In general I am still expecting the next few weeks potentially even month to be bullish for $BTC /crypto.
I am not certain if the Clarity Act will pass or not but I do expect it to be used as an event to draw in liquidity to form a local top in either scenario (completion of wave i).
I am thinking the rest of Q4 is likely to be “bearish” (Wave ii correction, which is a necessary evil and an exceptional buying opportunity for smart money).
Then I think 2027 and potentially 2028 as well are going to be extremely bullish (Waves iii, iv, and v).
closed our short from 79.6k after price broke out of the bearish delta at 77.5k, followed by the .618 wick-fill, while sellers failed to push price back below 76k
we could see a minor rejection around 78.5k-79k, but if 77.5k flips into support, I think we frontrun 74–73k and rotate back into 83.7–84.5k
any dip into 76–75k is an area to add. Will adjust the stop if we get the chance
$BTC might have the most explosive week of the year next week!
On September 15, first watch the CLARITY Act vote.
On September 16, the Federal Reserve will act immediately after!
On September 18, the Bank of Japan will strike again. Three major events happening consecutively, global market volatility is about to peak! $ETH The first hurdle is the CLARITY Act; the market currently leans toward it not passing smoothly, so “failure” has already been partially priced in; the real surprise would be an unexpected pass. The second hurdle is the Federal Reserve, with the market currently pricing about an 87% chance of a rate hike in September. If a hike happens, high Beta assets will continue to be under pressure; if there is a sudden pivot to a pause, global risk assets could quickly rebound.
The third hurdle is the Bank of Japan, with the market expecting a 25 basis point rate hike. If more rate hike signals are released after the meeting, the yen carry trade might loosen further, putting deleveraging pressure on US stocks and Crypto; if they hint at a temporary halt, global liquidity could get a breather. Next week is not about a single data point but about regulatory, interest rate, and yen factors all hitting hard simultaneously.
If any of these outcomes differ from expectations, BTC could directly amplify volatility to another level!
Jiang Zhuoer: If BTC breaks the key support at $76,500, the decline may accelerate
On September 13, Jiang Zhuoer, founder of the mining pool B.TOP, stated that BTC has fallen as expected, with $76,500 being a key support level (the lower edge of the ascending channel and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement from about $57,000 to $82,000). If it breaks below $76,500, the decline may accelerate, and the next focus is whether the previous low of $75,500 can hold. Earlier today, he mentioned two possible scenarios: a) a rebound before $75,000, which would likely lead to a rise back to $80,000 or even up to the strong resistance zone between $83,000 and $84,000, followed by a major correction; b) a confirmed break below $75,000, which would trigger a retracement corresponding to the previous rise from $64,000, expected to reach $70,000 to $72,000, then enter the next bull market phase. Jiang Zhuoer believes that next week's vote on the "Cryptocurrency Market Structure Act" (the CLARITY Act) and Federal Reserve news could be key catalysts, so he maintains a neutral position with a full BTC short and full ETH spot holdings.
This time,the divergence is clearer. $BTC Spot ETFs recorded -$13.29M, nearly recovering after heavy outflows. But $ETH attracted +$216.41M—led by BlackRock’s ETHA with +$148.82M ,Fidelity’s FETH with+$11.40M,and Bitwise’s ETHW with +$29.09M. The key isn’t that BTC is being sold.It’s that ETH is absorbing significantly more capital. $BTC hasn’t confirmed a new trend,but ETF flows are already pricing ETH differently. Is this rotation,or simply a test of positioning?
The first swing long and my average spot entry are 59.4/59.6K.
Second swing long: 76.2K.
The ones saying I'm wrong now will be the same ones saying I'm wrong then.
New lows aren't coming. The trend has shifted.
Those waiting for lower are sidelined in disbelief that they missed the bottom. Those in shorts are calling this another bear market rally, failing to realize that cycles are slowly changing and progressing faster.
Price has been chopping into this range from a while now,
And naturally we have been building liquidity on the both sides of this range,
+ We have our first reversal pivot of the month approaching soon alongside FOMC (16th Sep).
