静静看趋势

Since mid-October, I have been talking about a full turn to bearish
At that time, I said that Bitcoin would be at least 88,000 and Ethereum at 2,900
In the beginning, many people in the comments were cursing
Now everything I said has come true
There shouldn't be many stubborn bulls left now
The recent drop is mainly due to the upcoming interest rate hike of the yen and the reduced expectations for rate cuts next year, causing liquidity panic and flight
Currently, it's still safer to short on rebounds
Unless there is accelerated volume
If there is a pin bar on the daily chart
You can quickly enter and exit to catch a rebound
At other times, just blindly short on rebounds and that's it.

Regarding the matter of #币安人生 going live with spot trading, everyone should stop shouting about it. The more people talk about it, the less likely it is to happen!

The more of you who want it to go live, the more retail investors there are on board. The more retail investors there are, the heavier the load becomes. The institutions and retail investors are trading counterparts; the heavier the load, the less likely it is to bring good news.

If I were the exchange and the institutions, I would just wait until all of you get off and can't hold on anymore, or until everyone forgets about this coin, and then launch a surprise attack. At least the cost of pumping would be low.

The crypto industry is one with extreme contrasts; most believe that things with a high probability of happening are actually less likely to occur. Moreover, it has always been the institutions playing with retail investors, never the other way around.

This time, the official Binance platform has formally exposed the "coin listing intermediary" and the solicitation of criminal evidence related to fraudsters by the sister.

Many bosses who have been scammed should start tearfully organizing materials to expose the scammers while hoping to recover their losses...

The SOL bottom-buying range for this month is locked in:

First, set a 'top': look at the 45-day moving average level, where a death cross and the two lines diverging downwards indicate that its major trend is bearish. Currently, it is slightly below the middle Bollinger band, which is at 148.5. Why has SOL struggled to break through 148.5 for such a long time, with a maximum of 146 and then stagnating? This is the reason. In the future, only if 148.5 is broken and maintained can the major trend reverse to a bullish trend.

SOL is currently operating between the lower and middle Bollinger bands of the 10, 15, 20-day and monthly lines, with their Bollinger lower bands all between 114-102, which can serve as one reference for bottom-buying.

At the same time, the 10, 15, and 20-day EMA 7-30 have all been breached, showing no support. The monthly EMA 52 price is 109.5.

Therefore, the bottom-buying range before breaking the 100 level is between 114-102.

Considering extreme cases, a large spike might temporarily break below 100, with the level after the false break being 96.25-95.65. If it breaks below 95, it will be a real break, and then we need to consider the lowest level around 86.25-84.85.

The biggest financial misconception for ordinary people
is not that they can't make money, but that they have the order wrong

You think: High income → Savings → Investment → Financial freedom

The reality is: Low desires → High savings rate → Investment principal → More choices → Freedom of mindset

Being poor is not about the wallet, it's about time and choices
Buying one less latest model phone
won't change your life

But the savings gained from it
can give you more confidence to say no
when your boss is unreasonable

The first step to freedom
is often learning to say no to consumerism

The legendary traders of the past have all gone bankrupt,

Did they all go bankrupt together?

The chrysanthemums are blooming all over the mountains,

May I ask if you regret coming to the crypto world?

A sad story, 10·11 insider whale has recently lost $59 million in the past week, total profits have retreated from $110 million on December 12 to only $45 million today.

Currently, this address holds:
$557 million worth of $ETH long position, average price $3,167, loss of $47 million;
$85 million worth of $BTC long position, average price $91,506, loss of $5 million;
$31 million worth of $SOL long position, average price $137.5, loss of $2.8 million.

I thought of a joke: if you've been living too happily lately, you can buy $ETH, and after a while, you'll be surprised to find it has impacted your life.

Is Web3 talent flowing to AI?
I think you may be overestimating yourselves.
In my opinion, Web3 talent
Web3AI are all scammers.
There are no talents worth mentioning.
Even if there are, they are just street hustlers.
Web3 talent = scammer talent

#ETH
Bullish near 3100
Stop loss at 3080
Take profit at 3120, near 3150 (short term)

#ETH
Bullish in the 3090-3110 range
Stop loss at 3020
Take profit at 3150, 3200, near 3250 (intraday trend)

#rave
RAVE has shown a significant buying support in the range of 0.27–0.28 after experiencing a short-term rapid pullback. The short-term trend is gradually stabilizing, entering a consolidation and recovery phase. From the market performance, the selling pressure below has been somewhat released, and the price has repeatedly tested this support area without further decline, indicating a weakening of short-term bearish forces.
Attention should be paid to the range of 0.305–0.318 above, as this area overlaps with the previous high transaction zone and resistance. If it can break through this position effectively with accompanying trading volume, the price is expected to further approach the range of 0.36–0.38; conversely, if the rebound momentum is insufficient, the market may continue a range-bound oscillation pattern.
In terms of operation, aggressive investors may consider gradually positioning with light positions near 0.28, setting stop-loss orders below 0.264. A more cautious strategy would be to wait for the price to break through the resistance at 0.318 with increased volume before looking for opportunities to follow up.

