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Binance has launched US stocks; did you really buy the right ones?

You can now buy US stocks on Binance, but many folks are confused about what they're actually buying.

Though they all go by "US stocks," there are actually three completely different products on Binance —

Pre-IPO perpetual contracts ($SPCX, $OPENAI, $ANTHROPIC) — Your funds stay on Binance, and you're buying contracts, not actual equity. The price tracks company valuations, and if the company issues more shares, the contract dips — it’s not that your asset shrinks, but the reference price changes.

Ondo tokenized stocks ($NFLXon, $JPMon, etc.) — Ondo Finance uses your funds to purchase real US stocks and then issues on-chain tokens as proof. There’s real asset backing, but you hold tokens, not stocks; if Ondo hits a snag, the tokens could go to zero.

Binance Stocks (the in-app stock section) — This is the closest to real US stocks. Orders are routed through Nest Trading to Alpaca Securities (a licensed broker by the US SEC/FINRA), executed on NYSE/Nasdaq, and you’re the beneficial owner, eligible for dividends. It also offers bStocks on-chain versions, allowing for 24/7 trading and self-custody.

Risk Control:
Pre-IPO contracts → purely synthetic, no assets, highest risk

Ondo RWA → backed by real assets, reliant on intermediaries

Binance Stocks → closest to real US stocks, assets held with Alpaca

Same platform, three products, completely different risk structures.
Make sure you know which entry point you’re clicking on before buying.
#bStocks officially launched

Polymarket is coming—but not the one you think.

Binance Wallet is about to launch Pre-Access, and the first listing points to Polymarket. A contract called $pPOLY on BSC was deployed 11 days ago.

But first, let’s make this clear—this is not POLY the stock, and it’s not an official token.

It’s an indirect pre-IPO exposure made by Paimon: no voting rights, no dividend rights, and no direct claim against Polymarket.

Binance Wallet is just the entry point; it doesn’t issue or manage the asset.

A few key numbers:

Total supply: ~320,000 tokens. Subscription price: $15.5. Fundraising cap: 5 million U. Implied valuation: ~15.5 billion USD

It’s almost the same as the valuation implied by Polymarket’s funding round in April this year.

But the IPO order book on Predict tells a different story:

Listing in 2026: ~3%—almost nobody believes it

Listed by the end of 2027: ~50%—50/50

The market is willing to price in another round of funding, but it doesn’t think it will truly list anytime soon.

One side is “trade tickets” packaged as a pre-IPO product; the other side is the prediction market pricing in “whether it will list or not.”

The two order books are looking at different things. If you want to participate, first figure out whether you’re buying exposure—or betting on timing.

@predictdotfun-华语 @predictdotfun-华语

Will Polymarket actually issue tokens? This question has been asked for a year.

In October 2025, the founder hinted at a Solana address. The CMO said on a podcast, "There will be tokens, and there will be airdrops"—and then nothing happened.

This year in February, the parent company filed a POLY trademark. In July, they hired people to work on tokenomics models. Later, the负责人 was reportedly leaving the company.

The direction is actually not hard to read: Polymarket is now moving toward building compliant financial infrastructure—acquiring licensed markets, entering the ICE strategic investment, and strengthening compliance and risk control.

Compared with issuing a governance token, partnering for an IPO and with traditional finance is clearly higher priority.

Tokens would make the structure more complicated, so they’ve been pushed further back.

But there’s also no evidence that they’ve completely abandoned it. The trademark is still there, and early-funding token warrant options are still there too.

On Predict, the market odds are more direct than any analysis:

Token issuance by the end of 2026: about 6%—almost nobody believes it

By the end of June 2027: about 30%—a few people are still betting

One more thing to clarify: the $pPOLY on Binance Wallet and PancakeSwap recently is not an official Polymarket token.

That is Paimon’s pre-IPO indirect exposure. It has no voting rights and no dividend rights—don’t mix them up.

Do you think Polymarket will issue tokens?

