燕趙俠客

🔥🚀 $BTC Path to $100k: FOMC Done, BTC Saved by T-Bills… But What’s Coming Next? 🔥🚀 Guys finally fomc done and like I said before, I didn’t want to write any deep breakdown before the meeting because Powell’s tone always decides the next move more than any chart. Now everything is clear — the Fed made it straight yesterday that the next rate cut fully depends on incoming data, nothing guaranteed. The first key data is the November CPI, expected around ~3.0% YoY, and it will be published Dec 18. That’s cooling, not hot. Then we have the November Jobs data, with unemployment estimated around ~4.44% and private models already showing job losses. Overall the data looks soft, which is exactly what the Fed needs if they even think about cutting again. But timing matters. The Fed historically never cuts in January because there’s no meeting. The next FOMC meeting is February 2026, and for that they need continuous soft data for at least 3 months, not just one report. So November, December, and January prints will decide if a February cut is real. And about btc — the reason we didn’t break $88k was not magic. The FOMC statement included a plan to restart short-term T-bill buying for reserve management, and that liquidity hint helped calm markets and slow the selloff. Without that signal, the 88k sweep was almost confirmed. BTC can still dip below 88k short term, but based on the cooling macro data, breaking major structure ($84k-$80k) is less likely unless inflation turns hot again. Now the big question — any Christmas gift? Honestly yes, if CPI comes soft and jobs stay weak, a holiday push is possible. In that case btc reclaiming 94k–96k is normal and a move toward $100k is possible before the year ends. Soft macro data always reduces downside pressure. So next few days matter the most. If the soft trend continues, February ratecut becomes a real window. If data flips hot, Fed waits. For now btc is stable because macro is cooling and the Fed isn’t in aggressive mode. $TRUST $JELLYJELLY #WriteToEarnUpgrade #USJobsData #CPIWatch