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Crypto stocks fell in U.S. pre-market trading on Thursday, October 22, with Coinbase and Strategy both down about 5%, after China’s CSI 300 index closed in a bear market and a tech sell-off spread across Asia. Nasdaq 100 futures were down 1.6%, and Bitcoin slipped 2.1% to $81,686.
The move erases much of a short rebound. From Monday’s close to Wednesday’s, Strategy (MSTR) gained 12.8% and Circle (CRCL) 10.2% as Bitcoin briefly climbed back above $84,000.
ABSOLUTE BLOODBATH IN ASIAN MARKETS NIKKEI SEMICONDUCTOR INDEX: -5.28% HANG SENG TECH: -5.04% KOSPI: -3.52% NIKKEI 225: -2.65% NASDAQ FUTURES ARE DOWN ABOUT 1.6% THE U.S. CASH MARKET HASN’T EVEN OPENED YET pic.twitter.com/ySz48TAUbP
— Leshka.eth (@leshka_eth) October 22, 2026
Is China Really in a Bear Market?
Yes, by the standard definition. The CSI 300, which tracks the 300 largest companies listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen, fell 1.8% to 4,036.30 on Thursday. That leaves it 20.2% below its June 22 closing high of 5,059.66, past the 20% threshold that marks a bear market, Sina Finance data shows.
The decline has been gradual. The index has closed lower for nine straight weeks and is on course for a tenth. Not every Chinese benchmark has crossed the line, however: the broader Shanghai Composite is about 14% below its May high.
The pressure was regional. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 3.0% and Japan’s Nikkei 225 lost 2.7%. Chinese tech shares in Hong Kong had their worst session since the April 2025 tariff shock, citing Bloomberg’s David Ingles. Brent crude above $112 a barrel and fresh doubts about AI spending after mixed U.S. earnings weighed on sentiment.
Hong Kong’s tech benchmark now trades more than 40% below its peak, at about 13 times forward earnings. It has given back nearly all of its gains since Beijing’s stimulus package of September 24, 2024. For global investors, that removes one of the few markets that had offered relief from expensive U.S. technology stocks.
How Are Crypto Stocks Trading?
U.S.-listed crypto stocks gave back between 4% and 6% before the open, roughly three times the drop in Nasdaq futures. The sector entered the session with little room for error: Coinbase was already down 25% for the year at Wednesday’s close, while Strategy was roughly flat.
Stock Wednesday close Pre-market Change From 2026 closing high Coinbase (COIN) $177.08 $169.00 −4.6% −34% Strategy (MSTR) $153.48 $144.80 −5.7% −26% Robinhood (HOOD) $101.93 $97.28 −4.6% −22% Circle (CRCL) $89.71 $85.51 −4.7% −36% IREN (IREN) $27.84 $26.68 −4.2% −61% MARA Holdings (MARA) $7.79 $7.44 −4.5% −50%
Source: Yahoo Finance, pre-market prices at 8:54 a.m. ET
Crypto stocks listed in Asia held up better than their local benchmarks. Japan’s Metaplanet, which holds Bitcoin as a treasury asset, fell 2.2%. In Hong Kong, exchange operators HashKey and OSL Group lost 2.3% and 1.3%, against the Hang Seng’s 3.0% decline.
Bitcoin miners entered the week already under pressure. Many now rent out their data centers to AI companies, so they trade alongside AI infrastructure stocks. When September’s inflation reading came in at 3.7% on October 14 and revived bets on a rate hike, AI infrastructure stocks sold off. IREN fell 23.3% that week and MARA 22.0%.
What Comes Next for Crypto Stocks?
Much depends on Bitcoin. It has fallen from above $84,000 on Wednesday to under $82,000, and it remains 6.5% below its September high. Crypto stocks tend to amplify those moves in both directions, and a firm close in Bitcoin would likely limit the damage at the U.S. open.
Rates are the second test. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield sits near 5.08%, and the Federal Reserve’s decision on October 28 will show whether policymakers share the market’s concern about inflation. The same oil shock keeping Bitcoin under $82,000 is feeding that debate.
China’s bear market is unlikely to drive crypto stocks on its own. It does add to a cautious mood in which investors are selling high-beta assets first. For Coinbase and Strategy, holding this week’s gains will require Bitcoin to stabilize above $80,000.
Crypto Expert Report: What Are the 10 Next Crypto to Explode in 2026?
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BTC’s link to oil turned sharply negative in October. The U.S. election calendar may explain why. Bitcoin fell 1.9% to $81,755 on Thursday, October 22, while Brent crude jumped 3.2% to $112.31 a barrel.
The New York Times reported that U.S. and Israeli forces have drawn up plans to resume strikes on Iran once the November 3 midterm elections are over. The ETF money didn’t help. U.S. spot BTC funds took in about $1.07 billion from Monday to Wednesday.
So how tightly is the Bitcoin price tied to oil now, and is Washington simply waiting for the votes to be counted?
BREAKING: Trump hints at striking Iran BEFORE midterms. Asked by reporters about negotiations with Iran, Trump says: “No, I think we’re not negotiating.” “We are going to have something one way or the other that’ll happen fairly soon.” “Most people seem to think it’s after the… pic.twitter.com/VltIgyE8l4
— Coin Bureau (@coinbureau) October 22, 2026
How Correlated Are BTC and Oil Right Now?
Tightly, and in opposite directions. Over the last 30 trading days, the correlation between BTC’s and Brent’s daily moves sits at −0.59, the lowest reading since at least June 2025. A reading of −1 would mean they always move in opposite directions.
That is new. Over two years, the same measure is −0.04, which is close to no link at all. Since the Iran war began on February 28, it is −0.19. October is when oil days became BTC’s bad days.
The two can still trend the same way over months. Brent is up 55% since the war began, and BTC is up 24% since February 27. It’s day-to-day that they now clash.
Discover: Bitcoin Is Down 23% in a Year While Oil Rose 79%. J.P. Morgan Still Ranks It First for the Next Decade
Is the U.S. Waiting Until After the Midterms to Hit Iran?
That is what the plans suggest. The Times, citing U.S. officials, described a “short but intensive” campaign against Iran’s nuclear sites, missiles, and energy infrastructure, timed for after the vote. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth discussed it with Benjamin Netanyahu in Israel this week.
Nothing is approved. Trump has vetoed a return to major combat several times this year, and the White House said it doesn’t comment on plans “that may or may not exist.” Oil traders aren’t waiting to find out. Brent is up about $9 since Trump’s October 8 post.
The midterms are also influencing Bitcoin and oil prices. How? Through gas prices. Gasoline averaged $4.36 a gallon earlier this month, AAA data shows, and Trump has floated suspending the federal gas tax. Trump’s approval hit a record-low 31%, with Americans worried about gasoline prices.
That gives the White House a reason to keep oil calm until November 3. On October 8, Trump posted that “we will not be attacking Iran at any time prior to the Midterm Elections,” and Brent fell to $103 the same day.
Discover: Large-Fund Redemptions Expose a Split in Bitcoin ETF Flows
Why Doesn’t ETF Buying Lift Bitcoin?
Bitcoin ETF Flow
Because rates matter more. BlackRock’s IBIT took in $665.2 million on Monday alone, Farside data shows, yet BTC is barely changed from a week ago.
Oil feeds inflation, and inflation feeds rates. September’s consumer prices rose 3.7% from a year earlier, with gasoline up 9.1% in the month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported, and the 10-year Treasury yield sits above 5.1%. When bonds pay 5%, a coin that pays nothing needs a lot of buying just to stand still.
BTC still trades like a stock. Over the past month, its correlation with the S&P 500 is +0.60.
The post Bitcoin Slips Under $82,000 as Brent Tops $112: Is Washington Waiting for the Midterms Before Striking Iran Again? appeared first on Tokenist.

Elon Musk’s Grok AI predicts that something potentially transformative could be building for SpaceX (SPCX) by January 1, 2027. The catalyst is SpaceX successfully completing the first crewed interplanetary mission architecture demonstration.
This would involve a rapid, reusable Starship flight sequence that validates reliable cargo and crew transport capabilities between Earth and Mars, achieved years earlier than anticipated.
Grok AI Predicts a Huge Move for SpaceX (SPCX)
At the same time, SpaceX would secure exclusive, multi-decade contracts from major governments and private consortia to develop the orbital and surface infrastructure needed for permanent human settlements. This would elevate SpaceX from being a dominant launch and satellite company to the clear leader in the emerging multi-planetary economy.
This comes as SPCX trades at $159 after a volatile launch, ranging between $107 and $210 in just four months since going public. The Grok AI prediction at the end of this article is so unbelievably bullish that it will make readers wonder whether Elon Musk’s AI bot is biased.
SpaceX Technical Analysis: Can $200 be Reclaimed Before November?
SOURCE: Yahoo Finance
Since its June 2026 IPO, SPCX has traded in a wide range, with recent price action consolidating in the mid-to-high $140s to low $160s after earlier volatility that saw highs above $220 and lows near $105. The stock has been forming higher lows in recent sessions while testing resistance near recent local peaks.
In a strong continuation move, a sustained breakout above the $180–$200 zone would confirm intermediate momentum and open the path toward retesting prior highs.
