YannisInsight
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YannisInsight
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ยซ Bitcoin must necessarily fall because there is a huge amount of liquidity under $60,000. ยป
Ok.
Iโm willing to hear the scenario.
And yes, this liquidity really does exist in the data.
But thereโs one question that many people forget to ask:
Why should the market necessarily go looking for it?
Because thereโs a calendar to follow?
To make those happy who are waiting for a better price?
Because a long squeeze must inevitably happen after a short squeeze?
Because weโd be dealing with a bullish trap?
All of that remains possible.
But possible doesnโt mean certain.
And if we assume that Bitcoin absolutely must go and grab that liquidity under $60,000, then we have to accept a few contradictions.
That would mean that:
Whales accumulating for months would be completely out of sync with the move.
Nearly $5 billion in spot inflows over a week would ultimately be meaningless.
A bullish month of August would automatically become an argument to sell in September.
And Bitcoin ETFs would be investing today with the idea of losing money tomorrow.
That doesnโt make much sense.
Note: Iโm not saying Bitcoin canโt drop back below $60,000.
It can.
A market can always surprise.
But between โthereโs liquidity under 60Kโ and โBitcoin will necessarily go and grab it,โ thereโs a massive leap.
The data provides scenarios.
They donโt always provide the outcome.
And above all, putting your portfolio ALL IN on a single scenario because it seems likelyโฆ
Thatโs no longer really investing.
Itโs betting.
The difference between an investor and a casino player, sometimes, is simply their ability to accept:
โ I can be right about the scenarioโฆ and still be wrong on the timing. โ
๐ป Telegram Channel link in the comments โ ๏ธ
โ ๏ธ Subscribe if you want to understand what the markets do before everyone else starts applauding.
Ok.
Iโm willing to hear the scenario.
And yes, this liquidity really does exist in the data.
But thereโs one question that many people forget to ask:
Why should the market necessarily go looking for it?
Because thereโs a calendar to follow?
To make those happy who are waiting for a better price?
Because a long squeeze must inevitably happen after a short squeeze?
Because weโd be dealing with a bullish trap?
All of that remains possible.
But possible doesnโt mean certain.
And if we assume that Bitcoin absolutely must go and grab that liquidity under $60,000, then we have to accept a few contradictions.
That would mean that:
Whales accumulating for months would be completely out of sync with the move.
Nearly $5 billion in spot inflows over a week would ultimately be meaningless.
A bullish month of August would automatically become an argument to sell in September.
And Bitcoin ETFs would be investing today with the idea of losing money tomorrow.
That doesnโt make much sense.
Note: Iโm not saying Bitcoin canโt drop back below $60,000.
It can.
A market can always surprise.
But between โthereโs liquidity under 60Kโ and โBitcoin will necessarily go and grab it,โ thereโs a massive leap.
The data provides scenarios.
They donโt always provide the outcome.
And above all, putting your portfolio ALL IN on a single scenario because it seems likelyโฆ
Thatโs no longer really investing.
Itโs betting.
The difference between an investor and a casino player, sometimes, is simply their ability to accept:
โ I can be right about the scenarioโฆ and still be wrong on the timing. โ
๐ป Telegram Channel link in the comments โ ๏ธ
โ ๏ธ Subscribe if you want to understand what the markets do before everyone else starts applauding.
๐จ $16.7 billion...
could feed liquidity into the system next week.
About $4.24 billion $ related to Fed operations and up to $12.5 billion $ from Treasury buybacks.
And here, a lot of people will simply look at the number.
But whatโs more interesting is what it means for liquidity.
The U.S. Treasury has already increased the size of its bond buyback operations on long-term securities, going from a maximum of $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation starting September 9.
This isnโt classic QE.
But for markets, the message is important: authorities are looking to support liquidity in the bond market system while long-term rates remain under pressure.
โ ๏ธ This is not financial advice. DYOR.
And Bitcoin, for its part, is watching this kind of shift closely.
Because when financial conditions become more favorable and liquidity gradually returns to the system, risky assets can benefit.
So maybe itโs not a coincidence that Bitcoin reacted strongly to the latest announcements regarding Treasury buybacks.
The real question now:
is the market just taking advantage of a reboundโฆ or are we at the start of a new liquidity cycle?
Bitcoin, meanwhile, already seems to have begun responding.
could feed liquidity into the system next week.
About $4.24 billion $ related to Fed operations and up to $12.5 billion $ from Treasury buybacks.
And here, a lot of people will simply look at the number.
But whatโs more interesting is what it means for liquidity.
The U.S. Treasury has already increased the size of its bond buyback operations on long-term securities, going from a maximum of $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation starting September 9.
This isnโt classic QE.
But for markets, the message is important: authorities are looking to support liquidity in the bond market system while long-term rates remain under pressure.
โ ๏ธ This is not financial advice. DYOR.
And Bitcoin, for its part, is watching this kind of shift closely.
Because when financial conditions become more favorable and liquidity gradually returns to the system, risky assets can benefit.
