/en/alerts
NYSE owner ICE signs deal to bring Hyperliquid-based perps to the US. What is done, what is pending
The company that owns the New York Stock Exchange just put its name on Hyperliquid. It is a signed agreement, not a rumor. But the US product does not exist yet. What was announced (ICE press release, Thu Oct 29, 7:25 AM ET): ICE and Trade[XYZ] signed a definitive agreement to bring Trade[XYZ]'s perpetual markets onshore in the US.Trade[XYZ] runs stock, index, commodity and FX perps on Hyperliquid for non-US users, 24/7.ICE will exclusively operate a new regulated retail market and clearing structure "built on Hyperliquid".ICE is taking a strategic minority stake in Trade[XYZ]. Terms not disclosed.Access would be KYC/AML only, through futures brokers (FCMs) that join the platform. Distribution is expected via ICE's joint venture with OKX.CEO Jeffrey Sprecher: perps are "additive to our futures markets, not a replacement for them." What is still pending: Regulatory approvals, including approvals needed for leveraged trading. CoinDesk reports CFTC approval is required.No launch date, no product list, no eligibility details yet.The ICE-OKX joint venture still needs its own approvals. Why traders care: Crypto perps trade mostly on offshore venues US users cannot access. Hyperliquid itself is geofenced in the US.Per CoinDesk, Trade[XYZ]'s Hyperliquid markets have done over $650B in volume in about a year. The tape (Hyperliquid data, numbers only): $HYPE 09:00 UTC hourly close ~79.3. The 10:00 UTC hour hit 86.3; the press release crossed at 11:25 UTC.High so far: 97.11 in the 16:00 UTC hour. Mark ~95.6 at 16:44 UTC vs ~79.8 a day earlier.HYPE funding about 4x the base rate.$BTC ~81,450 (+1.2% 24h), $ETH ~2,360 (+1.2%), Binance spot 16:44 UTC. That is a snapshot, not proof of cause. My take: the signature is real, the product is not yet. The next hard signal is a regulator approval, not another headline. Would you trade perps on a US-regulated venue built on Hyperliquid, or stay on the onchain version? Source: https://tradeassi.com/en/news/062a559b-bc4a-4991-920b-ebfa9ce7dfcd Not financial advice. DYOR.
ETH heads for its worst October since 2018 while ETF money and old whales lean on it
ETH is having a rough month, and the flows explain a lot of it. The tape (Binance spot, 14:13 UTC Oct 29): ETH 2,326.9, down 0.2% in 24h24h range 2,293 to 2,391Oct 1 open was 2,686, so ETH is down about 13% on the month30-day low 2,282 (Oct 24), 30-day high 2,777 (Oct 2)ETH/BTC 0.02896, near the 30-day low of 0.02875 printed today (0.0320 a month ago)Hyperliquid ETH funding at base rate, no crowded leverage News context from TradeAssi briefs: https://tradeassi.com/en/news/2921adc5-45a6-493c-8006-2001791561c4 https://tradeassi.com/en/news/2a15d9ba-619d-422f-ba13-613e86deea7d https://tradeassi.com/en/news/aadee862-2aa8-48a8-8f7c-a18f29b7f199 https://tradeassi.com/en/news/629900bc-e277-46fb-addd-d8808abaa317 What the briefs say: US spot Ether ETFs lost about 170M in three days, dormant early whale wallets woke up, and one tracker counts about 160,000 ETH (348M) of whale selling. My take: this is a relative-strength problem more than a crash. The latest daily ETF print had Bitcoin funds taking in about 137M while Ether funds lost about 21M, and ETH/BTC keeps grinding lower. With the Fed on hold yesterday and two votes for a hike, macro is no help. What would change my mind: ETF flows flipping positive for a few days, or ETH/BTC reclaiming 0.0295. Reference levels only, not a plan: Below: 2,293 (24h low), then 2,282 (30-day low)Above: 2,391 (24h high), then the 2,450 area (Oct 20 close) I use TradeAssi price alerts on ETH near 2,282 and 2,391 so the range does the watching, not me. Question: is this rotation into BTC or the start of a real ETH capitulation? Not financial advice. DYOR. #ETH #Ethereum #ETF #Whales #CryptoMarket
Peer opened an Alipay lane for USDC on Base. Alipay shut the door in a day. Who blinks next?