Under the extreme interplanetary infrastructure adoption scenario outlined above, clearing those levels would likely trigger powerful measured-move extensions and valuation multiple expansion typical of paradigm-shifting technology companies.
Momentum indicators currently sit in neutral-to-improving territory with room to extend if a major operational breakthrough materializes. Key nearer-term supports sit in the $140–$145 and $125–$130 zones.
Discover: Oil, Yields and Liquidations Stack Pressure on Bitcoin
What Other Catalysts Could Spark a Huge Move for SpaceX?
BREAKING: $SPCX announced a 161% jump in its yearly revenue in its latest Q3 earnings report, mainly driven by Starlink and AI. Revenue came in at $14.6 Billion v/s 12.9Billion expected. EPS came in higher at 35 cents v/s 13 cents expected. There are bullish sentiments about… pic.twitter.com/Qx6fC93eGd
— Bull Theory (@BullTheoryio) October 20, 2026
Several more plausible developments could still meaningfully support a bullish case. Two key factors are continued rapid growth in Starlink subscribers and revenue and successful high-cadence Starship orbital refueling demonstrations.
Major new government or commercial launch contracts, progress on direct-to-cell satellite connectivity, and positive developments around potential strategic partnerships or deeper integration with other high-growth technology platforms would also help sustain elevated valuations.
Stronger-than-expected earnings growth and margin expansion, as launch costs continue to decline, would also provide fundamental support for Grok AI’s insanely bullish prediction.
Grok AI Predicts SpaceX: The Big SPCX Reveal
Under this highly speculative scenario, SpaceX (SPCX) shares could reach somewhere between $450 and $800, with a stretch target toward $1,200+ by January 1, 2027 (implying a multi-trillion-dollar market capitalization well beyond current levels).
This remains pure speculation and entertainment, not a realistic base-case outlook. The catalyst would require extraordinary technical and commercial execution that is currently highly unlikely.
Crypto Expert Report: What Are the 10 Next Crypto to Explode in 2026?
The post Grok AI Predicts an Insane Price for SpaceX (SPCX): Is Grok Biased? appeared first on Tokenist.

Bitcoin traded at $83,411 on Wednesday, October 21, up 2.51% in 24 hours, but still 23% below where it stood a year ago. Oil prices near $110 a barrel and a Federal Reserve back in hiking mode kept pressure on risk assets. Over the same 12 months, Brent crude has climbed 79%, the S&P 500 has gained 15% and gold is roughly flat.
BTC is the only one of the four in the red. And yet J.P. Morgan Asset Management just ranked it first for returns over the next decade.
So what has been holding the Bitcoin price back, and what would have to change?
Bitcoin vs Oil, Stocks and Gold: What Changed in a Year?
Oil changed. Brent closed at $61.32 a barrel on October 21, 2025, and trades at about $110 today, after a war with Iran disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz for much of 2026. BTC went the other way. It hit its record of $126,080 on October 6, 2025, and sits 34% below it now.
The link is inflation. September’s consumer prices rose 3.7% from a year earlier, with gasoline up 9.1% in the month alone, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on October 14. The Fed had already delivered a quarter-point rate hike, taking its target to 3.75%–4% on September 16, and the 10-year Treasury yield has risen from 3.96% to 5.12% over the year.
When cash and bonds pay 5%, a coin that pays nothing has to work harder for buyers. Stocks had earnings to lean on. BTC didn’t.
Discover: Oil, Yields and Liquidations Stack Pressure on Bitcoin
What Is J.P. Morgan’s BTC Forecast Based On?
A 10% return a year for the next decade, the highest number in the bank’s 2027 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions, ahead of U.S. real estate trusts at 8.2%, U.S. large caps at 7.5% and gold at 5.5%. It is the first J.P. Morgan Bitcoin forecast in the report’s 31 years. Strategy’s Michael Saylor shared the table on X within hours.
The fine print is less cheerful. The report also lays out a bull case of 16.6% a year and a bear case of minus 11.2%, starting from $83,000 at the end of September. Compounded to 2036, that is roughly:
Base case: $215,000 per BTC.
Bull case: $386,000.
Bear case: $25,000.
That range comes from 55% expected yearly volatility, more than three times gold’s 17.2%. The authors call it “a speculative asset and a hedge against monetary easing” and keep it out of their main portfolio models for now.
That “hedge against monetary easing” line is the key one. J.P. Morgan’s case needs the Fed to stop raising rates at some point, which brings the story back to oil.
Bitcoin Price: Which Levels Matter Before the Fed?
BTCUSDT Chart 1D https://www.tradingview.com/x/pvrXTCff
The ceiling: $84,146 to $84,352, the October 12–14 highs.
The next target: $87,220, the last major swing high.
The first floor: $82,563 to $82,850, a swing low and the old ceiling Bitcoin just closed above.
The real floor: $80,394 to $80,796, where a swing low meets the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA).
In the bull case, a confirmed U.S.–Iran deal sends oil lower and BTC through $87,220 before the Fed’s October 27–28 meeting. In the base case, it chops between $80,394 and $84,352 as headlines come and go. In the bear case, another denial pushes Brent above $111 and BTC below $80,394, with the 200-day EMA at $76,116 the next stop.
A year ago, BTC had just set a record and oil was at $61. Both have flipped since, and J.P. Morgan’s 10% only starts to look reachable once oil flips back.
The post Bitcoin Is Down 23% in a Year While Oil Rose 79%. J.P. Morgan Still Ranks It First for the Next Decade appeared first on Tokenist.

Sam Altman’s ChatGPT AI predicts prices for three of the most popular pure-play quantum computing stocks as of January 1, 2027. As of October 21, 2026, the leading pure-play quantum computing stocks by market cap and investor attention are IonQ (IONQ), D-Wave Quantum (QBTS), and Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT).
Quantum computing stocks are closely tied to Bitcoin, as the disruptive technology could put cryptocurrencies at risk by breaching seed phrases and nullifying current security measures. These three stocks are worth watching for anyone invested in the digital asset space.
SOURCE: ChatGPT AI Predicts Price for Quantum Computing Stocks
These predictions assume continued positive sector momentum, progress toward technical milestones (such as error correction and system scaling), government and defense funding, and broader risk-on conditions in speculative tech.
Read on to find out which stock OpenAI’s ChatGPT believes has the highest upside potential between now and January 1, 2027:
Quantum computing stocks: long-term opportunity, early-stage risk Quantum computing could become an important layer of next-generation infrastructure, especially where classical systems face limits in energy, speed, or complexity. Growth is supported by AI workloads, sovereign… pic.twitter.com/dRhwspOruj
— Sergey (@SergeyCYW) July 6, 2026
ChatGPT AI Predicts IonQ (IONQ): Current Price ~$31.26
Bullish target by January 1, 2027: $45–$55. IonQ is the largest pure-play by market cap and a leader in trapped-ion technology. A move into the mid-$40s to mid-$50s would represent solid upside if the company continues advancing DARPA-related work and hybrid quantum-classical integrations.
Technical analysis: IONQ has been consolidating after earlier 2026 volatility, holding above key intermediate supports in the high-$20s while facing resistance near recent swing highs.
A sustained break above the $35–$38 zone with expanding volume would confirm intermediate bullish momentum and open measured-move targets toward $45–$55. RSI sits in neutral territory with room to run higher, while the stock continues to respect longer-term rising moving averages on the weekly chart.
SOURCE: Yahoo Finance
Crypto Expert Report: What Are the 10 Next Crypto to Explode in 2026?
D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) Current price: ~$11.78
Bullish target by January 1, 2027: $18–$25. D-Wave’s quantum annealing approach and cloud access give it a commercial edge in optimization problems. A push into the high teens to mid-$20s is plausible on positive contract or partnership news.
Technical analysis: QBTS is trading near multi-month support after a broader pullback in quantum names. Price is stabilizing above the $11–$11.50 area.
A decisive reclaim of the $13–$14 resistance band would signal a shift in short-term control and support an extension toward the $18–$25 zone via Fibonacci and prior swing projections. Momentum indicators are oversold to neutral, leaving room for a relief rally if sector sentiment improves.
Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT)Current price: ~$6.50
SOURCE: TradingView
Bullish target by January 1, 2027: $10–$14. As a smaller, photonics-focused pure-play, QUBT offers higher-beta exposure. A double-digit move is possible on sector-wide optimism or company-specific progress.
Technical analysis: QUBT is consolidating near recent lows after a prolonged downtrend. Support sits around $6.00–$6.20, with initial resistance near $7.50–$8.00.
A breakout above the latter with volume confirmation would open the path to the $10–$14 region based on prior range projections. Momentum is stabilizing, and the stock often amplifies moves in the broader quantum group.
Crypto Expert Report: Follow The Money – Which Presales Are Attracting Crypto Whales in 2026?
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JP Morgan made its USD-denominated deposit token, JPM Coin (JPMD), available on Ethereum on October 19, 2026, adding a second public blockchain for institutional clients. Kinexys, the bank’s blockchain unit, reports more than $4 trillion in cumulative transactions and $7Bn in average daily volume across its platform.
Launched in November 2025, JPMD was already available on Base, an Ethereum Layer 2 network. Ethereum offers approved clients another network for moving the token, placing bank-backed dollar liquidity alongside tokenized assets and other institutional activity.
