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老腊肉-kevin
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老腊肉-kevin

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美股交易,加密货币|红薯🍠和X:@cryptokevin1688|邀请码|Bind invite code :KEVIN1688|关注我的都暴富了
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#美国ppi同比升至6.3% U.S. Market Analysis: AI Faith Crumbles, Chip Stocks Fall for Eight Straight Sessions, and Money Is Flowing in These Three Directions The AI trade is undergoing a sweeping reckoning: the Nasdaq plunged 2%, while chip stocks posted their longest losing streak since 2008. U.S. stocks suffered a broad selloff on Friday, with the Nasdaq down 2.15%, the S&P 500 down 1.1%, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index falling more than 3.5% for its eighth straight session of losses. CoreWeave plunged 12%, and yields on its bonds briefly topped 15%, flashing a red warning on credit risk. The market is starting to ask: when growth is built on debt-funded AI capital spending worth trillions, where are the profits? How macroeconomic news is affecting different asset classes: Tech stocks/AI supply chain: Memory chips were hit hardest, with Micron down 5.6%, SanDisk down 6.8%, and SK Hynix ADRs down more than 6.5%. The Magnificent Seven fell 1.6% for the day, with Apple the only one to finish higher; preorders for the foldable iPhone Duo sold out instantly, supporting the stock. Goldman Sachs believes the market's reaction in some areas has been excessive: the Nasdaq's forward P/E has fallen to 21, its lowest since the AI cycle began. Energy: Brent crude rose more than 3% intraday, nearing $110, while WTI extended its winning streak to seven sessions, closing at $101.71. Chevron and Exxon Mobil both hit new record highs. Lawmakers from both parties introduced a bill to block Russian diesel from entering the market. Combined with tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, this has made energy the most direct haven from rising oil prices. Defensive assets: Coca-Cola rose more than 2% to another record high, while Eli Lilly, Walmart, and Procter & Gamble also gained. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly climbed to 5.125%, before retreating to 5.097% late in the session; longer-dated Treasuries clearly outperformed shorter-dated ones this week. Gold steadied near $4,168, ending almost unchanged. FX: The U.S. dollar index fell to a more-than-two-week low of 101.58, while the offshore yuan approached 6.6830 intraday, setting a four-year high for the second consecutive day. When the cost of financing AI starts to bite, the story has to give way to cash flow. Energy and consumer staples are rising as chip stocks fall. This isn't rotation; it's investors voting with their feet and repricing “certainty.” Next week's earnings from tech giants will be the real day of reckoning. $SOXL $CL $XAU #Celestia推出AI智能体测试链Eden #布伦特原油自5月来首次触及110美元 #纳指100本周跌5.5%创18个月最大周跌幅 {future}(XAUUSDT) {future}(CLUSDT) {future}(SOXLUSDT)
#美国ppi同比升至6.3% U.S. Market Analysis: AI Faith Crumbles, Chip Stocks Fall for Eight Straight Sessions, and Money Is Flowing in These Three Directions

The AI trade is undergoing a sweeping reckoning: the Nasdaq plunged 2%, while chip stocks posted their longest losing streak since 2008. U.S. stocks suffered a broad selloff on Friday, with the Nasdaq down 2.15%, the S&P 500 down 1.1%, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index falling more than 3.5% for its eighth straight session of losses. CoreWeave plunged 12%, and yields on its bonds briefly topped 15%, flashing a red warning on credit risk. The market is starting to ask: when growth is built on debt-funded AI capital spending worth trillions, where are the profits?

How macroeconomic news is affecting different asset classes:
Tech stocks/AI supply chain: Memory chips were hit hardest, with Micron down 5.6%, SanDisk down 6.8%, and SK Hynix ADRs down more than 6.5%. The Magnificent Seven fell 1.6% for the day, with Apple the only one to finish higher; preorders for the foldable iPhone Duo sold out instantly, supporting the stock. Goldman Sachs believes the market's reaction in some areas has been excessive: the Nasdaq's forward P/E has fallen to 21, its lowest since the AI cycle began.

Energy: Brent crude rose more than 3% intraday, nearing $110, while WTI extended its winning streak to seven sessions, closing at $101.71. Chevron and Exxon Mobil both hit new record highs. Lawmakers from both parties introduced a bill to block Russian diesel from entering the market. Combined with tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, this has made energy the most direct haven from rising oil prices.

Defensive assets: Coca-Cola rose more than 2% to another record high, while Eli Lilly, Walmart, and Procter & Gamble also gained. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly climbed to 5.125%, before retreating to 5.097% late in the session; longer-dated Treasuries clearly outperformed shorter-dated ones this week. Gold steadied near $4,168, ending almost unchanged.
FX: The U.S. dollar index fell to a more-than-two-week low of 101.58, while the offshore yuan approached 6.6830 intraday, setting a four-year high for the second consecutive day.

