💫 BTC is now reacting from the same resistance area highlighted in today’s analysis. Price failed to hold above $78,600–$80,000 and has started moving lower toward the broader support line near $74,300–$74,500.
This is an important moment ❗️ 1️⃣ U.S. spot BTC ETFs recorded $201.9M in net outflows on Friday, ending a 9-day inflow streak. 2️⃣ Markets now price around a 60% chance of a Fed rate hike in September after hawkish comments from Kevin Warsh. 3️⃣ Oil jumped roughly 3–6% today amid renewed U.S.–Iran tensions, adding fresh risk-off pressure.
The resistance is working well — now we are watching whether sellers can push BTC toward $74.4K.
After bouncing from the $1.00–$1.10 base, price is now testing the $1.45–$1.50 zone - the level that could decide the next move.
What makes this setup stronger is that it’s not only about the chart.
Spot XRP ETFs just saw their strongest weekly inflows since May, whales added hundreds of millions of XRP in August, and exchange balances keep moving lower. Less supply sitting on exchanges + stronger institutional demand is usually a combination worth watching.
The key level for me is simple: $1.50–$1.55.
A clean break above it could open the way toward $1.70, $1.80, and eventually the big $2 test. If $2 breaks with real volume, then $2.50–$3.00 becomes part of the conversation.
But RSI is hot, so a pullback or consolidation would not surprise me. As long as $1.40–$1.45 holds, the structure still looks healthy.
💫 See a descending parallel channel on the chart. This channel was broken to the upside on August 12, 2026. Furthermore, the 1.5 extension level of the parallel channel (marked with dotted lines above the channel)- which could have otherwise maintained the downtrend-was strongly broken on August 14, 2026. It was later tested on August 24, 2026, where the price held above without re-entering the channel and bounced upward. This zone also coincides with a key support level, which provided additional bullish reaction.
So, what's next? Our first price target is the resistance zone between 1943 and 1830, a region that has historically shown strong price reactions; we could close around 75% of our positions here. After that, we might see pullbacks down to the 1686 level. Beyond this point, depending on market catalysts, the price could test new ATHs, offering an ideal zone for profit-taking.
✨️✨️ XRP and XLM have always been compared for one simple reason:
Both were built around moving value.
But the market is starting to tell two very different stories.
XRP has become one of the biggest names in institutional crypto payments.
Stellar is taking a different route - building the infrastructure underneath tokenized assets, stablecoins, remittances and regulated financial products.
And that distinction is getting harder to ignore.
XLM now sits at the intersection of several narratives the market keeps coming back to:
Institutional settlement
💵 Stablecoins
🌍 Cross-border payments
📈 Tokenized RWAs
⚙ Soroban smart contracts
Meanwhile, the technical side still matters.
When liquidity rotates back into payment-focused assets, XLM doesn't need to become “the next XRP.”
It only needs the market to recognize what has been building underneath it.
The interesting part of this cycle isn't necessarily who wins the XRP vs XLM debate.
It's how much of the financial system eventually ends up running on either rail.
Following up on our recent market look, the momentum hasn't slowed down after the weekend. With btc now flirting with $79.8K, Ethereum has pushed past $2,487 (+29.8% 7d), while Solana officially reclaimed triple digits at $100.36 (+30.3% 7d).
We're seeing massive rallies across key assets - Hyperliquid surged to $81.70 (+39.6% 7d), and XRP delivered a staggering +49.2% weekly run to touch $1.49.
✨️✨️ Strategy Stops Selling $BTC and Builds a $6.7B Liquidity Buffer
Strategy made no btc purchases or sales from Aug. 17–23, keeping its treasury unchanged at 840,447 $BTC , acquired for $63.36B at an average price of $75,385. The pause is notable because it follows four weeks in which the company sold a combined 6,916 BTC.
Instead of immediately recycling new capital into Bitcoin, Strategy sold 18.26M $MSTR shares for ~$2.01B. It used $300M to lift its restricted USD Reserve to $5.1B, spent $136.4M repurchasing $STRC, and created a separate $1.59B “USD Cash” pool.
That distinction is important. The $5.1B reserve is primarily designed to cover preferred dividends and debt interest. The new $1.59B pool is flexible capital that can be used for future BTC purchases, debt repayment, preferred/common-stock buybacks or additional reserve funding. In effect, Strategy now has roughly $6.7B of designated dollar liquidity, but only the new pool is broadly deployable.
Meanwhile, BTC gained roughly 25% last week without Strategy buying a single coin, returning the company’s 840K+ BTC position to unrealized profit. Bernstein also notes that Strategy’s strengthened reserves now cover roughly 2.8 years of dividends and expects btc purchases could resume as $STRC recovers toward par. That creates a materially different setup from earlier in the summer:
Strategy is no longer supplying BTC to the rally, the market has proved it can advance without Strategy buying, and Strategy now has fresh liquidity available if it chooses to re-enter. This isn't simply a “Saylor stopped buying” story. Strategy has traded immediate accumulation for balance-sheet optionality while BTC rallied without needing its bid.
XRP's climb didn't just push its price higher; it pushed the asset itself past BNB in total network size. XRP now sits at a $96.7B market cap against BNB's $94.1B.
