ETH-友晴
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ETH-友晴
知行合一 只做确定性交易
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🔥 Yo, folks! The chatroom is live! Now it's way easier to connect, and you won't miss out on any of Yuge's insider info!
Using it is super simple:
① Just type "chatroom" in the search bar to find the entrance.
② Hit the scan icon in the top right corner, then click the + icon to add me as a contact.
③ Enter my Binance ID (like mine: eth6688).
④ One-click search, and you can add me, so we can chat anytime!
Get added ASAP, and you'll be my "VIP"—you'll get the important updates first! 💪💪
Using it is super simple:
① Just type "chatroom" in the search bar to find the entrance.
② Hit the scan icon in the top right corner, then click the + icon to add me as a contact.
③ Enter my Binance ID (like mine: eth6688).
④ One-click search, and you can add me, so we can chat anytime!
Get added ASAP, and you'll be my "VIP"—you'll get the important updates first! 💪💪
$LINK
DeFi veteran project, the leading name in the oracle sector. With the help of the RWA narrative in this bull market, it is easy to make 2-3x gains.
As I said back in July, LINK was moving independently and not following the broader market, so the bottom is likely already in. Both spot and futures can be allocated a little.
The price has now reached 12 USD, and another 50% rise would mean a 1x return.
In terms of strategy, you can wait for the price to pull back to around 11.5 to go long, set a stop loss below 10, and aim for 18.
#LINK #ZEC市值超越DOGE
DeFi veteran project, the leading name in the oracle sector. With the help of the RWA narrative in this bull market, it is easy to make 2-3x gains.
As I said back in July, LINK was moving independently and not following the broader market, so the bottom is likely already in. Both spot and futures can be allocated a little.
The price has now reached 12 USD, and another 50% rise would mean a 1x return.
In terms of strategy, you can wait for the price to pull back to around 11.5 to go long, set a stop loss below 10, and aim for 18.
#LINK #ZEC市值超越DOGE
Go long $币安人生
Right now, all memes are pumping except Binance Life, which is still stuck in place. Now a whale has started paying attention to Binance Life and has bought $1.1 million worth. You can follow along and buy too.
Binance has no reason to only hype new coins and forget its own favorite child. If it doesn’t pump in a bull market, it shouldn’t be called that name.
In terms of action, you can enter long at the current price of 0.54, set a stop loss at 0.45, and target the resistance level at 0.74.
#币安人生
Right now, all memes are pumping except Binance Life, which is still stuck in place. Now a whale has started paying attention to Binance Life and has bought $1.1 million worth. You can follow along and buy too.
Binance has no reason to only hype new coins and forget its own favorite child. If it doesn’t pump in a bull market, it shouldn’t be called that name.
In terms of action, you can enter long at the current price of 0.54, set a stop loss at 0.45, and target the resistance level at 0.74.
#币安人生
$BTC Intraday Trading Idea Analysis 9/6
After the non-farm payroll data was released on September 4, BTC immediately plunged from 81k to 79k. The main reason was that the U.S. economy was too strong, which increased the probability of a rate hike and led to BTC's decline. The good news, however, is that ETFs did not turn to net outflows and even saw a small inflow of $100 million. The next trading plan is as follows!
This wave of bearish news did not cause BTC to directly break below 79k, which is a good sign. In addition, the biggest bearish factor in the September data has already been removed, and the market may next begin to front-run the clear act on September 15.
On the trading side, you can wait for BTC to hold above 80k next week before going long, with a target resistance in the 85k-90k range. The reason is that BTC's downside has narrowed, with more buyers below and less selling pressure above, so I still lean toward a rebound. A stop loss at 75000 is sufficient.
You can also allocate a small position in Ethereum long orders around 2480. $ETH The volatility is large, and the resistance above at 2750-2800 is a good take-profit zone.
In addition, $MU SNDK has also reached a major resistance level, so you can set up some short positions in sndk and mu as a hedge, with the stop loss placed at the previous high and the target in the 1300-1100 range. The storage sector is still in a volatile downward correction phase and there is not yet a possibility of challenging the previous high.
#BTC触及80000美元
After the non-farm payroll data was released on September 4, BTC immediately plunged from 81k to 79k. The main reason was that the U.S. economy was too strong, which increased the probability of a rate hike and led to BTC's decline. The good news, however, is that ETFs did not turn to net outflows and even saw a small inflow of $100 million. The next trading plan is as follows!