JPMorgan cited Ethereum’s established liquidity and depth in tokenized assets, and already has a presence there through tokenized money-market funds launched by its asset management arm earlier in 2026.
The expansion reflects a broader shift toward shared institutional settlement infrastructure, where cash and tokenized assets operate on the same network. JPMD adds a bank deposit product to an ecosystem spanning multiple asset types.
JP Morgan Crypto: JPMD Token Brings Bank Deposits to Ethereum for Institutional Clients
News: JPM Coin (JPMD), @jpmorgan's USD deposit token, is now live on @ethereum. JPMD extends from Base to Ethereum L1, giving institutional clients native onchain cash that sits alongside the assets, collateral and counterparties they transact with already. J.P. Morgan has now… pic.twitter.com/fNYAGoT3Pb
— Ethereum Institutional (@ethereuminsti) October 19, 2026
JPM Coin represents US dollar deposits held at JP Morgan. The bank says the token supports peer-to-peer transfers between institutional clients within the Ethereum Virtual Machine ecosystem, including both Ethereum and Base, and is available to J.P. Morgan institutional clients.
That access model distinguishes JPMD from a retail stablecoin. JP Morgan presents the token as a way for institutional clients to move bank money on-chain, not as a product for general public trading or unrestricted wallet transfers.
Public blockchain infrastructure alone does not make the token an open-access asset: JPMD remains tied to the bank’s institutional client relationships.
JPMorgan describes JPM Coin as an on-chain base-liquidity layer for USD deposits. The bank says it can reduce friction in digital-asset transactions and support faster movement of money, assets, and collateral used by institutional clients.
The distinction is part of the wider debate over how tokenized bank deposits relate to stablecoins. JPMD puts JP Morgan deposit money on a public network, while its institutional availability preserves a different distribution model from stablecoins intended for broad market circulation. That contrast is central to the changing relationship between stablecoins and banks.
Crypto Expert Report: Follow The Money – Which Presales Are Attracting Crypto Whales in 2026?
Ethereum Adds Another Rail for Institutional Tokenized Finance
JPMorgan is bringing JPM Coin to Ethereum for institutional clients. The token represents dollar deposits held at the bank. It launched on Coinbase's Base network in November 2025. JPMorgan says Ethereum has more liquidity than rival networks and is already used by its clients.… pic.twitter.com/DAiXZReaks
— DeFAI Scope (@defaiscope) October 19, 2026
JPMorgan cited Ethereum’s liquidity and depth in tokenized assets as reasons for adding the network. With JPMD now available there, the bank’s institutional clients can use its onchain dollar deposit alongside tokenized offerings already on Ethereum, including money-market funds from JP Morgan Asset Management.
The official announcement frames the deployment as a way to place native onchain cash alongside the assets, collateral, and counterparties institutional clients already use. Potential applications include programmable treasury operations, faster transfers, and reduced friction in on-chain digital-asset transactions.
Those use cases make the move relevant to tokenized finance beyond payments alone: settlement depends on cash being available where assets and counterparties transact. A bank deposit token on Ethereum offers another route for institutions to coordinate those flows on public-chain infrastructure while retaining a bank-mediated access model.
Kinexys reports more than $4 trillion in cumulative transactions since inception and an average daily transaction volume of $7Bn, calculated from internal volume and value data. Those platform-wide figures are not JPMD-specific; JPMorgan’s announcement does not provide a separate JPMD transaction total.
The next measure of the expansion will be how JPMorgan’s institutional clients use the additional network in settlement and treasury workflows. For now, the concrete change is that JPMD is available on Ethereum and Base, with access still limited to the bank’s institutional clients.
Crypto Expert Report: What Are the 10 Next Crypto to Explode in 2026?
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
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J.P. Morgan Asset Management now includes a 10% expected compounded annual return for Bitcoin over 10 to 15 years in its long-term capital-market assumptions. Still, the asset remains outside the firm’s main portfolio-construction covariance matrices.
The split captures the key institutional tension: Bitcoin has entered formal return research, while its 55% modeled volatility and unstable correlations with traditional assets still complicate its use as a strategic allocation.
BREAKING: JP Morgan adds Bitcoin to their Long-Term Capital Markets Assumptions paper and predict it will be the best-performing asset of the next decade. pic.twitter.com/1yl9RiyKuh
— Simply Bitcoin (@SimplyBitcoin) October 20, 2026
The forecast is part of the firm’s 2027 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions, its 31st annual edition. The official report frames these projections around a 10- to 15-year horizon and presents return assumptions by major asset class alongside the reasoning behind them.
The immediate question for institutional investors, therefore, is not simply what return Bitcoin might deliver, but whether that modeled return can fit into portfolio allocation frameworks.
What Does J.P. Morgan Actually Say About Bitcoin in the Long Term?
Source: JP Morgan
The 2027 edition adds Bitcoin coverage for the first time, extending the firm’s long-term return analysis to the cryptocurrency. Its 10% expected compounded annual return is a modeled assumption over the next 10 to 15 years, not a prediction of 10% gains every calendar year. It is a planning assumption, not a price target, short-term trading signal, or promise of steady returns.
J.P. Morgan Asset Management’s long-term capital market assumptions project returns across major asset classes and explain the underlying rationale. They offer a framework for comparing prospective returns over a long horizon, treating each asset’s modeled return as one of several inputs. Bitcoin’s inclusion gives it a place in this research, while keeping it separate from the main portfolio-construction framework.
This is a meaningful shift in institutional research, but not a portfolio recommendation. The report neither sets a Bitcoin allocation nor directs institutions to invest. It estimates a long-term return while leaving portfolio suitability to considerations such as risk and the asset’s relationship with other holdings.
This distinction matters alongside evidence of institutional exposure, such as Bitcoin ETF positions reported in filings. Holdings show institutional exposure; return assumptions place Bitcoin in a long-term analytical framework. Neither establishes a general portfolio weighting.
Crypto Expert Report: What Are the 10 Next Crypto to Explode in 2026?
Volatility and Unstable Correlations Keep Bitcoin Outside Core Matrices
SOURCE: TradingView
J.P. Morgan’s main constraint is Bitcoin’s modeled 55% volatility and unstable correlations with other assets. Because these correlations complicate strategic allocation, the firm excludes Bitcoin from the covariance matrices in its core portfolio-construction framework, separating return estimates from allocation decisions.
Covariance estimates measure how assets move relative to one another. Strategic allocation depends not only on an asset’s expected return but also on how it affects overall portfolio risk. Unstable correlations make it harder to incorporate Bitcoin consistently alongside traditional holdings.
With modeled volatility of 55%, Bitcoin’s projected return doesn’t resemble that of a routine strategic holding. The 10% estimate cannot be viewed alone: J.P. Morgan’s approach makes volatility and correlations central to allocation. The firm considers Bitcoin in long-term return research but omits it from the core matrix used for portfolio construction.
More broadly, institutional crypto risk assessment considers how exposure interacts with portfolio and market risks. J.P. Morgan identifies Bitcoin’s volatility and unstable correlations with traditional assets as the key portfolio-construction concerns.
The Forecast is Important for Crypto but Isn’t an Allocation Signal for J.P. Morgan
For institutions, the change expands the research toolkit rather than shifts the model portfolio. J.P. Morgan has introduced a long-term Bitcoin return assumption but did not include a standard allocation weight in the report.
The firm distinguishes expected returns from whether Bitcoin’s behavior fits its strategic framework, a key point in interpreting the forecast.
A 10% annualized assumption stands out, but allocation decisions must also weigh the modeled 55% volatility and unstable correlations. Formal recognition may precede confidence in portfolio construction.
Bitcoin’s inclusion in the 2027 assumptions signals deeper institutional analysis, not a recommended allocation. The next benchmark is whether future editions incorporate Bitcoin into the core covariance framework. The current report sets a 10- to 15-year return horizon but leaves that framework unchanged.
Crypto Expert Report: Follow The Money – Which Presales Are Attracting Crypto Whales in 2026?
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Nasdaq 100 futures rose 1.3% on Monday, October 19, after a steep sell-off in US AI stocks and the wider technology sector, while S&P 500 futures gained 0.8%. The bounce offers some relief, but futures gains do not establish that the selling has run its course: inflation worries, financing concerns and questions about returns on AI investment remain unresolved.
Never seen a Saturday dump like this
What just happened to AI stocks?? pic.twitter.com/oieB8IK2kE
— The Wheelie Investor (@WheelieInvestor) October 17, 2026
The previous clear test in the primary market record came on Thursday, October 15. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 1.1%, or 550 points; the S&P 500 added 0.3%, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.1%, following declines of 1.9% and 1.1% in the Nasdaq and S&P 500 a day earlier. That earlier session was the indexes’ worst since July.
The sequence puts the central question in focus: did investors reassess the AI trade, or did they rotate temporarily toward sectors less exposed to its financing and valuation pressures? The October 15 close supports the latter interpretation more clearly than a broad recovery; Monday’s futures move is a separate, early signal, not confirmation of a reversal.
For equity holders, the distinction matters because the funding stress facing AI stocks sits alongside an inflation backdrop that could keep borrowing costs elevated. The rebound is therefore being tested against both company-level returns and the price of capital.
