Mohamed Manae
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Mohamed Manae
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Did you know:
Since February, three-month futures yields have fallen below two-year Treasury yields.
Markets have only experienced a similar period once before: from August 2022 to January 2023, which ended at the bottom of the economic cycle.
This also directly impacts market depth and trading volume.
#CryptoNewss
Since February, three-month futures yields have fallen below two-year Treasury yields.
Markets have only experienced a similar period once before: from August 2022 to January 2023, which ended at the bottom of the economic cycle.
This also directly impacts market depth and trading volume.
#CryptoNewss
Bitcoin Analysis:
The Calm Before the Storm
1ļøā£ RSI Indicator: Indicates a neutral momentum state, as the value is near the midline.
2ļøā£ MACD Indicator: Indicates weakening upward momentum or the possibility of a downward reversal.
3ļøā£ Overall Trend: The EMA20 is slightly above the EMA50, indicating a short-term bullish trend.
4ļøā£ Approximate Support and Resistance Levels: š“ Resistance: 63820 š¢ Support: 61243
5ļøā£ Volatility Level: Moderate, which may influence the price direction in the short term.
6ļøā£ The current funding rate of 0.00316% means that long traders are paying short traders. This positive rate increases the risk of liquidation if the market turns unexpectedly.
7ļøā£ Order Book: There is a significant difference between the buy and sell volumes. This large gap indicates a greater appetite for selling than buying, which may signal a shift in market sentiment towards caution or even selling.
8ļøā£ The Long/Short ratio of 1.56 means that speculators prefer to take long positions, which may increase downward pressure on the price to hit its higher levels. Conclusion: A short-term rise followed by a continuation of the decline. If you have any questions, contact me privately ..
#BinanceSquareFamily
The Calm Before the Storm
1ļøā£ RSI Indicator: Indicates a neutral momentum state, as the value is near the midline.
2ļøā£ MACD Indicator: Indicates weakening upward momentum or the possibility of a downward reversal.
3ļøā£ Overall Trend: The EMA20 is slightly above the EMA50, indicating a short-term bullish trend.
4ļøā£ Approximate Support and Resistance Levels: š“ Resistance: 63820 š¢ Support: 61243
5ļøā£ Volatility Level: Moderate, which may influence the price direction in the short term.
6ļøā£ The current funding rate of 0.00316% means that long traders are paying short traders. This positive rate increases the risk of liquidation if the market turns unexpectedly.
7ļøā£ Order Book: There is a significant difference between the buy and sell volumes. This large gap indicates a greater appetite for selling than buying, which may signal a shift in market sentiment towards caution or even selling.
8ļøā£ The Long/Short ratio of 1.56 means that speculators prefer to take long positions, which may increase downward pressure on the price to hit its higher levels. Conclusion: A short-term rise followed by a continuation of the decline. If you have any questions, contact me privately ..
#BinanceSquareFamily
Bitcoin has successfully mitigated internal risks, but external pressures are mounting.
The Bitcoin risk index peaked in late June before settling into low-risk territory, allowing selling pressure to subside and the price to stabilize.
However, a divergence is emerging:
Bitcoin risk remains low, while the VIX index has returned to fear territory.
If the VIX continues to rise and Bitcoin risk resurfaces, the risk index will likely start to reappear.
#Write2Earn
The Bitcoin risk index peaked in late June before settling into low-risk territory, allowing selling pressure to subside and the price to stabilize.
However, a divergence is emerging:
Bitcoin risk remains low, while the VIX index has returned to fear territory.
If the VIX continues to rise and Bitcoin risk resurfaces, the risk index will likely start to reappear.
#Write2Earn
Wishing you a day sparkling with happiness ,Success and joy for each moment. ā
@Mohamed Manae
Click & Win š°
$BTC
#BTC
@Mohamed Manae
Click & Win š°
$BTC
#BTC
Bitcoin is on the verge of a final sell-off ā followed by a trend reversal.
the price has already reached the corresponding upper limit, the probability of a medium- to long-term cyclical trend reversal is increasing.