This wave of bearish news did not cause BTC to directly break below 79k, which is a good sign. In addition, the biggest bearish factor in the September data has already been removed, and the market may next begin to front-run the clear act on September 15.
On the trading side, you can wait for BTC to hold above 80k next week before going long, with a target resistance in the 85k-90k range. The reason is that BTC's downside has narrowed, with more buyers below and less selling pressure above, so I still lean toward a rebound. A stop loss at 75000 is sufficient.
You can also allocate a small position in Ethereum long orders around 2480. $ETH The volatility is large, and the resistance above at 2750-2800 is a good take-profit zone.
In addition, $MU SNDK has also reached a major resistance level, so you can set up some short positions in sndk and mu as a hedge, with the stop loss placed at the previous high and the target in the 1300-1100 range. The storage sector is still in a volatile downward correction phase and there is not yet a possibility of challenging the previous high.
#BTC触及80000美元
The bull is back! $牛来
As mentioned earlier, once Niulai firmly holds above 0.9, you can directly look at the previous high, and now it has been fulfilled, with profits safely in hand!
From the candlestick chart, Niulai encountered resistance and pulled back around 0.145. Now we are waiting for it to firmly hold above 0.1 before it can continue attacking the previous high. In terms of trading, you can go long near the support at 0.1, and keep take profit around 0.14. This move by Niulai from 0.7 down to 0.1 trapped quite a few people in between, so it won't be that easy to drop further. Long positions are suitable.
#牛来
As mentioned earlier, once Niulai firmly holds above 0.9, you can directly look at the previous high, and now it has been fulfilled, with profits safely in hand!
From the candlestick chart, Niulai encountered resistance and pulled back around 0.145. Now we are waiting for it to firmly hold above 0.1 before it can continue attacking the previous high. In terms of trading, you can go long near the support at 0.1, and keep take profit around 0.14. This move by Niulai from 0.7 down to 0.1 trapped quite a few people in between, so it won't be that easy to drop further. Long positions are suitable.
#牛来
$牛来 , as long as the 1-hour chart can hold above 0.9, we can continue to be bullish!
Since Niu Lai went live with contracts, early profit-taking has started to be realized. After this round of shakeout, I think it has almost been shaken out.
For the long positions entered earlier, if it can stabilize around 0.9, you can continue to add more longs. The first target is the previous high of 1.15; if it stays strong, then look at 1.7.
On-chain, there has also been no obvious large outflow, and overall funds are still mainly in net inflow.
#牛来
Since Niu Lai went live with contracts, early profit-taking has started to be realized. After this round of shakeout, I think it has almost been shaken out.
For the long positions entered earlier, if it can stabilize around 0.9, you can continue to add more longs. The first target is the previous high of 1.15; if it stays strong, then look at 1.7.
On-chain, there has also been no obvious large outflow, and overall funds are still mainly in net inflow.
#牛来
Today $SNDK rebounded to around 1750. From the perspective of the storage cycle, I still believe it is currently in a volatile downward correction phase.
So continue to place short orders around 1830, with the stop loss still set above the previous high.
If it continues to weaken later, the ideal take-profit levels are first around 1300, then around 1100.
Don't chase the rally this time; short again when it rebounds to the resistance level, and patiently wait for the market to provide an opportunity.
#SNDK
So continue to place short orders around 1830, with the stop loss still set above the previous high.
If it continues to weaken later, the ideal take-profit levels are first around 1300, then around 1100.
Don't chase the rally this time; short again when it rebounds to the resistance level, and patiently wait for the market to provide an opportunity.
#SNDK
It also came to pass: the rebound began in August, and then entered the early stage of a bull market.
ETH-友晴
·
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BullishSet a flag
This drop in BTC will end around August, after the World Cup, and then we’ll enter a rebound phase. Yu-ge doesn’t think BTC will fall below $50,000. If in August or September BTC drops below $50,000, I’ll pick 10 commenters and give each of them $100 USDT.
$BTC
#比特币ETF终结八周资金流出
This drop in BTC will end around August, after the World Cup, and then we’ll enter a rebound phase. Yu-ge doesn’t think BTC will fall below $50,000. If in August or September BTC drops below $50,000, I’ll pick 10 commenters and give each of them $100 USDT.
