$XAUT Gold pumped to $4,123 and got slapped down hard, I think sellers are back in control at $4,062
Live Bybit: $4,080.02 | Entry on my watch $4,082.46 | Short PnL +1.47% on 25X
I am watching this one closely. XAUT ran up to $4,123.64 local high and could not hold it. Now it is sitting around $4,062 to $4,080 and getting rejected under EMA200 on 12h. That is not strength, that is a lower high forming.
For me $4,023 is the first line that matters. That was a small support before the last bounce. If we close 12h below $4,023 and then fail to get it back on retest, I start looking down. Next zone is $3,950 to $3,899, then $3,872 swing low, then big target $3,800. That is around 6.5% down from $4,062, so the short has room if it plays out.
But I am not blindly shorting here. Price will not fall in a straight line, there will be relief bounces. I need to see real selling, not just one red candle. I want sellers to prove they can hold this area.
My supply zone is $4,123 to $4,142. That is the top. If we close 12h above $4,142, my bearish idea is wrong and I am out. I am interested in selling weakness near those highs, I do not need to catch the exact top. I would rather miss the first part of the drop than enter too early and watch resistance break in my face.
Right now I am giving XAUT time. If $4,000 flips back to resistance, then the downside targets become much more interesting for me.
My plan, short the retest near $4,082 to $4,123, stop above $4,142, targets $4,023 then $3,950 then $3,872 then $3,800 runner. Risk 1 to 2% only. No long at $4,080 middle.
Be honest, do you see gold holding $4,023 or breaking down to $3,800?
Comment SHORT if you think $4,023 breaks, LONG if you think $4,142 breaks.
Tap $XAUT to trade this gold rejection #XAUT #GOLD
$XAUTUSDT Gold pumped 4.5% in one week and Goldman cut its target in the same week, how does that even make sense
$XAUT $4,062.72 +0.27% | H $4,064.01 L $4,048.77 | Turnover 3.91M
Spot gold closed Friday near $4,045. That is up from $3,875 on Oct 30. Best week since late August. And in that same week Goldman said okay we were too high, we are cutting year end target from $4,650 down to $4,150. That is 10.8% lower. For 2027 they cut from $5,400 to $4,800. Reason they gave is Fed turning hawkish again.
And here is the funny part. That new target $4,150 is only 2.6% above where gold already is. So Goldman is basically saying gold is already almost there, not much upside left this year.
Both things happened because of rates. Wednesday gold had its best day, up 3.4% because dollar got soft and yields fell. Then Friday jobs report came in hot, 165k jobs vs 60k expected. Dollar jumped, gold gave back about 1%. Now December hike odds are sitting around 75% to 81%. That is what is capping gold.
What Goldman did NOT cut is the big buyer in the room. Central banks. They still expect 60 tonnes a month buying through 2027. Before 2022 the average was just 17 tonnes. That is a massive change.
And the World Gold Council data is even more interesting. Q3 central bank buying was 321 tonnes. Only 120 tonnes of that was actually reported. The other 201 tonnes is their estimate for buying that is not reported yet. September alone reported 61 tonnes, highest month of 2026. August was 39 tonnes. So part of the support is hidden, it shows up in official data later.
Goldman also warned about one risk. If stocks fall hard, people get margin calls and they sell gold to cover. We saw a small preview on Thursday. Gold touched $4,146 then closed at $4,088 as stocks dropped.
So my read is simple. One side is buying non stop and holding the bottom. The other side is rates pushing the top down. That is the battle right now.
I blew up my first 3 accounts before I understood this one thing
Honestly I am not proud of it. I used to open 20x long in the middle of a green candle, no stop loss, full margin, thinking I am smart. Then one red candle and my whole account was gone. I sat staring at the screen at 2am thinking crypto is a scam. It was not a scam, I was the scam for myself.
Look at what is happening right now and you will see the same trap. SUI got Samsung news, 82M Galaxy phones, big Brazil deal, everything bullish on paper. Still price fell from $0.879 to $0.858. Why. Because on Binance 68% accounts were long and on Bybit 77% were long. When everyone is already long, who is left to buy. Market makers see that, they just take price down to hunt stops.