#BinanceSquareFamily
the price has already reached the corresponding upper limit, the probability of a medium- to long-term cyclical trend reversal is increasing.
#BinanceSquareFamily
Bitcoin's price structure rebuilding phase has encountered another obstacle.
Momentum has broken above its negative lows but has now stalled, while the trading volume indicator has declined after briefly indicating a slight improvement in demand.
The market structure continues to stabilize, but buying participation has not expanded sufficiently to push the price higher.
The market's stability is being maintained by the momentum remaining within the transition zone.
A return to the $65,000 level would put bulls back on track.
Click & Win š°
$BTC
#Write2Earn
@Mohamed Manae
Momentum has broken above its negative lows but has now stalled, while the trading volume indicator has declined after briefly indicating a slight improvement in demand.
The market structure continues to stabilize, but buying participation has not expanded sufficiently to push the price higher.
The market's stability is being maintained by the momentum remaining within the transition zone.
A return to the $65,000 level would put bulls back on track.
Click & Win š°
$BTC
#Write2Earn
@Mohamed Manae
A crucial day for cryptocurrency holders!
Today, investors are awaiting the US Federal Reserve's (FOMC) interest rate decision, followed by a press conference with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.
š Market expectations indicate:
ā¢ š¢ 70.6% probability of interest rates remaining unchanged.
ā¢ š“ 29.4% probability of a rate hike. Possible scenarios:
ā A rate hold with a hint of future cuts could support market gains.
ā ļø A rate hold with a hawkish tone could put pressure on cryptocurrencies.
š A rate hike could increase volatility and put pressure on high-risk assets.
#CryptoNewss
Today, investors are awaiting the US Federal Reserve's (FOMC) interest rate decision, followed by a press conference with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.
š Market expectations indicate:
ā¢ š¢ 70.6% probability of interest rates remaining unchanged.
ā¢ š“ 29.4% probability of a rate hike. Possible scenarios:
ā A rate hold with a hint of future cuts could support market gains.
ā ļø A rate hold with a hawkish tone could put pressure on cryptocurrencies.
š A rate hike could increase volatility and put pressure on high-risk assets.
#CryptoNewss
Trading Platform Consolidation Begins:
What Does the Closure of BitMEX and BitMart Mean for Binance and Bitcoin?
The cryptocurrency trading platform sector is entering a new phase of consolidation.
Last week, both BitMEX and BitMart announced plans to cease operations, marking another significant shift in the competitive landscape.
For years, the sector has supported hundreds of platforms vying for liquidity.
Today, stricter regulations, higher compliance costs, and increased institutional involvement are making it difficult for smaller platforms to survive.
Capital is gradually becoming concentrated in a limited number of global platforms. CryptoQuant's Binance reserves chart reflects this structural change.
After declining earlier this year, Bitcoin reserves on Binance have recovered and remain at relatively high levels, indicating that liquidity is still flowing toward the world's largest trading platform rather than being distributed more evenly across the sector.
This trend should not be simply interpreted as an increase in selling pressure.
Modern exchange reserves also support arbitrage in exchange-traded funds (ETFs), derivatives trading, institutional custody, and market-making activities.
As the market structure evolves, reserve balances increasingly represent centers of liquidity and trust.
#BinanceSquareFamily
What Does the Closure of BitMEX and BitMart Mean for Binance and Bitcoin?
The cryptocurrency trading platform sector is entering a new phase of consolidation.
Last week, both BitMEX and BitMart announced plans to cease operations, marking another significant shift in the competitive landscape.
For years, the sector has supported hundreds of platforms vying for liquidity.
Today, stricter regulations, higher compliance costs, and increased institutional involvement are making it difficult for smaller platforms to survive.
Capital is gradually becoming concentrated in a limited number of global platforms. CryptoQuant's Binance reserves chart reflects this structural change.