$BTC
#比特币ETF终结八周资金流出
Tonight, $BTC ’s targets have all been fully taken profit. I feel there’s no need to keep holding $MU and wasting time on $SKHYNIX anymore. The main funds should return to crypto and increase the buying力度 for BTC, ETH, and the like.
#美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万
#美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万
$BTC Intraday Operation Ideas Analysis 9/3
Yesterday, BTC dipped to around 76100 at its lowest. The short entry level that had been placed in advance earlier was not filled.
There’s nothing to regret—this is simply how a ranging market behaves. If you don’t get filled, just keep waiting. There’s no need to chase price upward or sell in panic just to force a trade.
From the chart, BTC yesterday fell from around 77500 all the way down to a low near 76100, then quickly rebounded back above 77000.
The main reason is that after the U.S. stock market opened last night, the ETF did not continue to show large-scale selling pressure. Money flow improved and it reverted back to net inflow, approximately $101 million.
Also, after BTC broke below the 76100 area, it was pulled back quickly. In the short term, it does look like a bit of a fake breakdown—an inducement for shorts.
In terms of execution
Personally, I currently lean toward continuing to look for a rebound.
Enter with 30% position size around 77700, and add to the position around 76100.
Set the stop loss below 75000. For the upside target, first look at the 79000–80000 range.
As always, in a ranging market don’t chase or panic-sell. Control your position size, scale in in batches, and take profit in batches.
#美国10年期美债收益率触及2023年11月来最高
Yesterday, BTC dipped to around 76100 at its lowest. The short entry level that had been placed in advance earlier was not filled.
There’s nothing to regret—this is simply how a ranging market behaves. If you don’t get filled, just keep waiting. There’s no need to chase price upward or sell in panic just to force a trade.
From the chart, BTC yesterday fell from around 77500 all the way down to a low near 76100, then quickly rebounded back above 77000.
The main reason is that after the U.S. stock market opened last night, the ETF did not continue to show large-scale selling pressure. Money flow improved and it reverted back to net inflow, approximately $101 million.
Also, after BTC broke below the 76100 area, it was pulled back quickly. In the short term, it does look like a bit of a fake breakdown—an inducement for shorts.
In terms of execution
Personally, I currently lean toward continuing to look for a rebound.
Enter with 30% position size around 77700, and add to the position around 76100.
Set the stop loss below 75000. For the upside target, first look at the 79000–80000 range.
As always, in a ranging market don’t chase or panic-sell. Control your position size, scale in in batches, and take profit in batches.
#美国10年期美债收益率触及2023年11月来最高
Intraday gold $XAU
After bottoming out, it quickly stabilizes and rebounds—this wave looks like it can be followed for a long!
After the probability of a rate hike increased, gold has been trending downward all along. Now it has already stopped falling and begun moving upward. Comparing with previous patterns, it is likely to rebound to around 4450. Enter a long at the current price of 4370. Target is around 4450. Stop loss is set at 4290.
Since it has already bottomed out, adding an additional 20% position at 4335 with a total of 30% exposure should be fine. Bulls can never be slaves!
#XAU
After bottoming out, it quickly stabilizes and rebounds—this wave looks like it can be followed for a long!
After the probability of a rate hike increased, gold has been trending downward all along. Now it has already stopped falling and begun moving upward. Comparing with previous patterns, it is likely to rebound to around 4450. Enter a long at the current price of 4370. Target is around 4450. Stop loss is set at 4290.
Since it has already bottomed out, adding an additional 20% position at 4335 with a total of 30% exposure should be fine. Bulls can never be slaves!
#XAU
$牛来 This wash is really ruthless!
I didn’t expect that after listing on the contract, the bulls would be able to “wash” this hard!
Yesterday it dipped at least to around 0.074, with both longs and shorts getting harvested repeatedly—so the volatility is genuinely big.
That said, at this level, personally I wouldn’t really recommend continuing to chase shorts.
The reason is simple: the bulls’ hype hasn’t fully cooled off yet, and the movie has already been confirmed to be postponed to October 4, so the National Day holiday box office still has momentum.
Plus, perpetual contracts are already live—if the hype keeps building, there’s no ruling out expectations related to spot listings later.
So if you short again from here, I feel the risk-reward isn’t as comfortable anymore.
How do you see the trade?
Right now, the key focus is around 0.07.
After yesterday’s wick through, it was able to quickly reclaim—that suggests short-term support here is relatively clear.
As long as around 0.07 can continue to stabilize, I personally lean more toward buying the dips and going long.
