$TON TON/USDT Trade Setup – Precision Playbook for the Bulls
📋 1. Trade Plan
🎯 Entry Zone: $3.85 – $3.92 (Buy on minor retrace to EMA(7)/support)
🛡 Stop Loss: $3.78 (Below short-term support & EMA(25))
🏁 Take Profits:
TP1: $4.05 – Test of psychological resistance
TP2: $4.18 – Potential breakout extension
TP3: $4.35+ – Parabolic move zone if volume surges
⚖️ 2. Risk-Reward Ratio
✅ Strong RRR: Ranges from 2:1 to 4.5:1 depending on target level and entry execution. Clean trend continuation play.
📉 3. Technical Breakdown
Market Structure:
Bullish breakout from tight range with clean higher highs and higher lows
EMA(7) and EMA(25) sharply angled upward — strong momentum
Support & Resistance:
Support: $3.78 – $3.85 (confluence of EMA(25) and structure retest)
Resistance: $3.98 (local high), $4.05, then blue sky potential to $4.18+
Volume Profile:
Volume spike on breakout confirms strong buyer interest
Watching for sustained volume above average for move to continue
Indicators:
RSI: 72.7 – Approaching overbought, but bullish when trending
Williams %R: -16.5 – Strong bullish momentum, but ripe for small pullback
MA Confluence: Price comfortably above MA(5), MA(10), and EMA(99) — long-term trend intact
🛠 4. Trade Management
Entry Confirmation: Look for retest of $3.85–$3.90 with supportive candle or volume spike
Stop Loss Adjustment: Trail SL under EMA(25) once price hits TP1
TP Strategy:
Partial take at TP1
Let runner ride toward TP2 & TP3 if momentum and volume align
Red Flag: If price closes below $3.78 on volume, step out
🧠 5. Final Thoughts
Bias: Bullish Momentum
Why? Clean trend breakout, strong volume confirmation, and bullish market sentiment
Risks: RSI overheated short term, may see quick pullback — avoid chasing green candles
This is a momentum breakout play. If you miss the dip, don’t FOMO – let it set up again. Smart entries = stress-free exits.
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