@Predictdotfun

PONS is finally starting to dip.

But the core issue isn’t that the story has gone wrong—it’s that the books are starting to be balanced.

It’s a launcher on the Robinhood chain. Over the past 30 days, the fee revenue has reached the hundred-million scale. Daily revenue has been seen ranging from several hundred thousand to one or two million.

A portion of it goes straight to buybacks and burns—this is real money backing it up.

If you’ve played on-chain for long enough, you’ll develop a certain judgment: the ones that can make it through this cycle—$HYPE, Lighter, and $UNI—share one common trait: high revenue.

Who can keep making money is the one who has the right to be repeatedly repriced.

Pure narrative trading is lively for a while and then disperses; only the cash-cow plays get slammed and then taken up again.

So the focus isn’t on any single red candle.

Check whether the fees are still there, whether buybacks are still there, and whether the supply/share has fallen.

If those things drop, no matter how loud the narrative gets, it won’t matter. If they’re still there, selling pressure is often just switching hands.

On Predict, some people are already setting the FDV for PONS before November. The 700 million tier is currently the most hotly disputed spot.

Spot trading reflects current sentiment, while the prediction market trades whether it can continue to be treated as a cash cow.

The two are not looking at the same thing.

Prophet Challenge Day 4: out of 100 people, only 98 are still on the field.

Only 25 people are making money, while 73 are losing. There are already 36 accounts below 10 U—nearly 40%, and they’ve basically been eliminated in advance.

#1 @Franky7 with 455 U: starting from 100 U, they’ve grown to 4.5x, and their win rate is so ridiculously high that it’s basically built on trading the event bracket.

#2 @oooodjdjd with 282 U.

#3 @GuHype fell from 411 down to 250 U.

The most real conclusion for Day 4 is:
The people who died in the bracket’s $BTC five-minute up/down trade on Day 1 were already carried out long ago.

Those who are still here and continuing upward are all people who’ve been deeply working the event bracket, with consistently stable win rates.

The most reliable approach is actually the least human: do nothing.

If you’re given 100 U and you do nothing at all, chances are you’ll still be in the top 50.

But people have two hearts: one is greed, and one is unwillingness.

So nobody can truly just sit still.

Going all-in on the short-term can get you to the top overnight, but it can also wipe you out overnight.

If someone can take 100 U and grow it and still be alive, it’s because of their choices and rhythm—not because of one single all-in.

There are 10 more days, and the leaderboard will keep changing. What do you think the account of the final #1 will be?

You can still make money watching games on the weekend—Predict has launched a football event again.
A 10,000 USDT prize pool. The gameplay is the same as the World Cup setup: lock in 5 match tickets—place your bet on which game you think will go your way in advance. Weekend games are settled by final standings, and the prize is split based on results.
There are two days left until the matches. The market is already open, and the earlier you lock your position, the better the locking price.
If you don’t want to watch a 5-minute short-term trade, this match-by-match locking format is much steadier—place your bet and then go watch the games. Come back on Monday to check the results.
You can find it in the Predict “Match Weekend” page.
Which match are you betting on this weekend?

Predict Oracle Challenge Day 1: Out of 100 people, 15 have already been eliminated.

With 100 USDT principal, on Day 1 some people managed to reach 172%, while others went straight to zero.

Almost all of the ones who went to zero did the same kind of move—going all-in on the $BTC 5-minute trading range.

That 5-minute range is just like this: it can double instantly, or wipe you out instantly.

The winners think they’re geniuses; the losers don’t even get time to react.

Day 1 settlement: 35 people made money, 48 lost money, and 15 people’s principal was wiped out immediately.

The remaining 85 continue.

The top spots on the leaderboard change very quickly—those who go all-in come in hard and leave just as fast.

The best part of this competition is this—not who can turn the most in a single day, but who can survive through the first week.

Those who can stay steady are likely the ones who diversify their positions and don’t all-in on a single market.

