白先生

ETH Market Strategy for November 9, 2026:

Yesterday, ETH rallied from around 2,450 before pulling back. It remains in a downtrend, and 2,063 is a key short-term low to watch, but there is not yet enough evidence to confirm that it is the bottom.

➤ Key signals to watch

🌟 A lower wick formed at 2,063, with buyers stepping in after a sharp dip. This suggests that some buyers are trying to enter at lower levels, but it is still too early to confirm a solid bottom.

🌟 A slight rebound followed the high-volume sell-off. The large bearish candle just now came with a clear spike in volume, suggesting concentrated selling pressure. The current rebound is more likely an oversold recovery, so watch whether volume can be sustained.

🌟 The 4-hour MACD histogram has expanded further into negative territory, with DIF below DEA. Rebound momentum is not yet strong enough to reverse the short-term trend.

➤ Short-term strategy

The current zone with relatively favorable risk-reward is 2,180–2,225. We can wait for a rebound into the resistance zone before entering a short position. First target: 2,140; second target: 2,100. Set a stop-loss if price firmly holds above 2,235.

What the heck, what are you doing?!
I told you, it's only gone up a little and you're already calling it a bull market—isn't that a bit premature?
$ETH #eth

A few days ago, #ETH got scared shitless by a mere pullback, and now after the slightest bounce today, people are shouting that the bull market is back?

Either trade the swings and share signals— even if you lose on your own trades, you can still make money from commissions—or stick to dollar-cost averaging. Once you've bought, get on with your life. Don't stare at the K-line every day and give yourself anxiety.

Lao Bai finished building his DCA position a month ago, so there really isn't much room to maneuver now. Today I'll just share a quick take on the short-term direction and keep my market instincts sharp.

🌟 Today is actually pretty important, because the price has climbed back above EMA50 and EMA200. Previously, ETH had been trading below the daily moving averages for a long time, and rebounds were consistently capped by EMA200. This suggests the bulls are starting to regain the initiative.

🌟 The daily KDJ's J value is now at 104, and the 4-hour KDJ's J value is also close to 100. This suggests short-term buying pressure is quite concentrated. Although the trend has improved, chasing longs around $2,428 doesn't offer an attractive risk-reward ratio.

🌟 A better strategy is to wait for a pullback—for example, if $2,400 holds, then look toward $2,450 and $2,480. The risk-reward would be much better!

2026.11.2 ETH Market Update:

Today, ETH rebounded from a low of $2,174. Selling pressure has eased somewhat in the short term, but a trend reversal cannot yet be confirmed.

The hourly MACD has now turned positive, indicating that short-term bullish momentum is strengthening. However, the daily chart remains below EMA20 and EMA50, with the medium-term moving averages continuing to act as resistance.

So the short-term structure remains bearish today. Keep a close eye on $2,300–$2,330. If the price makes a sustained break above $2,310 on the 1-hour chart and holds above it on a retest, consider a small long position. If the price pushes into the $2,300–$2,330 range and then shows clear signs of stalling, with a top reversal signal on the 1-hour chart, a break back below $2,280 could be considered a short-term short entry.

Lao Bai is still handling ETH like a pro. The short-term ETH strategy has been validated over the past few days, and the trend has not changed. The 4-hour chart is showing weak sideways movement after becoming oversold. A short-term rebound is needed, but a reversal structure has not yet formed.

From a short-term perspective, focus on whether the previous low at 2174 can hold, and whether a rebound can reclaim 2275–2300.

➤ Indicators:

🌟 Price has fallen below three key moving averages and is currently trading below the EMA20, EMA50, and EMA200. Notably, the daily EMA200 has also been breached. This means the medium- to long-term moving-average support zone around 2150–2330 has turned into resistance that must be reclaimed during a rebound.

🌟 The daily MACD remains bearish, with DIF below DEA and both below the zero line, indicating that downward momentum still dominates in the short to medium term.

🌟 KDJ has entered the lower range but has not yet formed a clear bullish reversal signal. Although the daily chart is due for a technical rebound, the trend remains bearish, so don’t assume a bottom has formed just because the market is oversold.

