Muhammad Ali bukhari

Dear Traders,
Tomorrow’s Japanese interest rate decision is on the radar. I’ve studied past market reactions, especially periods when rates were hiked by 25 bps.
The key difference this time: expectation vs surprise.
Last year’s unexpected hike triggered a sharp BTC drop from 62,000 → 49,590. That move happened because the market was unprepared.
This time, the news is already priced in. Most traders are positioned short, and liquidity is building on that side.
From my analysis, the downside looks limited.
Maximum drawdown I expect is around 5% — $BTC testing 80,200, possibly 78,500, and in an extreme case 74,500. After that, a strong recovery toward 89,500 is likely.
Looking ahead, next week’s structure points toward the 101,500 zone.
@Crypto_LUX focuses on impact, positioning, and liquidity — not headlines.
Direction matters more than fear.
For any questions, comment below.

#BinanceBlockchainWeek #TrumpTariffs #WriteToEarnUpgrade

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Fed's Liquidity Unlock: Crypto's Big Rotation Awaits in 2026?
Hey crypto squad! 🌟 Kicking off December 1, 2025 the day the Fed officially ends QT, freezing its balance sheet at $6.57T after draining $2.39T since 2022. This shift, backed by FOMC minutes showing broad support, sets the stage for the final rate-cut leg: projections point to rates sliding to 3.25-3.50% by end-2026, with two more cuts in 2025 and one in '26. Yields? They're set to dip lower as liquidity floods back, echoing 2019's QT pause that sparked crypto rallies.
Picture this: Mega-caps like the S&P 500 hit a 30-40% "discount season" overvalued tech bleeds as cheap money rotates to oversold gems. Small caps, beaten-down stocks, and crypto? They start printing higher lows. Analysts see bank credit booming, money market outflows pouring into risk assets, and Treasury issuance fueling this shift – but timing's tricky. April-May 2026 feels prime if cuts accelerate; Nov-Dec if inflation lingers.
Crypto Market Wins? Massive – more liquidity means institutional inflows (ETFs just hit $4.39B weekly), DeFi growth, and altseason kickoff. Small-cap alts could 10x as capital rotates from BTC/ETH.
Bullish or Bearish? Super bullish long-term! Short-term dips (like today's 5% BTC slide to $85K) are buy signals; yields dropping could rebound us to $100K+ by Q2 '26.
New Trader Tips: Patience is key – don't chase now. Build a 20% small-cap alt basket (e.g., AI/DeFi plays under $100M cap). DCA in on dips below $85K, stop-loss at 8% down. Watch yields: below 3.5%? Go long ETH/BTC. HODL for the rotation – 2026's your wealth window!
Tune in tomorrow, crew. Follow for alpha drops, share to level up your circle!
#FedQTend #CryptoRotation #RateCutRally #Altseason2026 #YieldSlide
$BTC $ETH $BNB