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Have you noticed? Bitcoin has been struggling to rise despite a series of positive news, while a single piece of negative news triggered a crash—this is a clear sign of a weakening trend. It has been said before that the cryptocurrency market may not hit bottom until July or August, so it is recommended to completely liquidate positions and exit the market.
From a technical perspective, the long-term bottom is first looking at the CME gap of 92,000; after a short-term sharp decline, a rebound is approaching the key level of 105,500, and if there’s positive news, it may test 107,400. Personally, I prefer to re-establish short positions after the rebound.
In comparison, Bitcoin's K-line is relatively resilient, while smaller cryptocurrencies like Pepe have nearly halved in value. Fortunately, I had previously emphasized liquidation and short-selling strategies, and recently shorting coins like ZK and Trump has been quite profitable.
In fact, yesterday’s market movements hinted at the trend: BTC rebounded from 110,000 to around 106,600, then bounced back to 108,000, before continuing to dip to 104,000—today's movements completely validate this.
This is not magic, but rather a prediction based on K-line analysis combined with major order placements and position data. Keep up with the trading rhythm and just get it done!
#加密市场回调
From a technical perspective, the long-term bottom is first looking at the CME gap of 92,000; after a short-term sharp decline, a rebound is approaching the key level of 105,500, and if there’s positive news, it may test 107,400. Personally, I prefer to re-establish short positions after the rebound.
In comparison, Bitcoin's K-line is relatively resilient, while smaller cryptocurrencies like Pepe have nearly halved in value. Fortunately, I had previously emphasized liquidation and short-selling strategies, and recently shorting coins like ZK and Trump has been quite profitable.
In fact, yesterday’s market movements hinted at the trend: BTC rebounded from 110,000 to around 106,600, then bounced back to 108,000, before continuing to dip to 104,000—today's movements completely validate this.
This is not magic, but rather a prediction based on K-line analysis combined with major order placements and position data. Keep up with the trading rhythm and just get it done!
#加密市场回调
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From small capital trial and error to the growth logic of mindset cultivation. When seeing others reap high-profit orders, it is inevitable to feel envy.
Knowing that the trend is downward but only positioning with a small amount — this kind of contradictory psychology is common in trading. After the market changes in the blink of an eye, it is meaningless to be entangled in whether to grasp it; the key is to draw nourishment from market fluctuations: when you successfully short at a certain price level and make a profit, it is essentially the initial understanding of market logic coming to fruition.
The experience of creating 6000U in profit with a 500U principal is enough to become a paradigm for subsequent capital operations.
But we must face a reality: there is an essential difference in the trading mentality between small and large capital — when holding 1000U compared to 100,000U, less than 20% of investors can maintain the same trading rhythm, which reflects the "80/20 rule" at the psychological level.
As a conservative trader, I choose to spend three months verifying strategy logic with small capital, the core being to build a strong psychological defense line for future large capital operations.
Some may feel that earning only a few dozen to a few hundred U with a 500U position is not worth mentioning, but this is precisely the growth trajectory of trading cognition — there is no more valuable advancement than "recording mistakes in practice." Understanding the root of losses and establishing avoidance mechanisms is far more valuable than short-term profits.
As trading philosophy states: "First learn to incur correct losses, then master the rules of profit." I am a time oracle, grateful for your attention and companionship, and I will continue to share practical growth paths in the future.
#加密市场回调 #以色列伊朗冲突
Knowing that the trend is downward but only positioning with a small amount — this kind of contradictory psychology is common in trading. After the market changes in the blink of an eye, it is meaningless to be entangled in whether to grasp it; the key is to draw nourishment from market fluctuations: when you successfully short at a certain price level and make a profit, it is essentially the initial understanding of market logic coming to fruition.
The experience of creating 6000U in profit with a 500U principal is enough to become a paradigm for subsequent capital operations.
But we must face a reality: there is an essential difference in the trading mentality between small and large capital — when holding 1000U compared to 100,000U, less than 20% of investors can maintain the same trading rhythm, which reflects the "80/20 rule" at the psychological level.
As a conservative trader, I choose to spend three months verifying strategy logic with small capital, the core being to build a strong psychological defense line for future large capital operations.
Some may feel that earning only a few dozen to a few hundred U with a 500U position is not worth mentioning, but this is precisely the growth trajectory of trading cognition — there is no more valuable advancement than "recording mistakes in practice." Understanding the root of losses and establishing avoidance mechanisms is far more valuable than short-term profits.
As trading philosophy states: "First learn to incur correct losses, then master the rules of profit." I am a time oracle, grateful for your attention and companionship, and I will continue to share practical growth paths in the future.
#加密市场回调 #以色列伊朗冲突
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BTC Trading Strategy Analysis: EMA50 Support Test and Trend Divergence Response
Currently, no long positions have been entered, as the price has just touched the critical support level of the EMA50 moving average. If the previous strategy is effective, there is still the possibility of a rebound testing the highs.