Same story in SOL. Price is stuck near $89.96, longs are crowded, funding is positive, but price is not going up. News does not pump price when positioning is already crowded. News pumps price only when nobody is expecting it.
The rule that saved my account is very simple. I only risk 1 to 2% on one trade, max 5x to 10x isolated, never cross. I never buy in the middle. I wait for a level. For BTC that level is near $77k to $78k support, not in the middle at $80k. For SUI it is $0.85 hold or nothing. For SOL it is $89.13 hold or nothing. If price does not come to my level, I do not trade. No trade is also a trade.
If you stop chasing and start waiting, your account will start surviving. And surviving is how you actually make money in this market.
Be honest with me, have you ever been liquidated because you chased a pump?
Comment YES if you got liquidated once, NO if you never did. I want to see how many of us learned this the hard way.
$TRUMP just did the most Trump thing ever, he offered Dana White the Press Secretary job
You cannot make this up. Trump posted on Truth Social on Saturday, he offered UFC boss Dana White the job of US Press Secretary. And he did not stop there.
He said bring Khabib, Islam Makhachev, Justin Gaethje, Daniel Cormier, Amanda Nunes and Kayla Harrison as assistants with him.
Imagine press conference now. Reporter asks tough question, Dana says Let me tell you something and Khabib comes from behind and says "Send me location". Press briefing will turn into UFC weigh-in.
I know it sounds like a meme, but this is a real post from Trump himself. White has not accepted yet and White House has not confirmed anything. So for now it is an offer, not an appointment. Still, 2026 is getting wild.
If this actually happens, White House press briefings will be the most watched show in America. No more boring answers, straight fight talk.
Be honest, would Dana be the best Press Secretary ever or the worst?
Comment YES if you want Dana in White House, NO if you think this is too crazy.
$SUI got Samsung news and still can not hold $0.87, this tells me everything about this market
$0.8586 -1.45% | H $0.8786 L $0.8566 | Turnover 1.52M
Price is sitting at $0.8585 right now. On paper the news looks massive. Samsung Wallet is adding USDC on Sui for 82M Galaxy phones in US, so people can hold and send USDC from a wallet they already use. Mercado Bitcoin is also bringing SUI, USDsui and Hashi to Brazil for regulated real world assets. Big names, big distribution.
But here is the truth nobody wants to say. Samsung is adding USDC, not SUI. And Sui has gasless stablecoin transfers, so you do not even need to hold SUI to pay fees. That is great for users, but it means every new USDC user does not automatically become a SUI buyer. That is why price is not pumping on good news.
DeFi is also not confirming yet. TVL is around $441M, down 2.5% in 7 days. Stablecoin supply is near $509M. Compare that to $2.64B TVL peak in Oct 2025, we are still far below. Partnerships are strong, real money coming back is still weak.
Foundation buybacks sound good too. Over 1.1M SUI bought with stablecoin yield. But those coins are not burned, they get reinvested and given back to ecosystem. So yes it creates buying on market, but it does not permanently remove supply.
Supply side is also there. 4.14B circulating out of 10B max. Next unlock is Nov 30, about 2.07M for Mysten Treasury and 4M for Community Reserve, then another 7.22M in early Dec. Small vs circulating, but when demand is weak even small unlocks matter.
Derivatives are scary for longs. Combined OI $151.9M on Binance + Bybit, longs are 68.7% on Binance and 77.5% on Bybit. When everyone is long at support, support breaks harder.
My plan is simple, I am not buying $0.8586 middle. $0.85 is the floor that must hold. Lose it and $0.83 opens, then $0.80 psychological. For bulls to win, we need hold above $0.85, reclaim $0.8790 and then break $0.90 with real spot volume. Hold above $0.93 and then $0.98 and $1.05 come back. Until then I wait.
Risk 1 to 2% only. This is a prove it to me trade.
$HYPE pumped to $97 and now everyone thinks it is dead at $78, I think this is where the real test starts
Live: $HYPE $78.346 +0.65% | H $79.651 L $77.419 | Turnover $24.50M
I am watching this level closely because it is make or break. We went from $97.087 top all the way down to $76.280 low and now we are stuck around $78.34. That $76 to $78 zone is the floor everyone is watching. If it holds, we build a base. If it breaks, we go much lower.