Sector Rotation Left US AI Stocks Shares Under Pressure
On October 15, gains in the major indexes did not reflect uniform strength in technology. CoreWeave (CRWV) closed 6% higher after falling more than 15% the previous day amid concerns about the Nvidia-backed company’s debt. Other AI-linked shares remained weak. Dell Technologies (DELL) and Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) were among the S&P 500’s worst performers for a second consecutive session.
The pressure extended to semiconductors and mega-cap technology. The iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) was down roughly 1% after dropping 4.5% on Wednesday. Nvidia (NVDA) fell nearly 2% following a 3% decline the previous session. The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS), which tracks seven major technology companies, ended down 0.3%.
By contrast, consumer and healthcare stocks helped lift the indexes. Nike (NKE) rose 6%, and Sherwin-Williams (SHW), Home Depot (HD), Walmart (WMT) and McDonald’s (MCD) also advanced. The S&P 500 healthcare sector gained about 2.5%, while energy and information technology fell 1.6% and 1.1%, respectively.
That divergence is the meaningful signal for market concentration: a positive index close can mask continued losses in the shares that drove much of the AI rally. The day’s gains point to a shift in leadership rather than proof that investors had restored confidence in the AI buildout. Crowded AI positioning makes that distinction relevant to retail investors who hold concentrated technology exposure directly or through broad indexes.
Crypto Expert Report: Follow The Money – Which Presales Are Attracting Crypto Whales in 2026?
Inflation and Earnings Keep the Rebound on Trial
Hot macro data keeps the rebound on trial. September’s Producer Price Index rose 1.3% month over month and 6.3% year over year, up from 0.4% and 5.4% in August, while retail sales rose 0.8%, twice expectations, and weekly jobless claims came in at 199,000.
CME FedWatch put the chance of a rate increase at 29% for the next meeting and of at least a quarter-point rise in December at 88%, and the 10-year Treasury yield stood near 5.09% after touching 5.33%.
Earnings are the next test, with Netflix on Tuesday and Tesla, Meta and IBM on Wednesday, and investors want evidence that US AI stocks’ demand turns into revenue, not just larger budgets. A stock bounce like CoreWeave’s does not show that financing worries have eased, so index strength is not yet an all-clear for AI exposure.
Crypto Expert Report: What Are the 10 Next Crypto to Explode in 2026?

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As of October 18, 2026, Bitcoin is trading near $81,500, with mixed technical indicators ahead of the weekly close. Shorter-term moving averages suggest a selling trend, while longer-term averages continue to support buyers.
The relative strength index (RSI) is 46, indicating an overall neutral technical rating. Support clusters around $81,000, while resistance stretches up to $82,500. This puts Bitcoin at a crucial point in its recent consolidation phase.
On October 17, Bitcoin was also around $81,500, with support at $81,000 and resistance at $82,500 defining the current market dynamics and highlighting the tight trading range.
BTC oscillators remained largely neutral, despite shorter-term moving averages favoring sellers. Although Bitcoin remains bullish on longer-term averages, a break below $80,714 could lead to a drop toward $79,694.
Bitcoin Price Stalls at $81,500 as Short-Term Bears Challenge Longer-Term Bulls
SOURCE: TradingView
Bitcoin’s price is caught in a peculiar technical standoff, trading around $81,500 on Saturday, Oct. 17, 2026, as short-term bearish moving averages clash with a much healthier longer-term structure.
With a market capitalization of approximately $1.639 trillion, $15Bn in daily trading volume, and a 24-hour range stretching from $81,108 to $81,733, the market has settled into a narrow holding pattern, leaving traders to determine whether the latest consolidation represents the beginnings of a recovery or merely a temporary reprieve before another test of support.
The one-hour chart presents a tentative recovery from the recent $80,714 low, with successive higher lows suggesting buyers are attempting to establish a foothold around $81,000. However, declining trading volume complicates that encouraging development, indicating the recovery has yet to attract convincing participation.
Immediate resistance sits between $81,700 and $82,000, and a sustained advance would bring $82,500 into view. Conversely, a retreat through $81,000 would expose the earlier hourly low and challenge the modest progress buyers have achieved.
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What Do the Four-Hour and Daily Charts Say for BTC USD Heading Into the Weekly Close?
$BTC longs are closing, price keeps bleeding, and bulls are still asking where Uptober went longs are tapping out one by one Now the real question is whether spot buyers step in or btc has to go another leg down Who's balls of steel to catch this falling knife? pic.twitter.com/eyTCm2u5Ux
— MrTranquility (@MstrTranquility) October 17, 2026
Price action is mainly clustered between $81,000 and $81,700, with neither buyers nor sellers showing enough conviction to drive a significant directional move. Order book data shows additional buy orders near $80,000, while sell orders extend into higher price ranges.
To improve the immediate technical outlook, Bitcoin would need to recover above $82,500. However, the $83,000 area poses another challenge. If Bitcoin fails to hold support at $81,000, attention will likely shift to $79,694, a critical structural support level.
On the daily chart, Bitcoin continues to form lower highs since its previous peak at $87,374, suggesting weakening upward momentum. However, the overall structure has not yet abandoned its long-term technical foundations.
The $80,000 region is particularly significant, acting as both a psychological barrier and a nearby technical reference point. Losing this level would put $79,694 and potentially $78,000 on the radar.
On the other hand, buyers must reclaim the $83,000 level for the daily outlook to improve, with $84,254 marking another significant resistance level as the weekly close looms.
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What are the Technical Indicators Saying?
#BITCOIN WEEKLY MOMENTUM AT A KEY TEST The weekly Stoch RSI is testing the 80 level. Blue crosses back above orange + holds above 80 = bullish momentum. Loses 80 at the weekly close = deeper pullback risk. Want the full Market Report? Join the mailing list … pic.twitter.com/5RzhD4Ku7B
— Crypto Crew University (@CryptoCrewU) October 17, 2026
Oscillator readings show little evidence of a decisive shift in momentum. The relative strength index (RSI) stands at 46, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions.
The Stochastic oscillator reads 27, while the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) reads 116. Additionally, the average directional index (ADX) reads 24.
In contrast, the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) level of 80 indicates bearishness, despite positive momentum and bull-bear power classifications. Overall, with eight neutral readings, directional conviction is notably absent.
The moving averages (MAs) present a more mixed picture. Bitcoin is trading below its 10-period exponential moving average (EMA) at $82,343 and its 20-period simple moving average (SMA) at $83,405, reinforcing near-term resistance.
However, the 50-period EMA at $80,416 and the 50-period SMA at $81,322 remain below the market, while both the 100-period and 200-period averages still show bullish classifications.
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Bitcoin fell to $79,800 on Oct. 15 before reaching an intraday high of $82,634, but the recovery left a weaker layer of bids beneath the $80,000 level, according to Glassnode. Large bids that had sat at $80,000 for the prior week were filled, then replaced; the remaining stack below the level was smaller after that refill.
ETF flows are another part of the demand picture, as outlined in Bitcoin ETF demand near the $80,000 support zone.
Perfect liquidity hunting pic.twitter.com/VtuZ7SUb77
— CoinGlass (@coinglass_com) October 15, 2026
Crypto Expert Report: What Are the 10 Next Crypto to Explode in 2026?
Glassnode’s $80,000 Bitcoin Order-Book Test
Glassnode’s heatmap tracked resting orders on Binance’s BTC/USDT spot book on Oct. 15. Before 13:00 UTC, bitcoin traded between $80,500 and $81,900 while a thick concentration of buy orders remained at $80,000, a level that had acted as a visible bid wall during the preceding week.
From 13:00 to 14:00 UTC, BTC slipped to $79,800 and the $80,000 orders were consumed. About 20 minutes later, Glassnode’s annotations showed a new large bid just below $80,000. Buyers then moved their bids higher between 15:00 and 18:00 UTC, as bitcoin climbed to $82,634.
A separate resting bid appeared near $82,000 during the evening, and the source reported that price held above it afterward.
Liquidations Helped the Rebound, but Do Not Prove Demand
Liquidation Heatmap Coinglass
About $930 million in leveraged positions were wiped out during the dip, including approximately $780 million in long positions.
During the subsequent recovery, roughly $53 million in short positions were liquidated. That short squeeze helped BTC move back above $82,000, but the source characterized the effect as a one-time lift rather than sustained buying: liquidations close existing positions and do not, by themselves, create continuing spot demand.
The distinction matters for interpreting the price action. A rebound driven partly by short covering can lift prices quickly while leaving the market dependent on new buyers to maintain the advance. If bids below $80,000 are thinner, the depth available to absorb another wave of selling becomes an important part of the next test. The interaction between crowded leverage and forced liquidations can magnify moves when liquidity is limited.
Crypto Expert Report: What is the Best Meme Coin to Buy and Forget Until the Next Bullrun?
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A 0.6% monthly rise in September CPI weighed on markets on October 14, hitting AI-linked stocks hard and pulling Bitcoin from above $84,000 toward the low-$82,000s. For US crypto, the episode showed how quickly higher rates can pressure both capital-intensive businesses and high-beta assets.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported annual headline inflation of 3.7%, up from 3.4% in August, while core CPI rose 0.3% on the month and 2.6% over 12 months.
