Ade_Krypt

$BTC Market Outlook

Bitcoin is steadily grinding higher and has now reached a key decision zone around 65k.

The last time price traded at this level, it was rejected and moved lower. I'm leaning toward a similar outcome unless $BTC can break and hold above the 65.2k–65.6k range.

A confirmed breakout above that resistance would invalidate the current bearish outlook, shift market structure to bullish, and likely trigger a wave of short liquidations. If that happens, BTC could rally toward the 67k–68k area over the coming days.

For now, I'm maintaining my short positions with clearly defined stop-loss levels above resistance. If price is rejected from this zone again, I expect increased volatility and a move toward 61.3k.

In short, Bitcoin is sitting at a major decision point. The next move will likely determine whether we see a drop to 61.3k or a breakout that pushes price into the 67k–68k mFVG zone.
#ChinaLaunchesBroadestTradeRetaliationOnUSFirms #ADPJulyPrivatePayrollsMissedExpectations

$BTC is still struggling around the $77.75k resistance zone.

At the moment, it’s limiting upside momentum, but what stands out is that sellers still haven’t managed to force a real pullback.

Price has been consolidating just below resistance for hours now.

Usually, when price keeps pressing under a resistance level without a strong rejection, it suggests momentum is building for a potential breakout.

If $BTC gets a clean move above $77.75k, there’s a good chance price accelerates into the liquidity sitting higher up.

For now, resistance remains intact, but with this kind of compression, it’s not a level I’d confidently short against.

#GoogleLaunchesGemini3.5Flash #Trump'sIranAttackDelayed

$BTC Bitcoin — Update

Using the same logic that correctly forecasted on March 1 that April would close above $70,202, the current model suggests May 2027 could close below $87,496.

This assumes the 2M timeframe has begun forming a bearish cycle of Kyushu Ashi candles, with a minimum cycle duration of 7–9–2 candles.

This also aligns with my base-case scenario: $BTC may spend 1+ year ranging before the next major bull market begins.

The thesis could be invalidated if December 2026 closes above $99.8K, or if another bullish KA candle forms on the 2M chart and breaks the current bearish cycle.
#USAugustPPIRisesLessThanExpected #USContinuingJoblessClaims1.774M

Brian Armstrong believes $BTC could realistically reach $400,000 by 2030.

At first, that target sounds extremely ambitious.

But Bitcoin’s position in the global financial system is changing rapidly.

Spot ETFs have made institutional access easier, corporate adoption continues to expand, and Bitcoin is increasingly being viewed as a macro asset rather than simply a speculative trade.

Then there’s the supply side.

Only 21 million $BTC will ever exist, while the amount of capital that can gain exposure continues to grow.

Reaching $400K won’t be easy, and the journey certainly won’t be straight.

But if institutional demand keeps accelerating, today’s ambitious targets could look much more reasonable by 2030.

The bigger risk may be underestimating how much capital eventually seeks Bitcoin exposure.
#AppleDebutsFoldablePhone #TSMCAugustRevenueUp53.3%YoY

XRP’s Centralization Debate Faces a Major Challenge

Asset manager 21Shares has pushed back against one of the long-standing criticisms surrounding $XRP and Ripple’s influence over the XRP Ledger.

According to 21Shares, Ripple operates just one validator among roughly 35 on the default trusted list, while the XRP Ledger has more than 150 validators in total.

Protocol changes also require at least 80% validator agreement, further limiting any single entity’s ability to control the network.

The key takeaway: Ripple’s significant presence in the $XRP ecosystem does not necessarily translate into control over transaction validation.
#RippleLobbiesToAdvanceCLARITYActVote #DowFallsOver600Points

The 30-day $BTC liquidation heatmap is showing a clear tug-of-war around the $80,000 level.

BTC is currently trading near $79,752, with a dense cluster of short liquidations sitting above the $80K–$81K zone. Meanwhile, there’s also significant long liquidity below that could be swept if $BTC takes a sharp move lower.

Liquidity is stacked on both sides, meaning one strong move could trigger a liquidation cascade and accelerate price action quickly.

So the big question is:

Will BTC push higher first to hunt the shorts, or drop lower to wipe out the longs?
#ChinaAugustCPIRises0.8%YoY #USStrikesTargetsNearHormuzAndJask

This is getting seriously interesting again.

$BTC dropped from $82,300 to $78,600 over the weekend, triggering around $1.4B in liquidations.

The key point: $80,000 was the critical breakout level, and once it failed, the liquidity below was exposed exactly as expected.

Bitcoin now has roughly $2.3B in liquidity below between $76,500–$78,500, while another $2.3B sits above between $80,500–$83,000. HTF liquidity is now almost perfectly balanced, giving neither side a clear advantage.

On the LTF, major liquidity clusters sit around $78,400–$78,900 below and $79,900–$81,000 above, making a sweep of either zone increasingly likely.

Whales continue showing strong buying interest around $78K–$79K, while heavy sell walls remain above $80K through $83K. Buyers are defending the downside, but bulls still need to absorb significant supply before I trust another breakout.