My read is simple. On daily we gave back a big chunk of that pump and now we are sitting near the half retracement around $78.67. Big picture is still above the 200 EMA near $69.68, so uptrend is not dead yet, it is just cooling off. RSI6 is 36.41, RSI12 42.49, RSI24 46.04, so momentum is weak but not totally washed out. MACD is still red at -0.41, so I am not calling a bottom yet.
Upside first wall is $83.76. That is the next Fib level. If we get a daily close above $83, then I start believing the pullback is done. Above that $89.72 opens, then $93.94 to $97.08 highs come back into play where all the old volume was. That is where real interest was on the way up.
Downside is clear too. Lose $78 and hold below it and short term bullish idea gets weak. Lose $73.59 and close below it and the whole bounce setup fails and $69.68 200 EMA becomes the next target.
My plan, I am not buying $78.34 middle with MACD still negative. I wait. Long only on daily close above $83 with volume, stop below $73.59, targets $89.72 then $93.94. Short only if $78 breaks and closes below, then $73.59. Risk 1 to 2% only. This is a patience trade.
Be honest, do you think $78 holds and turns into a higher low, or do we flush to $69.68?
Comment BULL if you think $83 breaks, BEAR if you think $73 breaks.
$SOL is sitting at $90 and everyone thinks it is cheap, I think it is still a trap
Live: $SOL $90.16 +0.94% | H $91.59 L $88.96 | Current $90.02
I am looking at 4h and I am not excited yet. We tried to push to $97 and failed to make a higher high, then sellers dumped us straight back down. Now we are hugging $90, just above $88.30 low. That is not a reversal, that is just price resting before next move.
Here is what I see. We fell from $109.20 swing high and kept making lower tops and lower bottoms. Price is under MA7 $90.17 and MA14 $91.38, and Bollinger middle is $92.19. Upper band $97.51, lower band $86.87. So we are stuck under all the averages.
Momentum is weak but not washed out. RSI7 36.51, RSI14 39.42, RSI21 40.24. MACD still negative, DIF -1.24, DEA -1.12, histogram -0.12. Volume spiked to 335.9K vs MA5 77.23K, so that selloff was real, not thin.
The scary part is derivatives. Combined OI around $1.39B on Binance + Bybit, funding still positive, and roughly 78% accounts are long. When everyone is long at support, support breaks harder. If $88.30 gives up, longs get squeezed.
Fundamentals are still solid, SOL around $90.20 with $53.3B market cap, 590.98M circulating out of 637.12M total, no fixed max, inflation going down, staking and fee burn helping. But strong network does not mean price has to bounce right now, especially when BTC is weak, tech stocks are selling off, ETFs are seeing outflows and liquidations are everywhere.
My plan is simple and I am not chasing $90 middle. I need to see hold above $88.30 and then reclaim $92.19 with volume to think long. First hurdle is $91.38, then $92.19, then big wall $97.51 to $98.03. If we fail at $91 to $92 or close 4h below $88.30, I stay defensive and look short toward $86.87 lower band.
Risk 1 to 2% only. This is a decision zone, not a buy zone.
Be honest, are you buying this $90 dip or waiting for $92.19 reclaim like me? Comment HOLD or WAIT.
We are seeing a consolidation phase following the recent rejection from $1398. The price is currently hovering around the $1329 level, testing local support. While the daily trend remains bullish, the hourly structure shows some selling pressure. I am watching the $1300 psychological support closely. A bounce here would signal buyers are stepping back in, but a break below could trigger a deeper correction. Keep an eye on volume to confirm the next direction.
Entry: $1315 to $1330 Stop Loss: $1270 Take Profit 1: $1360 Take Profit 2: $1395 Take Profit 3: $1440 Leverage: 5-10x Isolated Risk: 1-2%
Are you looking to hold for a LONG recovery or waiting for a SHORT breakdown? $ZEC #zec #ZECUSDT
Binance Square just updated Community Guidelines, and every creator needs to read this
New update focuses on 2 things. No affiliate promotion on Square, no referral codes, no registration links, no Co-Inviter info in livestreams, posts or bio. And no personal attacks, threats, harassment or sharing private info.