Up top, first look at the 0.097–0.10 range. If it stabilizes around 0.1, then it could be extended to around 0.15.
Down the road, get in line with Binance Coin’s path!
#牛来
I didn’t expect that after listing on the contract, the bulls would be able to “wash” this hard!
Yesterday it dipped at least to around 0.074, with both longs and shorts getting harvested repeatedly—so the volatility is genuinely big.
That said, at this level, personally I wouldn’t really recommend continuing to chase shorts.
The reason is simple: the bulls’ hype hasn’t fully cooled off yet, and the movie has already been confirmed to be postponed to October 4, so the National Day holiday box office still has momentum.
Plus, perpetual contracts are already live—if the hype keeps building, there’s no ruling out expectations related to spot listings later.
So if you short again from here, I feel the risk-reward isn’t as comfortable anymore.
How do you see the trade?
Right now, the key focus is around 0.07.
After yesterday’s wick through, it was able to quickly reclaim—that suggests short-term support here is relatively clear.
As long as around 0.07 can continue to stabilize, I personally lean more toward buying the dips and going long.
Up top, first look at the 0.097–0.10 range. If it stabilizes around 0.1, then it could be extended to around 0.15.
Down the road, get in line with Binance Coin’s path!
#牛来
$BTC day trading mindset analysis
The BTC long position near 77800 that I mentioned yesterday reached up to around 79200, netting roughly another 1.8% profit. If you were able to catch it, you can continue to take profits steadily.
In fact, I already said yesterday that in this kind of market, the most suitable approach is a wide stop-loss and a narrow take-profit. Don’t keep chasing trades just because of short-term price fluctuations.
Now BTC has returned to around 77000. Overall it’s still a ranging (sideways) market, but the recent swing highs are getting lower. The bulls are slightly weaker. This 77000 level is quite crucial.
Due to the interest rate hike, ETF inflows and outflows have become erratic. Tonight the ETF is likely to continue seeing outflows, and 77000 here probably won’t hold.
So today my plan for BTC is:
If there is a rebound tonight to around 78500–79000, you can set up a high short (short at the higher level). The position size doesn’t need to be too heavy. Take profit in batches between 76500 and 75000.
At the moment, I don’t recommend that if you see the price rise you immediately chase it, because the resistance near the 79200 area that it hit yesterday is still pretty obvious.
As for crude oil, I personally continue to look bearish. Hold onto a short position with a small position size.
#科威特防空系统回应伊朗无人机袭击
The BTC long position near 77800 that I mentioned yesterday reached up to around 79200, netting roughly another 1.8% profit. If you were able to catch it, you can continue to take profits steadily.
In fact, I already said yesterday that in this kind of market, the most suitable approach is a wide stop-loss and a narrow take-profit. Don’t keep chasing trades just because of short-term price fluctuations.
Now BTC has returned to around 77000. Overall it’s still a ranging (sideways) market, but the recent swing highs are getting lower. The bulls are slightly weaker. This 77000 level is quite crucial.
Due to the interest rate hike, ETF inflows and outflows have become erratic. Tonight the ETF is likely to continue seeing outflows, and 77000 here probably won’t hold.
So today my plan for BTC is:
If there is a rebound tonight to around 78500–79000, you can set up a high short (short at the higher level). The position size doesn’t need to be too heavy. Take profit in batches between 76500 and 75000.
At the moment, I don’t recommend that if you see the price rise you immediately chase it, because the resistance near the 79200 area that it hit yesterday is still pretty obvious.
As for crude oil, I personally continue to look bearish. Hold onto a short position with a small position size.
#科威特防空系统回应伊朗无人机袭击
Yesterday I already reminded $牛来 that it’s not suitable to continue chasing longs.
Now the chart is clear: it’s in a slow, downward drift pattern. The market-maker has been luring more longs. This wave will most likely shake everyone out before it continues to rise.
The short positions opened yesterday have also reached the take-profit level. My current trading plan is to wait first—if there is an effective support near 0.09, then consider entering a long position of 20%. Place the stop-loss around 0.08. The take-profit target is near 0.105.
A lot of people are trapped around 0.12. Don’t hold the line blindly.
#牛来
Now the chart is clear: it’s in a slow, downward drift pattern. The market-maker has been luring more longs. This wave will most likely shake everyone out before it continues to rise.
