苏Qing

Overnight, U.S. PPI surged to 1.3%, and the market briefly priced in nearly a 50% chance of an October rate hike. $BTC was dragged close to the 80,000 mark intraday before bouncing back; it is now at 82,035. $ETH plunged to around 2,318 yesterday, but recovered to 2,432 today. Watch two levels during the day: BTC must hold above 80,000, with resistance near 82,600; ETH must hold above 2,300, with resistance at 2,467. Bottom line: the bearish news has temporarily been absorbed. For today, expect a range-bound market; reassess if either level breaks.

PPI came in scorching hot: up 1.3% month over month in September versus expectations of just 0.5%; the 6.3% year-over-year figure also far exceeded forecasts—there’s no denying it was hawkish. After the data came out, $BTC was pushed down to around 80,500; it’s now at 80,778. It needs to reclaim 81,000 first; if it can’t hold the key 80,000 level, things could get ugly. $ETH is weaker, languishing at 2,355, with 2,400 as resistance; if it breaks below 2,313, 2,300 is next. Retail sales also beat expectations at 0.8%, but the market is focused only on inflation. With two days of data coming in hawkish, U.S. stocks are likely to trade weakly and choppily ahead of the open.

Here’s my take: The market has fallen this much after the CPI came in much cooler than expected, but I don’t think it’s a crash as long as it holds the 80,000 level. Although the drop has been sharper, finding support around 2,400 still shows some resilience. What do you think? Is it brave to buy the dip now, or wiser to wait and see?

Last night’s CPI came in at 3.7%, above expectations—there’s no denying the hawkish tilt. BTC was pushed down from around 84,000 to a 24-hour low of 81,364, and is now hovering around 81,600. Even worse, ETH nearly lost the key 2,400 level; it’s now at 2,415, down 3.6% over the past 24 hours. Today I’m watching just two levels: for BTC, 81,000 below—if it breaks, the drop could accelerate; on a rebound, 82,500 is the first level to watch. Don’t talk about a reversal unless it can reclaim that level. For ETH, 2,400 is the key level below, while 2,450 was support last night and is resistance today. In short, I’m sitting tight for now and waiting for things to stabilize.

CPI is out: headline inflation came in at 3.7%, above the 3.6% forecast, while core CPI rose 0.3% month over month for the second month in a row—definitely a hawkish reading. $BTC As soon as the data dropped, BTC got knocked from 83,700 to around 82,800. $ETH ETH also got hammered to 2,480. Half an hour later, there’s been little bounce, and the bears are still hanging around. I think BTC needs to reclaim 84,000 first; if it can’t hold 82,500, then 81,000 is next in sight. For ETH, 2,520 is the hurdle, and it needs to hold 2,450 for there to be anything to talk about. These are the two levels I’m watching before the U.S. market opens.

U.S. September CPI is due at 20:30 tonight. We’ve been stuck between 83,300 and 84,000 all day, trading sideways around 2,506, with everyone waiting for the data. My take: I won’t add to my position before the release—I’d rather miss half a day’s move than bet on a direction. What about you? Are you staying light and waiting on the eve of CPI, or have you already positioned yourself ahead of time?

I checked the charts before bed last night: $BTC was still hovering around 82,500. It shot straight above 83,300 in the morning session, up 1.2% over 24 hours. $ETH was even stronger, at 2,506, up 1.8%. U.S. September CPI is due at 20:30 tonight. Personally, I think it’ll be hard for the market to pick a clear direction during the day: watch whether it can break above 83,500; on the downside, 82,000 is the first support level. I’d keep positions light ahead of CPI.

Verified

Before the U.S. market opens, here's the takeaway: Nasdaq futures are down about 0.6%. Memory chip stocks have weighed on sentiment for two days, so I'm leaning cautious tonight.
Around $BTC 83200, it rebounded today from 82,300. First, watch the 83,600–84,000 hurdle on the upside; don't chase unless it can hold above it. If it breaks below 82,300, the next level to watch is the key 80,000 mark.
$ETH 2500 rebounded today from 2,400 to 2,528, then slipped back. Resistance is around 2,530. If it can't hold 2,500, it may have to revisit 2,400.
Plan: CPI data isn't due until tomorrow night, so there's no need to rush into a trade tonight. Let's wait and see which way the market opens.

After the US stock market closed last night, crypto continued to move lower. $BTC is now around 82,300, down 1.3% over the past 24 hours. $ETH is weaker, at around 2,460, down 2.8%. Today I’m watching just two price levels: BTC’s key support at 80,000; a break below could accelerate the decline. For ETH, it’s around 2,400—that’s the recent psychological support. In a nutshell: don’t chase the drop today; wait to see if prices stabilize around 80,000 first.

The market warmed up modestly today. $BTC held above 83k, while $ETH bounced harder, nearing 2%+. I still think we're more likely to see choppy action with an upward bias. A sharp drop seems unlikely, but be cautious about chasing highs—the timing matters more than the direction. What do you think: has this move truly found a floor and will it keep climbing, or is it a bull trap feeding ammunition to the bears? Share your thoughts in the comments.

A modest overnight rebound: $BTC 83400 and $ETH 2530 are both up less than 1% over the past 24 hours. Today I’m watching just two price levels: on the upside, the overnight highs at 84000/2550—there’s a chance only if prices hold above them; on the downside, the overnight lows at 82700/2496—if those give way, we’re heading back toward 82k/2400. Bottom line: don’t get carried away by such a small gain; let’s see if prices can hold first.

Before the U.S. market opens, here’s the bottom line: The Nasdaq rose 1.19% on Friday, and futures settled up nearly 1%. Risk sentiment is leaning positive, so I’m bullish tonight.
Around $BTC 83000, price is stuck in the 82–86k range, with no clear direction. First, watch 83900 above; if it holds, then 86000. Below, 82300 is support. If that gives way, watch Thursday’s low at 80600.
Around $ETH 2500, price bounced after finding support at 2414 on Thursday. First, watch 2520 above; if it holds, then the 2600 area. Below, if 2414 fails to hold, watch the month-to-date low at 2360.

The post on September 22nd—this time, we’re seeing the 2200-2400 area. You can set up a long-term buy order there, and once it reaches the area, enter in batches rather than all at once. Don’t try to guess the bottom; split your entries into multiple batches. Take profit is around 2800 and above. $ETH

Predict it: today September 22
After the U.S. stock market opens tonight, ETH is approaching 2800. To stop the liquidation, it may break out slightly, luring long positions to enter. The next move will be heading straight to 2400. A black swan is coming.

Personal analysis only, not investment advice.

$LSK how many people got caught in this, Ant Warehouse completely confused me.

LSK+1.68%