Grace period is until 20 November. After that Binance will reset bios, take action on violating content and penalties will escalate.
I already cleaned my profile and I will keep my content clean, only real analysis, real trades, respectful discussion. No shortcuts.
Did you clean your bio yet? Comment YES if you did, or NO if you still need to check.
Announcement: Updates to the Binance Square Community Guidelines
Dear Binance Square Community, Thank you for your continued support of Binance Square. To foster an authentic, respectful, and constructive environment for everyone, we have updated the Binance Square Community Guidelines. This update focuses on two areas: affiliate promotion and community conduct. It applies to all content on Binance Square, including livestreams, posts, comments, chat rooms, and profile pages. Details are as follows: 1. Affiliate Promotion Guidelines The Binance Affiliate Program rules explicitly state that "inducing existing users to switch accounts, re-register, or making false claims or promises in any form on Binance Square is strictly prohibited." In line with these rules, Binance Square is introducing the following: Livestreams: Do not display referral codes, registration links, Co-Inviter information, or other promotional content on screen or in livestream room decorations. This helps ensure a better viewing experience for everyone. Posts and Profiles: Do not use affiliate commission rates as a selling point. Do not display referral codes, registration links, or Co-Inviter information in your bio, and do not pin affiliate-related posts to your profile. Account Switching: Encouraging registered users to close, switch, or re-register their accounts is strictly prohibited anywhere on Binance Square. This includes, but is not limited to, encouraging users to register new accounts using the identity information of family members or other individuals.
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2 BREAKING news in 30 minutes, one will pump crypto, one will dump it
First, Coinbase says incoming Democratic Congress is more PRO-CRYPTO than before. New class is open to crypto and CLARITY Act could finally move forward.
Second, US Treasury just banned MEXC from American financial system. They say it processed $16 BILLION for Iran, North Korea and Russia.
So what now? I am not buying hype blindly. CLARITY still stuck on Trump ethics clause and chance of passing in 2026 is only 31%. And MEXC ban shows US is serious about compliance.
Long term this is good, clear rules = big money comes in. Short term exchanges will be under pressure. I am holding, not panicking, risk 1 to 2% only.
Tell me honestly, which news matters more to you? CLARITY or MEXC ban?
While everyone is chasing memecoins Tether quietly added 9 tonnes of gold for $XAUT
$XAUT $4,047.35 -1.26% | H $4,102.30 L $4,011.70 | Turnover $40.62M
This is what most people missed. On Nov 4 Tether released the Q3 reserve update. Physical gold backing XAUT reached 827,418 troy ounces, about 25.7 metric tonnes. At the end of 2025 it was 520,089 ounces. That is 59% reserve growth in 2026 to around $3.44B. Customer holdings have grown 73% since start of year.
1 XAUT equals 1 troy ounce of physical gold held in Swiss vaults. 2,057 London Good Delivery bars with independent verification. This is not like crypto tokens its value is tied to real bullion, not network speculation or token emissions.
Price now $4,027 down 1.9% in 24h market cap $3.02B daily volume $387M. Still 28% below January 2026 ATH near $5,597. So price is down. Demand is up that distinction matters.
One confusion to clear. Reuters said Tether gold backing USDT fell 3.4 tonnes in Q3 while XAUT gold increased. These are reserve pools do not mix them. XAUT adoption growing does not mean every gold pool is growing.
Perps are calm. $129.4M open interest on Binance + Bybit with funding near +0.0035% per 8h. Longs paying shorts a not extreme.
My plan is simple. $4,020 Is support that must hold. $4,110 Is resistance. Bullish confirmation is reclaim $4,110 and hold above with spot volume then $4,160 opens, then $4,220 if gold momentum strengthens. Bearish confirmation is sustained break below $4,020 then $3,980 opens, then $3,900 if gold selling accelerates. I am not buying middle at $4,047. I wait for hold above $4,020, for long. Break below for short. Risk 1 to 2%
Question is simple. Do you think growing token demand can absorb correction?
