加密眼界

The coins that should be most strategically positioned in the new imitation-shuffle cycle are these:

1. $HYPE (perpetual contract, L1)
2. $TAO (AI, L1)
3. $NEAR (AI, L1, privacy)
4. $LIT (perpetual contract — the best choice for a perpetual after HYPE)
5. $PUMP (meme coin, speculation)
6. $ZEC (L1, privacy)
7. $MON (new L1)
8. $MEGA (new L2)

New coins are good; old coins are bad. HYPE, LIT, PUMP, MON, and MEGA have never actually been through a full bull market. Sure, you could argue HYPE launched near the end of a bull run, but not for a complete cycle. TAO and NEAR are clearly defined tokens in the AI narrative. ZEC is a “VC—privacy coin.”

But tokens aren’t stocks—they have no intrinsic value. Yes and no. I think this is one of the toughest “dilemmas” of the new cycle. Betting on tokens in 2023 felt like an easy, no-brainer thing. We all want our coins to recover at some point. Now, in 2026, the number of tokens is effectively unlimited, so choosing is harder than ever. There’s a huge difference between good products and good tokens, and since most tokens are governance tokens, do we really need them? Maybe we don’t—but they’re still the main tool for speculation.

What about BTC, SOL, and ETH? BTC should always be part of the core portfolio—maybe SOL and ETH too—but I think the coins above will perform better than them.

SOL: Around 101 is the boundary between bulls and bears

Current price: ~101
Resistance: 102.5 / 103.1
Support: 100.5 / 97 / 95

Idea: SOL has just been pulled up from 95–97. In the short term there is a premium, but it is also easy to retrace.

Long: Hold 100.5, a bullish candle closes above 102.5, targets 105–108, stop loss 99.2

Short: Break below 100.5 and if 1h turns weak, first look at 97, stop loss 102.8

For altcoin perpetual contracts, prioritize SOL/ETH first—don’t jump into random 20x altcoins right away.

$SOL

ETH: Stronger than BTC, but 2,530 is the key level
Current price range: 2,480–2,500
Resistance: 2,530 / 2,700
Support: 2,420 / 2,360 / 2,300
Plan: Over the past week, ETH has greater volatility than BTC, making it suitable for strength/weakness rotation, but not for blindly chasing.

Long: After holding above 2,530, buy the pullback around 2,480, target 2,700, stop-loss 2,410.

Short: If it breaks below 2,420 and BTC simultaneously weakens, target 2,360, stop-loss 2,500.
Leverage: 5–8x.
Because ETH is more volatile than BTC, your stop-loss must be closer and your position size smaller.
$ETH

BTC：box setup, don’t chase the middle
Near current price: 78,850
Resistance: 79,200 / 80,000 / 81,200 (8/25 high)
Support: 78,550 / 77,650 / 75,600

Idea: It’s currently stuck in a narrow range of 78,550–79,200.
Long: reclaim and hold above 79,200; if it pulls back without breaking, then enter. Target 80,000. Stop loss 78,500.
Short: break below 78,550 with increasing volume. Target 77,650. Stop loss 79,050.
Leverage suggestion: 5–10x; position size should not exceed 5% of total capital. Don’t chase in the middle.

$BTC

Copycat coins are ready to sound the rebound horn
$XRP XRP has already started climbing; you can still enter. Use 10x leverage to take 10%

After breaking through the resistance at 67,000 yesterday, Bitcoin has been rising all the way, reaching a high of 70,000. The daily gain was 8%—it’s been a long time since it moved like this. In the short term, a new upward trend has formed. If it breaks the 127.2 to 138.2 range, you can expect the next target at 72.6k. The final bullish target is at 76.1k, which is also the highest price this rebound can reach. However, for now you still need to watch the resistance zone between 127.2 and 138.2. As for the weekly chart, it still hasn’t reversed; it remains a bearish trend, and a bottom hasn’t appeared yet—so you’ll need to be patient a bit longer.
$BTC

The market has started, brothers. $ETH is now about to enter a consolidation and adjustment phase. BTC can still rise one more wave. The biggest catch-up surge that’s going to $BNB —now you can just rush into $BNB without overthinking.

$BTC Now the bottom is here.
In terms of time and space, enough BTC bottom-accumulated chips have been built up. Bear-market bottom signals are gradually appearing one after another. First, expect to see it around 90k.

10 US stock picks to focus on

Micron Technology $MUB
US HBM/memory leader, complementary to Micron’s partner Hynix, directly benefits from the AI memory super-cycle, with massive earnings upside.

Super Micro Computer $SMCIon I
Leader in AI server system integration/assembly; both orders and capacity are rising, with at least a doubling in prospects this year.

Broadcom $AVGOB
Leader in AI custom ASICs and data-center network switching; an essential infrastructure need, with a relatively reasonable valuation and strong growth certainty.

Google $GOOG
The undisputed AI leader; Gemini’s late-mover advantage is clear, with continuous strengthening of its full-stack strategy.

Dell Technologies $DELL
Leader in AI servers and enterprise hardware; highly correlated with SMCI, with strong order momentum and a valuation that’s more steady.

