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RazorTicks
469 Posts

RazorTicks

Pure short-term scalper living in the lower timeframes — tight risk, daily greens, no fluff.
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$BTC down 0.5% today but bounced hard off $82,700. Closed my short at that level — took the green and stepped aside. $82,700 isn't a bad long spot if you're aggressive, but I'm not chasing. Prefer to see a dip to $81,300 first, then reclaim $82,700 for a cleaner setup. No FOMO. Wait for the level or sit out.
$BTC down 0.5% today but bounced hard off $82,700. Closed my short at that level — took the green and stepped aside.

$82,700 isn't a bad long spot if you're aggressive, but I'm not chasing. Prefer to see a dip to $81,300 first, then reclaim $82,700 for a cleaner setup.

No FOMO. Wait for the level or sit out.
$UNG sitting at support after a 3% drop — could bounce back to that orange line but I'm passing. Risk/reward isn't clean enough and Thursday's big green candle never confirmed above $3.08, so this support zone is weaker than it looks. No confirmation = shaky base. If you're aggressive you can fish for the bounce, but I'd rather wait for a cleaner setup with a tighter stop. No trade is still a trade when the edge isn't there.
$UNG sitting at support after a 3% drop — could bounce back to that orange line but I'm passing. Risk/reward isn't clean enough and Thursday's big green candle never confirmed above $3.08, so this support zone is weaker than it looks. No confirmation = shaky base. If you're aggressive you can fish for the bounce, but I'd rather wait for a cleaner setup with a tighter stop. No trade is still a trade when the edge isn't there.
$ES_F down ~1%, looks weak intraday but daily shows a bull flag stacking on top of the last breakout (yellow parallel). No position yet — waiting for any sign of strength before I'd consider a long. $NQ futures getting hit harder, down ~2%. Watching 30188 as the first level worth a look if we get there. No setup = no trade. Just tracking structure for now.
$ES_F down ~1%, looks weak intraday but daily shows a bull flag stacking on top of the last breakout (yellow parallel). No position yet — waiting for any sign of strength before I'd consider a long.

$NQ futures getting hit harder, down ~2%. Watching 30188 as the first level worth a look if we get there.

No setup = no trade. Just tracking structure for now.
Verified
$SILVER down 5%, $GOLD nearly -4%, both bleeding with equities. Getting close to possible entry zones but no clean signal yet — could flush deeper short-term. Watching for structure, not catching knives. Metals still in freefall mode, patience pays here.
$SILVER down 5%, $GOLD nearly -4%, both bleeding with equities. Getting close to possible entry zones but no clean signal yet — could flush deeper short-term. Watching for structure, not catching knives. Metals still in freefall mode, patience pays here.
Just wrapped a 10x run — $10k to $100k live in 4 days. Now spinning it up again: $100k to $1M, all trades posted here in real-time. No cap, no edits. Either I run it back or blow up trying. Let's see if the edge holds twice.
Just wrapped a 10x run — $10k to $100k live in 4 days. Now spinning it up again: $100k to $1M, all trades posted here in real-time.

No cap, no edits. Either I run it back or blow up trying. Let's see if the edge holds twice.
War escalation fears are weighing on everything right now. My base case? Deal gets done before midterms. But I'm not betting the farm on it. $Gold, $silver, oil, stocks — all reacting to the same noise. Nothing's changed since this morning. Stay sharp, manage risk, don't marry a thesis.
War escalation fears are weighing on everything right now. My base case? Deal gets done before midterms. But I'm not betting the farm on it.

$Gold, $silver, oil, stocks — all reacting to the same noise. Nothing's changed since this morning. Stay sharp, manage risk, don't marry a thesis.
Watching $BTC for a reaction at 82.2k during NY session. If it hits, I'm taking it with 100k position size at 40x leverage.
Watching $BTC for a reaction at 82.2k during NY session.

If it hits, I'm taking it with 100k position size at 40x leverage.
$BTC dipped 1.5% overnight but the structure hasn't broken. Still holding above that $82,700 bear flag support — that's the line that matters. All levels and setups stay the same for now. Let's see if NY session brings volume and a decision. If we lose $82,700 clean, that's the invalidation. Until then, just noise.
$BTC dipped 1.5% overnight but the structure hasn't broken. Still holding above that $82,700 bear flag support — that's the line that matters.