Comment GOLD if you think $4,110 breaks this week or DUMP if you think $4,020 breaks.
This top trader is DOWN -$61,063.29 on $HYPE and he still has not given up
Look at this. DavidY2026, Top traders by profit in 30D, Bullish. He opened Long $HYPEUSDT Perp 20X on 2026-09-29 at $83.30523. Latest price now $78.22. Unrealized PNL -$61,063.29, -130.05%.
Most people would have panic closed, deleted app, blamed market. He is still holding.
Live: $HYPE $78.26 +0.3%
This is the real side of trading nobody posts. Everyone shows wins. Nobody shows -$61k red. Loss is not failure. Giving up is failure. Top traders also lose, difference is they do not let one loss kill their mindset. They manage, they wait for their level, they accept pain if conviction is real.
I am not telling you to copy his 20X long or hold a -130% trade like him. That is his size, his plan, his risk. I am telling you this, if you are in loss right now on HYPE or $BTC or $Q, you are not alone. Even the best are red.
What separates survivors is patience and risk. 1 to 2% risk per trade, no revenge trading, no chasing. One red trade does not make you a bad trader. Quitting after one red trade does.
If you are holding a loss, ask yourself one honest question. Am I holding because my plan says hold, or am I holding because I am scared to accept loss?
Be honest in comments. Have you ever held a -100% trade like this? Did you hold or cut?
$HYPE is about to trap everyone at $78 again, I am NOT buying this chop
Live Bybit: $HYPE $78.220 +0.00% | H $79.400 L $76.211 | Turnover $238.69M
Look, I got chopped 2 times in this exact $78 range. HYPE has been chopping here for hours and now it looks like a coiled spring. 15m chart is tight consolidation right under MAs. MA7 $78.317 MA14 $78.287 MA26 $78.416, price is $78.19 squeezing under them.
My read is simple. We bounced from $76.211 local low, now we are in short term recovery but volume is drying up, MA5 21.97K vs MA10 28.41K on 15m. Jab volume sukh jaye aur price squeeze ho jaye to bara move aata hai. Fakeout ya breakout, kuch to hoga.
I am not chasing mid range chop. I will wait for clear break and retest.
My plan: WAIT for now. Entry $78.40 to $78.60 only on strong 15m close above MAs and successful retest as support. Stop $77.80 below consolidation base. TP1 $79.40 24h high, TP2 $80.20 previous major swing high. R:R 1:2.5 to TP1. Main risk is fakeout. If price pushes above MAs but fails to hold above $78, I am out. Structure is neutral until $79.40 clears or $77.50 breaks.
Ever wonder why price breaks a level, pulls back, and then continues moving?
That is market structure and this is exactly what we just saw on $Q at $0.02632 low.
BOS is Break of Structure. It forms after a clear breakout. Price pushes above last high or below last low with volume. That is first sign trend is continuing.
MSS is Market Structure Shift. It shows shift in character. When downtrend starts making higher low and breaks last lower high, that is MSS. That is where I start looking for reversal instead of chasing.
FVG is Fair Value Gap. It is price imbalance. When candles move fast and leave a gap between wicks, market often comes back to fill it. That fill is entry, not the breakout itself.
Orderblock acts as strong support or resistance zone. It is last bullish or bearish candle before impulse. On $Q 1h chart that $0.02805 to $0.02869 zone was orderblock, price came back to it and reacted.
Liquidity sweep is what traps retail traders. Price sweeps below a clear low like $0.02632, takes stops, then reverses hard with volume spike MA5 52.5M vs MA10 40.3M on 1h. That is exactly what happened at 9:57 PM. Retail shorts at low, smart money buys sweep.
Target is always previous swing high or new high. After sweep to BOS, my target is $0.02970 15m high then $0.03000 24h high.
I used to chase breakouts before I learned this. Now I wait. Break, sweep, MSS, FVG fill, then entry. Risk 1 to 2% only, stop beyond sweep, not in middle.
Do you trade BOS breakouts or wait for liquidity sweep and FVG fill like me?