➤ Short-term strategy

🌟 Sell the rebound;
Watch 2275–2300. If the price rebounds into this zone and the 1-hour chart shows a failed push higher and loses the EMA20, the first targets are 2230, then 2200!

🌟 Continue trend-following shorts. If ETH decisively breaks below 2174 on the 4-hour chart, targets are 2100 and 2050!

2026.10.30 ETH Market Update:

The short-selling strategy from a few days ago was spot on. For now, the main approach remains to sell rallies, with 2174 being the most important short-term support level. Although the daily KDJ has entered oversold territory, there still aren't enough reversal signals, so I don't recommend buying the dip solely because the market is oversold.

Since the swing high of 2807.67, ETH has formed a fairly clear downtrend:
* Highs continue to move lower, and rebounds are steadily losing strength.

* EMA20: 2391.79

* EMA50: 2435.03

* EMA200: 2159.72

The price is currently trading below both the EMA20 and EMA50, with both moving averages acting as resistance overhead.

This means the short- to medium-term trend has not yet recovered. Pay particular attention to the positioning of the EMA20 and EMA50: the short-term moving average is now below the long-term moving average, showing a clear bearish alignment.

The most important thing to watch next is whether the 2174 area can hold.

2026.10.24 ETH Market Update:

Yesterday’s bearish strategy played out as expected. ETH remains biased to the downside in the short term and is currently testing key support near the daily EMA200.

The previous low was 2282.85, and the rebound has yet to produce a clear trend reversal signal. First, watch the resistance zone at 2360–2400. The short-term structure may improve only if price breaks back above and holds near 2420.

KDJ remains in a weak region. Although a technical rebound is possible, there is not yet enough confirmation that the decline has bottomed.

Short-Term Trading Plan
* Watch zone: 2347–2365
* Trigger: Price rebounds into the watch zone and meets resistance, with signs of weakening on the 1-hour timeframe
* Downside targets: 2320 → 2285

2026.10.24 ETH Market Update:

ETH is currently trading around $2,368. After retreating from a high of $2,807, it has continued to weaken on the daily chart and has fallen below the EMA20 and EMA50. These two moving averages are now acting as resistance around $2,467–$2,470.

Technically, the bearish structure on the daily chart still has the upper hand, and the KDJ has yet to confirm a clear reversal. The 4-hour chart is also continuing its downtrend.

On the 1-hour chart, the price continues to move lower, with rebound highs gradually declining. The KDJ is near oversold territory, but there is not yet a reliable reversal pattern. A technical rebound may occur in the short term, or the price may continue to test the previous low.

In the near term, this looks more like weak consolidation within a downtrend than a confirmed bottom. The key is to watch whether support at 2,350 holds and whether a rebound can reclaim the 2,400–2,470 range.

For our long-term spot holdings, we can simply continue to hold. There’s still no problem!

2026.10.21 ETH Market Update:

The bullish outlook discussed yesterday remains fully valid. ETH has rebounded from its recent low near $2,400 and is now at $2,481, up about 1.31% today. Short-term buying has recovered somewhat, but this alone is not enough to conclude that the decline is over.

The current price is near the EMA50 ($2,482), while the EMA20 ($2,498) above it adds another layer of short-term resistance. Technically, the KDJ has rebounded, indicating stronger recovery momentum; however, the MACD remains below the zero line and has yet to confirm a trend reversal.

For now, it’s more appropriate to treat this as a rebound. Whether ETH can reclaim $2,500 decisively matters more than a single day’s gain. If the daily price can hold firmly above $2,500 and stay above it after a pullback, there may be a chance to test $2,550–$2,600 next!

2026.10.18 ETH Market Analysis:

🌟 A quick recap of the price action over this period:

1. In the first phase, ETH took off from around $1,850 and surged to a high of $2,807.67, completing a clear upward trend.

2. In the second phase, ETH failed to break through near $2,808, then continued to pull back and fell below the EMA20 and EMA50. The previous bullish structure has been compromised, and the short-term outlook has shifted from strong to weak.

3. The current price is around $2,418. Although the daily chart has bounced slightly, the MACD remains in negative territory. For now, this can only be viewed as a recovery during a downtrend; there is no clear signal of a trend reversal yet.