So maybe itโs not a coincidence that Bitcoin reacted strongly to the latest announcements regarding Treasury buybacks.
The real question now:
is the market just taking advantage of a reboundโฆ or are we at the start of a new liquidity cycle?
Bitcoin, meanwhile, already seems to have begun responding.
Iโve been seeing several content creators mention โAlpha Scamโ in their posts lately.
Can someone explain to me whatโs going on? What exactly happened with Alpha? ๐ค
Can someone explain to me whatโs going on? What exactly happened with Alpha? ๐ค
Alpha Scam๐๐๐พ
The #bitcoin has hit $80,000, which invalidates the short-term bearish bias.
In this setup, the likelihood of seeing a move towards $81,000 becomes higher. The current market structure now favors long positions over shorts.
To consider buy entries, a retracement to the $77,500 โ $76,800 zone would be healthier, with invalidation set at the weekly low around $74,800.
If this momentum holds, the short-term target is around $86,000 for the week. Itโs in this zone that the idea of a swing short could become relevant again, with potential targets towards the 50kโ40k range, the target zone marking the bottom.
In this scenario, a gradual accumulation on the rise remains plausible, with a maximum reinforcement zone around $90,000.
So far, my analysis is perfectly on track and is progressively validating...
$BTC $ETH
In this setup, the likelihood of seeing a move towards $81,000 becomes higher. The current market structure now favors long positions over shorts.
To consider buy entries, a retracement to the $77,500 โ $76,800 zone would be healthier, with invalidation set at the weekly low around $74,800.
If this momentum holds, the short-term target is around $86,000 for the week. Itโs in this zone that the idea of a swing short could become relevant again, with potential targets towards the 50kโ40k range, the target zone marking the bottom.
In this scenario, a gradual accumulation on the rise remains plausible, with a maximum reinforcement zone around $90,000.
So far, my analysis is perfectly on track and is progressively validating...
$BTC $ETH
๐ฉ 99% of folks still don't get Bitcoin.
It's not just an asset.
It's an escape route from a broken system.
Every cycle, it's the same deal:
they ignore it โ laugh it off โ then FOMO at the peak.
By the time they "get it," it's already too late.
The real question is:
are you gonna catch on early... or pay the price later?
#Bitcoinโ #education
It's not just an asset.
It's an escape route from a broken system.
Every cycle, it's the same deal:
they ignore it โ laugh it off โ then FOMO at the peak.
By the time they "get it," it's already too late.
The real question is:
are you gonna catch on early... or pay the price later?
#Bitcoinโ #education
Bitcoin has shown in the past its ability to trap buyers in bearish trends.
Back in 2018, Bitcoin dropped to $5,900 and then ranged for over 7 months. It even tested that level twice, reinforcing the idea that the bottom was in.
Many were convinced that the market had found its support...
But then, Bitcoin plummeted 52% in just 6 weeks, dropping below $3,200.
Today, the market seems to want to convince us that $60,000 is the bottom.
Weโre already familiar with this type of scenario. #bitcoin.โ
$BTC $ETH
Back in 2018, Bitcoin dropped to $5,900 and then ranged for over 7 months. It even tested that level twice, reinforcing the idea that the bottom was in.
Many were convinced that the market had found its support...
But then, Bitcoin plummeted 52% in just 6 weeks, dropping below $3,200.
Today, the market seems to want to convince us that $60,000 is the bottom.
Weโre already familiar with this type of scenario. #bitcoin.โ
$BTC $ETH
๐ During the 2014 bear market, the $BTC saw 10 red monthly candlesticks before hitting the bottom.
In the 2018 bear market, Bitcoin faced 9 red monthly candlesticks before reaching its low.
During the 2022 bear market, BTC experienced 9 red monthly candlesticks before touching the bottom.
So far in the 2026 bear market, the $BTC has only seen 5 red monthly candlesticks.
Do you really think the bottom has already been reached?$BTC
In the 2018 bear market, Bitcoin faced 9 red monthly candlesticks before reaching its low.
During the 2022 bear market, BTC experienced 9 red monthly candlesticks before touching the bottom.
So far in the 2026 bear market, the $BTC has only seen 5 red monthly candlesticks.
Do you really think the bottom has already been reached?$BTC
๐ Bitcoin is holding strong.
The next point of interest (POI) is between $77,600 โ $77,900.
A solid reclaim of this zone could send BTC towards the final rally between $83k โ $85k,
which remains the most likely scenario to form a local top,
before a drop towards $40,000.
Don't forget that our short limit order in this zone is still active.
The pivot for this scenario to play out is May 4th, with decisive price action (PA).
$BTC $BNB
The next point of interest (POI) is between $77,600 โ $77,900.
A solid reclaim of this zone could send BTC towards the final rally between $83k โ $85k,
which remains the most likely scenario to form a local top,
before a drop towards $40,000.
Don't forget that our short limit order in this zone is still active.
The pivot for this scenario to play out is May 4th, with decisive price action (PA).
$BTC $BNB
๐ป The stock market crash is just getting started as we head into May, just like I said.
