kithe

The 5-minute predictions got taken down today 🤣

The top players are just too good.

I suggest adding a separate rewards leaderboard for 5-minute crypto predictions.

Keep it separate from the traditional predictions—that way, it’ll attract more people to play.

#BinancePick

Oh, I see Fomopoly still has a social campaign on Rarelist.

Total rewards: 2,000 USDT, plus whitelist spots and a token airdrop.

The top 20 split $1K, and ranks 20–100 split another $1K.

The top 50 get a free mint, and the top 300 get a DEAL airdrop.

Seems pretty generous. It started yesterday, but I couldn’t find when it ends.

The much-anticipated @fablesfi has launched

Locked up my alt for 6 months, haha. Wasn’t this thing supposed to be 0.1U per point—or was it 1U?

Why is it so garbage now? 🤣 Good thing I bailed as soon as they changed the rules.

That’s why projects that change their minds at the last minute are total scumbags. Once the hype dies down, they’re worth jack shit.

Go check if there’s enough wear.

Another one is shutting down—this time, it’s Echo.

A lot of people may not remember it.

It was a BTCFi project that brought Bitcoin to Aptos for lending and yield farming.

At its peak, around May and June last year,

more than $600 million was locked in its bridge, and its lending pools had nearly $300 million.

It was hacked in May this year, and never really recovered.

It was once a major artery of the Aptos ecosystem.

I wonder if $APT might be next?

Binance Square just got an upgrade!

Now you can earn trading rebates not only through content mining

Post as usual, and if your content performs well and gets quality engagement, you can also earn engagement rewards!

It kind of feels like getting paid twice a month on X

Get posting!

#币安广场内容挖矿

New on Plaza CreatorPad!

I knew it looked familiar—turns out it was @Nillion , the one that had its TGE last March.

As for the category, it’s in the privacy sector too!

Here’s a real story: did you see that wick at 10 a.m. yesterday? 😭

ETH plunged straight from 2,413 to 2,318 in an hour, then bounced right back to 2,380.

If you had a stop-loss set below, it was probably swept at the very bottom, and then you had to watch it climb back up.

It’s not bad luck—the problem is that everything on-chain is too transparent. Other people know your stop-loss and liquidation prices as well as you do.

Nillion’s approach to privacy is a little different from what came before.

Older privacy coins hide transfer amounts and who’s sending funds to whom.

Nillion hides what you “plan to do.”

Its core product, Covenants, lets you encrypt instructions like “sell if the price drops to X” and put them on-chain. Nobody can see them before they’re triggered, and once the price hits the target, they execute automatically.

A few practical use cases I can think of:
1. Hide your stop-loss so it can’t be hunted.
2. Seal auction bids so nobody can see them before the auction ends.
3. Schedule payments to transfer automatically at a set time.

The first version, Dusk, is already live on Ethereum mainnet—not a testnet.

But this is only the first of seven roadmap phases. For now, it only supports price- and time-based triggers. We’ll have to wait and see what the new version brings before the end of the year.

I picked up a little $NIL while I was at it—an old project with a new narrative. I’ll keep it on my watchlist for now 🤣

#nil $NIL @Nillion

Teachers, can you pass this follow task?

#创作者大奖

I followed with 30u yesterday, and it doubled today.

Feels great~ If you want to try it, you can test out copy trading in simulation mode.

Okay, okay, okay, playing secretly again, huh?

RVN has been consolidating between 0.00210 and 0.00250 since mid-September.
This morning, a 4H candle moved lower, reaching a low of 0.00197,
breaking below the 0.00200 support from mid-September.
Open interest actually increased by over 20% during the drop, and the number of long accounts is also rising.
The funding rate is only slightly negative, so plenty of traders are buying the dip.
I’m bearish and will wait for a rebound to the breakdown area before taking action:

Entry: 0.00206–0.00212
Stop loss: 0.00218
Take profit: 0.00190 / 0.00180
If the 4H candle closes back above 0.00215, I’ll no longer be short.

Personal opinion only. This is not investment advice.

$RVN

TIA is up more than 20%, but more and more traders are piling in to short it. Since last night, it’s surged from 0.48 to 0.633, leaving behind the 0.53 area it failed to break through on both 9/23 and 10/9, and reaching its highest level since last December. Open interest is up nearly 30%, while the long/short account ratio has fallen from 1.4 to below 1, and the funding rate is still flat. I’m not chasing it—I’ll wait for a pullback to 0.555–0.575 to enter, with a stop at 0.524. First target is 0.66, then 0.70. If a 4H candle closes back below 0.53, I’m wrong.

Personal opinion only, not investment advice.

$TIA

I’m not entering MAGIC at this level; I want to wait for a lower price.

Yesterday morning it surged to 0.1639, then a single 4H candle in the afternoon knocked it down to 0.098. Since then, the high of each 4H candle has been lower, and it’s now at 0.0982. The funding rate is still negative, so short positions are paying, but open interest has already fallen by more than half from its peak—it looks like both sides are pulling out. I want to wait for it to return to around 0.080, a level where it paused during the rally on the evening of 10/9.