However, from another perspective, the price broke below the critical levels of 103600 and 104200 USD yesterday. According to the analysis logic, the downtrend may continue, targeting the 95k-93k range; the current rebound may be a short-term correction. Therefore, maintain a wait-and-see attitude and do not take action without holding positions.
#加密市场回调
Currently, no long positions have been entered, as the price has just touched the critical support level of the EMA50 moving average. If the previous strategy is effective, there is still the possibility of a rebound testing the highs.
However, from another perspective, the price broke below the critical levels of 103600 and 104200 USD yesterday. According to the analysis logic, the downtrend may continue, targeting the 95k-93k range; the current rebound may be a short-term correction. Therefore, maintain a wait-and-see attitude and do not take action without holding positions.
#加密市场回调
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ETH Short-Term Trend Analysis:
After an accelerated decline, there is a game of support levels and high cost-performance long strategies. ETH has recently shown a short-term accelerated downward trend, with prices reaching a near one-month low area again. This position has a strong support effect — historical tests of this range have repeatedly triggered rebound trends, so the current touch can be seen as a potential layout window.
The first rebound small high point after the significant drop is located near 2525. Using this point as a baseline to draw the Fibonacci retracement line, the 1-hour level shows that the pullback lows are concentrated in the 2470-2450 range, which can serve as a reference for going long.
Further observation of stop-loss logic: the short-term low support is near 2438. It is recommended to use this position as a stop-loss boundary to game the rebound trend, with significant cost-performance advantages.
If the prediction is accurate, the price target can be seen at around 2580, aiming for a profit of over 100 points with a stop-loss space of 20-30 points, resulting in a risk-reward ratio that aligns with technical trading principles.
The essence of the market is a probability game, and when the risk-reward ratio is favorable, it has layout value.
It is essential to strictly execute the trading plan — most investors fail due to lack of discipline. Even if predictions are incorrect, it is necessary to summarize experiences and optimize strategies, as the risk of liquidation often arises from violating rules.
#加密市场回调
After an accelerated decline, there is a game of support levels and high cost-performance long strategies. ETH has recently shown a short-term accelerated downward trend, with prices reaching a near one-month low area again. This position has a strong support effect — historical tests of this range have repeatedly triggered rebound trends, so the current touch can be seen as a potential layout window.
The first rebound small high point after the significant drop is located near 2525. Using this point as a baseline to draw the Fibonacci retracement line, the 1-hour level shows that the pullback lows are concentrated in the 2470-2450 range, which can serve as a reference for going long.
Further observation of stop-loss logic: the short-term low support is near 2438. It is recommended to use this position as a stop-loss boundary to game the rebound trend, with significant cost-performance advantages.
If the prediction is accurate, the price target can be seen at around 2580, aiming for a profit of over 100 points with a stop-loss space of 20-30 points, resulting in a risk-reward ratio that aligns with technical trading principles.
The essence of the market is a probability game, and when the risk-reward ratio is favorable, it has layout value.
It is essential to strictly execute the trading plan — most investors fail due to lack of discipline. Even if predictions are incorrect, it is necessary to summarize experiences and optimize strategies, as the risk of liquidation often arises from violating rules.
#加密市场回调
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Altcoins:
The escalation of geopolitical risks has triggered a systemic decline in altcoins. As high-risk assets, their overall decline significantly exceeds that of mainstream cryptocurrencies, highlighting a concentrated increase in risk-averse sentiment.
The substantial drop in trading volume over the past 24 hours indicates that speculative funds are accelerating their exit towards mainstream assets or adopting a wait-and-see approach. Recently active sectors such as MEME, L2 scaling, and AI have experienced sharp declines akin to a guillotine.
In the short term (within a week), if Bitcoin falls below 103 and Ethereum loses 2480, altcoins may face accelerated declines.
As long as incremental funds (such as large injections of stablecoins) have not entered the market and panic sentiment has not stabilized, it is advisable to remain highly vigilant and temporarily hold a short position while observing.
In the medium term, with the US treasury maturity point at the end of June, if the market exhibits a capital absorption effect and Ethereum stabilizes, leading L1/L2 projects may seize the opportunity to launch on exchanges, presenting short-term explosive potential.
#加密市场回调
The escalation of geopolitical risks has triggered a systemic decline in altcoins. As high-risk assets, their overall decline significantly exceeds that of mainstream cryptocurrencies, highlighting a concentrated increase in risk-averse sentiment.
The substantial drop in trading volume over the past 24 hours indicates that speculative funds are accelerating their exit towards mainstream assets or adopting a wait-and-see approach. Recently active sectors such as MEME, L2 scaling, and AI have experienced sharp declines akin to a guillotine.
In the short term (within a week), if Bitcoin falls below 103 and Ethereum loses 2480, altcoins may face accelerated declines.
As long as incremental funds (such as large injections of stablecoins) have not entered the market and panic sentiment has not stabilized, it is advisable to remain highly vigilant and temporarily hold a short position while observing.