Considering this, I have 2 zones marked up for high probability swing positions.
First one is the upside stacked liquidity but there's a condition to this which is that price has to leave the lows un-swept again,
Only then will this zone be valid for a swing short setup.
Now the next zone is the downside stacked liquidity, which was being engineered from 2-3 weeks now.
So if price takes it out now, I will build a major swing long targeting the next balance level, which I am expecting to be around 90-95k.
We are still in the middle of the range, So taking any swing around here doesn't make sense and I won't take a major position until we hit one of our AOIs.
On the 4-hour timeframe, we are moving within a local bearish order flow.
I expect price not to move too much over the weekend, especially BTC. Therefore, my plan is to capture liquidity around the 75.500$ - 74.200$ level, followed by a move up towards 82.800$ and higher.
$ETH /$BTC - Ethereum continues to outperform Bitcoin!
As you can see, the ascending triangle has already partially played out and continues to move higher, which is a positive factor for ETH!
I believe that over the next few months, ETH will be able to completely outperform $BTC by several times.
When the crowd is focused on BTC - nothing will happen. Growth happens where nobody expects to see it!
I’m also publishing full breakdowns today on ETH.D and TOTAL3, and I’ll explain why you should pay attention to the Ethereum ecosystem and why it is my priority!#BTC
🚨 CPI SHOCKWAVE: WHAT IT MEANS FOR BITCOIN & CRYPTO
Today’s CPI data has once again placed inflation and Federal Reserve policy at the center of market attention. The numbers show that inflation remains a major factor influencing investor decisions, and this can create increased volatility across risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
For Bitcoin, the reaction is not only about the CPI figure itself but also about what the market expects from the Fed. Higher-than-expected inflation can reduce hopes for aggressive rate cuts, which may strengthen the dollar and create short-term pressure on BTC and altcoins.
However, Bitcoin’s long-term structure depends on more than one economic report. Institutional demand, ETF flows, liquidity conditions, and global adoption continue to play important roles.
Key BTC levels I’m watching: 📌 Support: $77K zone — holding this area could maintain the current structure. 📌 Resistance: $80K–$82K zone — a clean breakout could restore bullish momentum.
Altcoins like $ETH $SOL and $SNDK may also react strongly as traders adjust risk exposure after the CPI release.
The market is entering a phase where patience and risk management matter more than chasing every move. Volatility creates opportunities, but only for those who understand the structure.
Solana is showing strength after its recovery, but price is now approaching a key decision zone. Buyers need to defend the current structure and push above resistance to continue the move.
🎯 My prediction: $SOL closes HIGHER.
Reason: • Strong recovery momentum remains intact • Buyers are defending key support areas • A breakout above resistance could attract more demand
#ECBRaisesRatesSecondTimeTo2.5% $ETH $BTC have returned to the starting point again and again. After holding for a week, it came back; I just looked away for a moment, and it was so sudden, almost causing me to get liquidated. Luckily, my funds are small, so I didn't feel much.
I've realized that I'm really not suited for long-term holding. The longer I hold, the more my mindset and operations subtly change—it's so gradual that I wouldn't notice unless I think carefully.
My maximum holding time should be 48 hours. Beyond that, I slowly become stubborn and inflexible.
For example, with $ETH , on the first day after opening a position, I might go long or short. If I sense something's off, I immediately close the position. Then I wait for another opportunity to open and repeat the fluctuations.
But once I hold for more than 2 days, oh my, I instantly become stubborn, refusing to close positions and even gradually adding more, starting to fantasize about how the future will go.
No matter how high it rallies, it won't move; no matter how bad the trend, it won't move—completely stuck.
Alright, since I can't change my nature, I can only change my strategy. From now on, I'll only do day trades and never hold positions overnight again.
$BTC is forming a massive Cup & Handle pattern on the weekly chart.
The setup is simple: Cup ✅ → Handle ⏳ → Breakout 🚀
If Bitcoin breaks the handle resistance, the Cup & Handle target points toward ~$363K. This could become one of the biggest Bitcoin bullish patterns of the cycle.