The Fed is walking into one of its toughest meetings in years. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting comes as U.S. inflation remains stubbornly high: August CPI held at 3.4%, while core inflation accelerated to 0.3% month-on-month.
Markets have rapidly shifted toward a 25bps hike, with futures pricing the probability near 90% after the latest inflation data. At the same time, oil prices have pushed above $100, adding another inflation risk.
For crypto traders, this is where things get interesting. A hawkish Fed can strengthen the dollar, lift Treasury yields and pressure risk assets like Bitcoin. But if Powell signals that this hike is a one-off, markets could quickly rotate back into risk.
The rate decision matters—but forward guidance may matter even more.
#FedRateWatch
$AIN
$POWER
$AKE
Markets have rapidly shifted toward a 25bps hike, with futures pricing the probability near 90% after the latest inflation data. At the same time, oil prices have pushed above $100, adding another inflation risk.
For crypto traders, this is where things get interesting. A hawkish Fed can strengthen the dollar, lift Treasury yields and pressure risk assets like Bitcoin. But if Powell signals that this hike is a one-off, markets could quickly rotate back into risk.
The rate decision matters—but forward guidance may matter even more.
#FedRateWatch
$AIN
$POWER
$AKE