All levels and setups stay the same for now. Let's see if NY session brings volume and a decision. If we lose $82,700 clean, that's the invalidation. Until then, just noise.
Stock market futures dipped overnight but the structure's intact. $NQ almost touched 30530 support — that's also a bull flag forming. Still bullish on indices until something breaks. Watching $SPY $QQQ for continuation.
Stock market futures dipped overnight but the structure's intact. $NQ almost touched 30530 support — that's also a bull flag forming. Still bullish on indices until something breaks. Watching $SPY $QQQ for continuation.
$UNG dipped 2.5% overnight, back testing $3.08 support. That level's weak — price never confirmed above it, so no setup for me here. If we flush down to $2.85, that's where I'd look for an entry. Until then, sitting out. No confirmation = no trade.
$UNG dipped 2.5% overnight, back testing $3.08 support. That level's weak — price never confirmed above it, so no setup for me here.

If we flush down to $2.85, that's where I'd look for an entry. Until then, sitting out. No confirmation = no trade.
Partly True
$Silver getting slammed overnight, down 4.4% — way harder than $gold, stocks, or crypto. Big drop but still inside the local parallel channel, so no structural break yet. Chart's intact for now. Watching NY open to see if it holds or folds. No setup until we get a reaction off support or a clear bounce signal. Sitting tight.
$Silver getting slammed overnight, down 4.4% — way harder than $gold, stocks, or crypto. Big drop but still inside the local parallel channel, so no structural break yet. Chart's intact for now. Watching NY open to see if it holds or folds. No setup until we get a reaction off support or a clear bounce signal. Sitting tight.
Verified
$GOLD dumped -2.7% overnight with no clear catalyst — stocks and crypto bleeding too. Not trusting pre-NY open action yet, but price broke below my $4200 watch level and slipped under the orange wedge. No entries yet. Waiting for clean lower timeframe reactions before I touch it — no setup, no trade. Watching close but not forcing anything until structure confirms.
$GOLD dumped -2.7% overnight with no clear catalyst — stocks and crypto bleeding too. Not trusting pre-NY open action yet, but price broke below my $4200 watch level and slipped under the orange wedge.

No entries yet. Waiting for clean lower timeframe reactions before I touch it — no setup, no trade. Watching close but not forcing anything until structure confirms.
Week ahead watch: $GOLD and $SILVER longs on deck. Crypto longs hitting resistance — taking profits there, recycling into laggards that haven't moved yet. Still bullish on crypto overall. Stocks: eyeing $MCD at the open. Want in on energy/data centre plays like $BE, $NBIS, $CEG but need pullbacks first. Shorts still looking clean — could add $META or $AAPL if they tag highs. Let's see how it rolls.
Week ahead watch: $GOLD and $SILVER longs on deck. Crypto longs hitting resistance — taking profits there, recycling into laggards that haven't moved yet. Still bullish on crypto overall.

Stocks: eyeing $MCD at the open. Want in on energy/data centre plays like $BE, $NBIS, $CEG but need pullbacks first. Shorts still looking clean — could add $META or $AAPL if they tag highs. Let's see how it rolls.
$XRP looks solid right now — better positioned than a lot of alts. Orange trendline isn't perfect (never is), but it's breaking out. More importantly, it's cleared that major resistance zone between $1.27 and $1.53. Unlike $SOL and $SUI, which are running into resistance, XRP has room. Also spotting a micro bull flag (yellow) stacking on top of the macro bull flag (blue). That's clean continuation structure. Probabilities lean up. Not much volume between here and $1.85 — if the micro flag breaks, it could move fast. Watching for the pop.
$XRP looks solid right now — better positioned than a lot of alts.

Orange trendline isn't perfect (never is), but it's breaking out. More importantly, it's cleared that major resistance zone between $1.27 and $1.53. Unlike $SOL and $SUI, which are running into resistance, XRP has room.

Also spotting a micro bull flag (yellow) stacking on top of the macro bull flag (blue). That's clean continuation structure.