๐ฉ Bitcoin and Ethereum are correcting again, and contrary to what many think, this isn't just a simple technical move.
The market is reacting to a buildup of macro and geopolitical factors creating a "risk-off" environment.
Firstly, tensions between the United States and Iran play a central role. The refusal to reach an agreement regarding the Strait of Hormuz maintains high uncertainty over global energy flows. This passage is strategic for oil, and any threat of blockage immediately drives up energy prices and inflation risks.
Then, the prospect of new military strikes reinforces this instability. In this kind of context, investors reduce their exposure to risky assets, and cryptos are clearly treated as such today.
Additionally, thereโs pressure on the currency market, particularly with the yen. A high USD/JPY revives fears of monetary intervention and reflects global stress on the markets.
Lastly, timing is crucial: we are approaching a Federal Reserve meeting. Before such events, markets tend to reduce risk. Positions are lightened, volatility increases, and movements become more erratic.
What you need to understand is that:
โช๏ธ the current drop is not isolated
โช๏ธ it fits within a global context of caution
And in this kind of phase, even a technically bullish market can correct violently.
The market isnโt weakโฆ
๐ itโs jittery.
And as long as these macro factors don't stabilize,
๐ every bounce will remain fragile.$BTC $ETH
#bitcoin #ETH #BTC
The market is reacting to a buildup of macro and geopolitical factors creating a "risk-off" environment.
Firstly, tensions between the United States and Iran play a central role. The refusal to reach an agreement regarding the Strait of Hormuz maintains high uncertainty over global energy flows. This passage is strategic for oil, and any threat of blockage immediately drives up energy prices and inflation risks.
Then, the prospect of new military strikes reinforces this instability. In this kind of context, investors reduce their exposure to risky assets, and cryptos are clearly treated as such today.
Additionally, thereโs pressure on the currency market, particularly with the yen. A high USD/JPY revives fears of monetary intervention and reflects global stress on the markets.
Lastly, timing is crucial: we are approaching a Federal Reserve meeting. Before such events, markets tend to reduce risk. Positions are lightened, volatility increases, and movements become more erratic.
What you need to understand is that:
โช๏ธ the current drop is not isolated
โช๏ธ it fits within a global context of caution
And in this kind of phase, even a technically bullish market can correct violently.
The market isnโt weakโฆ
๐ itโs jittery.
And as long as these macro factors don't stabilize,
๐ every bounce will remain fragile.$BTC $ETH
#bitcoin #ETH #BTC
Hmm ๐
A #bullrun2024๐๐ run that we'll never forget.
We accept that with some perspective and move forward.
We're gonna bounce back soon.
Even Forbes is talking about it now.
$BTC $ETH
A #bullrun2024๐๐ run that we'll never forget.
We accept that with some perspective and move forward.
We're gonna bounce back soon.
Even Forbes is talking about it now.
$BTC $ETH
๐ In crypto, timing is everything.
Entering too early can be risky. Entering too late can cost you big. But spotting a project that's under construction... that's often where the best opportunities lie.
@Pixels , with its token $PIXEL , seems to be in that interesting phase where everything is still up for grabs, but the foundations are being laid down.
It's not yet the project that everyone's buzzing about... and that's exactly what makes it intriguing.
Because once the masses arrive, the potential is often already partially consumed.
So tell me: do you prefer to secure... or take positions before the market reacts? #pixel
Entering too early can be risky. Entering too late can cost you big. But spotting a project that's under construction... that's often where the best opportunities lie.
@Pixels , with its token $PIXEL , seems to be in that interesting phase where everything is still up for grabs, but the foundations are being laid down.
It's not yet the project that everyone's buzzing about... and that's exactly what makes it intriguing.
Because once the masses arrive, the potential is often already partially consumed.
So tell me: do you prefer to secure... or take positions before the market reacts? #pixel
๐ฉ BREAKING NEWS: President Donald Trump claims that peace talks with Iran can happen over the phone, rejecting the idea of sending envoys to Pakistan after the Iranian Foreign Minister left Islamabad without any progress.
#MarketRebound #TrumpCrypto $BTC
#MarketRebound #TrumpCrypto $BTC
The #Bitcoin and #Ethereum have just recorded their highest weekly close in 85 days.
But they both find themselves at a very sensitive resistance zone.
๐ Bitcoin needs to break through 80k
๐ Ethereum needs to break through $2400
If these levels reject the price, we could see another dip, with potential lower lows.
On the flip side, an announcement of a peace agreement could act as a catalyst, allowing a breakout and propelling Bitcoin towards the 85kโ90k zone.
$BTC $ETH
But they both find themselves at a very sensitive resistance zone.
๐ Bitcoin needs to break through 80k
๐ Ethereum needs to break through $2400
If these levels reject the price, we could see another dip, with potential lower lows.
On the flip side, an announcement of a peace agreement could act as a catalyst, allowing a breakout and propelling Bitcoin towards the 85kโ90k zone.
$BTC $ETH
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