In the medium term, with the US treasury maturity point at the end of June, if the market exhibits a capital absorption effect and Ethereum stabilizes, leading L1/L2 projects may seize the opportunity to launch on exchanges, presenting short-term explosive potential.
#加密市场回调
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BTC: The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates in June, with expectations for a rate cut in July pushed back to the end of Q3 to Q4, creating phased liquidity tightening pressure on the crypto market.
Geopolitical conflicts have intensified market panic, with safe-haven funds flowing into gold and oil. Bitcoin is still viewed as a high-risk asset under pressure in the short term. However, if the situation escalates and drives up oil prices, global inflation expectations may rise, potentially reigniting the 'anti-dollar + anti-inflation asset' logic that benefits BTC.
On the daily chart, BTC closed yesterday with a solid bearish candle, breaking below technical moving average support, and this morning it saw a significant drop, piercing through the near one-month low of around 103.
The K-line over the past three days shows a volume-increased bearish pattern of high-level fluctuations and declines, reflecting the exhaustion of bullish momentum, a cooling of market risk appetite, and significant proactive selling pressure.
Currently, it is in a short-term pressure release phase, with the mid-term structure yet to be broken. If a support platform can be built around 95, combined with ETF fund inflows and a shift in Federal Reserve policy as macro catalysts, it may challenge previous highs in the future.
Short-term trading advice for the day: Pay attention to the key support level in the 102-103 range below, and focus on the resistance level at 105-106 above.
#加密市场回调
Geopolitical conflicts have intensified market panic, with safe-haven funds flowing into gold and oil. Bitcoin is still viewed as a high-risk asset under pressure in the short term. However, if the situation escalates and drives up oil prices, global inflation expectations may rise, potentially reigniting the 'anti-dollar + anti-inflation asset' logic that benefits BTC.
On the daily chart, BTC closed yesterday with a solid bearish candle, breaking below technical moving average support, and this morning it saw a significant drop, piercing through the near one-month low of around 103.
The K-line over the past three days shows a volume-increased bearish pattern of high-level fluctuations and declines, reflecting the exhaustion of bullish momentum, a cooling of market risk appetite, and significant proactive selling pressure.
Currently, it is in a short-term pressure release phase, with the mid-term structure yet to be broken. If a support platform can be built around 95, combined with ETF fund inflows and a shift in Federal Reserve policy as macro catalysts, it may challenge previous highs in the future.
Short-term trading advice for the day: Pay attention to the key support level in the 102-103 range below, and focus on the resistance level at 105-106 above.
#加密市场回调
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BTC Evening Strategy: Psychological Traps and Technical Breakthroughs in the Pullback Game
Investor Psychological Game: A Vicious Cycle from Fear of Heights to Missing Opportunities
When BTC rises to $110,000, most investors hesitate to enter due to fear of heights; however, when the price drops, they expect even lower prices because "the price is still high." This mentality is essentially a typical "retail investor mindset"—missing out on pullback opportunities due to hesitation and ultimately only entering at higher prices after a rebound.
Technical Key Level Analysis
Hourly Trend Line Contest: The current price has broken below the ascending trend line. If it can regain this line with increased volume, a rebound is expected to continue; otherwise, the downward structure will persist. Shrinking volume becomes the main resistance for the rebound, and attention should be focused on:
Breaking above 107739 allows for right-side long positions, targeting 108812-109371;
Breaking below 107435 and failing to recover allows for short positions, with a stop loss set at the volume breakthrough of 107739.
Fibonacci Retracement Level Contest:
The price has broken below the 23.6% retracement level (around 107200), currently in a vacuum between 23.6% resistance and 38.2% support (105400):
A dip to the 38.2% support level may stabilize and trigger a rebound;
If the rebound fails to hold above the 23.6% resistance level, further testing of the 50%/61.8% retracement levels (103000-101200) may occur.
4-Hour Key Signal: 106778 has become a watershed for long and short positions. If the closing price falls below this level, it may drop to 105866-104954; if it does not effectively break below, there remains a possibility for an upward breakout.
Operational Suggestions
Lightly test long positions in the 105400-106000 range, with a stop loss set below 104954;
After breaking above 107739, increase positions for long trades, targeting multiple profit-taking levels at 108800/109400; after breaking below 107435, reverse to short positions, with a stop loss set at the volume breakthrough of 107739, and the first profit-taking level at 106000.
#美国加征关税
Investor Psychological Game: A Vicious Cycle from Fear of Heights to Missing Opportunities
When BTC rises to $110,000, most investors hesitate to enter due to fear of heights; however, when the price drops, they expect even lower prices because "the price is still high." This mentality is essentially a typical "retail investor mindset"—missing out on pullback opportunities due to hesitation and ultimately only entering at higher prices after a rebound.
Technical Key Level Analysis
Hourly Trend Line Contest: The current price has broken below the ascending trend line. If it can regain this line with increased volume, a rebound is expected to continue; otherwise, the downward structure will persist. Shrinking volume becomes the main resistance for the rebound, and attention should be focused on:
Breaking above 107739 allows for right-side long positions, targeting 108812-109371;
Breaking below 107435 and failing to recover allows for short positions, with a stop loss set at the volume breakthrough of 107739.