The central question is whether rising borrowing costs are becoming a shared valuation risk for AI and crypto, even as the companies best able to fund AI spending look comparatively resilient.
BREAKING: September PPI Inflation unexpectedly rises to 6.3%, above expectations of 5.3%.
Core PPI Inflation rose to 5.0%, above expectations of 4.4%
PPI inflation is now at its second highest level since November 2022.
The odds of rate hikes are rising sharply on the news.
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) October 15, 2026
Crypto Expert Report: What Are the 10 Next Crypto to Explode in 2026?
Why Are Rising Yields Hurting AI Infrastructure Stocks?
The losses were concentrated in companies tied to AI infrastructure. CoreWeave fell 16%, Nebius lost 11%, Oracle declined 9% and Dell dropped 11%, together erasing about $80 billion in market value, Reuters reported. These businesses depend on heavy investment and outside financing, so higher discount rates and funding costs hit them first. The selloff also followed a large run-up, with Dell shares having quadrupled this year.
CoreWeave shows the funding risk most clearly. LSEG data cited by Reuters shows it has issued $22 billion of bonds and $26 billion of loans, and a bond sold in June at a 9.625% yield recently traded at 15%. The 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.63% on Wednesday before pulling back.
Ross Mayfield of Baird said long rates above 5% and creeping toward 6% are “a problem for the marginal borrower.” The AI trade is not uniformly impaired: investors stayed confident in profitable spenders such as Nvidia, Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta and Amazon.
The risk from crowded AI-stock valuations is therefore relevant to the way rate-sensitive losses can spread beyond companies with the most immediate borrowing needs.
Does the Rate Move Explain the Fall in US Crypto?
BTCUSDT Chart 1D TradingView
Bitcoin’s retreat fits the same pattern. When yields rise, investors can cut exposure to assets that depend on risk appetite and pay no interest, including crypto and high-growth equities. The link has limits, though.
The episode also does not settle Bitcoin’s longer-term role as an inflation hedge. It shows that in this session Bitcoin fell as yields rose, and that US crypto remains sensitive to the cost of capital alongside crypto-specific catalysts.
The next tests are later CPI reports, long-term Treasury yields, evidence that AI spending is producing earnings, and the terms on which less-profitable firms can refinance.
A persistent rise in yields would widen the financing gap between strong and marginal borrowers; a reversal would ease one source of pressure without answering questions about AI returns or crypto’s sensitivity to risk appetite.
A single session is not a trend, so macro conditions deserve attention alongside crypto-specific news.
Crypto Expert Report: What is the Best Meme Coin to Buy and Forget Until the Next Bullrun?
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Bitwise’s BITB attracted $2.2 million on October 14 as U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $261.4 million in net outflows. Fidelity’s FBTC and BlackRock’s IBIT accounted for the reported bulk of withdrawals.
The Farside-linked figures show $152.7 million leaving FBTC and $110.9 million leaving IBIT. Together, those redemptions total $263.6 million, and BITB’s $2.2 million inflow brought the reported net loss to $261.4 million.
Bitcoin trades near $80,997, down 2.4% in the last 24 hours, after slipping below the $81,776 level. The next key support sits near $76,000, while the 200-day moving average is at $72,284.
Bitcoin ETF Flow Farside
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Bitcoin ETFs Flow: October’s Reversals Put One Outflow Day in Context
According to SoSoValue, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $261 million in net outflows on October 14, with Bitwise's BITB posting the largest inflow at $2.22 million. Spot Ethereum ETFs saw $130 million in net outflows, led by BlackRock's ETHA with $110 million. pic.twitter.com/4HW9quMOVz
— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) October 15, 2026
The October 14 result followed sharply changing daily flows. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded nearly $487 million in outflows on October 7, then $175.7 million in net inflows on October 13, before returning to net outflows the following day. Spot Ethereum ETFs also saw $130 million in reported net outflows on October 14, indicating that the retreat extended beyond Bitcoin funds.
ETF creations and redemptions can connect those flows to the spot market. When demand brings money into a fund, it creates shares and acquires Bitcoin to back them; when investors redeem shares, the fund may sell underlying Bitcoin. That creates potential spot-market selling pressure, although a daily flow figure alone does not establish how much selling occurred or how the wider market absorbed it.
Since launching in January 2024, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated more than $54 billion in net inflows, according to the primary-source account. Their combined assets were estimated at approximately $100 billion to $107 billion by mid-October.
Why Concentrated FBTC and IBIT Redemptions Matter
BTCUSDT Chart 1D
FBTC and IBIT are the largest funds by assets, so their dollar flows can be sizeable in either direction. When redemptions are concentrated in these products, they may carry more weight in the spot market than a similar percentage move in a smaller fund.
BITB’s $2.2 million gain was modest beside the reported withdrawals from FBTC and IBIT; it marks a fund-level exception, not evidence of a broad inflow trend.
Previous Bitcoin ETF redemptions involving BlackRock and Fidelity likewise illustrate why flows from the largest issuers warrant attention. The next useful signal is whether subsequent daily reports confirm a sustained direction or another reversal.
Crypto Expert Report: Follow The Money – Which Presales Are Attracting Crypto Whales in 2026?
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CoinDepo has added SUI following a community governance vote, giving COINDEPO token holders another completed example of how their decisions influence the platform.
The integration follows the earlier addition of EURC and a series of votes on charitable funding. In its latest exchange-related vote, the community chose to preserve ecosystem resources rather than proceed with a potential Bit2Me listing under the current proposal.
Together, these outcomes show how CoinDepo is applying community governance within centralized crypto finance, or CeFi. The program gives token holders a role in selected product and ecosystem decisions, while the company carries out the technical and operational work needed to implement the outcomes.
Community-selected assets are now available
The first completed asset vote brought together 648 participants, who selected EURC as the next addition to CoinDepo. The platform subsequently integrated the euro-backed stablecoin, connecting the published voting outcome to an available product.
A later vote selected SUI. CoinDepo has now completed that integration as well, allowing users to deposit the asset on the platform. Both additions followed the same process: holders chose an asset through governance, and CoinDepo completed the work required to make it available.
For participants, these launches provide a visible way to follow a proposal through to implementation. They also give the program concrete product outcomes that users can see in their accounts.
Token holders influence charitable funding
CoinDepo has also used governance to involve holders in its charitable activities. Following an earlier allocation vote, the company reported completing $21,000 in donations to World Child Cancer, GiveDirectly and Damark.
The September vote selected a $31,000 allocation across four partners: $10,000 each for World Child Cancer, GiveDirectly and Action Against Hunger, and $1,000 for Damark. CoinDepo published the allocation alongside transaction links, giving readers access to the payment records associated with the decision.
Community participation also helped determine a new charity relationship. After holders voted to support Action Against Hunger, CoinDepo formalized the collaboration and announced an initial $10,000 donation supporting the organization’s work in Kenya. This extended participation beyond allocating an existing budget to choosing an organization for the charity program.
A vote to preserve exchange listing resources
The latest exchange-related decision concerned whether CoinDepo should pursue a potential Bit2Me listing or retain the available Token Ecosystem resources for future opportunities. The community selected the option to preserve those resources.
CoinDepo announced that it would not move forward with the listing under the current proposal. The company will continue evaluating exchange opportunities, and the retained funds remain available for future listing considerations. This outcome shows that participation can influence whether a proposed expenditure goes ahead, as well as which new initiative is introduced.
Public records support the voting process
Voting takes place within the CoinDepo interface. After a vote concludes, the platform publishes the final result in the InterPlanetary File System, or IPFS, and provides a Bitcoin timestamp proof. Daily token balance snapshots used in calculating Governance Scores are also published with timestamp proofs.
These records give participants access to the data behind completed votes. Readers can review the published outcome and check the associated timestamp proof, then follow the company’s implementation announcements. The public governance page brings voting records and balance snapshots together for that purpose.
A practical role for the COINDEPO token
The program gives COINDEPO holders a defined way to contribute to decisions within the ecosystem. Its completed cases now span asset integrations, charity allocations and an exchange listing proposal. CoinDepo has said it will continue involving its community in new assets, ecosystem initiatives and other areas of development.
Voting records and further information are available on the CoinDepo Governance page.
About CoinDepo
CoinDepo is a centralized digital asset platform offering crypto savings and borrowing products. Its COINDEPO token governance program enables holders to participate in selected platform and ecosystem decisions.
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South Korea’s KOSPI fell more than 6% on Tuesday, its fifth straight decline, while the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index headed for a sixth consecutive loss after gaining 68% in 2026. The retreat in AI stocks is testing whether higher, more volatile capital costs can carry stress from crowded positions into other risk assets, including Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Reuters identified elevated bond yields, concentrated positioning, tighter financing and overlapping portfolios as possible channels for broader de-risking.
For crypto investors watching the macro backdrop, that makes spillover from AI stocks a credible risk scenario, though Reuters reported no evidence that the chip rout has yet triggered a crypto liquidation.
JUST IN: BlackRock cuts its outlook on US stocks, citing concerns over AI market volatility. pic.twitter.com/sU6Gz5YrIt
— Watcher.Guru (@WatcherGuru) October 13, 2026
Crypto Expert Report: What Are the 10 Next Crypto to Explode in 2026?