Spot demand has weakened, Coinbase Premium remains negative, and OI is only beginning to recover as futures traders turn bullish again. Leverage is returning, but I still want stronger spot demand before turning bullish.

Key levels:

- $79K–$80K support has failed
- $78.6K downside sweep is complete
- $78.9K and $79.9K are key LTF zones
- HTF liquidity is balanced
- Reclaim $80K–$81K = bulls regain control
- Lose $78.4K = another downside sweep becomes likely

$BTC #USIranTradeTankerStrikesEscalate #CanadaToImpose15%To50%TariffsOnUSGoods

$BTC is trading around $79.8K after a quiet weekend.

The plan remains unchanged from yesterday. I’m waiting for tomorrow’s open to see which direction Bitcoin chooses.

The most likely scenario is a retrace of the small weekend pump before the next move takes shape.

A retest of the lows could offer a strong opportunity to build longs, while the short setup remains valid if $BTC revisits the $81K area.

Next week could bring strong momentum and potentially new highs.

However, with the macro backdrop looking increasingly bearish, a deeper pullback remains highly likely.

For me, that would simply create an opportunity to scale into swing longs at higher-timeframe points of interest.

Eyes on tomorrow’s open.

#RussiaUkraine72-hourCeasefire #LululemonTumbles20%OnWeakGuidance

$BTC is consolidating below the $80K resistance after its recent impulsive move higher.

Price remains relatively tight, suggesting the market may be preparing for another liquidity expansion.

The key downside zone is $77.5K–$78.1K, where strong demand is visible.

A sweep into this area wouldn’t necessarily break the bullish structure; it could simply be a liquidity grab before continuation.

If $BTC holds the zone and reclaims $80K with momentum, $82K becomes the next key upside target.

For me, the reaction around $77.5K–$78.1K is the main confirmation to watch.
#ZECHitsANewAllTimeHigh #LululemonTumbles20%OnWeakGuidance

Bitcoin is starting to look increasingly bullish again.

The $61K area has held twice, establishing a solid support base, while the latest recovery has pushed $BTC back above $80K and into its broader ascending structure.

If this setup remains intact and $BTC firmly reclaims the $80K–$81K range, the next major target could be $97K.

A decisive breakout above $97K could bring the $125K ATH back into focus.

The bigger picture still resembles a large accumulation structure, potentially setting the stage for the next major move higher.
#LululemonTumbles20%OnWeakGuidance #USAugustJobGrowthNearlyTriplesForecast

$BTC COULD BE SETTING UP FOR ANOTHER LEG LOWER

I don’t think this is the place to chase the upside.

Price has once again returned to the same upper boundary that previously rejected it, while the broader structure still looks unresolved.

If we see another rejection from here, the downside levels become fairly clear:

First, $70K.

Then, the $60K region.

And if selling pressure intensifies, I wouldn’t rule out a deeper move toward the range lows around $57K–$58K.

Could $BTC break out and completely invalidate this setup?

Absolutely.

But for now, I’d rather respect the existing structure than front-run a breakout.

That’s the scenario I’m watching closely.
#BitcoinEthereumHitMultiMonthHighs #比特币突破8万美元

$BTC moved exactly where the heatmap pointed. Now, the leverage map is showing an even more interesting setup.

Last week: $BTC was around $79,200, with the main liquidity magnet at $81,500–$82,000. Today, price is sitting at $80,933.

Everyone is asking whether $82K will break. I think the better question is: where did the leverage move?

→ Above: $81,500–$82,000 remains heavily stacked, while a new cluster has formed around $82,500–$83,000. Shorts are defending this area aggressively.

→ Below: The strongest liquidity cluster is now around $79,200–$79,400. That’s where many of this week’s late longs are positioned.

Longs chased the move. Shorts doubled down. Price is trapped right in between.

Open interest is now at $142.9B, up 5% today. Liquidations have reached $511M, up 52% over the past 24 hours, with the long/short split sitting at 51/49.

Same setup as last week, just with more leverage and still very little conviction.

Clear $82K and the shorts above could fuel a sharp squeeze.

Lose $79.2K and the longs underneath could get wiped out in one move.

I’m not chasing either side. The risk/reward comes to me, or I stay out.
#比特币突破8万美元 #USWeeklyInitialJoblessClaimsRiseTo206000

$BTC continues to hold up strongly and is now attempting to reclaim the $78,000 level.

If Bitcoin can break above $78K and maintain it as support, the next key resistance is around $79K. A successful breakout there could open the door toward $82,000–$83,000.

What stands out is BTC’s resilience despite rising oil prices. So far, I’m not seeing strong signs of a major bearish correction or a deeper move toward significantly lower levels.

I’m no longer holding a short position here. For now, I’m staying patient and waiting for a clear setup before positioning for the next potential leg higher with a $BTC long.

Let the price confirm the move first.

#USWeeklyInitialJoblessClaimsRiseTo206000 #SECNewCryptoRulesAimToBringFirmsBackToUS

$ETH / $BTC is sitting at a major technical inflection point.

The monthly candle has closed above the MA20, but the real test now is whether ETH/BTC can confirm the breakout and turn that level into support.

The last strong reclaim came in July 2020. ETH/BTC climbed from 0.0315 to 0.088, while ETH surged from $225 to $4,372.