$ TRUMP and $BNB on watch as U.S. midterms headline hits market
Trump stated that he accepts the results of the U.S. midterm elections and is prepared to work with the Democrats who have gained control of both chambers of Congress according to WSJ live tracker. At same time he wrote on Truth Social "I wasn't on the ballot, but if I had been, we would have won by a landslide!"
What the tracker shows in your screenshots at 1:26 AM, Source AP via WSJ. HOUSE 188 Dem gained 13 vs 110 Rep lost 13, 218 seats for majority. SENATE 52 Dem gained 6 vs 40 Rep lost 6, 51 seats for majority. Map shows mixed reporting % still incoming, so this is live count not final certified result.
Why I am watching this for crypto, midterms always bring volatility. $ TRUMP is meme beta for Trump headlines, it pumps and dumps hard on Truth Social posts. BNB is market beta and Binance ecosystem coin, when political headlines hit risk sentiment it moves with $BTC.
I am not chasing green candle on headline alone. For $ TRUMP $0.03000 area that was 24h high on other meme trackers is first resistance, support is low of the day around $0.02632 zone where $Q also bounced today. For BNB watch $BTC $76,648 level, if BTC holds $76,171 24h low, alts get relief bounce, if $75,736 breaks alts flush again.
My plan is simple, no long at top on news. I wait for pullback and confirmation. If $ TRUMP holds above $0.02810 and reclaims $0.02869 with volume, long toward $0.02970 and $0.03000 stop below $0.02632. If headline fades and price closes below $0.02730 I step aside. Risk 1 to 2% only, news trades are fast and can reverse.
Do you think Democrats holding both chambers is bullish or bearish for crypto regulation and $TRUMP momentum?
Tap to trade this election volatility$TRUMP #TRUMP #US
On the 1H chart, we can see a strong volume at $0.030000 double top then flush to $0.026320 (61M Q) with the MA5 (52.5M) and MA10 (40.3M) crossing above. This means there is absorption by buyers. We have a strong high at 15m $0.029700 low $0.026320 and 5m $0.02869 low $0.02632. Current price is $0.02810 trying to reclaim $0.02869.
The price is still down -4.75%, however, we can see a 7 Day washout of -60% and looks to have burnt its fingers. The bigger picture still looks good at +149.40% over 180 Days. We are now funding neutral as shorts were paid earlier.
For me there is new support at $0.02770 to $0.02800 which will need to hold. There is also support at $0.02632 is final floor. Lose $0.02730 (closed), and first resistance at $0.02810, my long from $0__0.02869 followed by resistance at $0.02810, my long from $1__0.03000 (24h high) and double top on the 1H.
What I am doing is moving my SL to breakeven at $0.02810, my long from $2__0.02869. I am holding a runner to $0.02810, my long from $3__0.03000. New longs will be placed on the retest at $0.02810, my long from $4__0.02805 with a stop below $0.02810, my long from $5__0.03000.
Would you see a test of $0.02810, my long from $6__0.03000 tonight? Or rejection at $0.02869?
$BTC just rejected trend line at $80k and flushed to $76,171, I am shorting the retest
Live Binance: $BTC $76,648.50 -5.03% | H $80,962.00 L $76,171.08 | Vol $1.58B | Today -4.61% 7D -5.39%
4h chart shows green support line that held since Oct 23 broke and price tested it from below and got rejection, exactly what I was waiting for. 1h printed $81,196.01 high then collapsed to $75,736.38 with volume spike MA5 1.44K vs MA10 1.06K and 15m MA5 1.03K vs 584, so real selling not thin wick. We are now at $76,648 near 24h low.
For me $77,865 to $78,130 is first resistance box before breakdown and $79,066 is the wall. $76,171 is 24h low must break for continuation and $75,736 is final 4h low.
My plan is short the bounce $77,865 to $78,130 entry stop above $79,066 targets $76,700 then $76,171 then $75,736. Risk 1 to 2%. I am not chasing short at low, I wait for retest. If 1h closes above $79,309 I step aside.
Do you see $76,171 breaking tonight or bounce back to $78,130?
