林听论币

Binance chatroom allows direct communication with Lin Ting
1. Open the Binance APP, type "chatroom" in the top search bar, and click to enter the feature;
2. Once in the chatroom, find the "+" button in the top right corner and select the "Add Friend" option;
3. In the friend search box, accurately enter my exclusive chat ID: 9nnwkbt. After hitting search, you'll find me and can send a friend request to start interacting! $BTC

The big event is coming! After BTC fails to break 116,000 three times, a major drop is inevitable!

1 BTC attempted to reach a peak of 116,000 for the second time without breaking it, and will test the bottom near 105,000 again; it has now entered a downtrend;

2 After dropping to around 105,000, it will rebound again to around 115,000, forming the third peak at 116,000;

3 If it fails to break 116,000 three times, there will be a significant drop below 100,000, testing the bottom near 90,000;

4 100,000 is likely not the bottom, and it may very well drop to around 90,000.

The BTC trend has also been exactly as expected. Of course, we also pointed out entering at the current price around 76,400. Over these past two days, we kept seeing price move near new highs. Ultimately, there was an acceleration and the price directly reached the area around the new high.

Here, this can be considered the pressure line level from recent times. If, at high levels, it continues to trade sideways and oscillate, it may form a pattern of going sideways instead of dropping (a “sideways-drift-to-drop” alternative), then build up energy and break through the previous high in one push. So the next target is 85,000. That’s why the long position is basically locked in—about 5,000 points worth. Continue to take profit in batches. If you want to hold with a bigger mindset, just keep a portion of the position.

For the short term, we won’t consider going short. It’s very clear: if bad news doesn’t push the price down, then it should go up.

And we also said the next two months are a “vacuum period.” Without negative news and with the price in an uptrend, you should give up on shorting.

Rate hikes are coming, and the ‘pushing-from-behind’ feeling in the chart is a bit strong. 76,400 is publicly going long now, and it has already moved out more than 4,000 points of space. BlackRock is the leading big player on the BTC buy-side! The bears have been pinned down and rubbed on the ground. BTC could potentially keep rising to around 82,000! Rate hikes can’t stop Bitcoin’s upward move!

Everyone keeps saying the long position will take off—at least it’s up near the new high. 76,400 is trading at a current price where you’re making a fortune, and now it’s above 80k. You’re up more than 4,000 points in anger. Even bearish news can’t drag it down. What else are you expecting to make it fall? Even if it’s going to drop, it goes down before the news is even released. It just keeps ranging, waiting for the news to land—and when the bearish news lands, it turns into good news.

Btc yesterday signaled an entry for long positions around 76,400. It has already captured about 2,000 points in profit; you can set a breakeven stop-loss strategy. In addition, the price action has already bounced back from the support area. Once the overhead resistance line is broken, it should at least move toward the previous high area, so you can set a breakeven stop-loss strategy as well. $AAPLB

Btc has already moved out over a thousand points of space; of course, this is only the beginning. Even when bad-news headlines came out, it didn’t drop—after the move, it became positive. So let’s look for a round of a major rebound; the target is to focus on the area near the recent highs!

The bearish BTC news has materialized. The rate hike of 25 basis points didn’t cause a breakdown below the key support level. Mainly, the market had already digested it in advance, because this rate hike was essentially a done deal, and there are still a few more hikes. If another rate hike happens, the market could take off; in the dot plot, there is also another hike, which is in line with expectations.

Overall, it suggests that in the short term it probably won’t fall. You can enter long around the current price of 76k, and just keep a spot for adding to your position. In the short term, expect a rebound move. $NVDAB

Gold sharply surged and then reversed lower, keeping a bearish view for the short term

Yesterday, gold printed a “spike up and then fall back” type of move. Gold opened around 4348.5 USD. After a gap down lower at the start of the morning, it bounced up to around 4355.3 USD but met resistance and rolled over. During the Asian and European sessions, gold continued to fall. In the US session, it dropped sharply to a low near 4253.7 USD. It then stopped falling and rebounded, finally closing at around 4298.7 USD. The daily candle formed a very long lower-shadow bearish (middle) candle. After such a pattern completes, today’s gold rebound should continue to be sold short, with room and demand for further downside.

Today, watch the overhead resistance around 4340 USD. If price rebounds and stays below this resistance, look for shorts again. On the downside, watch support above 4250 USD. Pay attention to demand for a rebound at this support area.

From a technical perspective, on the 4-hour timeframe, price has been grinding lower with bearish sentiment remaining strong. The low came near 4253. The rebound has looked feeble; every minor upswing invites fresh selling pressure, indicating the market rhythm has shifted toward the bears. However, the US session in the evening saw an unexpected rebound attempt. At the same time, the heavy pressure zone above remains around 4340. Therefore, in the short term, gold can consider shorting first around 4330–4340, targeting around 4260, with a stop loss at 4350.$NVDAB

Bitcoin is forming a wedge-shaped oscillation range: the highs are gradually moving down, the lows are slowly rising, and trading volume is steadily shrinking—soon, a directional breakout is likely. The 4-hour K-line pattern shows bearish signals, and the strength of the rebound from the bulls is insufficient.

At the moment, the market on the larger timeframe has not entered the initial “rally” phase. In all likelihood, it will continue to exhibit a choppy and winding consolidation pattern. Even if a rebound occurs, it shouldn’t be overly optimistic. If the rebound fails to gain traction, there remains the risk of another round of downside probing.