The short positions opened yesterday have also reached the take-profit level. My current trading plan is to wait first—if there is an effective support near 0.09, then consider entering a long position of 20%. Place the stop-loss around 0.08. The take-profit target is near 0.105.
A lot of people are trapped around 0.12. Don’t hold the line blindly.
#牛来
BTC intraday trading ideas
First, the BTC and ETH long positions entered yesterday both saw about a 2% rebound. If you followed along, you can reliably lock in profits. The SNDK long position performed even stronger, with the highest rebound around 8%, and its target area of 1550-1600 was reached smoothly as well.
At the moment, $BTC and $ETH have returned to the entry levels of yesterday’s long positions. Personally, I think it’s worth continuing to watch for long opportunities. Overall, the market is still range-bound. In terms of trading, you can be bolder, but you must control your position size.
BTC trading:
At the current price around 77800, you can start with 30% of your position. Add more near 77000. Set the stop loss at 72000. The target range is 79000-80000.
This time, we still use the idea of “wide stop loss, narrow take profit.” In a ranging market, what we fear most is stop-hunt wicks going up and down; therefore, the stop-loss room can be loosened a bit.
In addition, after the escalation of the situation between Iran and the US, crude oil $CL has risen again and is already approaching the previous resistance zone. Personally, I think it’s worth watching for short opportunities in the 87-95 range, entering in batches, with targets around 80.
For this crude oil move, I personally lean more toward a pullback from a high level, but I still recommend participating with a small position size and leaving enough room for later adjustments and adaptation.
#黄金较三个月高点下跌5.5%
First, the BTC and ETH long positions entered yesterday both saw about a 2% rebound. If you followed along, you can reliably lock in profits. The SNDK long position performed even stronger, with the highest rebound around 8%, and its target area of 1550-1600 was reached smoothly as well.
At the moment, $BTC and $ETH have returned to the entry levels of yesterday’s long positions. Personally, I think it’s worth continuing to watch for long opportunities. Overall, the market is still range-bound. In terms of trading, you can be bolder, but you must control your position size.
BTC trading:
At the current price around 77800, you can start with 30% of your position. Add more near 77000. Set the stop loss at 72000. The target range is 79000-80000.
This time, we still use the idea of “wide stop loss, narrow take profit.” In a ranging market, what we fear most is stop-hunt wicks going up and down; therefore, the stop-loss room can be loosened a bit.
In addition, after the escalation of the situation between Iran and the US, crude oil $CL has risen again and is already approaching the previous resistance zone. Personally, I think it’s worth watching for short opportunities in the 87-95 range, entering in batches, with targets around 80.
For this crude oil move, I personally lean more toward a pullback from a high level, but I still recommend participating with a small position size and leaving enough room for later adjustments and adaptation.
#黄金较三个月高点下跌5.5%
$BTC $ETH
The price rebounded as expected—I've already secured 70% of my profit. What should we make of the next move?
From the candlestick chart, above 79.5k there is a previously untouched area of dense holdings. If BTC continues to rise, it could reach: 79.3K → 79.6K → 80K
I won’t rush to add more longs. Instead, I’ll watch for whether there’s a similar false breakout after a spike like earlier.
If it rallies to around 80K but can’t hold, and then quickly drops back, then this would be a relatively good short-term high-to-short entry.
I’ll also take profit and reverse to short within this range.
Personally, I think the market isn’t going to move in a one-way trend anymore, but instead will trade in a range.
The price rebounded as expected—I've already secured 70% of my profit. What should we make of the next move?
From the candlestick chart, above 79.5k there is a previously untouched area of dense holdings. If BTC continues to rise, it could reach: 79.3K → 79.6K → 80K
I won’t rush to add more longs. Instead, I’ll watch for whether there’s a similar false breakout after a spike like earlier.
If it rallies to around 80K but can’t hold, and then quickly drops back, then this would be a relatively good short-term high-to-short entry.
I’ll also take profit and reverse to short within this range.
Personally, I think the market isn’t going to move in a one-way trend anymore, but instead will trade in a range.
It’s probably best not to chase the rally right now ($牛来 ). The current market cap has already exceeded 100 million, and after it was listed on Binance, the contract heat has reached its peak. The normal approach should be to consolidate rather than keep pushing the price upward. If it goes higher, it will be pushing into profit-taking orders. In terms of strategy, you should mainly short. Place the stop-loss at the new high plus 0.15. The target is around 0.099.
#牛来
#牛来
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