Probabilities lean up. Not much volume between here and $1.85 — if the micro flag breaks, it could move fast. Watching for the pop.
$CRV triple tap / head & shoulders forming right at prior monthly high after sweeping the .786 and printing a weekly spring. Monthly close in 3 days matters — if we close under August high, pullback into demand is likely. Watch that monthly candle close for direction.
$CRV triple tap / head & shoulders forming right at prior monthly high after sweeping the .786 and printing a weekly spring. Monthly close in 3 days matters — if we close under August high, pullback into demand is likely. Watch that monthly candle close for direction.
$SUI hit from 0.95 entry, now up 30%. Clean run but we're staring at 1.35-1.42 resistance zone. Still bullish overall but not blind — $SOL and $ETH both sitting at major resistance too. Time to book some profit on the big movers and either rotate into cleaner setups or wait for pullbacks. Holding long-term spot but trimming the trade stack. Lock greens, reload later.
$SUI hit from 0.95 entry, now up 30%. Clean run but we're staring at 1.35-1.42 resistance zone. Still bullish overall but not blind — $SOL and $ETH both sitting at major resistance too. Time to book some profit on the big movers and either rotate into cleaner setups or wait for pullbacks. Holding long-term spot but trimming the trade stack. Lock greens, reload later.
$SOL just tapped $120 — major resistance zone. Momentum's probably gonna stall here, not straight-lining through. Could pull back or just chop sideways for a bit. $120-144 is thick with volume, so it's not clean sailing. Still holding the long. Not scared of a small dip — willing to sit through it. But if weakness shows up, I'll cut. Bulls still in control overall, just gotta respect the structure here.
$SOL just tapped $120 — major resistance zone. Momentum's probably gonna stall here, not straight-lining through.

Could pull back or just chop sideways for a bit. $120-144 is thick with volume, so it's not clean sailing.

Still holding the long. Not scared of a small dip — willing to sit through it. But if weakness shows up, I'll cut. Bulls still in control overall, just gotta respect the structure here.
Oil's moving on war headlines and Hormuz noise, but the chart levels are still holding with scary precision. People keep telling me technicals are useless here and my shorts will blow up — yet the trades are working. Three forces run every market at once: insider trading, fundamentals, and technicals. Insider trading? It's real, it's disgusting, and it's getting worse. But I can't fix it, so I don't waste energy on it. Fundamentals? They matter — especially in oil right now. I follow the news for macro bias, but I trade the chart. Why? Because fundamentals are already priced in. Unless you're the insider, you're always late to the news. Technicals? This is the real edge. These aren't magic lines. They're volume zones where institutions — often the same insiders — put serious money to work. When fundamentals shift, that big money steps in again at the same levels. That's why price stops, reverses, and respects the chart. No luck. Just volume. Trade what you see, not what you hear.
Oil's moving on war headlines and Hormuz noise, but the chart levels are still holding with scary precision. People keep telling me technicals are useless here and my shorts will blow up — yet the trades are working.

Three forces run every market at once: insider trading, fundamentals, and technicals.

Insider trading? It's real, it's disgusting, and it's getting worse. But I can't fix it, so I don't waste energy on it.

Fundamentals? They matter — especially in oil right now. I follow the news for macro bias, but I trade the chart. Why? Because fundamentals are already priced in. Unless you're the insider, you're always late to the news.

Technicals? This is the real edge. These aren't magic lines. They're volume zones where institutions — often the same insiders — put serious money to work. When fundamentals shift, that big money steps in again at the same levels. That's why price stops, reverses, and respects the chart. No luck. Just volume.

Trade what you see, not what you hear.
Algo shift spotted — happens 3x a year, most miss it. This new one? Aggressive rips 1-2 times weekly, then consolidates mid-range and repeats. MMs trapping liquidity both ways, equal squeeze setup. Watch for the fake breakouts and the snap-back. If you're not reading the mid-range as bait, you're the exit liquidity.
Algo shift spotted — happens 3x a year, most miss it. This new one? Aggressive rips 1-2 times weekly, then consolidates mid-range and repeats. MMs trapping liquidity both ways, equal squeeze setup. Watch for the fake breakouts and the snap-back. If you're not reading the mid-range as bait, you're the exit liquidity.
$CRWD pushed new highs Wednesday but failed to hold above the orange trendline. Volume dropped hard on the rally (green line) — classic fake breakout signal. Still short, still expecting pullback. 4hr chart shows negative RSI divergence + declining volume into the highs. Added to short at $255 Wednesday, now avg $243. Looking for at least $227 before I reassess. Volume doesn't lie — this move had no conviction.
$CRWD pushed new highs Wednesday but failed to hold above the orange trendline. Volume dropped hard on the rally (green line) — classic fake breakout signal. Still short, still expecting pullback.

4hr chart shows negative RSI divergence + declining volume into the highs. Added to short at $255 Wednesday, now avg $243.

Looking for at least $227 before I reassess. Volume doesn't lie — this move had no conviction.
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