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Catalyst Traders
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Catalyst Traders

Crypto Technical Analyst | Trend-Based Trader
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Will we never see #Bitcoin trade below the Long-Term Holder Realized Price again? If that truly doesn’t happen, then a chart like this, for example, would effectively stop working in this cycle.
Will we never see #Bitcoin trade below the Long-Term Holder Realized Price again? If that truly doesn’t happen, then a chart like this, for example, would effectively stop working in this cycle.
📊 The cost basis of the capital invested in #Bitcoin continues to act as resistance. Currently at $79,600, it keeps preventing #Bitcoin from moving up.
📊 The cost basis of the capital invested in #Bitcoin continues to act as resistance.

Currently at $79,600, it keeps preventing #Bitcoin from moving up.
Short-term holders are starting to buy back $BTC .
Short-term holders are starting to buy back $BTC .
📊 #Bitcoin remains range-bound as long-term holder supply continues to cap upside momentum. Glassnode data shows heavy supply between $83K–$86K, creating a major resistance zone after the recent short squeeze. Until this supply is absorbed, $BTC may continue to consolidate within the broader range. Key Market Boundaries: • 🔴 Overhead Resistance: $83K–$86K • 🟢 Macro Support: $62K–$65K • 📅 Options Catalyst: ~$14B OI expiring Sept. 25 👉 A clean breakout above $86K could unlock the next major leg higher, while losing the support zone would significantly weaken the structure.
📊 #Bitcoin remains range-bound as long-term holder supply continues to cap upside momentum.

Glassnode data shows heavy supply between $83K–$86K, creating a major resistance zone after the recent short squeeze. Until this supply is absorbed, $BTC may continue to consolidate within the broader range.

Key Market Boundaries:
• 🔴 Overhead Resistance: $83K–$86K
• 🟢 Macro Support: $62K–$65K
• 📅 Options Catalyst: ~$14B OI expiring Sept. 25

👉 A clean breakout above $86K could unlock the next major leg higher, while losing the support zone would significantly weaken the structure.
#Bitcoin 's hashrate #ATH drawdown has only been this low 6 times in its entire history. Price was higher a month later on all 6 of those occasions. The historical record here is small but perfect.
#Bitcoin 's hashrate #ATH drawdown has only been this low 6 times in its entire history.

Price was higher a month later on all 6 of those occasions. The historical record here is small but perfect.
OG Bitcoin Holders Are on the Move. OG activity has intensified during this consolidation phase. The 90-day moving average of spent UTXOs (STXO) from holders who have held $BTC for more than 5 years just climbed to 1,500 $BTC .
OG Bitcoin Holders Are on the Move.

OG activity has intensified during this consolidation phase.

The 90-day moving average of spent UTXOs (STXO) from holders who have held $BTC for more than 5 years just climbed to 1,500 $BTC .
📈 On-chain analysis of #Bitcoin holders currently suggests today "is similar to the 2023 breakout that sent bitcoin from $20k to $125k", Unchained Capital reports. For the first time since the #ATH , short-term holders have positions that are meaningfully in profit.
📈 On-chain analysis of #Bitcoin holders currently suggests today "is similar to the 2023 breakout that sent bitcoin from $20k to $125k", Unchained Capital reports.

For the first time since the #ATH , short-term holders have positions that are meaningfully in profit.
#Spot #Bitcoin #ETFs now hold 1.29M $BTC . That is 6.5% of circulating supply, accumulated steadily since launch. +51,612 $BTC added in the last 30 days alone.
#Spot #Bitcoin #ETFs now hold 1.29M $BTC .

That is 6.5% of circulating supply, accumulated steadily since launch. +51,612 $BTC added in the last 30 days alone.
$CFX /USDT following a clean breach of its Cup and Handle structure. Holding above former rim resistance validates pattern resolution, opening the path for a short-term expansion targeting upper supply zones.
$CFX /USDT following a clean breach of its Cup and Handle structure. Holding above former rim resistance validates pattern resolution, opening the path for a short-term expansion targeting upper supply zones.
The crypto market added $14B in less than 24 hours.
The crypto market added $14B in less than 24 hours.
Bitcoin ETFs bought $3.8B over the last 3 weeks. Total assets back above $100B.🔥
Bitcoin ETFs bought $3.8B over the last 3 weeks. Total assets back above $100B.🔥
#Bitcoin 21-day EMA crossed above its 200-day EMA. Previous signals since 2020: 6-month median: +28.4% 1-year median: +82.8% 6-month win rate: 90%
#Bitcoin 21-day EMA crossed above its 200-day EMA.