🌟 So, the market is currently biased toward bearish consolidation, and the key level to watch is whether $2,400 holds.

1. The KDJ is currently at relatively low levels and showing signs of a modest recovery, but the MACD remains weak. Only if the price regains $2,485–$2,520 could the daily chart structure gradually recover.

2. This is also the direction I lean toward. A bottoming signal may emerge around $2,400, followed by a move back above $2,485–$2,500 and another test of $2,515–$2,550!

2026.10.17 ETH Market Update:

ETH has continued to pull back from its high of 2807.67 and remains in a weak consolidation phase. Today, the price tried to stabilize above 2400, but there is still no clear signal of a trend reversal.

Resistance from moving averages
The current price is below EMA20 (2528) and EMA50 (2490), so the short-term trend remains bearish. The 2490–2530 range is the first major resistance zone.

KDJ shows signs of recovery
The indicator shows signs of rebounding from low levels, so a short-term bounce is possible, but price action still needs to confirm it.

Medium- and long-term support remains below
EMA200 is around 2147, still well below the current price. If the daily chart continues to weaken and the price falls below around 2350, watch for the risk of a deeper correction.

My strategy is to favor buying on dips. If the 2400–2420 area holds and the price breaks back above 2450, it may go on to test 2490–2530. A sustained move back above this range would help repair the daily chart structure.

2026.10.15 ETH Market Update:

ETH has fallen to around $2,365 today, continuing to weaken after pulling back from its high of $2,800 and entering a clear correction phase.

The 200-day moving average is currently around $2,317 and is the key support to watch. If the price breaks below it, it will be very difficult to make another run at new highs in the short term, and it could continue falling toward the $2,200 area!

We’re back in a range where dollar-cost averaging makes sense. For those who regretted not buying earlier, this could also be a good spot to buy ETH on the spot market—but continue to prioritize spot purchases. A meaningful recovery signal will only appear if the price reclaims the $2,490–$2,550 range, so we’ll need to wait patiently!

2026.10.10 ETH Market Update:

ETH has fallen rapidly from around 2,700 to the 2,410 area, and has now rebounded to $2,491. The upward structure has been broken, and the market is now in a post-decline recovery phase.

➤ Technical analysis:

The current price is below the EMA20 (2,536), EMA200 (2,574), and EMA50 (2,601), with multiple resistance levels overhead.

Short-term rebound signals have emerged: KDJ is recovering, and the MACD histogram has turned positive. However, DIF and DEA remain below the zero line, so for now this can only be viewed as a recovery after the decline—not a confirmed reversal. If the price falls again, it could potentially reach around 2,358.

➤ Possible scenarios

Scenario A: The rebound continues
The price needs to reclaim 2,535 and break decisively above 2,575 before it has a chance to test 2,600–2,610. Watch whether it can hold after a pullback following the breakout.

Scenario B: The rebound fails
If the 2,535–2,575 area holds as resistance and the price falls back below 2,450, the market may retest 2,410. If that level gives way, watch 2,358.

Scenario C: Range-bound trading near the lows
If the 2,410–2,535 range is not decisively broken for now, the market may continue to form a base with choppy price action. Avoid rushing to call a one-way trend.

➤ Strategy

In the short term, you can wait for confirmation of a breakout above 2,535–2,575, or watch for signs of a rebound in the 2,450–2,410 support zone before considering entering in stages.

Reassess whether the trend has recovered only after the price has firmly reclaimed the area above 2,600.

Tonight, ETH quickly fell from around 2700 to around 2550, partially breaking the upward structure that had formed after an extended period of sideways trading.

1828 → around 2500 → previous high of 2807 → sideways around 2700 → breakdown today

Today’s large bearish candle fell straight below the EMA20 (2647), showing a clear weakening in the short-term trend.

However, it’s too early to call this a major trend reversal: the EMA50 is still at 2503 and the EMA200 is at 2301, so the medium-term moving averages remain in a bullish alignment.

ETH short-term strategy for October 7

① Around 2550
Today’s low and the first support level.
If ETH finds support around 2550 and climbs back above 2600/2645, we can watch for a rebound, with initial targets at 2670 → 2700.