Just check the leaderboard every day: who enters the top ten, who gets washed out by the 5-minute range— the leaderboard won’t lie.

So what do you think the final first-place return rate will be?

Predict to give you money to play, and you don’t even play?

This time it’s different

It’s not asking you to top up—it’s giving you money.

For 100 people, each starts with 100 USDT. See who can earn the most over 14 days.

No adding to the position—only use the 100 U provided by the official.

The only thing you can rely on is your judgment.

The prizes are straightforward:
1st place: 1000 U,
2nd place: 800 U,
3rd place: 500 U,
4th–10th places: 200 U each

Even if you don’t win, this 100 U is still yours to use as principal after it’s used up.

There’s one tough rule: you must trade every day + post your trading performance once on X or Binance Square.

If you miss updates continuously for more than the allowed protection times, you’ll be eliminated immediately.

This effectively turns your “private play” into a “public competition”—every step of your actions will be watched.

In prediction markets, position sizing is an opinion. This time, it’s making those opinions public and comparing who can truly turn judgment into money.

Registration closes on September 16. There are 100 spots—apply early if you want to go.

How much do you think you can turn 100 U into in 14 days?

$MARSCOIN The FDV is now a little over 200 million, but on Predict people are already betting whether it can reach 1 billion.

What makes this coin interesting has never been the fundamentals, but how high the narrative can stack.

It started as a Mars meme, then got listed on Binance Alpha,

then CZ publicly ranked its wallet as the number one "most likely to buy" probability,

and then holding it could also earn tokenized SpaceX stock.

Layer after layer, every narrative upgrade brings in another wave of people.

The current pricing on Predict is:

300 million: 59%, more than half think it can get there, only 50% away from the current price

400 million: 34%, one-third are betting on a double

500 million: 20%, a minority are betting on continued hype

1 billion: 8%, purely betting on conviction

Total volume is 2.3 million U, with settlement on October 1.

Buying the coin and buying the prediction market are two different plays.

Buying the coin means betting it will keep going up; buying the prediction means pricing where it can go. The odds are different, and so is the risk structure.

But underneath, it is the same question:

How far can this narrative still go?

Binance Wallet’s "Football Fever Season" profit trading competition is now live.

Prize pool: 100,000 USDT. The top 1,000 all get a share, and first place takes 10,000 U directly.

The odds for Manchester City vs Coventry have just opened — Coventry have just been promoted to the first division, and they’re heading to the Etihad for an away match. There’s plenty to bet on with this game.

There’s a window of opportunity right now: the event has just launched, participation is still low, and making just a few cents in positive profit on the leaderboard can put you near the top.

Once the event heats up, competition will only get tougher.

Most people end up losing. As long as you can make a positive profit, the odds of ranking in the top 1,000 are pretty good.

How to participate:
Binance App → Wallet home page event banner → Football Fever Season → Join now → Place an order under the Football tab

Remember: you must use a keyless wallet, complete registration before entering the event, and make sure you don’t choose the wrong section when placing an order.

Predict has turned US stocks into a 15-minute up/down trading board.

S&P 500 (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) are now directly tradable.

In the entire prediction market space, there isn’t a second one that has made US stocks at this level of granularity.

This isn’t just random new listings.

Previously, the 5-minute and 15-minute boards for $BTC accounted for more than half of the platform’s trading volume—users have already validated this high-frequency battle-style玩法.

Now, the same logic has been brought over to US stock indexes, and the board is immediately opened up by a whole chunk.

What’s even more interesting is the timing: crypto users are moving into stocks, and stock users are also moving onto-chain.

The sentiments and capital on both sides are converging, and an order book setup like SPY/QQQ is stuck right in the middle—people who understand US stocks have an edge in judgment, while people who are used to operating on-chain have an advantage in tools.

More underlying assets will be added going forward.

A 15-minute settlement cycle—if you want to play short-term cycles, you can go check the board now.