Previous signals since 2020:
6-month median: +28.4%
1-year median: +82.8%
6-month win rate: 90%
📊 Open Interest / #Total #Crypto Market Cap has never been this high. #Crypto investors are increasingly moving away from spot exposure. The appetite for leverage has never been stronger.
📊 Open Interest / #Total #Crypto Market Cap has never been this high.

#Crypto investors are increasingly moving away from spot exposure. The appetite for leverage has never been stronger.
Until the market firmly reclaims and holds above the 52W SMA, calling this a shift into a bullish regime is simply too naive.
Until the market firmly reclaims and holds above the 52W SMA, calling this a shift into a bullish regime is simply too naive.
$SOLV /USDT on $SOLV following a clean breach of local resistance. Holding above former structural resistance validates the breakout, opening the path for a short-term expansion targeting upper supply zones.
$SOLV /USDT on $SOLV following a clean breach of local resistance. Holding above former structural resistance validates the breakout, opening the path for a short-term expansion targeting upper supply zones.
📊 #Bitcoin spot #ETFs recorded their strongest monthly inflows since July 2025, attracting around $3.5 billion in August. 👉 This marks a major improvement in institutional demand, with ETF flows becoming an important source of buying pressure during August’s rally. The key now is whether these inflows continue into September. Sustained #ETF demand could provide strong support for $BTC and help fuel the next leg higher. 📈
📊 #Bitcoin spot #ETFs recorded their strongest monthly inflows since July 2025, attracting around $3.5 billion in August.

👉 This marks a major improvement in institutional demand, with ETF flows becoming an important source of buying pressure during August’s rally.

The key now is whether these inflows continue into September. Sustained #ETF demand could provide strong support for $BTC and help fuel the next leg higher. 📈
The divergence is also visible across hard assets. #Gold remains elevated near $4.4k and oil has recovered into the mid-$80s, while Bitcoin continues to trade near $60–65k following its sharp drawdown earlier in the year. This suggests $BTC has not participated in the broader bid for scarce or inflation-sensitive assets, instead continuing to behave more like a liquidity-sensitive risk asset. For a stronger macro recovery signal, we would want to see #Bitcoin begin closing this relative-performance gap against both gold and oil.
The divergence is also visible across hard assets. #Gold remains elevated near $4.4k and oil has recovered into the mid-$80s, while Bitcoin continues to trade near $60–65k following its sharp drawdown earlier in the year.

This suggests $BTC has not participated in the broader bid for scarce or inflation-sensitive assets, instead continuing to behave more like a liquidity-sensitive risk asset. For a stronger macro recovery signal, we would want to see #Bitcoin begin closing this relative-performance gap against both gold and oil.
$MET /USDT $MET has delivered a clean bounce off key support! Price action is holding structural demand, offering a solid risk-to-reward long setup near current support levels with a tight stop loss in place. With the broader #Solana ecosystem regaining strong momentum, a confirmed breach of the local downtrend line could ignite a significant continuation rally. Keep close eyes on this setup! 📈
$MET /USDT $MET has delivered a clean bounce off key support! Price action is holding structural demand, offering a solid risk-to-reward long setup near current support levels with a tight stop loss in place. With the broader #Solana ecosystem regaining strong momentum, a confirmed breach of the local downtrend line could ignite a significant continuation rally. Keep close eyes on this setup! 📈
👀 Money flowing in and out of #Bitcoin has been running at extremes for six days straight, a pattern that’s preceded drops this cycle, according to CryptoQuant’s Axel Adler Jr.
👀 Money flowing in and out of #Bitcoin has been running at extremes for six days straight, a pattern that’s preceded drops this cycle, according to CryptoQuant’s Axel Adler Jr.
$BICO /USDT Lying above strong S/R level. RSI is showing a bullish divergence. EMA'S are acting as solid support. Stochastic is giving a buying signal. Expecting a big upward move from here. Targets: $0.02690 - 0.03580 - 0.05645 - 0.12045 Stop if 1D closes below $0.01755
$BICO /USDT

Lying above strong S/R level. RSI is showing a bullish divergence. EMA'S are acting as solid support. Stochastic is giving a buying signal. Expecting a big upward move from here.

Targets: $0.02690 - 0.03580 - 0.05645 - 0.12045

Stop if 1D closes below $0.01755
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