Entry: 0.0785–0.0815
Stop-loss: 0.0725
Take-profit: 0.095 / 0.105
If a 4H candle closes below 0.074, I’ll skip this trade.

These are just my personal views, not investment advice.

$MAGIC

During the hour starting at 23:00 last night, MBL surged from 0.000758 to 0.001381. It’s now at 0.000947, giving back most of its gains.

Each rebound since then has been lower than the last: 0.001260, 0.001100, and 0.001060, with volume also declining. After such a sharp rally, I’d rather see it return to its previous trading range, where it moved sideways at 0.000720–0.000860 for the three weeks before that.

I’ll wait for it to return to 0.000850–0.000880 before adding a little spot. That was the high it failed to break through several times in late September. I’ll keep the position small, set a stop-loss at 0.000805, and look first for 0.000980, then 0.001100. If a 4H candle closes below 0.000810, I’m out.

Just my personal opinion, not investment advice.

$MBL

Came across some data: the exchange balance for $BTC has dropped another notch.

Put simply, coins have been withdrawn from the exchange.

Where they went, we don’t know. Could be a cold wallet, could be institutional custody—either way, they’re no longer sitting on the order books.

You can’t call this bullish based on that move alone.

But when you look at it alongside the recent activity on the ETF front, it gets interesting.

On one side, ETFs are gradually absorbing supply; on the other, coins are being withdrawn on-chain.

Both sides are taking coins off the market.

Whether prices react right away in the short term is hard to say.

But at least it suggests that people looking to sell aren’t as eager as they were before.

If you’re keeping an eye on things, watch whether exchange balances keep falling or start flowing back in.

If they keep falling, coins really are being locked up.

If they flow back in, then all this excitement was for nothing.

I’m personally leaning positive, but I’m not rushing to chase it.

I just saw some data: $ETH ’s exchange balance has fallen to its lowest level in years.

Put simply, there are fewer coins sitting on exchanges ready to be sold.

That doesn’t necessarily mean prices will rise right away, but it does show one thing: quite a few people have withdrawn their coins and aren’t planning to sell at this price.

They may be staking them, or moving them to cold wallets to hold.

Either way, the result is the same: there’s less supply on the market that can be dumped at any moment.

That’s the exact opposite of what we saw last year, when exchange balances kept rising. Back then, everyone seemed to be lining up to sell. Now it looks more like people are locking their coins away and sitting tight.

I think this signal is more meaningful than looking at the candlestick chart alone. You can draw whatever you want on a chart; it’s harder to fake on-chain balances.

Of course, don’t get carried away. Low balances don’t mean prices will shoot up immediately. If demand doesn’t follow, prices could still move sideways for a long time.

My take: cautiously bullish, but I’m not chasing. If you want to keep an eye on things, watch whether exchange balances keep falling and whether spot buying can pick up.

If the money stays on the sidelines, withdrawals alone won’t take us far.

RAY has been pushed back every time it surged to 2.53–2.57 over the past three days,
but each pullback has stopped above 2.20.
It was still at 1.40 in mid-September, so this uptrend remains intact.
Funding rates have turned negative over the past two days, there are more short accounts than long accounts, and open interest hasn’t changed much.
I think more people are trying to short near the top, rather than longs closing their positions.
At 2.30, it’s stuck in the middle. I won’t chase it; I’ll wait for it to return to the bottom of the range before entering.

Entry: 2.20–2.24
Stop loss: 2.13
Take profit: 2.45 / 2.55
If the 4H candle closes below 2.15, the range has broken down.

Personal opinion only; not investment advice.

$RAY

Someone's started scooping up $BTC again.

I just noticed that an old wallet that had been dormant for a long time has become active.

It transferred a few hundred $BTC to an exchange.

The first reaction is bound to be panic.

But hold on a second.

This one transaction alone doesn't really tell us anything.

An old wallet moving coins could mean it's about to sell.

Or it could just be moving them somewhere else.

Or simply reorganizing its holdings.

That's a different thing from “a whale is about to dump.”

What really matters is what happens next.

If more and more coins are transferred to exchanges over the next few days,

then the selling pressure is worth taking seriously.

As for this one transaction, I don't think there's any need to scare ourselves.

Let's see what happens next.

There are fewer and fewer $ETH coins sitting on exchanges.

I came across this data and did a double take, then thought it made sense.

The $ETH balance on exchanges is now relatively low compared with the past few years.

Put simply, fewer people are willing to keep their coins on exchanges, ready to sell at any moment.

There are two sides to this.

The good news is that there are fewer coins available to dump, so supply is tightening.

But don't rush to call for a huge rally.

A low balance doesn't mean the price will rise right away. People may have moved their coins into staking or cold wallets.

What really matters is whether the price follows through from here.

If $ETH goes up while exchange balances keep falling, that would mean coins are genuinely being locked up.

If the price doesn't move, even a low balance won't help.

I'm cautiously optimistic, but I'm not chasing it.

I'll wait for it to make the first move.