Predict 悄悄上线了开发者面板。

In the screenshot you can see: create an app, generate keys, check usage, view rate limits—everything is self-serve. No need to contact official support, no need to wait for approvals; you can go straight into the back office to operate.

This matters more than it looks.

If the prediction market is going to truly grow, you can’t rely on just placing orders via the website.

You need someone to build order-posting tools, someone to handle data aggregation, someone to build strategy API integrations—these things don’t fall from the sky; developers build them.

Previously, accessing the API required an approval process. Now it’s self-serve, and the barrier drops by a whole level.

The Builder Program has also been running continuously. People with development skills who join now are among the earliest cohorts.

For ordinary users, the significance of this update is: later on, more and more third-party tools will appear—better order-posting interfaces, more intuitive dashboards, and more worry-free strategy bots. These are the products of a developer ecosystem that keeps getting thicker.

“Ecosystem” may be a tired word, but the logic is real: if people build tools, the platform can develop real moat.

If you have development ability, go take a look now.

Predict starts recruiting part-time BD, and in less than a day we received over 200 applications.

In a bear market, most projects are cutting staff, but this one is hiring instead—showing that the platform truly has something to expand.

The job itself isn’t complicated: help the platform broaden its channels, attract real users, and drive trading volume. It’s results-oriented—base salary + commission + bonuses, with no rigid limits on headcount. If you can make it work, you’ll earn.

But I think there’s something even more worth highlighting.

For people who want to get into the crypto space but have average education or limited industry experience, this kind of role is actually a very realistic entry point.

It’s not that the pay is extremely high; it’s that during the process, you’ll learn the product inside and out. You’ll also build your own circle and network along the way.

These things don’t belong to Predict—they belong to you. You can take them with you to the next project.

Over 200 applications already tells us the competition is real. There will be pre-screening and interviews afterward—if you want to try, apply early.
@predictdotfun

Before, many people criticized that Predict’s liquidity is worse than Polymarket. This isn’t a smear—it’s just a fact.

This thread from Ahuang is a positive response—over the past month, he talked to a dozen-plus institutions market makers, and most of the major names in the crypto space are there.

Why does this matter?

The most direct user experience in prediction markets isn’t the UI or the event prize pool—it comes down to three things:

When you want to enter, are there enough counterparty orders?

When you want to exit, will you get eaten by slippage?

And whether the odds/price actually reflect the market’s consensus.

If these three aren’t done well, users try a few times and don’t come back.

My own recent experience has been very obvious—when I open the $BTC up/down market, it’s no longer “let’s see if there’s volume first before deciding whether to place an order.”

With the order book there, with volume there, and the bid-ask spread pushed down to 1¢—this is what a market that people can seriously trade should look like.

Of course, thicker BTC books don’t mean the whole site is automatically great; esports, sports, and long-tail events are still a different story in terms of depth.

But the direction is right.

Liquidity isn’t marketing language—it’s whether users are willing to put their next real chunk of money into the market.

This road is only just starting to look like it’s going somewhere.

$BTC reaching $1 million will happen far faster than everyone expects.

Not “it might reach”—but “it will reach faster than you think.”

But more worth discussing than the number itself is the logic behind what he said.

In the next decade, the best window for development is here for payments, AI, stablecoins, RWA, and tokenization of stocks—these foundational infrastructures.

People always overestimate what can be done in one year, but underestimate what can be done in ten.

On Binance bStocks, growth accelerated rapidly within just three months—that’s only the beginning.

CZ also specifically called out Hong Kong—plainly put: the financial advantages accumulated over decades there—capital, regulation, talent, liquidity, and global connectivity—if they’re gradually moved onto the chain, could enable a huge catch-up and even leap ahead. But the prerequisite is: don’t keep hesitating.

In summary, there’s only one judgment:
In the next ten years, more and more assets and financial infrastructure will migrate onto the chain.

This isn’t a prediction—it’s already happening.

A movie whose box office started from 7,000 tickets and then got memed into popularity—now its coin is listed on the chain with a market cap of 86 million.