The flip traces to one number: XRP is up over 55% in the past seven days, more than triple bnb 17% gain over the same stretch. SOL, still smaller than both at $56.1B, gained nearly 29% and didn't close any distance at all.
Indices like CD20 rebalance on a fixed quarterly schedule, but the market caps that set their weights move in real time.
A single lopsided week is enough to quietly reorder the ranking long before the next official reconstitution.
Worth watching whether xrp holds this lead once the current momentum cools, or whether it turns out to be a brief crossover built on one unusually strong week.
✨️💥 NVDA is currently moving inside a downward channel after getting rejected from the upper part of the channel. Price is now around 214.72, and I'm watching the 200 EMA around 195-196 as the main area of interest.
As NVDA has already bounced twice from around the 200 EMA and previous fake break down and more bounce from this, so I'm expecting this area to act as an important support again if price comes down there.
There is also some confluence around the 189-196 zone:
200 EMA: around 195.36
Support zone: around 189.73
Previous trendline support is also coming into this area.
Price has reacted from this region before, which makes it more interesting to watch. The MFI is currently around 59.67, so money flow is still healthy. It isn't showing an oversold condition yet.
The RSI is around 51.01, which is more or less neutral. For me, this means I would rather wait for the price to come down and see whether these indicators start showing weakness/exhaustion before looking for a possible bounce.
My expectation is that NVDA could continue moving lower toward the 195 -190 support area.
If price reaches this zone and we get a green reversal candle / bullish candle, especially with improving volume and MFI/RSI turning back up, that could give a better confirmation for a bounce, from there, the first area I would watch is around 214 -215.
So personally, I would not rush the entry just because price is coming down. I would like to see how price behaves around the 200 EMA/support zone first. Still bullish on the bigger trend, but short term I'm expecting some more downside before potentially getting another bounce. The 190 -196 area is the key zone I'm watching.
🚨💥 TSLA is maintaining a bullish recovery structure after reclaiming the rising trendline.
Price is currently trading around $362.78, with the next major resistance near $372.90.
If TSLA continues to hold above the rising trendline and breaks through $372.90, the next area of interest is the $377-379 resistance zone, followed by the $387-391 gap.
On the downside, a sustained break below the rising trendline would weaken the bullish structure, with the $337-338 support zone becoming an important area to watch.
Bullish scenario: Hold the rising structure → reclaim $372.90→ test $377-379 → potentially move toward the $387-391 gap.
Bearish scenario: Rejection from resistance followed by a loss of the rising structure could send price back toward the lower support zone.
This is a technical-analysis scenario, not a guaranteed outcome. Price action around the marked levels will determine the next move.
The broader structure is trending, and we've already seen what I interpret as significant distribution / institutional positioning at the previous top.
Now I'm looking for the opposite side of that cycle.
I expect INTC to eventually develop a proper accumulation model, and that's the setup I'm pre-planning right now.
If the accumulation forms and confirms, I'm not interested in targeting a small bounce.
I'm looking for the rotation all the way back toward ATHs - and potentially beyond.
The fundamental backdrop is also changing: Intel reported $16.1B in Q2 revenue, up $3.3B YoY, while DCAI revenue increased 59% YoY.
But fundamentals aren't what gives me the entry.
Distribution shows you where large positioning took place. Accumulation shows you where the next
expansion is being built.
I want to identify the accumulation before the next major leg begins.
✨️💫 Crypto Sentiment Hits a 2026 High After Strongest Week in Years
Market sentiment has shifted sharply higher.
The CoinMarketCap Fear and Greed Index reached 73 today, its highest reading of 2026 so far. Just one week earlier the same index was sitting at 36, deep in “Fear” territory. The jump of more than 35 points in seven days marks one of the fastest sentiment recoveries of the year.
At the same time, total crypto market capitalization has climbed about 5.6% to roughly $2.6 trillion. BTC has moved back above $77,000 as part of the broader rebound.
The rapid change in the Fear and Greed Index reflects the strong price action and rising risk appetite seen across the market this week. Readings in the 70s typically indicate “Greed,” a level not reached for many months.
Sentiment has improved quickly alongside the recent price gains.
XRP has posted a strong weekly gain of more than 22%.
The token has moved higher alongside the broader crypto market rebound. Most of the advance has come in the last few days as Bitcoin and major coins turned up and risk appetite improved.
Key points:
> Weekly performance stands out compared with many other large-cap coins
> The rise has been supported by higher trading volume
> XRP is participating in the same short-term strength seen across several altcoins
This kind of move often appears when the overall market shifts from quiet trading into a clearer risk-on period. XRP has responded quickly to that change in sentiment.
A solid weekly advance for XRP.
Do you see this weekly strength continuing if the broader market holds its recent gains?
💥✨️ Spot Bitcoin ETFs Record $606 Million in Net Inflows on August 20, Extending Four-Day Streak
On August 20 (ET), spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded total net inflows of $606 million, marking four consecutive days of net inflows. Spot Ethereum ETFs recorded total net inflows of $221 million, also extending their four-day net inflow streak.