Fibonacci Retracement Level Contest:
The price has broken below the 23.6% retracement level (around 107200), currently in a vacuum between 23.6% resistance and 38.2% support (105400):
A dip to the 38.2% support level may stabilize and trigger a rebound;
If the rebound fails to hold above the 23.6% resistance level, further testing of the 50%/61.8% retracement levels (103000-101200) may occur.
4-Hour Key Signal: 106778 has become a watershed for long and short positions. If the closing price falls below this level, it may drop to 105866-104954; if it does not effectively break below, there remains a possibility for an upward breakout.
Operational Suggestions
Lightly test long positions in the 105400-106000 range, with a stop loss set below 104954;
After breaking above 107739, increase positions for long trades, targeting multiple profit-taking levels at 108800/109400; after breaking below 107435, reverse to short positions, with a stop loss set at the volume breakthrough of 107739, and the first profit-taking level at 106000.
#美国加征关税
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Bitcoin Trend Reflects Historical Mirror, Dual Support Levels Become Key Rebound Nodes
Currently, BTC's trend is highly similar to the previous $110,000 pullback: the last rise to $110,000 first retraced to the $106,700 support level with a slight rebound, then dipped to the strong $104,000 support to initiate a larger rebound cycle.
From a historical perspective, the $106,500-$107,000 range has multiple low point support, suitable for small rebound layouts; while the support strength near $104,000 is even higher, offering better odds and space for rebound.
In terms of operations, it is crucial to strictly follow the key level trading principle:
Rely on support levels to open positions, with stop-loss distances controllable near the critical breaking point; avoid subjective assumptions, utilize historical support and resistance levels to build trading logic, and achieve compound accumulation through key level speculation.
#美国加征关税
Currently, BTC's trend is highly similar to the previous $110,000 pullback: the last rise to $110,000 first retraced to the $106,700 support level with a slight rebound, then dipped to the strong $104,000 support to initiate a larger rebound cycle.
From a historical perspective, the $106,500-$107,000 range has multiple low point support, suitable for small rebound layouts; while the support strength near $104,000 is even higher, offering better odds and space for rebound.
In terms of operations, it is crucial to strictly follow the key level trading principle:
Rely on support levels to open positions, with stop-loss distances controllable near the critical breaking point; avoid subjective assumptions, utilize historical support and resistance levels to build trading logic, and achieve compound accumulation through key level speculation.
#美国加征关税
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How is the current market situation? It's quite bad, whether it's bullish or bearish. I really wish for a black swan event now, where Bitcoin rises and altcoins increase significantly, then Bitcoin corrects and altcoins plummet. Altcoins have no chance of recovery anymore. Everyone should honestly hold some mainstream coins and wait for opportunities.
#美国加征关税
#美国加征关税
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Has BTC peaked? Is there still hope for the trapped orders?
Let's look at the on-chain data to see if $BTC has reached its peak?
Sharing key on-chain indicators: In the past 24 hours, short-term holders have sold 21,000 coins through exchanges, below the historical average of 40,000 coins, which is the peak warning level. Currently, there are only signs of a peak, and there may be subsequent fluctuations or even a surge, so we need to be cautious about the last wave before interest rate cuts.
Is it a market crash or a washout? $106,000 is the absolute support and the boundary between strength and weakness, and I will gradually build long positions here. If the price rebounds early and stabilizes at $109,000, then the adjustment target will be invalid.
Today's operation: Sell high with $109,000 as defense, pressure above $108,200-$108,500, and support below $107,300. If it breaks below $107,300, then look at $106,800 and $106,000 in sequence.
#美国加征关税
Let's look at the on-chain data to see if $BTC has reached its peak?
Sharing key on-chain indicators: In the past 24 hours, short-term holders have sold 21,000 coins through exchanges, below the historical average of 40,000 coins, which is the peak warning level. Currently, there are only signs of a peak, and there may be subsequent fluctuations or even a surge, so we need to be cautious about the last wave before interest rate cuts.
Is it a market crash or a washout? $106,000 is the absolute support and the boundary between strength and weakness, and I will gradually build long positions here. If the price rebounds early and stabilizes at $109,000, then the adjustment target will be invalid.
Today's operation: Sell high with $109,000 as defense, pressure above $108,200-$108,500, and support below $107,300. If it breaks below $107,300, then look at $106,800 and $106,000 in sequence.
#美国加征关税
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The current market is like a chef weighing his spoon; it neither gives you a quick rise nor a swift drop. It shakes you to the point of nausea, and eating it is tasteless while discarding it feels wasteful.
The pattern of ETH could have been a good long position, with only a profit range of about 5 to 10 points above. Setting the stop-loss range too wide makes it not cost-effective, while setting it too narrow makes it easy to get stopped out back and forth. It’s better to watch more and act less, or simply read a book or watch a show instead.
