AI encryption sector surged 54% in a single month, leading the market; tokenized US stocks break the one-billion milestone, as traditional finance and the crypto world accelerate their integration
I. AI crypto sector rockets in September, far outperforming the broader market
According to Grayscale’s latest research report, the AI crypto sector recorded an astonishing 54% gain in September, far outpacing the overall crypto market’s 24% rise. Among them, NEAR led the way with a 183% monthly increase, followed by Venice, which rose 70%; Bittensor (TAO) also posted a 47% month-on-month gain. Despite the impressive performance, the AI crypto sector’s total market cap is only about $15 billion, making it the smallest of Grayscale’s six crypto categories—meaning there is still enormous room for future growth.
However, a warning from Bank of America suggests that current concentration in AI stocks is already comparable to the peak of the 2000 internet bubble, urging investors to closely watch for signs of overheating. This warning is worth taking seriously, because historical experience indicates that when investment enthusiasm in a given sector becomes overly concentrated, it often signals that adjustment risk is building.
II. BNB Chain tokenized stocks cross the one-billion-dollar mark
BNB Chain became the first blockchain globally to surpass $1 billion in the size of tokenized stocks and ETFs. On-chain RWA (real-world assets) trading volume surged 10,164% year over year. Visa’s stablecoin-linked card payments grew by about 200% year over year, further cementing BNB Chain’s leading position in RWA infrastructure. Geoffrey Kendrick of Standard Chartered listed tokenized networks as key winners, sending a strong signal that institutional capital continues to flow in.
From the performance of tokenized U.S. stock contracts, the AIN contract topped the list with a 197.8% gain. Its price jumped from a low of $0.0231 to the $0.0856 range, and trading volume exceeded $550 million. The SPORTFUN contract rose 27.6%, and the STRK contract rose 22.6%, indicating that market enthusiasm for tokenized assets tied to technology and sports concepts remains strong.
III. Weak U.S. employment data; Fed policy direction draws attention
U.S. September nonfarm payrolls came in far below expectations, adding only 22,000 jobs—well below the market’s forecast of 90,000. This data pushed the CME FedWatch tool’s probability estimate for the October rate being held unchanged up to about 78%. However, one notable contradiction is that although employment data was weak, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury briefly broke above 5.3%, suggesting the market is more concerned about long-term fiscal sustainability than short-term rate-hike risk.
Amid macro uncertainty, after Bitcoin briefly broke above $87,000, it later fell back to below $84,000, with increased selling pressure from whales amplifying short-term volatility. Against this backdrop, the SEC approved six new triple-leveraged futures ETPs covering Bitcoin, Ethereum, as well as commodities such as gold, silver, and crude oil—providing retail and institutional investors with more options for leveraged crypto exposure.
IV. Regulatory developments and industry risks coexist
The SEC paused its review of crypto ETFs due to a government funding shutdown, a development that drew widespread market attention. Meanwhile, the American Independent Community Bankers Association (ICBA) filed a lawsuit against the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), accusing it of going beyond its authority by issuing national trust bank licenses to crypto firms such as Circle, Ripple, BitGo, and Paxos. This lawsuit could reshape how crypto companies gain access to the U.S. banking system.
On the security front, the total value of crypto industry hacking attacks in September reached $766 million, up 462% year over year. However, NEAR Intents successfully recovered all $3.8 million of stolen funds, becoming one of the few positive cases. Meanwhile, Ethereum’s Layer 2 network Blast announced its closure after TVL plunged from $2.2 billion to $32 million, again highlighting the severe survival challenge faced by L2 projects lacking a sustainable revenue model.
V. Summary and outlook
The market is currently shaped by a triple pattern: AI-themed concepts strongly lead the way; tokenized U.S. stocks expand rapidly; and traditional finance’s regulatory framework continues to be contested. While investors chase high yields in AI crypto sectors, they need to be alert to the risk of overheating valuations. The rapid development of tokenized U.S. stocks is breaking down barriers between traditional finance and the crypto world, but regulatory uncertainty remains the biggest variable. It is advisable for investors to stay rational, track the Fed’s policy direction and SEC regulatory developments, and seize structural opportunities under the condition that risks are controllable.
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