$Q holding $0.02777 on 24h low support, my long from $0.02755 is +15% ROI and I am managing it here
Live Binance: Q $0.02777 -1.00% | H $0.03000 L $0.02748 | Vol 730.91M Q $20.97M | Funding 0.00500%
I entered long at $0.02755 after that flush to $0.02723 on 15m. Mark is $0.02777 now and PnL +$1.21. Today -5.86% and 7 Days -61.00% shows weekly capitulation, but price is sitting on $0.02748 24h low which is key demand. 1m high $0.02816 and 3m high $0.02923 and 5m high $0.02981 are all above.
64% longs vs 35% shorts on orderbook, funding +0.00500% longs pay shorts, so long bias but not crowded. 30 Days still +29.30% and 180 Days +146% tells me bigger uptrend not dead, just deep correction.
My mentor plan for this position, I am holding long scalp with SL $0.02730 close basis below $0.02748 low.
TP1 $0.02816 take 50% profit, TP2 $0.02923, final TP3 $0.03000 24h high.
After TP1 I move SL to breakeven $0.02755. I switched from Cross 20x to Isolated 10x max, Liq $0.02543 is too far to rely on. Risk 1 to 2% only. If 5m closes below $0.02748 I close long and look short toward $0.02493 1h low.
This is not swing long, this is low time frame bounce play. Until $0.0554 flips back to support, overall remains sell the rip.
Do you think Q holds $0.02748 and pushes to $0.03000 or breaks down to $0.02493?
$Q is holding $0.02800 after flushing to $0.02746 low, scalp bounce setting up and I am taking this long
Live Binance: $Q $0.02800 +1.38% | H $0.03000 L $0.02746 | Vol 781.36M Q $22.38M
Today -5.08% and 7 Days -60.67% but 30 Days still +30.37% and 180 Days +148.51%. That tells me sellers are exhausted after that big drop from $0.02923 to $0.02763 low. On 1m chart we made double bottom at $0.02779 and $0.02763 and now basing around $0.02798. Volume MA5 432K MA10 344K is picking up on green candles.
I am not chasing short at 24h low. This is middle of range and short here has bad risk reward. $0.02746 is the floor that must hold, $0.02869 is first wall we tapped earlier.
My mentor plan for today, LONG scalp $0.02785 to $0.02800 entry, stop below $0.02740 on close basis. Target $0.02869 first then $0.02960 then $0.03000 24h high. If $0.02746 breaks and closes below I flip bias and look short toward $0.02650. Leverage 5x to 10x isolated max, risk 1 to 2% only. This is counter trend scalp not swing long.
Do you see $0.02869 reclaim today or does $0.02746 break again?
$NEAR has had a vertical rally however this has been running into some risky territory. The market has changed direction and trying to chase this can be a trap.
Live Bybit: $NEAR $4.194 (+9.16%) | H $4.273 L $3.698 | Turnover: $21.77M | BTC +4.25%
Looking at the 15m chart we can see that any weak hands have been washed out of the market to a low of $3.698, the kind of aggressive sell off that usually traps late shorts. But the reaction was absolutely violent. Buyers stepped in with heavy volume and ripped the price straight through the EMA 200 at $3.962.
It peaked at a high of $4.194 and is currently holding right at the highs around $4.184. This is why I am cautious here. The short term RSI is showing extremely high levels of 80 which means we are overbought. The MACD is also showing some early signs of momentum slowing down. This is what happens when you create a local top. Retail greed.
I won’t be chasing this green candle. I will wait for a structured pullback.
A good area to look to go long would be the retest of the EMA 200 around the $3.96 down to the $3.88 support level. If we fail to hold this then we will have failed to hold $3.69 swing low. First target is a retest of the local high at $4.19 and $4.24. Whilst this is a large momentum move the RSI has gone extremely high so make sure you size accordingly.
My plan would be to not go long between $4.19 top. I wait for pullback to $3.96 and $3.88 and look long toward $4.19 then $4.24, stop below $3.69. If $3.69 breaks then I would walk away. Only risk 1-2%.
What is your take on chasing this pump? Or waiting for a large pullback down to the EMA 200?