#X平台封号
The pattern of ETH could have been a good long position, with only a profit range of about 5 to 10 points above. Setting the stop-loss range too wide makes it not cost-effective, while setting it too narrow makes it easy to get stopped out back and forth. It’s better to watch more and act less, or simply read a book or watch a show instead.
#X平台封号
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In the past couple of days, Bitcoin and Ethereum have both broken through. I have been continuously warning about market risks since two days ago. At first glance, it may seem like a misjudgment of direction, and many people say, "With such a strong upward trend, warning about risks means you've definitely missed out."
But I want to ask everyone: How many people are really buying Bitcoin and Ethereum?
Aren't most people just playing with altcoins? Look at the altcoins you are paying attention to or have invested in — don’t most of them fail to reach the previous highs and even drop below the previous lows during today’s pullback?
This is exactly why I warned about the risks: such upward illusions often occur at the end of a bull market.
If you haven't exited yet, as the market fluctuates and declines, your losses will only get bigger. Just randomly pick four popular altcoins and see if the situation is exactly as I described?
#美国加征关税
But I want to ask everyone: How many people are really buying Bitcoin and Ethereum?
Aren't most people just playing with altcoins? Look at the altcoins you are paying attention to or have invested in — don’t most of them fail to reach the previous highs and even drop below the previous lows during today’s pullback?
This is exactly why I warned about the risks: such upward illusions often occur at the end of a bull market.
If you haven't exited yet, as the market fluctuates and declines, your losses will only get bigger. Just randomly pick four popular altcoins and see if the situation is exactly as I described?
#美国加征关税
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The Cryptocurrency Market Game Under Regulatory Pressure in Singapore: BTC Encounters Resistance at 110,000 After Three Attempts, ETH Wedge Breakthrough Imminent
Macroeconomic Analysis
Singapore Regulatory Storm: The Monetary Authority of Singapore forces unlicensed crypto platforms to delist, triggering short-term market liquidity panic, with risk-off sentiment rising under the shadow of FTX-style blowups; in the long run, this will accelerate industry compliance, and stablecoins and on-chain payment sectors may benefit from regulatory clean-up.
Middle Eastern Geopolitical Conflicts: The escalating situation reinforces the 'digital gold' property of crypto assets, leading to a surge in short-term capital inflows driven by risk aversion demands.
Eased Trade Policies: The Trump administration extends the tariff suspension period until July 9, restoring global risk appetite coupled with expectations of Federal Reserve easing, with liquidity release potentially boosting crypto asset valuations.
Technical Analysis
BTC: Daily line closes with a solid bearish candle, with strong resistance at 110,500 USD after three attempts, and the support level at 108,000 USD becomes a battleground for bulls and bears. The MA7 moving average continues to rise, supporting the upward trend, while the 4-hour line shows an adjustment after three consecutive bearish candles, with volume increasing but not breaking the previous high, necessitating caution against a double-top risk. Focus on the effectiveness of the 107,500-106,500 USD support during the day, with upper resistance levels at 109,500-110,500 USD.
ETH: Daily line retreats after hitting a high, entering a technical correction period, with the wedge oscillation upward pattern intact. A significant bullish candle after breaking the range on the weekly chart establishes an upward trend, and if this week's closing is solid, it may break the 3,000 USD mark. The 4-hour line loses the 2,740 USD support, testing the 2,700 USD integer level, with attention needed on the 2,740-2,710 USD defensive zone during the day, and resistance levels at 2,800-2,830 USD.
Altcoin Operational Strategy
Under regulatory impact, meme coins and small-cap altcoins have corrected by 10%, suggesting to reduce holdings at highs to control drawdowns. The altcoin sector has strong interconnectivity, requiring attention to swing trading opportunities, with strict stop-loss controls within 10%. Previously positioned altcoins such as 'Heyue' can keep a small position for a breakout, prioritizing risk control.
#美国加征关税
Macroeconomic Analysis
Singapore Regulatory Storm: The Monetary Authority of Singapore forces unlicensed crypto platforms to delist, triggering short-term market liquidity panic, with risk-off sentiment rising under the shadow of FTX-style blowups; in the long run, this will accelerate industry compliance, and stablecoins and on-chain payment sectors may benefit from regulatory clean-up.
Middle Eastern Geopolitical Conflicts: The escalating situation reinforces the 'digital gold' property of crypto assets, leading to a surge in short-term capital inflows driven by risk aversion demands.
Eased Trade Policies: The Trump administration extends the tariff suspension period until July 9, restoring global risk appetite coupled with expectations of Federal Reserve easing, with liquidity release potentially boosting crypto asset valuations.
Technical Analysis
BTC: Daily line closes with a solid bearish candle, with strong resistance at 110,500 USD after three attempts, and the support level at 108,000 USD becomes a battleground for bulls and bears. The MA7 moving average continues to rise, supporting the upward trend, while the 4-hour line shows an adjustment after three consecutive bearish candles, with volume increasing but not breaking the previous high, necessitating caution against a double-top risk. Focus on the effectiveness of the 107,500-106,500 USD support during the day, with upper resistance levels at 109,500-110,500 USD.
