Bull Noah
1.8k Posts
Bull Noah
Web3 Maximalist | Researcher & Analyst | Exploring the future of decentralized intelligence | Unfiltered Thoughts On-chain & Alpha Insights Crypto Stories
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is holding still a thing in crypto?
Things you should know about crypto | Day 1:
Rug pulls are a business model built around manufactured demand.
In H1 2026 one tracker recorded 1,300+ Ethereum rug pulls stealing $32M+ from 42,000+ victims.
The play is simple: create hype, attract liquidity, then insiders dump or drain it.
Before buying, check who owns the supply, where the liquidity is, and what the contract allows.
A good looking chart can still be the exit liquidity.
$ETH
Rug pulls are a business model built around manufactured demand.
In H1 2026 one tracker recorded 1,300+ Ethereum rug pulls stealing $32M+ from 42,000+ victims.
The play is simple: create hype, attract liquidity, then insiders dump or drain it.
Before buying, check who owns the supply, where the liquidity is, and what the contract allows.
A good looking chart can still be the exit liquidity.
$ETH
Monad offered early investors up to $60M to sell their locked $MON at a discount ahead of the November unlocks
Nearly all of them declined
MON is already trading below its public sale price too
That says a lot about how early holders
Nearly all of them declined
MON is already trading below its public sale price too
That says a lot about how early holders
Is it possible to leave crypto after 6 years without making any life changing money 🤔
KALSHI IS ABSOLUTELY CRUSHING POLYMARKET
July prediction market volume:
Kalshi: $40.1B
Polymarket: $7.89B
Polymarket US: $5B
Kalshi alone did 76% of the combined volume
I genuinely thought Polymarket was the biggest prediction market
Apparently I was wrong.
July prediction market volume:
Kalshi: $40.1B
Polymarket: $7.89B
Polymarket US: $5B
Kalshi alone did 76% of the combined volume
I genuinely thought Polymarket was the biggest prediction market
Apparently I was wrong.
My Polymarket bot took 500 trades with 414 wins 54 losses and 32 breakevens and still managed to lose
82.8 percent win rate and still negative 🤦♂️
#Polymarket $BTC
82.8 percent win rate and still negative 🤦♂️
#Polymarket $BTC
people think this is a bear market thing but it isn't
look at what's happening.
exchanges are shutting down or pivoting.
bitcom.
kraken.
ascendex.
bitmart.
bitmex.
and many more
arkham already moved toward a dex.
bitmart is clearly pushing an onchain and dex future.
this isn't just about price.
it's the industry which works on trends
we've already seeing hundreds shut down pre launch and post launch.
many raised millions farmed their communities for months some years and delivered little or nothing before silently disappearing
some teams were public.
some weren't.
the excuse is always the same...
"bear market."
but in a year they'll come back with a new brand, a new roadmap, another funding round, and the cycle starts again.
every time someone points out the red flags, the community rushes to defend the project.
in crypto, realism is treated like fud.
people would rather believe in miracles than probabilities.
but miracles belong in stories.
businesses survive by executing, not only by living off hope forever.
look at what's happening.
exchanges are shutting down or pivoting.
bitcom.
kraken.
ascendex.
bitmart.
bitmex.
and many more
arkham already moved toward a dex.
bitmart is clearly pushing an onchain and dex future.
this isn't just about price.
it's the industry which works on trends
we've already seeing hundreds shut down pre launch and post launch.
many raised millions farmed their communities for months some years and delivered little or nothing before silently disappearing
some teams were public.
some weren't.
the excuse is always the same...
"bear market."
but in a year they'll come back with a new brand, a new roadmap, another funding round, and the cycle starts again.
every time someone points out the red flags, the community rushes to defend the project.
in crypto, realism is treated like fud.
people would rather believe in miracles than probabilities.
but miracles belong in stories.
businesses survive by executing, not only by living off hope forever.
As a crypto guy it still makes me laugh that stocks, forex, and commodities close on weekends in today's era.
We don't live in that world anymore.
You can buy almost anything with a few taps on your phone, 24/7.
And the funny part?