Trade Strain Is Showing Up In Stocks And Credit
AI stocks
The losses are broad. Japan’s Kioxia fell 13%, the semiconductor index dropped 1.5% in U.S. trading, and Micron (MU) slid 5% after tripling this year. Shanghai’s STAR Market is down more than a third from its July peak, and the KOSPI sits about a quarter below its own July high. After such a strong run, crowded positioning in AI stocks means a shift in required returns or financing conditions can trigger selling even without signs that AI demand has collapsed.
Credit markets point to rising funding costs for the data-center buildout. Nvidia-backed Firmus shelved a planned $5 billion Australian IPO, and a CoreWeave (CRWV) bond issued in June at 9.625% now yields 15%, with the shares 49% below their 52-week high.
SoftBank recently paid up to 9.75% on $4.5 billion of high-yield debt, while 10-year Treasury yields stand at 5.2%. BlackRock’s research arm downgraded U.S. equities to neutral, citing AI-related volatility, and turned bullish on short-term Treasuries. Wilson Asset Management’s Damien Boey said bond yields and volatility are now feeding into asset pricing across the board.
Investors’ concern about concentrated AI positioning is therefore part of the same repricing question: how quickly can expected returns justify the capital committed?
AI Stocks And Crypto: Could Higher Yields Create a Possible Route To Crypto?
BTCUSDT Chart 1D TradingView
The link to crypto is not that chip prices dictate token prices. Rather, a broad pullback from AI stocks and other risk assets could hit holdings owned by the same investors, while higher yields make leveraged positions harder to sustain. In that scenario, liquid high-beta assets like Bitcoin may be among the first sold.
That remains a risk, not a confirmed event. The IMF warned Tuesday that an AI correction could have global consequences. For now, the evidence shows vulnerabilities that could spread stress, not forced crypto selling. The key watchpoint is whether pressure stays within AI stocks and related credit or broadens into general de-risking.
Prior analysis of Bitcoin’s sensitivity to Treasury yields addresses that relationship, but it does not establish that this particular semiconductor decline has caused a crypto-market reaction.
Crypto Expert Report: Follow The Money – Which Presales Are Attracting Crypto Whales in 2026?


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Institutionalization can widen Bitcoin’s potential demand base while tying its performance more closely to the equity valuations and financing conditions that shape institutional portfolios. That tension is visible in Strategy’s media index: the future of Bitcoin is the future of finance, alongside material on banking, digital credit, and Bitcoin.
The market is assessing whether institutional crypto adoption is a durable source of demand or another route for traditional risk cycles to reach Bitcoin. The central question is therefore structural: can new financial channels deepen demand without making Bitcoin more vulnerable when those same channels contract?
Institutional allocation frameworks could broaden access; Bitcoin allocation in advisor portfolios is a linked discussion.
Strategy’s Bitcoin Banking Adoption Index increased to 34% in Q3 2026. Bitcoin and digital asset adoption across major global banks continues to expand, but remains early. Institutions with questions or corrections: ir@strategy.com pic.twitter.com/Hqhsez5j3p
— Strategy (@Strategy) October 13, 2026
Banking Infrastructure Broadens the Channels
The mechanism is straightforward enough. Familiar routes to custody, investment, and settlement make Bitcoin reachable for institutions that would never hold it directly. Tokenized securities and collateral systems connect digital assets to established workflows. More participants, more uses.
Strategy’s index shows what the company chooses to feature, not what the financial system has completed. Its October listing sits among 2026 keynotes, investor presentations and press items on Bitcoin, banking and digital credit.
Tokenized infrastructure also cuts both ways. It supports collateral and settlement, while pulling digital markets further into conventional funding systems.
Crypto Expert Report: What is the Best Meme Coin to Buy and Forget Until the Next Bullrun?
Strategy Makes Capital Access To Bitcoin Part of the Question
Strategy matters less as a holder than as a case study. When a company accumulates Bitcoin using equity, debt, and preferred stock markets, its ability to keep accumulating depends on investor appetite and available financing. Strong demand for its securities supports further raises. Weaker valuations or tighter credit make the same process harder.
So the model works as a demand source during periods when capital can be deployed. The identical structure raises sensitivity to funding conditions when investors reassess the shares, the preferred securities, or the borrowing costs.
Strategy’s index includes a September 2026 item on amending daily dividends but does not give terms, so the cost of that financing cannot be assessed from the page.
Peter Schiff offered the counterpoint. He argued that Strategy’s Bitcoin activity and preferred stock actions are not evidence of lasting demand, and said Bitcoin could revisit lower prices if the technology-led stock rally faded.
He added that he was surprised Bitcoin held its gains while gold gave back part of its advance.
Michael Saylor – Photo: Gage Skidmore / CC BY-SA 2.0
For now, institutionalization is best read as both a possible demand catalyst and a route through which financial-market stress can reach crypto. The next useful evidence will be measurable: disclosed capital raised and Bitcoin acquired by Strategy, alongside published data on institutional allocations and flows.
Without those details, the index establishes a focus on Bitcoin’s role in finance, not the scale or direction of the market’s next move.
Crypto Expert Report: What Are the 10 Next Cryptos to Explode in 2026?
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Fairshake-affiliated political action committees reported $2.7 million in spending on U.S. House races. At the same time, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said authorities were likely to seize roughly $1 billion in Iran-linked digital assets during the week of October 12. The developments place US crypto in two distinct Washington policy roles: as a source of electoral influence and as an asset class officials say they can target under US sanctions.
The money, entities and assets in the two stories should not be conflated. The campaign spending is documented in Federal Election Commission (FEC) filings, while Bessent’s Iran crypto seizure remained a prospective claim with no publicly identified wallets or confirmation of completion as of October 13. The sharper question is whether political influence and enforcement reach are separate consequences of crypto’s growing place in U.S. policy, rather than parts of one connected financial flow.
Crypto group Fairshake and its affiliated super PAC throwing even more money against Sherrod Brown in the Ohio Senate race this week
So far about $2.6M reported pic.twitter.com/xvsz7B1Nma
— Igor Bobic (@igorbobic) October 12, 2026
Crypto Expert Report: What Are the 10 Next Crypto to Explode in 2026?
Fairshake’s Spending Puts US Crypto Policy On The Campaign Map
Fairshake affiliates Defend American Jobs and Protect Progress disclosed a combined $2.7 million in media and direct-mail spending supporting Democratic and Republican candidates for House seats in 2026. The filings included:
$512,000 in spending associated with California Representative Pete Aguilar;
$500,000 for New Jersey Representative Josh Gottheimer;
Over $76,000 for House Majority Whip Tom Emmer;
$73,000 for House Agriculture Committee Chair Glenn Thompson.
Those expenditures are a specific reported spending total, not a measure of Fairshake’s full fundraising or available campaign resources. The PAC had $122 million in cash on hand; that balance is distinct from the $2.7 million in disclosed House-race spending and from amounts raised or allocated for other races.
Fairshake also announced plans to endorse 32 additional House candidates.
The stakes extend beyond individual media buys. The candidates covered by the reported spending had voted for the CLARITY Act. The bill passed the House but failed to advance after a Senate procedural vote in September, leaving crypto political spending aligned with a contested regulatory agenda. Fairshake’s role in 2026 midterm spending illustrates how the industry is organizing around that debate.
Bessent’s Iran Crypto Seizure Remains a Stated Plan
Bessent discussed the prospective seizure with Greta Van Susteren at Newsmax’s NPolicy Summit in Washington, D.C. He placed the roughly $1 billion target within what he described as an “absolute isolation campaign” against Iran.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent in April 2025. – Photo: Office of the Vice President of the United States
In his account, the administration’s effort extended beyond traditional financial pressure: naval measures were intended to restrict movement through key waterways; international air travel had been curtailed, and Washington was working with the United Arab Emirates, Oman, Pakistan and Turkey on land routes. Bessent also predicted that Iranian oil available for sale on the water would fall to zero. The crypto action is one element of a wider effort to restrict the Iranian government’s access to external markets and financial channels.
The status of the digital assets is less concrete than the campaign-spending filings. As of October 13, the source material identified no specific wallets or tokens, legal mechanism or completed seizure. Bessent said officials knew where the targeted funds were and were working to isolate them, but that statement does not establish that authorities had taken control of the assets.
It also remains unclear whether the roughly $1 billion would be additional to earlier reported seizures. Reporting on Iran-linked crypto activity and sanctions enforcement provides relevant context, but does not verify this planned action.
Crypto Politics: $2.7M in PAC Spending, $1B Seizure Claim
The evidence supporting the two developments is different in kind. FEC filings document the reported PAC expenditures; the Iran-linked figure is Bessent’s prediction of a future enforcement action, not a public record of a completed confiscation. That distinction matters when evaluating both the reach of crypto political spending and the practical limits of a government claim to isolate digital assets.
No evidence connects Fairshake, its donors or U.S. campaign expenditures to the Iran-linked assets. Nor does the reported seizure target show that campaign-finance activity and sanctions enforcement involve the same companies, wallets or funds. Their juxtaposition points instead to two parallel policy questions: how the US crypto industry uses electoral capital to shape regulation, and how authorities pursue digital assets they associate with a sanctioned state actor.
