Greed just hit 76, and the money still has not touched your alts.

The whole market is celebrating a rally your bags were never invited to.

Crypto added nearly $300B in a week, but the rotation everyone is waiting for has not started.

Altcoin Season Index:
51 / 100

That is dead neutral. Sentiment is near the top of the gauge, but capital has not rotated out of the majors.

Here is how I separate a real breakout from a sentiment spike.

Price, Sentiment, Rotation.

1. Price: total market cap has to hold the old range ceiling near $2.8T. Old resistance should now act as support, and the next leg needs volume that beats the 21 Sep surge.

2. Sentiment: Greed at 76 is fuel, not confirmation. Crowds get loudest right before the first shakeout.

3. Rotation: the Altcoin Season Index needs to push toward 75 before alt strength is something you can trust.

Right now price is confirmed. Rotation is not.

The crowd is already greedy while the rotation has not even begun, and that gap is exactly where late buyers get trapped.