The market doesn't actually stop moving.
When it reopens, prices can gap up or down, and everyone pretend like nothing happened.
People weren't even allowed to react while the move was happening.
24/7 markets just make more sense in 2026.
$NVDAB
$BTC
We don't live in that world anymore.
You can buy almost anything with a few taps on your phone, 24/7.
And the funny part?
The market doesn't actually stop moving.
When it reopens, prices can gap up or down, and everyone pretend like nothing happened.
People weren't even allowed to react while the move was happening.
24/7 markets just make more sense in 2026.
$NVDAB
$BTC
over $6B in market cap has been wiped from $LAB
if you bought the $LAB ...
thank you for your generous donation.
the market appreciates people like you.
if you bought the $LAB ...
thank you for your generous donation.
the market appreciates people like you.
this EtherRock sold for 289 ETH.
at the time, that was about $820k.
2 years later, the owner tried listing it twice for 790 ETH.
no buyers.
today it still has a standing offer of 25 WETH, around $44k.
the craziest part?
even at the peak, buyers weren't offering anywhere near 790 ETH.
just because someone lists an NFT at a crazy price doesn't mean you should buy it.
$ETH
at the time, that was about $820k.
2 years later, the owner tried listing it twice for 790 ETH.
no buyers.
today it still has a standing offer of 25 WETH, around $44k.
the craziest part?
even at the peak, buyers weren't offering anywhere near 790 ETH.
just because someone lists an NFT at a crazy price doesn't mean you should buy it.
$ETH
what's the obsession over retail?
you really think the next bull run starts because someone buys $100 worth of bitcoin?
look at the chart retail volume is barely even visible compared to the money moving the market.
you need retail for what?
more exit liquidity?
this space is full of scammers, extractors and rug pullers then people wonder why retail never sticks around.
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
you really think the next bull run starts because someone buys $100 worth of bitcoin?
look at the chart retail volume is barely even visible compared to the money moving the market.
you need retail for what?
more exit liquidity?
this space is full of scammers, extractors and rug pullers then people wonder why retail never sticks around.
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
This is the tradeoff with Strategy's model.
If they pause buying, you preserve liquidity and can accumulate more aggressively during major drawdowns.
If they buy whenever capital becomes available, you remove emotion from the process but also sacrifice price efficiency.
The question isn't whether Bitcoin is a good asset.
It's whether an algorithmic treasury strategy should care about market cycles or deliberately ignore them.
$BTC $MSTR
If they pause buying, you preserve liquidity and can accumulate more aggressively during major drawdowns.
If they buy whenever capital becomes available, you remove emotion from the process but also sacrifice price efficiency.
The question isn't whether Bitcoin is a good asset.
It's whether an algorithmic treasury strategy should care about market cycles or deliberately ignore them.
$BTC $MSTR
BTC+0.23%
MSTRUS+6.62%
The bull market started and ended.
Now we're deep in a bear market, it's been 2 years, and I'm still talking to myself with zero likes.
At least show some sympathy for once.
Now we're deep in a bear market, it's been 2 years, and I'm still talking to myself with zero likes.
At least show some sympathy for once.
Every chart I open looks bearish.
Every dip is like it's preparing for another dip.
Right now we are absolutely cooked.
Hope I'm wrong.
$HYPE
Every dip is like it's preparing for another dip.
Right now we are absolutely cooked.
Hope I'm wrong.
$HYPE
No coin can ever reach $XRP 's level.
Not in technology.
Not in adoption.
In making bagholders.
Not in technology.
Not in adoption.
In making bagholders.
$SPCX down 10.5%.
$250B gone.
Yesterday it was "to the moon."
Today it's "overvalued."
The only thing that changed was the price.
$250B gone.
Yesterday it was "to the moon."
Today it's "overvalued."
The only thing that changed was the price.
45M+ $HYPE already bought back.
Over $116M spent.
Average buyback price: $70.
Love it or hate it, the numbers are getting harder to ignore.
Over $116M spent.
Average buyback price: $70.
Love it or hate it, the numbers are getting harder to ignore.
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