After declining earlier this year, Bitcoin reserves on Binance have recovered and remain at relatively high levels, indicating that liquidity is still flowing toward the world's largest trading platform rather than being distributed more evenly across the sector.
This trend should not be simply interpreted as an increase in selling pressure.
Modern exchange reserves also support arbitrage in exchange-traded funds (ETFs), derivatives trading, institutional custody, and market-making activities.
As the market structure evolves, reserve balances increasingly represent centers of liquidity and trust.
#BinanceSquareFamily
American investors are once again flocking to stablecoin trading platforms.
Generally, when funds flow into these platforms, purchasing power tends to increase, which translates into an upward price trend.
#BinanceSquareFamily
Generally, when funds flow into these platforms, purchasing power tends to increase, which translates into an upward price trend.
#BinanceSquareFamily
This summer revealed the answer:
A decrease in blockchain activity during market downturns, following prolonged periods of decline and capitulation, leads to excessive contraction and then a stabilization of liquidity, helping Bitcoin to stabilize while absorbing selling pressure.
$NVDA.US
#BinanceSquareFamily
Click & Win š°
A decrease in blockchain activity during market downturns, following prolonged periods of decline and capitulation, leads to excessive contraction and then a stabilization of liquidity, helping Bitcoin to stabilize while absorbing selling pressure.
$NVDA.US
#BinanceSquareFamily
Click & Win š°
BTC+0.61%
NVDAUS+3.03%
The US has set July 27th as the date for the official vote on the Clarity Act.
Get ready!
š If the bill passes ā , it will be very positive for the crypto market, and some predict Bitcoin will rise sharply.
If it doesn't pass ā, we're likely to see pressure and a market downturn.
š Current results:
š¢ In favor: 47
š“ Against: 53. To pass, the bill needs 60 votes.
š„ What do you think?
Will the Clarity Act be able to gather enough votes and pass, or will it be rejected?
Get ready!
š If the bill passes ā , it will be very positive for the crypto market, and some predict Bitcoin will rise sharply.
If it doesn't pass ā, we're likely to see pressure and a market downturn.
š Current results:
š¢ In favor: 47
š“ Against: 53. To pass, the bill needs 60 votes.
š„ What do you think?
Will the Clarity Act be able to gather enough votes and pass, or will it be rejected?
Bitcoin only managed to stabilize the market in April.
Failed stabilization attempts led to further market deviations.
Currently, Ethereum remains dominant.
However, this alone is not enough to guarantee stability.
For structural market stability, Bitcoin must regain leadership.
The storm may have passed, but confidence is still building.
ETF flows have turned positive as Bitcoin has returned to a lower risk level.
This new wave of inflows is encouraging, but still modest compared to previous accumulation phases.
The RiskIndex will provide the definitive clue: if the Risk Index doesn't stabilize near zero, the storm may not be completely over, and Bitcoin may simply be in the eye of the storm.
#BinanceSquareFamily
Failed stabilization attempts led to further market deviations.
Currently, Ethereum remains dominant.
However, this alone is not enough to guarantee stability.
For structural market stability, Bitcoin must regain leadership.
The storm may have passed, but confidence is still building.
ETF flows have turned positive as Bitcoin has returned to a lower risk level.
This new wave of inflows is encouraging, but still modest compared to previous accumulation phases.
The RiskIndex will provide the definitive clue: if the Risk Index doesn't stabilize near zero, the storm may not be completely over, and Bitcoin may simply be in the eye of the storm.
#BinanceSquareFamily
The collapse of $BMEX by 99% after BitMEX announced it would be shutting down its services teaches an important lesson in crypto.
The value of exchange tokens is tied to four things: user trust in the platform, trading volume, liquidity, and the company's continued operation.
If any one of these factors falters, the token is affected.
And if the platform itself shuts down, the token becomes threatened with extinction.
Therefore, we need to differentiate between:
š Bitcoin: an independent network not tied to any company.
šµ Exchange token: its value is tied to the success of the company and its service.