August 2025 offered another MA20 reclaim, but it failed to hold and the pair eventually moved back toward its lows.

This time, the key is simple: MA20 must become support.

MACD is also turning bullish from a zone similar to the one that preceded the 2020 breakout.

If the breakout holds:

🎯 Target 1: 0.050
🚀 Stretch target: 0.088

Meanwhile, ISM came in at 54.6 vs 55.2 expected, suggesting growth is still expanding but beginning to cool. That could give the Fed more flexibility to remain on hold.

If ETH/BTC successfully holds the MA20, ETH could be entering a major period of outperformance against BTC.
#SolanaFallsOver3% #DellSurges8%OnEarningsBeat

$BTC cycle momentum is flashing a potentially significant reversal signal.

After months of weakening momentum, the indicator is beginning to show signs that the prolonged downtrend could be running out of strength.

Historically, similar momentum shifts have occurred near major Bitcoin cycle transitions.

If this bullish momentum continues to build, $BTC could be setting up for a breakout and potentially marking the end of the current bearish trend.
#SaudiSaysIranAttackedShipInHormuz #OpenAISaysAstraFindsFlawsAutonomously

Baird has set a $500 price target for $NVDA , naming it one of its top large-cap picks as inference gains and agentic AI accelerate growth.

A major catalyst is Anthropic’s $35B Nvidia deal, backed by Lambda, which Baird says gives Nvidia roughly twice the GW capacity at Anthropic compared with rival architectures.

Looking ahead to 2027, Baird expects Vera and Groq 3 to further broaden Nvidia’s opportunity beyond its traditional GPU business.
#ARBRises30%OnRobinhoodChainRevenue #EtherETFsExtendInflowStreakTo11Days

Russia just turned $BTC into a regulated banking product, while CT is still debating Saylor’s latest purchase.

As of September 1, the new framework is live. Russia’s largest bank, Sber, estimates regulated crypto accounts could generate around $46B in the first year. The initial lineup is limited to BTC, ETH, and USDT. Retail access is capped at a few thousand dollars annually per intermediary, and crypto still can’t be used for everyday purchases.

The real use case is cross-border settlement.

That detail matters. A sanctioned financial system is essentially trying to move part of its gray-market crypto activity onto supervised rails without opening the door to domestic crypto payments. Sber estimates only about 20% of existing activity currently passes through exchanges, with the remaining 80% staying in P2P markets and offshore channels.

They’re also considering crypto-backed lending once the central bank gives the green light.

Meanwhile, CT has spent the past 12 hours focused on Strategy adding another 4.6K BTC, Strive moving into the top five corporate treasuries, and whether $78K can hold after Bitcoin’s 24% August rally.

All interesting,but none of it changes the underlying financial infrastructure.

If Sber begins accepting BTC, $ETH , and USDT as collateral, Bitcoin becomes more than a Western ETF narrative. It becomes a balance-sheet asset within a major bank operating outside the traditional Western financial system.

The limits are intentional. The real signal is which three assets made the list.

So the bigger question is: does this remain a Russia-only experiment, or do other financially restricted jurisdictions copy the same three-asset, no-domestic-payments model?

#HangSengFalls1% #XRPRises40%InTwoWeeksAsOpenInterestFalls

$BTC MARKET LOOKS EXTREMELY OVERHEATED 🚨

A major bearish divergence has formed, while RSI is sitting at one of its highest levels ever.

We saw a similar setup back in May, which was followed by roughly a 40% correction.

Now, the pattern appears to be repeating, but this time the market looks even more stretched.

Back then, sentiment was also extremely bullish, with most expecting continuation higher. Yet RSI wasn’t nearly as extended as it is now.

The key level to watch is $83K.

If $BTC closes the month below $83K, the higher-timeframe bearish structure remains intact, and I expect further downside.

The bigger question is how deep the correction could go.

Another ~40% decline from the highs would put BTC near $54K.

Maybe we never revisit $50K during this bear market, but I still believe BTC could print a new low before the cycle bottom is confirmed.

I’ll continue posting daily market updates and monitoring major macro events so you can stay prepared.

Follow and turn on notifications.

#SKHynixStudiesJapanMemoryChipVenture

A lot of people may end up being left behind waiting for $60K to come back.

If $BTC sweeps $75.5K and dips toward $74K, I expect that level to be bought up quickly.

Bull markets rarely offer deep retraces.

If Bitcoin consolidates here and gradually moves higher, $90K could be on the table by September/October, suggesting the low may already be in.

THE BITCOIN MONTHLY RANGE HIGH LIQUIDITY MODEL

$BTC continues to struggle with reclaiming the 4H Bearish Order Block around $79,900–$80,400.

Many traders were expecting Bitcoin to sweep the Monthly Range High before beginning a multi day retracement.

However, market structure can often move ahead of consensus when significant overhead supply remains firmly defended.

If resistance continues to hold below $80,400, $BTC could face an early rejection toward the $74,450 support zone.

A retest of this demand area could flush out late leverage and create a cleaner base for potential higher-timeframe accumulation.

Follow + turn on notifications for more updates.
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