② 2500–2530
This is the more important support zone in my view, close to the EMA50.
If 2550 fails to hold and the price continues lower, around 2500 is the second support worth watching.

③ If 2500 fails
If the daily candle closes decisively below 2500, this would be more than a routine pullback. The next phase could bring a deeper correction, with 2400–2450 as the first area to watch.

So, I wouldn’t recommend buying the dip as soon as ETH hits 2550. Waiting for the price to stabilize and reclaim key levels would be a much more comfortable approach.

ETH medium- to long-term strategy for October 7
For now, I still see the broader picture as: uptrend → a temporary peak at 2807 → correction underway

As long as the area around 2500 holds, the medium-term uptrend structure won’t be fully broken, and ETH could still have a chance to challenge 2700 → 2807 → 2900/3000 again.

But if 2500 breaks and ETH then loses 2400 as well, I would lower my expectations to around 2300 and wait for the trend to recover.

2026.10.5 ETH Market Update:

ETH is still consolidating at elevated levels after its recent rally. It climbed from around 1,800, breaking through 2,600 and 2,700, and peaked at 2,807. The price is now consolidating above 2,700, and the overall structure remains intact.

ETH will likely break above 2,807 in the near future. If it holds above that level, the next targets are 2,900–3,000!

A pullback toward around 2,500 is a risk only if ETH breaks below 2,650.

2026.10.2 ETH Market Analysis:

ETH continues to trade sideways around 2700 today, and the overall structure has not yet turned bearish.

Previously, ETH broke out from 1800 all the way to 2600, then surged to 2807. Now it’s in consolidation at a high level after the upswing.

Currently, focus on two key levels:
2807: The previous high resistance. Only after a volume-supported breakout can it further open up room for upside; next, watch 2900-3000.

2630-2650: Around the EMA20 area—also a crucial short-term support. As long as it holds here, the overall uptrend structure remains intact.

2026.10.1 ETH Market Update:

Brothers, happy National Day!

This ETH move has already played out in front: 2600 → 2700 → 2808 → pullback → moving sideways around 2700. For now, I’m still slightly bullish!

Even though the KDJ is rolling over from the high and the MACD is a bit weak, and short-term momentum has cooled, the price is still holding above the EMA20. I’m more inclined to treat this as consolidation in a high range rather than a trend reversal.

Right now, I’m focused on two levels:
2600 is the support I care about most. As long as it doesn’t break, the overall structure remains upward!

Above that, I’m watching 2807. If there’s a breakout with volume and it holds, then there’s more room to the upside: 2900 → 3000.

So my thinking is pretty straightforward: if 2600 doesn’t break, I’ll keep looking for longs; if 2807 breaks out, I’ll keep targeting the upside. Only if 2600

effectively breaks down will I start to prepare for a deeper pullback.

2026.9.29 ETH Market Update:

In the past few days, ETH has really been frustrating. It surged to 2700 on the 24th and then pulled back, but overall the EMA20 still suggests the uptrend structure is temporarily intact.

On the 25th–26th, the price moved back above 2700 and set a stage high of 2807.67. This stage belongs to the acceleration phase after a breakout.

However, on the 27th–28th, there was no further breakout near 2800. The price gradually returned to a range-bound movement between 2700 and 2750. This indicates that selling pressure above has started to increase, but there is still support underneath.

Today, price has returned to around 2667—down from the 2807 peak by about 5%. Meanwhile, the KDJ is turning downward and the MACD histogram has weakened, with short-term momentum clearly weaker than in the previous days.

Above 2700 is the resistance zone, while around 2600 is the line dividing bulls and bears.

After hitting 2807 yesterday and then pulling back, today the daily chart continues to weaken, currently around 2642.

From a structure standpoint, the market hasn’t yet broken the previous uptrend channel, but in the short term it has entered a pullback and confirmation phase.

Today, the key focus is 2600–2620—this is also the pullback zone after the prior breakout. If it holds here, it still counts as strength!

If 2600 breaks down decisively, then the uptrend channel will need to be reassessed, and the next target will be around 2500.

However, right now it looks more like a normal retracement after a push up near 2800, and it hasn’t reached the confirmation stage of a trend reversal. Most likely, it will continue moving upward!