The case-specific details needed to verify the seizure were not publicly available by October 13. Until such details emerge, the $1 billion figure remains a stated expectation rather than a confirmed seizure; the reported $2.7 million in House-race spending remains the documented figure.
Crypto Expert Report: Follow The Money – Which Presales Are Attracting Crypto Whales in 2026?
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A Bitcoin wallet that had held its coins for about six years moved its entire 4,582 BTC balance, worth $377.58 million, late on October 12, according to on-chain tracker Lookonchain. It is the third long-dormant wallet to move around 4,500 BTC in just over two weeks, but neither a sale nor an exchange deposit has been confirmed.
An on-chain transfer shows that coins moved, not why they moved or what happens next.
Another #BitcoinOG has woken up after years of inactivity, transferring out all 4,582 $BTC ($377.58M).https://t.co/yWCVr9X6mphttps://t.co/sjDlv8MFRP pic.twitter.com/n3hMfgzfhi
— Lookonchain (@lookonchain) October 13, 2026
The timing has put the move on traders’ radar. Bitcoin trades at $83,635, down 0.31% over 24 hours, after dropping to around $81,000 during a sharp sell-off.
CoinGlass data shows $820.84 million in crypto positions liquidated over 24 hours, 84% of them longs, with Bitcoin alone accounting for $194.28 million. The largest single liquidation was a $9.65 million BTCUSDT long on Binance, closed out at $81,772.75.
Crypto Expert Report: What Are the 10 Next Crypto to Explode in 2026?
Three Dormant Bitcoin Whales in Two Weeks: How the 4,582 BTC Transfer Unfolded
Lookonchain shared the transaction data on October 13, describing the source as a wallet belonging to a longtime Bitcoin investor that had not transacted for a long time. The wallet sent its entire balance of 4,582 BTC, valued at $377.58 million at the time of the post. The evidence identifies the amount and movement, but not the recipient’s identity or the reason for the transfer.
A separate large-wallet transaction occurred five days earlier, on October 8. Lookonchain’s post recalled that a different address beginning bc1q4h, inactive for more than four years, transferred 4,500 BTC worth approximately $376 million.
Bitcoin Whale ARKHAM
These are two distinct events, not successive parts of one transaction. The more-than-four-year inactivity period applies to the October 8 wallet; the October 13 wallet is described only as inactive for years. That difference matters when assessing what the on-chain record actually establishes.
A large balance moving to a new address can be difficult to interpret without reliable identification of the destination. Wallet transfers can reflect custody changes or internal restructuring as well as movements connected with a potential sale; the address alone does not settle which explanation applies. Large Bitcoin transfers to new addresses therefore warrant attention without being treated as confirmed sell orders.
What the Whale Move Means for BTC Markets
Bitcoin ETFs Flows Coinglass
For Bitcoin price action, leverage remains the bigger short-term driver. BTC is holding above support at $80,660, with resistance at $87,145, and traders are waiting for the U.S. CPI release on October 14. The next signal to watch from these wallets is whether the new addresses send coins to exchanges or trading desks. That still wouldn’t confirm a sale on its own, but until then, the verified fact is a 4,582 BTC transfer, not a bearish trade.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs are adding to the pressure. According to CoinGlass, the funds recorded a net outflow of 781.15 BTC, worth $65.40 million, on October 12, all of it from BlackRock’s IBIT. That followed a weak week: between October 5 and October 9, the ETFs saw net outflows of nearly 8,000 BTC, including 5,670 BTC on October 7 alone, reversing net inflows of about 2,480 BTC the week before. Even so, the funds still hold $108.96 billion in total net assets, with cumulative net inflows of $57.50 billion since launch.
In a leveraged market, falling prices can trigger forced closures and make short-term conditions more fragile. A large transfer may add to trader concern about potential supply, but it is one signal among several, not a standalone explanation for liquidations or BTC’s direction. Crowded leverage and Bitcoin liquidations can intensify a selloff independently of whether this holder sells.
Until that trail becomes clearer, the verified fact remains a 4,582 BTC transfer, not a confirmed bearish trade.
Crypto Expert Report: Follow The Money – Which Presales Are Attracting Crypto Whales in 2026?

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Over the weekend, Ledger wallet confirmed that one device linked to the CryptoBilis investigation contained an unauthorized hardware implant, while blockchain analytics firm Bitquery’s latest update estimated $93.2M in crypto losses from 315 wallets across six chains.
The on-chain estimate is not a Ledger-confirmed total, and the device finding does not establish that the implant caused every reported drain or validate claims of a wider European compromise.
The confirmed tampering raises a hardware-wallet security and device-provenance concern, but the incident’s scope and attack path remain unresolved. As in other wallet-related security cases, the distinction between a verified technical finding and broader claims matters: unauthorized third-party access to wallet software presents a different risk from physical interference with a device.
72 hour update on reseller CryptoBilis incident As the investigation continues, we are working with relevant authorities. The volume of impacted devices is limited. We know this is concerning, especially for those directly affected, and we are reaching out to impacted users.…
— Ledger (@Ledger) October 11, 2026
Reports initially concerned customers in Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines who bought devices through CryptoBilis. Ledger said it had contacted affected users and begun working with authorities, and that it had no indication its infrastructure, systems, or services had been compromised.
Ledger also asked CryptoBilis to stop sales of hardware-wallet inventory while the investigation continued. The available reporting connects the affected purchases to the reseller, but does not establish who installed the implant or where in the supply chain the device was altered.
What Did the Ledger Wallet Implant Examination Find?
BREAKING: Mark Karpelès found a hidden SIM card inside a tampered Ledger hardware wallet. "The implant was cleverly hidden where the screen's padding is supposed to be." The device is allegedly linked to reseller 'CryptoBilis'. @MagicalTux pic.twitter.com/LhdNJ4y1wW
— Bitcoin Archive (@BitcoinArchive) October 9, 2026
Ledger examined a device from an impacted user and discovered an unauthorized hardware implant, confirming tampering in that case. However, it’s unclear how many other devices might be affected or if this explains all reported wallet drains.
Hardware wallets protect transaction credentials from online threats, but if compromised, attackers could authorize transactions without the owner’s consent.
Bitquery traced transfers across blockchains, noting that 25 TRON wallets approved the same transaction within three seconds and observed test activity over the two weeks before significant fund drains. While these patterns map fund movements, they don’t clarify how the keys were compromised.
The implant raises questions about its role in the thefts, but Ledger hasn’t proven it caused all losses, and the implant’s origin remains unknown.
This situation underscores the risks of self-custody and the importance of securing wallet credentials and trusting the hardware and software used to safeguard them.
Crypto Expert Report: What Are the 10 Next Crypto to Explode in 2026?
Loss Estimates and the European Claim Remain Unconfirmed
ALERT: The Ledger implant scare may have reached Europe. X user Johannes (4, 4) says he found a hardware implant in a Ledger Nano X he recently bought at MediaMarkt. He says it passed Ledger's checks, but his funds weren't touched. Ledger says all confirmed cases so far are… https://t.co/nonR2cHiwS pic.twitter.com/aEWnUQnmNY
— CryptosRus (@CryptosR_Us) October 12, 2026
The loss figure has grown as analysts expanded their on-chain attribution. The primary report cited an earlier Bitquery estimate near $93M across 311 wallets on five chains; Bitquery’s later update, dated October 11, put the estimate at $93.2M across 315 wallets on six chains.
Earlier reports cited suspected losses above $80M or $86M, reflecting narrower or earlier estimates. These figures reflect investigators’ analysis of blockchain activity, not a final accounting from the Ledger wallet, and the company has not confirmed the total loss or the number of affected customers.
A separate claim circulated on X that a Ledger device purchased through MediaMarkt in Europe showed signs of possible hardware manipulation. Ledger has not confirmed that the device is compromised, and observers disagreed over whether the published images showed an implant or even a genuine Ledger board.
The primary report described MediaMarkt as an official Ledger reseller in several European markets, including Germany and Austria. That status does not verify the specific allegation, establish that the device was altered, or demonstrate that a compromise has spread beyond the CryptoBilis-linked cases.
Supply-Chain Exposure is the Broader Security Issue
The confirmed implant makes device handling and provenance a material concern for hardware-wallet security. A reseller relationship can place more parties between the manufacturer and the end user.
However, the evidence in this case does not show that CryptoBilis or any of its employees installed the component, nor does it establish a network-wide problem affecting Ledger’s reseller channel.
Bitquery reported that Tether froze $10.0M and that $5.35M in USDC was held in wallets that Circle could freeze. Those are on-chain investigation findings about efforts to restrict some funds, not evidence that the broader losses have been recovered or that the cause of the drains is settled.
For Ledger, the immediate distinction is between its reported lack of evidence of a compromise to its own infrastructure and the confirmed tampering found in one user’s device.
For the wider self-custody market, the incident keeps supply-chain risk in focus while leaving the number of affected devices, the mechanism behind the drains, and the final crypto losses open questions.
Crypto Expert Report: Follow The Money – Which Presales Are Attracting Crypto Whales in 2026?
