The recent high and low points in this period are 0.225000 / 0.197300, with trading volume of 0.46 billion USDT.
0.197300 is the support that you should be watching right now. If it breaks below, there won’t be any clear spot for buyers to step in. Going upward, 0.225000 is the resistance for this leg. Until it can stand above with volume, any rebound can only be treated as a rebound.
In this time window, liquidity is relatively thin, so the price can be pushed around easily by small orders—wicks and “painting the chart” aren’t surprising. If you really decide to act, don’t chase the market price when placing limit orders. And don’t set your stop-loss too tightly.
The market is what it is—there’s no use being in a rush.
The recent high/low range is 2,519 / 2,370, with trading volume of 763 million USDT.
2,370 is the key support to watch right now; if it breaks, there’s no clear place for buyers to step in. Up at 2,519 is the resistance for this leg. Until it breaks above with volume, any rebound should be treated only as a pullback.
Liquidity during this period is thin, so price can be pushed around easily by small orders—wick spikes and “wash/false” moves aren’t surprising. If you really want to act, place limit orders instead of chasing the market price, and don’t set your stop-loss too tight.
I copied these words onto my notebook, and every once in a while I translate them again.
In “The Beauty of Systems,” there’s a principle explained: Denandera’s feedback loop—positive feedback makes a system go out of control, while negative feedback makes it stable. Leverage is positive feedback, and stop-loss is negative feedback. Which one is stronger in your account determines how long it will last.
Take today’s $BTC as an example: right now it’s at 80,969, 24h +4.91%. This kind of market action perfectly illustrates the idea above. It’s not coincidence—human nature is repeating itself in the market.
The more I think about it, the more I feel that in the end, what trading comes down to isn’t technique—it’s one’s mindset and character. Record it, then look back later.
The recent high/low points are 81,370 / 76,951, with trading volume of 1.285 billion USDT。
76,951 is the key support to watch right now. If it breaks below, there’s no clear spot for buyers to step in. Above, 81,370 is the resistance for this leg. Unless it breaks through and holds above with strong volume, any rebound can only be treated as a bounce.
In this time window, liquidity is relatively thin, so price can be pushed around easily by small orders—wick spikes and “painting the market” (sudden intraday sweeps) aren’t unusual. If you really want to act, place limit orders rather than chasing the market price, and don’t set your stop-loss too tightly.
I read an old saying and suddenly it matched today’s chart.
In *The Liar’s Poker*, there’s a principle: the game Lewis wrote about on Wall Street is, at its core, a harvest driven by information asymmetry. In crypto, they just moved this play onto the chain—only the players are you and me. When you don’t know who the “sucker” is, then the sucker is you.
Take today’s $BTC as an example: right now it’s 80,744, 24h +4.80%. This kind of market action perfectly confirms the lesson above. It’s not a coincidence—it's human nature repeating itself on the chart.
Between knowing and doing, there are several liquidations. For now, just watch—don’t make a move.
There isn’t much worth saying today—let’s talk about something else.
Here’s a principle mentioned in the section about going against the trend: The urge to bottom-fish comes from the illusion that it’s cheap. But in a downtrend, after something looks cheap, there’s still cheaper to come. Wait until the trend has turned before entering—what you would have earned less, that small amount, is essentially the “insurance premium.”
Take today’s $BTC as an example: now it’s 79,641, with 24h +2.98%. This kind of market action perfectly confirms the principle above. It’s not a coincidence—human nature repeats itself in the market.
Between knowing and doing, there are several rounds of liquidation. Wait for signals, not your mood.
I went over today’s market layout right before bed. Honestly, today was quite information-rich.
Today, BTC moved between 76,748 and 79,000, and finally closed at 78,817, up 2.16% for the day. What’s most worth watching here isn’t the rise or fall itself, but whether the trading volume kept up. Today’s volume was 944 million USDT; to be honest, that isn’t very active, which suggests market sentiment is still fairly cautious.
ETH was a bit stronger. It was up 1.11% for the day, closing at 2,429, with a trading range from 2,370 to 2,436. The linkage to the larger BTC move is still very clear—if BTC doesn’t move, it’s hard for ETH to run independently.