Short-term decisive level: 62000 (early-August low)
Below target: 61500—this level is packed with liquidity. The main force has a motive to dip lower and harvest liquidity;
Upper resistance: 64500–65400

If price cannot hold above 64500, the market will move downward, looking toward the 61000 liquidity zone. The main force will likely probe down to 61000 to harvest liquidity. After triggering and completing a stop-out/false breakdown, it will then kick off the rebound. Only if selling pressure on the downside gradually weakens, and bullish buying volume expands with bullish (green) candles—and there is a pattern where a breakdown is quickly recovered—will price come closer to the bottom range. #美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉

Bitcoin, the trend is still unchanged. I still believe this is a transitional bottom.

As long as there is no extreme structural collapse, around 5.8 is my assessment of this round’s bottom zone. $NVDAB

Bitcoin is forming a rising pennant consolidation, with higher lows being built continuously!

This is not a continuation of a drop—it’s strength being accumulated before the rally!

A pullback isn’t a reason to panic; it’s an opportunity to add to your position!$

Recently the cake-biscuit’s trend has been fairly circuitous; posting has also clearly seen a drop in traffic. It’s possible that many people are no longer paying much attention to the big cake-biscuit. On the board, most activity is market makers trading back and forth, with extremely weak liquidity, and the choppy range looks rather boring.

Looking back at the previous cycle, before the sharp surge there was also a stretch when volume was sluggish and nobody cared.

Even if you don’t trade frequently, during this time you still need to keep staring at the chart. Only by staying attentive do you have a chance to board at the low point of the cycle with suitable positions.

The less people are watching, the more you should look; when nobody is willing to buy, that’s often the opportunity.

At this stage, the Fibonacci box support in the 64476‑64179 range is still valid. If it pulls back into the range, you can consider accumulating on dips (low buys).

At this stage, the outlook is no longer bearish. For the short term, the target is first to look toward around 67000.

After volume picks up, confirm the direction again. Most likely, after a retest/pullback, the trend will still be upward.

The Upward Move Is Confirmed—The Bullish Structure Is Fully Unlocked

In trading, what is most valuable is never a sudden, explosive surge, but rather identifying and securing key levels in advance and then waiting for the market to validate itself.

Yesterday’s bullish outlook played out perfectly. In the evening session, the price action delivered as expected—breaking through the key resistance at 64744. This breakout is not merely a short-term upward push. It signals that the choppy consolidation and washout are over, and the market structure has returned to bullish control. At the time, it was clearly judged: the bulls’ offensive is firmly stabilized.

Once a trend is established, momentum is bound to continue. Today, Monday during the Asian session, the market followed through with the bullish momentum. Prices climbed steadily, reaching 65722—fully fulfilling the breakout logic. Congratulations to those who held to the long-side rhythm and traded in line with the trend; your patience has paid off.

Current price has pulled back to the 65300 level. This is a healthy technical retracement after the breakout. Strong market moves are never a straight-line climb. After a breakout, a modest pullback is the standard market behavior: flushing out excess positions and gathering energy for a second push. This does not indicate trend weakness.

The core logic right now is very clear: the trend remains bullish without change. Just guard one key watershed level: the 65000 mark. As long as the Asian session does not effectively break below this level, the bullish structure remains intact. After that, the market should continue its pattern of consolidation and upward movement.

Upward, stage-wise resistance levels are locked in as follows:
First target: 66900 — prior swing high
Second target: 67500 — trend pressure level

Stay in rhythm and wait for the second rally to be realized.

This upward trend exactly follows expectations. It’s right at the middle rail of the channel. Take partial profits here; the rest can continue to be held with a wait-and-see outlook.

btc at the doorstep of breaking out but still no breakthrough. With the additional sell pressure around 67k, the longs can’t push any higher, so only the downward direction is possible. The market conveniently is pulling back to the lower boundary of the channel to consolidate; 4-hour support is at 63.8k. The upward move over the weekend is very likely to continue into Monday’s session.

I think it’s a good time to set up a long order in advance—watching 66k.

Bitcoin outlook: bulls maintain an advantage, while bears are relatively weak

(1) The daily-level rebound is accompanied by a modest increase in trading volume, but the overall volume is still far below the annual average.
(2) Bear volume is very weak. Although bull volume has the upper hand, the price is about to reach the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level shown in the chart below—i.e., the rebound will likely reach the prior high near 67,500.
(3) On the 4-hour timeframe, bull volume shows some weakening and there is a mild volume-price divergence, which is a potential downside risk for the next rebound.

Overall view: The rebound with increased volume appears effective, but volume momentum has not fully faded yet. The 67–68K resistance zone is likely to be tested.

My personal projection is that the BTC price will rebound to around 67,500, where there will very likely be a small pullback downward. However, the downside room is limited because bear volume is simply too weak.

As expected! The air force avoids its edge of attack; both the short and long cycles have broken through entirely, with cycle resonance. Combined with the easing of the U.S.-Iran situation, we now need to prepare for talks + a ceasefire.

On the market, the 4-hour signals show an oscillating upward trend, with the lows steadily rising. At present, it has already broken through the upper boundary of the big channel. For now, it looks like it will test the previous segment high in the 67K range with a consolidation-up move. If it breaks above 67K, it will be time to attack 70K. With timing, location, and favorable conditions all aligned, the bulls surge. The main force is stepping in now—right now.

Margin is still available online! Clear thinking, and keep scaling up.