Marvell $MRVL
Key AI connectivity/custom-chip holding; steadfast in its goal of reaching a trillion-dollar market cap.

SK Hynix $SKHY
Absolute leader in HBM memory; with the AI memory demand surge, there’s still at least doubling potential this year.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)
Strong challenger in AI GPUs; both value-for-money and market share are rising, driven by dual engines of server CPUs and accelerators.

Oracle $ORCL
A core player in US AI data centers and cloud infrastructure; valuation is seriously undervalued, and a breakout is imminent.

NVIDIA $NVDA
Absolute king of AI GPUs; its dominance in data-center compute is firmly entrenched, and over the long term it remains a core holding.

Friday Old Ma’s rocket is about to take off again
Now you can bet that $SPCXB will take off
If the rocket successfully takes off, it will definitely go up
Even if it doesn’t take off successfully, it’s still fine

$VVV
This coin can also be shorted. You don’t need to wait for the exact top—just short when its uptrend has ended. That’s the safest approach. Use the previous high as the stop-loss.

$LAB has been watching this demon coin for a long time. Now you can enter with a small position to short. The main force is distributing/being unloaded, and the short orders are also set. At this time, the potential profit and risk both align with your interests. Once it drops, it will be under 1u.

The top US stock in the crypto space $CRCL
The price has dropped to 80 now, making it a prime candidate for dollar-cost averaging (DCA). It definitely follows the bull and bear cycles of the crypto market and is also correlated with Bitcoin. If you're working with a smaller bag, you can consider a long-term DCA into CRCL; hitting 500 in the next bull run is definitely doable.
Remember to DCA.

$ASTER
You can FOMO into this one, likely to pump above 1u. CZ is calling the shots, and Aster is poised to replace many small exchanges, becoming more and more reputable.

$UNI
This coin can be shorted; UNI will only pump for a bit when there's good news, it won't sustain a rally too high, so it’s a good time to scale into shorts.

$龙虾
The lobster has already broken free from the KOL pump phase, and a lot of chips have been scooped up by the whales, so there's a good chance it can break the previous high. You can refer to the price action of $币安人生 ; if it breaks the previous high, we might see a slow rally.

$LAB This coin is just insane! The early investment round was valued in the tens of millions, and now it's over a hundred times that.
I'm planning to short it once it hits over 30u.

Also, there are other projects like Lab in the pipeline that are getting ready to brew.
Hope one of them is one of my investments.

$币安人生 will keep rallying to new highs because Binance is on fire right now. Binance Life, being the only Chinese token listed on Binance, has limitless potential. If we enter a bull market, the market cap could hit $10 billion.

Here's a BUY THE DIP checklist. How to buy when the market dips??

First priority: SNDK\DRAM\INTC
Second priority: NVDA
Third priority: NOK\LITE\CRWV\COHR

When to buy?
1. Definitely do not buy before Nvidia's earnings report drops.

2. If the earnings report causes a major crash, dragging down the entire semiconductor sector or even the whole market, like if pre-market Nvidia drops -5% and the market drops over -1.5%, then look for low points at market open and act fast.

3. If Nvidia's earnings report doesn’t dip, there might still be larger drops ahead, so don’t rush to chase; wait until Friday to see.

4. Regardless of the situation, don’t blow all your bullets; save some for next week. This week’s dip buying is just to avoid missing out. Let’s see if next week presents an opportunity to hit the lower Bollinger Band. Once it hits that lower band, then you can unload your bullets.

Macro outlook is grim, but the war is behind us; oil prices are in front, and the midterm elections hold the answer, so oil prices will soon be behind us as well.

1. Core holdings in big tech $MSFT $META remain untouched, adding to positions on dips. $TSLA has some floating capital, waiting for a shakeout before entering again, and $GOOG needs to be monitored for opportunities.

2. AI chips and storage are over-leveraged on future expectations, creating a crowded short-term space. Long-term, I'm bullish, but the short-term sentiment is too high, requiring a shakeout of floating capital. Like me, who chased $MU at just over 600; if I don't take profits, I'll definitely get washed out. Once the floating capital is exhausted, it'll be time to build positions again. The AI revolution is monumental with $SNDK $DRAM.

3. The aerospace sector—before June, I’ll keep adding on dips. Hoping $RKLB retraces a bit more; my position isn’t heavy enough. The space infrastructure sector is vast and exciting.

4. The software sector has some mispriced stocks, both over-sold and under-sold. Data is king, and it should be one of the least crowded sectors. Planning to buy my first batch in the neglected areas; this may be the fastest route for AI implementation.

5. In the NEOCLOUD sector, I've seen AI investment legend Leopold Aschenbrenner's holdings; he has a 39% position betting on mining companies turning into AI stocks. These mining firms have ready power, and the drop in coin prices has led to undervalued stock prices. This could be his investment rationale. I previously had a negative view of mining companies, but AI might reshape them into token factories with sustained higher cash flow. A practical issue is that, in the short term, mining companies are financing to burn cash on building facilities. These orders and funding are not actual income, as they truly lack the funds to build data centers; T3 facilities are costly. For now, they still play the role of real estate developers, not yet in AI. I need to think this through more: $IREN $CORZ $APLD $RIOT $CLSK $BITF $BTDR.