ETH: Daily line retreats after hitting a high, entering a technical correction period, with the wedge oscillation upward pattern intact. A significant bullish candle after breaking the range on the weekly chart establishes an upward trend, and if this week's closing is solid, it may break the 3,000 USD mark. The 4-hour line loses the 2,740 USD support, testing the 2,700 USD integer level, with attention needed on the 2,740-2,710 USD defensive zone during the day, and resistance levels at 2,800-2,830 USD.
Altcoin Operational Strategy
Under regulatory impact, meme coins and small-cap altcoins have corrected by 10%, suggesting to reduce holdings at highs to control drawdowns. The altcoin sector has strong interconnectivity, requiring attention to swing trading opportunities, with strict stop-loss controls within 10%. Previously positioned altcoins such as 'Heyue' can keep a small position for a breakout, prioritizing risk control.
#美国加征关税
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BTC is showing weak signals during high-level consolidation, beware of double top breakdown risk
BTC has been consolidating at high levels, facing significant pressure around $110,000.
As analyzed yesterday, the price is tightly oscillating near the previous high, and if it cannot break through $110,600 (which coincides with the resistance level from May 27), the probability of a double top formation is very high.
From a technical perspective, it can currently be viewed as a typical double top structure. The trading strategy should focus on:
Setting the stop-loss above the double top peak, due to the small stop-loss space and large profit space, the risk-reward ratio is significantly advantageous. The core of trading is to grasp the risk-reward ratio; once conditions are met, one can position accordingly, but specific operations require personal decision-making.
#美国加征关税
BTC has been consolidating at high levels, facing significant pressure around $110,000.
As analyzed yesterday, the price is tightly oscillating near the previous high, and if it cannot break through $110,600 (which coincides with the resistance level from May 27), the probability of a double top formation is very high.
From a technical perspective, it can currently be viewed as a typical double top structure. The trading strategy should focus on:
Setting the stop-loss above the double top peak, due to the small stop-loss space and large profit space, the risk-reward ratio is significantly advantageous. The core of trading is to grasp the risk-reward ratio; once conditions are met, one can position accordingly, but specific operations require personal decision-making.
#美国加征关税
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BTC Short-term Trend Analysis and Trading Strategy
BTC is still in an upward trend in the long term, but the short-term levels have not yet stopped falling. Although the short-term pullback to the support of 108,000 USD has not broken, the rebound strength is weak, and caution is required against a potential trap for shorts.
It is expected that the price will continue to slightly adjust, testing around 108,000 USD again before possibly accelerating down to 107,500 USD for a spike, followed by a rapid rebound.
Short-term long positions can be arranged around 107,500 USD.
#美国加征关税
BTC is still in an upward trend in the long term, but the short-term levels have not yet stopped falling. Although the short-term pullback to the support of 108,000 USD has not broken, the rebound strength is weak, and caution is required against a potential trap for shorts.
It is expected that the price will continue to slightly adjust, testing around 108,000 USD again before possibly accelerating down to 107,500 USD for a spike, followed by a rapid rebound.
Short-term long positions can be arranged around 107,500 USD.
#美国加征关税
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BTC Short Selling Strategy Review and Current Market Analysis
Yesterday, a short position was established at $109,775, with the price reaching a maximum of $110,392 without hitting the stop-loss level. In the afternoon, I continued to wait for opportunities to add to my position at high points, observing that BTC showed weak upward momentum throughout the day, leading to the judgment that the market would face a correction, ultimately capturing a drop of $1,500.
The current market shows polarization:
Altcoins have not yet entered a FOMO sentiment, with funds concentrated in mainstream and sector leaders like BTC, ETH, and SOL, highlighting the preference of institutional capital allocation.
The current price of BTC has not yet fallen below $108,500; this round of correction can be viewed as profit-taking by bulls, and the market's upward trend has not changed. If the price falls below $108,000, it is expected to form a consolidation range around $106,800.
Yesterday, a short position was established at $109,775, with the price reaching a maximum of $110,392 without hitting the stop-loss level. In the afternoon, I continued to wait for opportunities to add to my position at high points, observing that BTC showed weak upward momentum throughout the day, leading to the judgment that the market would face a correction, ultimately capturing a drop of $1,500.
The current market shows polarization:
Altcoins have not yet entered a FOMO sentiment, with funds concentrated in mainstream and sector leaders like BTC, ETH, and SOL, highlighting the preference of institutional capital allocation.
The current price of BTC has not yet fallen below $108,500; this round of correction can be viewed as profit-taking by bulls, and the market's upward trend has not changed. If the price falls below $108,000, it is expected to form a consolidation range around $106,800.
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ETH Evening Trading Strategy: The second coin has finally broken through the resistance level of 2550!