The strongest performer today was $ARB . It rose 19.96% for the day and had trading volume of 47 million. This kind of move likely means either capital got positioned early, or sentiment-driven competition amplified the volatility.
The most critical signal today: whether BTC can increase volume at key levels will determine the next direction. Tomorrow I’ll focus on whether BTC can hold the xxx level.
All day -0.02%, closed at 1.0004, with a high/low of 1.0009 / 1.0003. Trading volume was 108 million USDT—this volume today is pretty sincere.
What’s most worth remembering today is that RLUSD is still digesting selling pressure. Tomorrow, if it can find support around 1.0003, there may be room for the move to continue. But if tomorrow’s open is directly hammered down, then today’s surge was most likely just a short-term trade.
Some truths are only understood after you’ve lost.
About living expenses and extra money, there’s a lesson here: using spare cash and using living expenses for trades are two completely different games. In the latter, you can’t afford to lose—if you lose, you’ll be forced to change, and if you’re forced to change, you’ll surely lose. Solve this problem first before talking about technique.
Take today’s $BTC as an example: right now, 78,308, 24h +1.93%. This kind of chart action perfectly confirms the lesson above. It’s not a coincidence—it's human nature repeating itself on the chart.
Everyone has heard the reasoning; what’s hard is whether you can actually do it when that moment comes.
The high and low in this period are 0.141300 / 0.107200, with trading volume of 0.46B USDT.
0.107200 is the support you should watch most closely right now. If it breaks, there won’t be any clear pickup zone below. Up above, 0.141300 is the resistance for this round. Unless it can stand above with volume, any rebound should only be treated as a rebound.
During this time window, liquidity is relatively thin, so price can be pushed around easily by small orders—wicks and sweep-like moves are not unusual. If you really plan to act, don’t chase the market price when placing limit orders, and don’t set your stop-loss too tight.
ETH is currently at 100.84 in the evening, up 2.90% over the last 24 hours.
Today’s full-day range is 97.65 to 101.39, with trading volume of 195 million USDT. In the evening during this time window, ETH is most likely to follow BTC’s rhythm. If BTC suddenly spikes up, ETH will most likely catch a wave; conversely, if BTC dumps, it will be hard for ETH to stay out of it.
If you want to take action in the evening, it’s recommended to watch the 97.65 support level closely. If it holds, you can consider trying with a small position; if it breaks, wait for the next support. The worst-case scenario is getting carried away emotionally at night—if you haven’t thought it through, don’t rush in.
I came across an old saying, and suddenly it matched what’s happening in the market today.
In the Book of Changes (*I Ching*), the section on what changes and what remains constant discusses a principle: the *I Ching* explains changeability, simplicity, and constancy. Market conditions change every day, but human nature doesn’t. Cycles also don’t change. What you need to do isn’t chase after whatever is changing, but to grasp what remains constant.
Take today’s $BTC as an example: right now it’s 77,631, with a 24h increase of +1.38%. This kind of market structure perfectly confirms the lesson above. It isn’t a coincidence—it’s the repetition of human nature reflected in the market.
The more I think about it, the more it feels like this: in the end, trading isn’t about techniques—it’s about mindset.
The market is about to close, and today $XRP is definitely worth discussing.
The stock is up +2.57% for the whole day, with trading volume of 165 million USDT—one of the most active coins on today’s board. The price rose from 1.3098 all the way to 1.3795, and then pulled back to around 1.3664.
This kind of move suggests that the capital hasn’t left yet, but short-term profit-taking is also coming out. The key thing to watch tomorrow is whether it can continue to increase volume around 1.3664. If the volume can’t keep up, it will most likely pull back a bit; if it continues to expand in volume, then upside room will open up.
Did you catch this wave today? Are you still bullish on this coin tomorrow?
Some truths are only understood after you’ve lost.
In *The Intelligent Investor*, there’s a lesson: Graham’s margin of safety—if you calculate a stock is worth 100, you only buy when it’s at 60. In the crypto world, you can’t calculate intrinsic value, but the idea of a margin of safety still holds—how far your entry price is from your stop-loss level is your margin.