When the cost of financing AI starts to bite, the story has to give way to cash flow. Energy and consumer staples are rising as chip stocks fall. This isn't rotation; it's investors voting with their feet and repricing “certainty.” Next week's earnings from tech giants will be the real day of reckoning. $SOXL $CL $XAU #Celestia推出AI智能体测试链Eden #布伦特原油自5月来首次触及110美元 #纳指100本周跌5.5%创18个月最大周跌幅

Alibaba’s Hong Kong-listed shares surged at the open, up nearly 4%; On the news front, Cook said that Apple Intelligence and the related Alibaba Qwen large language model had indeed received approval, and that a test version would be released later in October. However, this does not include Siri AI.
Alibaba’s Hong Kong-listed shares surged at the open, up nearly 4%;

On the news front, Cook said that Apple Intelligence and the related Alibaba Qwen large language model had indeed received approval, and that a test version would be released later in October. However, this does not include Siri AI.
Tesla rose more than 3% in U.S. after-hours trading, while SpaceX gained about 2.5%;\nIn related news, at today's Roadster launch event, Tesla demonstrated the flying car briefly lifting off and performing an aerial flip. It is equipped with cold-gas thrusters developed in collaboration with SpaceX.$SPCX $TSLA \n{future}(TSLAUSDT)\n{future}(SPCXUSDT)
Tesla rose more than 3% in U.S. after-hours trading, while SpaceX gained about 2.5%;\nIn related news, at today's Roadster launch event, Tesla demonstrated the flying car briefly lifting off and performing an aerial flip. It is equipped with cold-gas thrusters developed in collaboration with SpaceX.$SPCX $TSLA \n\n
Verified
Bitcoin briefly rises above $82,000; some crypto-related stocks rally, with Circle up nearly 7%, Strategy and Coinbase up 2%, and Robinhood trimming losses to 1%.$BTC $CRCL $MSTR {future}(MSTRUSDT) {future}(CRCLUSDT) {future}(BTCUSDT)
Bitcoin briefly rises above $82,000; some crypto-related stocks rally, with Circle up nearly 7%, Strategy and Coinbase up 2%, and Robinhood trimming losses to 1%.$BTC $CRCL $MSTR
U.S. September PPI rose 6.3% year over year, its highest level since May 2026 and above market expectations of 5.3%. U.S. September PPI rose 1.3% month over month, significantly above market expectations of 0.5%. U.S. September retail sales rose 0.8% month over month, above market expectations.$BTC $ETH $SOXL {future}(SOXLUSDT) {future}(ETHUSDT) {future}(BTCUSDT)
U.S. September PPI rose 6.3% year over year, its highest level since May 2026 and above market expectations of 5.3%.

U.S. September PPI rose 1.3% month over month, significantly above market expectations of 0.5%. U.S. September retail sales rose 0.8% month over month, above market expectations.$BTC $ETH $SOXL
Partly True
CPI came in above expectations, CPI came in above expectations, CPI came in above expectations—important things are worth saying three times! U.S. CPI rose 3.70% year over year in September, versus an expected 3.60% and a previous reading of 3.40%. After the September CPI data was released, traders increased their bets on a Fed rate hike in October; the U.S. Dollar Index rose nearly 40 points; the three major U.S. stock index futures plunged and turned lower, with Nasdaq futures down 0.5%; spot gold fell nearly 1%, and spot silver nearly 2%. Spot gold slid nearly $40 in the short term and is now at $4,129.6 per ounce. Spot silver fell $1 in the short term and is now at $58.07 per ounce. $BTC $XAU $XAG #9月CPI来袭原油美债走势如何 {future}(XAGUSDT) {future}(XAUUSDT) {future}(BTCUSDT)
CPI came in above expectations, CPI came in above expectations, CPI came in above expectations—important things are worth saying three times!

U.S. CPI rose 3.70% year over year in September, versus an expected 3.60% and a previous reading of 3.40%. After the September CPI data was released, traders increased their bets on a Fed rate hike in October; the U.S. Dollar Index rose nearly 40 points; the three major U.S. stock index futures plunged and turned lower, with Nasdaq futures down 0.5%; spot gold fell nearly 1%, and spot silver nearly 2%.