Both are cryptocurrencies, but the level of risk is not the same.
#BinanceTurns9 Binance Turns 9 - Built By You
The value of exchange tokens is tied to four things: user trust in the platform, trading volume, liquidity, and the company's continued operation.
If any one of these factors falters, the token is affected.
And if the platform itself shuts down, the token becomes threatened with extinction.
Therefore, we need to differentiate between:
š Bitcoin: an independent network not tied to any company.
šµ Exchange token: its value is tied to the success of the company and its service.
Both are cryptocurrencies, but the level of risk is not the same.
#BinanceTurns9 Binance Turns 9 - Built By You
Update:
With the spot market price trading at $65,667, the key price patterns on the blockchain are as follows:
š” Average active investor: $83,500
š¢ Average real market: $76,200
š“ Base cost of STH: $69,500
šµ Realized price: $52,900
#FutureTarding
With the spot market price trading at $65,667, the key price patterns on the blockchain are as follows:
š” Average active investor: $83,500
š¢ Average real market: $76,200
š“ Base cost of STH: $69,500
šµ Realized price: $52,900
#FutureTarding
The Fear and Greed Index for cryptocurrencies reaches 33 š
Today, the index shows a value of 33, indicating a high level of fear in the cryptocurrency market.
šø Bitcoin's price is $66,620, reflecting the current market volatility.
š The index demonstrates the extent to which psychological factors influence investor decisions in the cryptocurrency market.
šØ Understanding the Fear and Greed Index is an important tool for market analysis and making informed investment decisions.
#BinanceSquareFamily
Today, the index shows a value of 33, indicating a high level of fear in the cryptocurrency market.
šø Bitcoin's price is $66,620, reflecting the current market volatility.
š The index demonstrates the extent to which psychological factors influence investor decisions in the cryptocurrency market.
šØ Understanding the Fear and Greed Index is an important tool for market analysis and making informed investment decisions.
#BinanceSquareFamily
While spot demand has weakened and Bitcoin remains structurally fragile, the momentum driven by derivatives may continue to support a technical rebound for a while.
However, in the absence of strong spot demand, this rally is likely to end with the unwinding of large long positions.
#BinanceSquareFamily
However, in the absence of strong spot demand, this rally is likely to end with the unwinding of large long positions.
#BinanceSquareFamily
Partly True
Breaking ..
US markets add $500 billion in minutes after opening! š
šŗšø The US market opened with a strong rally after reacting to reports of a proposed 10-day ceasefire between the US and Iran.
š This optimism prompted investors to return to riskier assets, which was reflected in the stock market's performance at the start of the session.
#CryptoNewss
US markets add $500 billion in minutes after opening! š
šŗšø The US market opened with a strong rally after reacting to reports of a proposed 10-day ceasefire between the US and Iran.
š This optimism prompted investors to return to riskier assets, which was reflected in the stock market's performance at the start of the session.
#CryptoNewss
The Bitcoin and US dollar risk indices have been moving in tandem.
Since the market's bear market was confirmed, the strongest periods of risk aversion have coincided with a rise in the US Dollar Index (DXY).
The only sustained recovery this year has occurred alongside a weaker dollar.
Now, the situation is changing again.
Bitcoin risk continues to decline as the US Dollar Index (DXY) begins to lose strength.
A weaker dollar doesn't guarantee a recovery, but it removes one of the biggest macroeconomic challenges facing Bitcoin and gives the market structure more room to rebuild.
#BinanceSquareFamily
Since the market's bear market was confirmed, the strongest periods of risk aversion have coincided with a rise in the US Dollar Index (DXY).
The only sustained recovery this year has occurred alongside a weaker dollar.
Now, the situation is changing again.
Bitcoin risk continues to decline as the US Dollar Index (DXY) begins to lose strength.
A weaker dollar doesn't guarantee a recovery, but it removes one of the biggest macroeconomic challenges facing Bitcoin and gives the market structure more room to rebuild.
#BinanceSquareFamily
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