[Short Selling ETH Profit $24.48 Million Then Turning to Long Position by Whales/Institutions] After 23 days, they continued to purchase 38,576 ETH ($119 million).

In a span of 40 days, they accumulated a total of 528,000 ETH ($1.723 billion), with an average price of $3,261, currently facing a floating loss of $105.7 million.
They purchased these ETH using borrowing leverage through Aave: borrowed 750 million U against collateralized ETH from Aave, nearly two times leverage.

Rest when you don't understand!

Don't push yourself for no reason. Right now, being alive is what you should focus on. Only by being alive can you hope to see the dawn come. Perhaps making money is just a moment away, but you have been so busy that you missed it!

Therefore, patience is a very important process. Are you patient enough?

In the past, I always thought I had to maintain effective output every day
I unconsciously set a plan for myself

Either I had to post money-making content every day
Or I had to share useful tutorials

Later on, I started to do more creative things, incorporating abstraction to engage with human nature
To test the extent of my own traffic

I realized that it was actually all about satisfying my own inner desires

Previously, when I had fewer followers, I posted things that motivated me to pursue personal growth

Now that I have basically settled into a routine, the market isn't as good, and I have less desire to share

It's better to be more casual; if I want to output, I will, and if I want to criticize someone, I will
Online, I engage in abstract humor, and offline, I am generous when I meet people

Distinguish between what is real and what is fake, and play it cool.

Encryption Fill-in-the-Blank Questions:

What city is it now ( )?
1. Bull Market
2. Bear Market
3. Monkey Market

What division is it now ( )?
1. Bronze Division
2. Diamond Division
3. King Division

What mode is it now ( )?
1. Heaven Mode
2. Hell Mode
3. Easy Money Mode

Please fill in the blanks with the correct answers!

In fact, the sentiment of BSC has also reached a critical point; the market is not short of money, it is definitely confidence.

I heard they have gone to Sol again, but for me, past, present, and future, I only love BSC the most, using Binance Wallet to engage with BSC meme.

It seems like every time there is a rate cut, it goes like this: a surge beforehand, and when it's actually announced, it basically drops; this time is no exception. Yesterday, $btc was directly at over 94000 just 20 minutes before the announcement, and then it slowly dropped when it was announced. Today, it has even dropped to the 8s. Watching the rebound seems quite powerless; as a super bull, I can only continue to wait.

$Plume now has 5 nest vaults on sol, and the apr is quite high. Deposit stablecoins, convert them into yield-bearing tokens, and just hold them to earn apr. However, the redemption time for nests is generally quite long.

$Stable hasn't announced any major exchanges since the tge, but today it announced that Han 2 has gone up a bit and now it's down again. At this point, it's hard to go long, and it's hard to go short; it's not fun.

Msx currently has a Christmas event where new registered users can enter a lottery if their first spot trade exceeds 100u. I've heard that you can win an iPhone 17 pro. I heard a long time ago that there would be a tge in December, but so far, I haven't seen any news. I also hope to receive some airdrop from the m beans I exchanged with liquidation.

It's another rest time on-chain.

The current market can be described as the most useless among the useless, and the right-side faction is shaking their heads. It can't go up or down, just oscillating between 85K and 95K.

The structure was the same from March to May this year, but back then the choice was to go up; this time it's more dangerous.

I personally expect the turning point window to be around January 2026. It depends on whether it breaks the level and then pulls back, or goes sideways and then pulls directly?

Let's wait for a big wave before chasing.

The Federal Reserve will provide its last answer of the year in the early morning.

The market has already determined a 25 basis point rate cut - with a probability of 89.4%. Both smart money and retail investors are waiting for the same thing.

In fact, everyone has a sense of whether there will be a rate cut; the key is how the expectations will be mapped out after the cut.

If it's just a routine 25 basis point cut, accompanied by a roadmap indicating no further cuts expected next year, the market is likely to turn directly downward afterwards.