Take today’s $UNI as an example: now it’s 5.7830, with a 24h change of -8.66%. This kind of market action perfectly confirms the idea above. It’s not a coincidence—it's human nature repeating itself in the market.
The more I think about it, the more I feel that in the end, trading isn’t about technique. It’s about mindset.
After-noon market movement has reached this point. ETH is around 0.082960, up 1.43% in 24h.
The intraday range is 0.080130 to 0.083290, with trading volume of 0.52 billion USDT. Neither the long nor the short side is making any big moves right now—they’re both waiting for a signal.
If in the afternoon it can break through 0.083290 with increased volume, that would suggest the bulls still have some ideas. Conversely, if it pulls back to 0.080130 and can’t hold, then this move may be nearing its end.
For friends trading contracts, what’s most taboo at a time like this is betting heavily on a direction—you can easily get swept away by a single candle.
For this afternoon’s行情, are you sitting in cash and watching, or are you going to make a quick trade?
I read an old saying and suddenly it matched today’s market.
A principle mentioned in the discussion of freedom goes like this: Many people enter the crypto market for financial freedom, but end up being bound even tighter by the market—checking their phones eighty times a day. If the way you make money makes you lose your freedom, then the purpose and the method have been reversed.
Take today’s $UNI as an example: Right now it’s 5.7120, 24h -8.20%. This kind of market movement perfectly confirms the principle above. It’s not a coincidence—it's human nature repeating itself in the charts.
This sounds simple, but in practice it still takes a lot of tuition fees. The market is what it is—no amount of urgency helps.
Quick glance at your plate during lunch. $ARB —today’s trend is quite strong; in the past 24 hours it’s up +13.16%.
Now the price is 0.128100, with a daily high of 0.132700 and a low of 0.105900, and trading volume of 0.41B USDT. This volume shows it’s not just small talk—there are definitely funds paying attention to it.
But I still want to say this: chasing higher prices during the lunch session has a cost. Many coins rally for a spike at noon, and then in the afternoon they start to pull back. If you like it, rather than rushing in now, it’s better to wait and see if it holds up in the afternoon.
At this lunchtime level, are you already on board, or are you waiting for a pullback?
Someone asked me what I think about looking at the market chart, and the saying that came to mind was this.
In a piece about staying up late to watch the market, it talks about a principle: At 4 a.m., I was jolted awake by a liquidation warning—only people who’ve been through it truly understand that feeling. Later, I set stop-losses for all positions, and I haven’t been woken up in the middle of the night since. A good trading system should let you sleep well.
Take today’s $SUI as an example: right now it’s at 0.773600, with a 24h gain of +6.89%. This kind of market action perfectly confirms the principle above. It’s not coincidence—it’s the repetition of human nature reflected in the chart.
This may sound simple, but there’s still a lot of tuition to pay before you can actually do it.
I swept through the market early today, and $UNI is kind of interesting— it directly surged by -3.82%.
Right now the price is 5.7420, with intraday high/low at 6.3800 / 5.6780. Trading volume is 113 million USDT, which suggests there is active buying—it's not random retail FOMO.
For coins that suddenly see a volume spike in the early session, the most common scenarios are two: either smart money got wind of a favorable catalyst early, or the main players are testing the market. Either way, the biggest thing to fear right now is blindly chasing. It has already run so much—going in now has higher risk than upside.
If you’re already in, watch the 5.6780 level. If it breaks, you should exit. If you haven’t entered yet, it’s better to wait for a pullback to a support area before considering it.
Beyond the chart, let me say something I’ve been thinking about for a long time.
In Zeng Guofan’s approach, there’s a principle: “Build solid defenses and fight a dull battle.” Zeng Guofan used these six words to defeat the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom. Applied to trading, it means: first make your defense rock-solid—don’t chase clever tricks; use the most straightforward method to repeat the right things.
Take today’s $ETH as an example: at the moment, 2,380, 24h -1.18%. This kind of chart action perfectly confirms the principle above. It’s not a coincidence—it’s human nature repeating itself in the market.
Everyone has heard the principles. What’s hard is whether you can do it when the moment actually comes.
Having some extra ammunition is stronger than anything else.