The first four attempts failed, but the fifth time it broke through hard - when this thing gets weak, it’s like an eggplant hit by frost, but when it gets going, it can shoot up like a rocket!
🌃
Looking at the technicals: In the 4-hour chart, the yellow arrow points to this candlestick, with a long upper shadow, clearly showing heavy selling pressure above!
The volume below looks quite sufficient, but the price hasn’t followed - a typical case of 'high volume, low price'. In my opinion, real price movements require both volume and price to move together; lacking either one is not a complete candlestick.
Only when this upper shadow is broken through can the second coin truly take off!
Key levels to note: If it breaks through 2689 with volume, then go long; if it falls below 2672, then go short; keep a close watch on volume changes, and always set stop-losses! If the hourly chart stabilizes above 2710, then look upwards to 2745-2800; whether it can pass this level is crucial right now; if the 4-hour chart falls below 2654, then we have to look down to 2606-2574; rising is not easy, so don’t fall back easily!
🌃
Now looking at the hourly chart shape: it’s forming a 'round bottom with a cup handle'! Although the volume below is a bit lacking, as long as it doesn’t break below the cup handle’s lower edge, this shape is a bullish signal.
Lastly, let's talk about the short logic: when all the bears around you turn into bulls, that’s the time to act!
Why? Bears are the 'fuel' for the market's rise; once the fuel is burned out, how long can the bulls keep jumping? Have you figured out this logic and how to operate accordingly?
The first four attempts failed, but the fifth time it broke through hard - when this thing gets weak, it’s like an eggplant hit by frost, but when it gets going, it can shoot up like a rocket!
🌃
Looking at the technicals: In the 4-hour chart, the yellow arrow points to this candlestick, with a long upper shadow, clearly showing heavy selling pressure above!
The volume below looks quite sufficient, but the price hasn’t followed - a typical case of 'high volume, low price'. In my opinion, real price movements require both volume and price to move together; lacking either one is not a complete candlestick.
Only when this upper shadow is broken through can the second coin truly take off!
Key levels to note: If it breaks through 2689 with volume, then go long; if it falls below 2672, then go short; keep a close watch on volume changes, and always set stop-losses! If the hourly chart stabilizes above 2710, then look upwards to 2745-2800; whether it can pass this level is crucial right now; if the 4-hour chart falls below 2654, then we have to look down to 2606-2574; rising is not easy, so don’t fall back easily!
🌃
Now looking at the hourly chart shape: it’s forming a 'round bottom with a cup handle'! Although the volume below is a bit lacking, as long as it doesn’t break below the cup handle’s lower edge, this shape is a bullish signal.
Lastly, let's talk about the short logic: when all the bears around you turn into bulls, that’s the time to act!
Why? Bears are the 'fuel' for the market's rise; once the fuel is burned out, how long can the bulls keep jumping? Have you figured out this logic and how to operate accordingly?
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BTC Evening Trading Strategy: Bitcoin's recent movement has pierced through all the resistance levels that needed to be broken. Those stubborn short sellers better be cautious.
If the bears aren't convinced and continue to add positions, the bulls will just use this momentum to push higher—why can't they remember the principle of 'surrendering means losing half'? After a trend reversal, one can only short to catch a pullback, so don't stubbornly hold on.
Technical Analysis: At 5 AM, Bitcoin surged to 110653 but encountered resistance, just 1300 dollars away from the previous high—why couldn't it break through? It's not due to a lack of funds, but because 110723 is a strong resistance level on the daily chart. Such significant barriers can only be broken with major positive news (like the Federal Reserve easing policies).
Once a valid breakthrough occurs, new highs are guaranteed; I'll put that out there!
Key Point Operations: A volume-driven breakout at 109425 allows for buying on the right side, while a drop below 109030 that fails to rebound should lead to shorts, with a focus on volume.
On the hourly chart, breaking 109688 sets an upper target of 110386-110842; on the 4-hour chart, a drop below 109057 looks down to 108031-106816.
As long as the yellow trend line on the hourly chart hasn't been breached, hold onto your longs safely;
Now that we're close to the previous high, it's advisable to reduce positions and not gamble on the tail end, especially if that crucial bullish candle breaks—if it does, we need to test the lower trend line.
Risk Warning: The current uncertainties hinge entirely on the East-West trade talks; if the talks go well, it could spike several thousand dollars, but if they fall apart, it could drop several thousand dollars. Everyone must ensure they have good stop-losses in place, and don't be reckless!
#加密市场反弹
If the bears aren't convinced and continue to add positions, the bulls will just use this momentum to push higher—why can't they remember the principle of 'surrendering means losing half'? After a trend reversal, one can only short to catch a pullback, so don't stubbornly hold on.
Technical Analysis: At 5 AM, Bitcoin surged to 110653 but encountered resistance, just 1300 dollars away from the previous high—why couldn't it break through? It's not due to a lack of funds, but because 110723 is a strong resistance level on the daily chart. Such significant barriers can only be broken with major positive news (like the Federal Reserve easing policies).