Today it surged 62% in a single day. The number of token-holding addresses is nearly 50,000, and the liquidity is 2.8 million—this isn’t some small-time stunt; there are genuinely people buying.

The pricing on Predict is even more straightforward:

$100 million: 88%, basically a lock

$150 million: 66%, more than half believe it can reach that

$200 million: 32%, one-third are betting on a continued push

$100 million is just a step away. The market almost assumes it can get there—the real betting is on the higher tier after that.

The logic behind this coin has never been fundamentals; it’s emotion resonance. The film lives on through awkwardness and fan-made remixes, and the coin gets pumped by the same kind of community sentiment.

With the two stacked together, it goes beyond simply watching from the sidelines.

The straight line in the 7D chart says everything: the probability curve ramps up vertically right after the 28th.

Whether it continues to push higher or burns out here—already, the order book is pricing it in early.

On Xianyu, CZ’s signed copy of *Binance Life* has already been bid up to 4444 RMB per book!

Predict’s official community is now offering a free draw.

Not the regular edition—this is the CZ handwritten signed version, limited quantity, and the authentic copy can’t be bought in the market.

To participate, there’s only one step: join the Predict ZH official community, send the passphrase, and you’re done.

This is your last chance—drawing at 12:00 UTC+8 on August 30, ending tomorrow at noon.

There aren’t many people in the community right now; when you join, you’re competing with only a few.

The entrance is in the chat room!

Xianyu has a signed copy of "Binance Life" for 4444!\n\nNow you can enter a free giveaway in the Predict official group!\n\nNot the regular version\n\nIt’s the CZ personally signed version. The pirated copies being sold on Xianyu are everywhere.\n\nHow to participate is extremely simple:\n\nJoin the Predict ZH official Telegram group,\n\nSend the keyword “玩预测就来 predict.fun”, and you can enter the raffle.\n\nDraw time: August 30 at 12:00 UTC+8 — that’s tomorrow at noon.\n\nThere aren’t many participants in the group right now, so your chance of winning is higher than you think.\n\nEntry link is in the comments section.

Sun Yuchen pursues the return of a 30 million yuan betrothal gift, suing Jing Tian.

The story only broke as news last night, and Predict is already launching the corresponding market today—officials say the rule design took a full day, just to reduce settlement disputes.

Now more than 30,000 U has already poured in. The market pricing is:

No-dispute civil judgment: 56%—more than half of people believe this will end peacefully in the end

Sun Yuchen wins: 22%

Sun Yuchen loses: 20%

The probabilities of winning and losing are almost the same, suggesting that the people here also don’t know who will come out on top in this lawsuit.

The case is still stuck in the jurisdiction objection stage, and substantive hearings haven’t even started. The settlement timeline is set for 2028—this is a two-year-long market.

30 million yuan betrothal gift. The most controversial man in the crypto circle. A long, drawn-out legal battle.

Which outcome do you think it will end up with?

StandX has been getting more and more activity lately.

On Discord, people have started tracking role groups—save up and then raffle, one wave after another. The whole community is guessing whether the TGE is coming soon.

The MOD says they didn’t receive any notifications, but you know what they say—this kind of move should feel familiar, right?

The market has just started to warm up over the past few days, and this timing is pretty good. The community also has expectations—it's much better than during a bear market.

On Predict, people are already placing bets—after StandX launches for one day, how high can the FDV reach?

A trading volume of 2.2 million U shows this isn’t a dead-end order book; there’s real money inside.

The market’s current pricing is fairly conservative:

200 million: 46%,

400 million: 21%,

800 million: 12%,

and beyond that, the probability drops off a cliff.

Pre-market LBank points are hovering around 0.44U, but there’s a catch—the total points issued aren’t public. That doesn’t mean it’s a token, either. How much “fake” there is at this price nobody can say for sure.

I’ve got tens of thousands of points. In the group, someone says the points are so many they’re like fun beans.

If 0.44U is real, then that would be a whole different story.