Spot gold slid nearly $40 in the short term and is now at $4,129.6 per ounce. Spot silver fell $1 in the short term and is now at $58.07 per ounce. $BTC $XAU $XAG #9月CPI来袭原油美债走势如何
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Guys, it looks like a lot of you voted for me yesterday.
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#9月cpi来袭原油美债走势如何 U.S. Market Analysis: Tech Giants Stand Alone as AI Credit Cracks Tear Through Markets Overall Market All three major U.S. stock indexes weakened in choppy trading on Tuesday: the Dow fell 0.35%, the S&P 500 slipped 0.02%, and the Nasdaq lost 0.15%. Energy led the gains, up 1.74%, while healthcare weighed on the market, falling 1.33%. How Macroeconomic News Affected Different Asset Classes Worries over rising AI borrowing costs are spreading from bond markets to equities. Spreads on data-center-related bonds widened sharply. Citigroup data showed that five-year CDS spreads for major tech companies had tripled over the past year, reaching about 75 basis points. Applied Materials fell 6.69%, while Micron Technology and SK Hynix ADRs both dropped more than 3%. The Magnificent Seven became a haven: Meta gained 2.63%, Nvidia rose 0.97%, Microsoft hit a record high, and Apple closed at a record after unveiling its smart home device, HomeView. The earnings season for banks got off to a poor start: Citigroup fell more than 5.6% after reporting results, while JPMorgan Chase slipped 0.86% after revenue came in below expectations. The U.S. Treasury yield curve flattened, with the 30-year yield falling to around 5.21%. Oil prices rose, supported by geopolitical risks, while gold pulled back after an early surge. Summary The indexes looked calm on the surface, but the market was sharply divided beneath it. The AI trade is shifting from the narrative of “demand for computing power” to the question of “who is still willing to pay.” Tech giants attracted safe-haven flows, but signs of stress in credit markets should not be ignored. Markets are waiting for CPI data to provide direction.
#9月cpi来袭原油美债走势如何 U.S. Market Analysis: Tech Giants Stand Alone as AI Credit Cracks Tear Through Markets
Overall Market
All three major U.S. stock indexes weakened in choppy trading on Tuesday: the Dow fell 0.35%, the S&P 500 slipped 0.02%, and the Nasdaq lost 0.15%. Energy led the gains, up 1.74%, while healthcare weighed on the market, falling 1.33%.
How Macroeconomic News Affected Different Asset Classes
Worries over rising AI borrowing costs are spreading from bond markets to equities. Spreads on data-center-related bonds widened sharply. Citigroup data showed that five-year CDS spreads for major tech companies had tripled over the past year, reaching about 75 basis points. Applied Materials fell 6.69%, while Micron Technology and SK Hynix ADRs both dropped more than 3%.
The Magnificent Seven became a haven: Meta gained 2.63%, Nvidia rose 0.97%, Microsoft hit a record high, and Apple closed at a record after unveiling its smart home device, HomeView.
The earnings season for banks got off to a poor start: Citigroup fell more than 5.6% after reporting results, while JPMorgan Chase slipped 0.86% after revenue came in below expectations. The U.S. Treasury yield curve flattened, with the 30-year yield falling to around 5.21%. Oil prices rose, supported by geopolitical risks, while gold pulled back after an early surge.
Summary
The indexes looked calm on the surface, but the market was sharply divided beneath it. The AI trade is shifting from the narrative of “demand for computing power” to the question of “who is still willing to pay.” Tech giants attracted safe-haven flows, but signs of stress in credit markets should not be ignored. Markets are waiting for CPI data to provide direction.
Second update
Second update
老腊肉-kevin
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From Liquidation to A9: Little K’s Crypto Journey, Part Two—Position Sizing Isn’t Just Position Sizing, It’s Life
Old A’s rented apartment was only twelve square meters, but it had two monitors, a camp bed, and a wall covered in sticky notes. I crouched on the floor and looked at them. They were all numbers: 0.5%, 1%, 2%… The biggest one said: No single-trade loss should exceed 1% of your total capital.
“What’s this?” I asked.
“Rules.” Old A set his coffee on the table and pointed to his head. “I got liquidated three times. The first two times, I thought I was just unlucky. It wasn’t until the third time that I understood—it wasn’t the market that killed me. I was the one who stuck my neck out.”
He opened his trading software and showed me his positions: total capital A8, with each position size always kept below 2% of his total capital. His stop-loss line was set firmly in place, as if carved into the screen with a knife.
Opening
Opening
老腊肉-kevin
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From Liquidation to A9: My Crypto Journey, Part One—The First Lesson on the Rooftop
My name is Xiao K. Three months ago, I was still delivering food. Now I’m crouched on the rooftop of a rental building in an urban village, staring at my phone screen. My balance reads: 0.37 USDT.

The landlord downstairs is pounding on the door. There are 27 missed calls on my phone, all from debt collectors. The wind is strong, making my eyes sting. I remember the first time I heard about Bitcoin—it was just over $30,000 a coin back then. Someone in the group chat said, “This thing could hit $100,000.” I smiled and didn’t take it seriously.

Later, I started delivering food, working fourteen hours a day, and had less than 3,000 yuan left at the end of the month. Then one day, I came across a video on Douyin: “Stay-at-home mom makes 100,000 yuan a month trading crypto.” In the video, the woman’s fingers slid back and forth across the screen as the candlesticks jumped up and down. She said, “Follow me, and you’re guaranteed to make money.”
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