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SWI Group (Euronext Amsterdam: SWICH) announced an €800M capital increase on October 12, 2026, at a €6.1Bn valuation, bringing total equity raised since March to over €1Bn. The funds will strengthen power, data-center, and AI-compute infrastructure in Europe and the US, aiming to transform Bitcoin mining sites into digital infrastructure for cloud and AI workloads.
The financing supports SWI’s expansion after acquiring former Bitcoin miner Genesis Digital, which has over 1.3 gigawatts (GW) of grid connections across 15 facilities.
BIG MOVE: SWI GROUP RAISES €800M TO BUILD AI DATA CENTERS AFTER TAKING CONTROL OF FTX’S GENESIS DIGITAL ASSETS. pic.twitter.com/7tsZ5THibA
— Crypto News Hunters (@CryptoNewsHntrs) October 12, 2026
Along with the 2.3 GW European platform AiOnX, SWI claims a total footprint of over 3.6 GW. However, grid access is a key asset, not an indicator of operational AI capacity or revenue.
In a market where power and permits are critical, existing sites hold strategic value, but grid access alone isn’t enough to convert them into profitable AI infrastructure.
How the Capital Increase Supports SWI’s Expansion from Bitcoin Mining Into AI Infrastructure
Euronext-listed SWI Group just added €800M of new equity at a €6.1B valuation, for data center and AI compute capacity in Europe and the US. Over €1B since March.https://t.co/vGRvECrPKU#AIInfrastructure pic.twitter.com/5qKHk8dmMh
— Gennaro (@fourweekmba) October 12, 2026
SWI raised €800M from undisclosed institutional investors by issuing new ordinary shares, increasing its total share capital to 558,399,385 shares and leaving a free float of around 20%.
SWI will use the funds for power infrastructure, compute deployments, and development projects in North America and Europe. This capital boost strengthens SWI’s balance sheet and supports its growth strategy, including investment in AI.
This financing is separate from SWI’s earlier acquisition of Genesis Digital, in which it spent $500M for about 38.3% of the shares. SWI has since moved to majority ownership and plans to market Genesis sites in Texas, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Sweden to hyperscale cloud providers.
The company is also divesting Genesis Digital’s last three small mining sites in Kazakhstan, aligning with its focus on AI data centers over Bitcoin mining.
Crypto Expert Report: Follow The Money – Which Presales Are Attracting Crypto Whales in 2026?
Genesis Digital’s FTX History Remains Part of the Asset’s Context
Genesis Digital’s past links its infrastructure to one of FTX’s largest failed bets. Alameda Research invested about $1.15Bn in the company starting in 2021 and ended up with a 20% stake, according to reporting summarized by Blockhead.
After FTX collapsed, estate administrators sued Genesis Digital to recover the investment. The Wall Street Journal, as cited in Blockhead’s report, described the lawsuit as challenging the prudence of the investment and the value of Genesis’s Kazakh assets; no direct quotation is needed to convey the dispute. FTX dropped the suit on June 15, the same day SWI closed its $500M purchase.
George said SWI had settled the legal disputes with FTX and other shareholders. The lawsuit is historical context rather than part of SWI’s October capital increase, and it does not establish the value or operating prospects of the sites SWI now intends to market.
The broader FTX estate also sold its 7.8% stake in Anthropic for $1.3Bn in 2024; according to Blockhead, the Wall Street Journal estimated that holding would now be worth about $75Bn. That outcome illustrates how dramatically an investment’s value can change, but it offers no direct evidence of SWI’s valuation or Genesis Digital’s performance.
SOURCE: Yahoo Finance Grid Connections are Only the First Step to AI Revenue
SWI’s reported footprint gives the group a substantial base of energized and approved power connections to present to potential customers. Yet converting mining sites into AI infrastructure may require investment in cooling, networking, and GPUs, along with site conversion and any necessary permitting.
The supplied company release and Blockhead’s report do not establish how much of that work is complete, the scale of live GPU deployments or the amount of contracted AI revenue.
In analytical terms, this distinction is central to assessing the pivot: power connectivity is a potentially scarce input, while operational compute capacity and customer contracts matter when assessing the potential for durable cash flow.
The market has seen other Bitcoin miners convert sites to host AI workloads. For related context, see Iren’s equity plan and Nvidia GPU investment.
Similarly, institutional investment and GPU deployment in AI infrastructure highlight how financing and customers turn a platform thesis into operating capacity.
For SWI, the next meaningful evidence will be site conversions, compute deployments, and hyperscale agreements that connect its reported power footprint to revenue.
Crypto Expert Report: What Are the 10 Next Crypto to Explode in 2026?
The post SWI Group’s €800M Raise Puts Grid Power at AI Pivot’s Core appeared first on Tokenist.

Bitcoin staged a modest recovery on Saturday, October 10, but remained on track for a weekly decline as rising oil prices, higher U.S. Treasury yields, and renewed cryptocurrency security concerns continued to weigh on market sentiment.
Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, was trading at $83,025.40 at 14:23 ET (18:23 GMT), up 0.7% over the previous 24 hours. The digital asset traded between $82,537.70 and $83,164.10 during the session, recovering some ground after a difficult week.
INSIGHT: $BTC's volatility has nearly halved since 2018, but extreme swings are happening more often. Per CoinDesk, 2026 has already had 10 extreme move days, more than all of 2018, when Bitcoin crashed 73%. A big driver is crowded options trades that turn normal moves into… pic.twitter.com/Uj0necG1aW
— CryptosRus (@CryptosR_Us) October 11, 2026
Despite Saturday’s gains, Bitcoin remained well below the $87,000 level reached the previous Sunday. The retreat left BTC down about 3% over seven days, underscoring the market’s challenges as investors contend with macroeconomic uncertainty and reduced institutional demand.
Persistent outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs added pressure, while concerns about cryptocurrency wallet security and potential implications of AI-related vulnerabilities added uncertainty.
Bitcoin Faces Macroeconomic Headwinds
SOURCE: TradingView
Broader financial market conditions are significantly influencing Bitcoin’s short-term direction. Rising energy prices may fuel inflation, while higher Treasury yields could make traditional investments more appealing than cryptocurrencies.
Traders increasingly worry that U.S. interest rates may stay high longer than expected, potentially restricting liquidity for speculative assets like Bitcoin. Security issues have also resurfaced, with reports of theft linked to Ledger hardware wallets and concerns about AI-related vulnerabilities affecting digital asset safety.
This comes as the market approaches the anniversary of the October 10 flash crash, highlighting its vulnerability to sudden price movements.
Recent CoinDesk analysis found that Bitcoin had 10 trading days in 2026 when prices shifted dramatically, even as overall volatility fell from 84% in 2018 to 46%. This suggests that lower volatility does not eliminate the risk of significant short-term price fluctuations.
Bitcoin Liquidity Improves Despite Weaker Trading Volumes
Market liquidity indicators offer a mixed picture of Bitcoin’s current position. Bitcoin order-book depth sat within 1% of its market price reached $11.7M on October 7.
That was about 75% higher than the level recorded on the day of the flash crash, suggesting the market had regained some capacity to absorb large orders without significant price dislocations.
Trading activity has also remained subdued. Weekly spot cryptocurrency trading volume was nearly two-thirds below the $801 billion recorded during the flash-crash week.
Improved Bitcoin order-book depth and weaker overall trading volumes suggest liquidity recovery has not necessarily translated into broader investor participation.
Crypto Expert Report: What Are the 10 Next Crypto to Explode in 2026?
US Inflation Data Could Influence Bitcoin’s Next Move
NEXT WEEK COULD BE VERY VOLATILE Monday: US market open after Houthis launched new attacks Tuesday: US employment data Wednesday: US CPI and Core CPI data Thursday: US PPI and Core PPI data Friday: Fed Chair Kevin Warsh speech The most important one is CPI and PPI data as… pic.twitter.com/DOoSdeIA3S
— Sweep (@0xSweep) October 11, 2026
Investors are bracing for the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) and producer price index (PPI) reports next week, as these inflation readings could influence the Federal Reserve’s policy decisions.
If inflation remains high, interest rates may stay elevated, which could challenge Bitcoin. Market expectations suggest that the Fed will keep rates unchanged at the October 27–28 meeting, with a possible 25-basis-point increase in December.
For crypto traders, the upcoming data may show whether Bitcoin’s recent weakness is a temporary dip or the start of a deeper downturn. Softer inflation could ease financial concerns, while unexpected price hikes may heighten caution in risk assets.
Strategy’s STRC Shares Approach $100
SOURCE: Yahoo Finance
Despite broader market uncertainty, Strategy’s NASDAQ-listed preferred shares, STRC, moved higher, reaching $99.71, their highest since June.
With a 12% annualized dividend backed by the company’s dollar reserves, a rise above $100 could let Strategy issue more preferred shares to buy Bitcoin, depending on its financing plans.
As one of the largest corporate Bitcoin holders, Strategy’s ability to raise funds can influence institutional demand for Bitcoin. Nonetheless, STRC’s performance does not directly reflect Bitcoin’s market recovery, as it is influenced by its own dynamics.
Crypto Expert Report: Follow The Money – Which Presales Are Attracting Crypto Whales in 2026?
The post Bitcoin on Track for Weekly Loss as Macroeconomic Headwinds Loom appeared first on Tokenist.