Once a valid breakthrough occurs, new highs are guaranteed; I'll put that out there!
Key Point Operations: A volume-driven breakout at 109425 allows for buying on the right side, while a drop below 109030 that fails to rebound should lead to shorts, with a focus on volume.
On the hourly chart, breaking 109688 sets an upper target of 110386-110842; on the 4-hour chart, a drop below 109057 looks down to 108031-106816.
As long as the yellow trend line on the hourly chart hasn't been breached, hold onto your longs safely;
Now that we're close to the previous high, it's advisable to reduce positions and not gamble on the tail end, especially if that crucial bullish candle breaks—if it does, we need to test the lower trend line.
Risk Warning: The current uncertainties hinge entirely on the East-West trade talks; if the talks go well, it could spike several thousand dollars, but if they fall apart, it could drop several thousand dollars. Everyone must ensure they have good stop-losses in place, and don't be reckless!
#加密市场反弹
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— Will a phased double top form?
Isn't that obvious? It will definitely form!
— Will it form within this month?
That's right, it will form this month. But there are still 20 days until the end of the month. Do you really think it won't rise in these 20 days? I don't believe it.
— So a phased top is coming?
Yes, the top is approaching.
— Do I need to clear my positions?
No need, you can start to reduce your holdings in batches as it approaches the previous high. Especially when the price breaks the previous high and sets a new historical high, be more vigilant about potential risks.
— There won't be another main upward wave?
No, there won't be.
— Can I position for a long-term short?
You can look for short entry points at the upper resistance levels, but don't expect the price to drop immediately after going short. What you might find is just a relative high point, not a trend breakout point.
#看懂K线
Isn't that obvious? It will definitely form!
— Will it form within this month?
That's right, it will form this month. But there are still 20 days until the end of the month. Do you really think it won't rise in these 20 days? I don't believe it.
— So a phased top is coming?
Yes, the top is approaching.
— Do I need to clear my positions?
No need, you can start to reduce your holdings in batches as it approaches the previous high. Especially when the price breaks the previous high and sets a new historical high, be more vigilant about potential risks.
— There won't be another main upward wave?
No, there won't be.
— Can I position for a long-term short?
You can look for short entry points at the upper resistance levels, but don't expect the price to drop immediately after going short. What you might find is just a relative high point, not a trend breakout point.
#看懂K线
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On June 9th at 17:21, Tether issued 1 billion USDT on the TRX chain. Such important on-chain funding events have significant dual signals of liquidity release and market expectation management, preparing for subsequent on-site and off-site purchases, and exchange liquidity support.
This is beneficial for boosting market confidence and is expected to catalyze short-term rebounds and medium-term rotation trends.
The chairman of the U.S. SEC suggested a more open approach to self-custody of crypto assets, which is beneficial for enhancing investor confidence and asset security awareness, directly favoring wallet-type and custodial-type basic tokens, and promoting the compliance of DAO and DeFi institutions.
Technical Analysis:
BTC: Yesterday afternoon, over five o'clock, 1 billion stablecoins were issued, significantly increasing market liquidity, causing Bitcoin to rise from 106 to 110, once again approaching historical highs.
The daily line closed with a large solid bullish candlestick yesterday, with a five-day consecutive bullish trend reopening the upward trend. The 7-day moving average has turned upward, breaking through the 14-day moving average, forming a golden cross upward, and the short-term market is likely to continue rising.
Based on the historical increase of around ten thousand points for each phase of rising market, the next target point is around 113-115.
From the 4-hour chart, it dipped to around 100,000 and then rose, currently showing a second wave upward. After the intraday adjustment, there is still potential for further ascent.
In terms of intraday operations, pay close attention to the support levels at 1088-1078 below, and the resistance levels at 1108-1118 above.
This is beneficial for boosting market confidence and is expected to catalyze short-term rebounds and medium-term rotation trends.
The chairman of the U.S. SEC suggested a more open approach to self-custody of crypto assets, which is beneficial for enhancing investor confidence and asset security awareness, directly favoring wallet-type and custodial-type basic tokens, and promoting the compliance of DAO and DeFi institutions.
Technical Analysis:
BTC: Yesterday afternoon, over five o'clock, 1 billion stablecoins were issued, significantly increasing market liquidity, causing Bitcoin to rise from 106 to 110, once again approaching historical highs.
The daily line closed with a large solid bullish candlestick yesterday, with a five-day consecutive bullish trend reopening the upward trend. The 7-day moving average has turned upward, breaking through the 14-day moving average, forming a golden cross upward, and the short-term market is likely to continue rising.
Based on the historical increase of around ten thousand points for each phase of rising market, the next target point is around 113-115.
From the 4-hour chart, it dipped to around 100,000 and then rose, currently showing a second wave upward. After the intraday adjustment, there is still potential for further ascent.
In terms of intraday operations, pay close attention to the support levels at 1088-1078 below, and the resistance levels at 1108-1118 above.
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