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老渔夫
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金价突破后,ETF资金终于回流了。这种流入滞后于价格突破的现象挺常见——散户永远是追涨的那批人。历史上每次大行情启动初期,机构先进场拉价格,等趋势确立了,ETF流入才跟上。现在的问题是:这波流入能持续多久?还是只是短暂的追高?看看美联储下一步动作和实际利率走向吧。金价这种资产,最怕的就是名义利率上行+实际利率转正,那时候ETF流入会瞬间逆转。目前阶段性看多,但别忘了黄金从来不是单边市场。
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