107 orders. About 7.1K dollars. 45 buyers since Aug 21. A tiny pipe, and Alipay still came out within a day to say "not us." That speed says more than the volume. What happened Peer, a P2P app, announced a beta where you buy USDC on Base by paying a seller in yuan through Alipay, or sell USDC and get paid in yuan on Alipay. Peer says the USDC sits locked onchain and releases once the payment verifies, so nobody sends first.Peer itself says there is no official partnership with Alipay.On Oct 28 Alipay posted, in Chinese and English, that it does not support crypto trading, that third-party claims of an Alipay crypto on-ramp are false and unauthorized, and told users to watch their accounts and funds. My take This is not a "China opens up" story. It is a reminder of where P2P risk really sits. The smart contract escrow can be clean, but the fiat leg runs on a payment app that has long said it blocks crypto activity. If an account gets flagged, the contract cannot help you. Seller risk moves from "will they send" to "will my payment account survive." Flip side: demand for stablecoin access is not going away. A 7K pipe is a test, not a market. Watch whether Peer drops the Alipay label or lets it grow. Tape check (Binance spot, 02:10 UTC Oct 29, reference only) BTC 80,037, down 1.1% on 24h, low 79,883ETH 2,310, down 1.9% on 24hUSDC/USDT 1.0010, flat No visible market reaction. This is a rails story, not a price catalyst. Question for you: would you route a stablecoin buy through a payment app that has publicly said it does not want you there? Or is P2P with escrow good enough if the size stays small? I track stories like this in the TradeAssi news feed, which sorts crypto headlines by impact and sentiment. Source: https://tradeassi.com/en/news/d9db434e-6038-4bd9-a287-efacd3505940 Also: https://tradeassi.com/en/news/fc63416e-7eb7-44eb-8023-5681efe13711 Not financial advice. DYOR. #Stablecoins #USDC #P2P #Alipay #CryptoNews
Fed holds at 3.75%-4% in a 10-2 vote, two officials wanted a hike: what crypto traders watch next
The Fed just kept rates where they are. But the vote was not unanimous, and both dissenters wanted to go higher, not lower. What happened (Fed statement, Wed Oct 28, 2 PM ET): The FOMC held the federal funds target range at 3.75% to 4.00%.Vote: 10-2. Governor Lisa Cook and Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack preferred a 25 bp hike.The statement says economic activity is "expanding at a strong pace", up from "solid" in September, and that inflation "remains elevated".Key line: "the accumulation of more information will help the Committee determine the policy stance appropriate".Context from the coverage: the Fed hiked 12-0 in September, its first hike since 2023. CME FedWatch had a hold at roughly 90% before the release, so the decision itself was no surprise. Why it matters for crypto: The surprise, if any, is the hawkish tilt. Two votes for a hike keep a December move on the table. Pre-decision pricing put December hike odds above 70%, per Decrypt.Higher policy rates keep Treasury yields high, and that competes with non-yielding assets like $BTC for capital.The data calendar now matters more than the meeting: October jobs on Nov 6, October CPI on Nov 10, then the Dec 8-9 meeting with new projections. What the tape did (Binance spot, 5-minute bars, numbers only): $BTC: 80,860 before the release, then an 18:00 UTC bar that swung from 80,722 to 81,186 and closed at 80,959.At 19:42 UTC: $BTC 81,319 (+0.7% 24h, range 80,397 to 81,823), $ETH 2,363 (+0.6%), $SOL 102.41 (+1.2%). A quick two-way wick and then drift. That is a snapshot, not proof of cause. Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference followed at 2:30 PM ET. This post sticks to the written statement. My take: a hold that two officials voted against is not a dovish hold. For crypto, the next real test is Nov 6 and Nov 10, not today. Are you positioned for a December hike, or betting the data cools first? Source: https://tradeassi.com/en/news/027a3672-b6c6-474a-87d8-5c09b177777f Not financial advice. DYOR.
Hyperliquid whale #9 on our tracker banked ~$3.45M on ZEC. Now it opened a fresh ZEC long
A Hyperliquid wallet ranked #9 on the TradeAssi whale leaderboard had not traded since Oct 8. Today it came back, and the first thing it bought was $ZEC. The same coin that made most of its money. What TradeAssi's whale tracker caught (wallet 0xa516...37b0, ~$3.43M total PnL per the tracker): Market: ZEC perp on Hyperliquid.Before: no open positions. Its last fill was an ETH long close on Oct 8.14:25 UTC today: 30.72 ZEC bought at ~$1,269.5, starting from zero. About $39K. 16:38 UTC: added 11.52 ZEC at ~$1,269. Result: 42.24 ZEC long, ~$53.6K notional, avg entry ~$1,269.40, 10x cross.At ~16:40 UTC: ZEC mark ~$1,269.5, so it is basically flat. Why this wallet is worth watching: in its public fills it bought about 3,200 ZEC near $628 on Aug 21 and closed a ZEC long near $1,452 on Sep 17, booking roughly $3.45M of realized profit on ZEC. A quick ZEC trade on Oct 1-2 made another ~$11K. Its ETH, SOL and HYPE trades lost money. Be honest about size: this is a small bet for this wallet. The account is only ~$54K now (it was ~$82K a month ago), so the whale is mostly a track record here, not a giant position. Context: ZEC is -3.3% over 24h on Binance spot (range 1,265 to 1,331). Euronext restarted CoinShares' Zcash ETP today after a debut-day halt. I'm not saying that is why it bought. Not a bot: only 11 fills in the last 14 days, all today. Older activity comes in bursts (Aug, mid-Sep, Oct 1-8). Market check: $BTC ~$80.5K (-0.2% 24h). $ETH ~$2,332 (-0.8%). Binance, 16:40 UTC, a few hours before the Fed decision. On TradeAssi I'm following this wallet with whale alerts, to see whether it keeps adding to $ZEC or closes it fast like on Oct 2. Same old ZEC playbook, or is the wallet just testing the water before the Fed? Not financial advice. This is what the tracker saw, not a trade signal. #WhaleAlert #Hyperliquid #ZEC Source: https://tradeassi.com/en/alerts