From 8/29 to 9/5, I’m going out for a week—my Icefire Island options notes and research notes will stop updating. Updates resume on 9/6. Whee—just a heads-up in advance
Hello everyone. Let’s set up an Ice and Fire Island Options VIP group. Members can receive one-on-one guidance on options trading strategies, and can use quantitative tools for free, including 【End-of-Term Options Buyer Signal Subscription】【Ice and Fire Island Insider Notes】【Ice and Fire Island DDH Workbench】.
Valid for one year. Friends who are interested can join. 冰火岛VIP群
I recommend everyone pay attention to US Treasury bond ETFs in the US stock market. TLT or EDV. You can quietly position yourself ahead of a subsequent return of US Treasury long-term yields.
Ice and Fire Island Community GitHub Open-Source List
Unknowingly, I’ve developed so many options trading tools and quantitative strategy scripts. Today I’ll整理 (organize) and share them. If you have similar ideas, you can directly modify and optimize based on the scripts to save tokens. All projects I upload to GitHub have been tested for stability first.
[CPI steady: September rate-hike expectations cut in half; BTC breaks out after five weeks of range trading; AI hardware storage chips take over as top gainer; NVDA rebound continues]
U.S. July CPI landed last night — year-over-year 3.4% and month-over-month 0.1%, with core at 2.5%. Everything matched expectations and was slightly lower than the prior reading. The market breathed easier: the implied probability of a September rate hike was cut in half from 65% to 42%, and Goldman Sachs believes the Fed will keep rates unchanged in September. U.S. Treasury yields fell across the board, the U.S. dollar weakened, and the Nasdaq rose 0.54%. Gold briefly surged to $4,480. For the crypto market, this is the clearest breakout catalyst after five weeks of trading sideways — BTC finally received a directional signal. Cryptocurrency recommendations BTC Current: about $64,300 | CPI is steady + expectations of rate hikes cut in half | Overall score 72/100
Advertise for former classmate Wu, attorney Da. Handle代理 in crypto-currency related cases; the代理 fee can be paid in RMB / USD / cryptocurrency. Cases involving frozen bank cards, fraud, theft, as well as related criminal cases are available for first instance, appeal, and retrial. Civil and commercial cases such as contract disputes can also be handled. For details, call or email. Mention that Zhang Wuji from Binghuo Island recommends it, and you can enjoy a 10% discount.🥰
[3-Day Outlook: The Senate vote on the CLARITY Act decides everything—LINK infrastructure plays strengthen, DOT stays steady, PUMP warns of contracting volume]
BTC at $64,400: it has seen slight fluctuations over the past 24 hours and consolidated narrowly within the $64,300–$64,800 range all day. Since August, ETFs have never recorded a net outflow on a daily basis, and IBIT has continued to absorb institutional funds. The Fear & Greed Index has rebounded from 17 to around 30, and sentiment is recovering. There is only one key event today: the CLARITY Act faces a procedural vote in the Senate, requiring 60 votes to move forward. If it passes, structural positives for the crypto market will be realized; if it is blocked, it may trigger profit-taking. This period’s outlook: The CLARITY Act vote outcome will determine the short-term direction. The LINK infrastructure narrative stands to benefit directly from expectations around the bill. DOT’s uptrend remains steady with a 12% weekly gain; after PUMP’s 23% weekly surge, volume has contracted—pullback risk is extremely high.