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Morning crude oil feedback

Long near 55.60, highest 56.79, ultra-short line can also take down 1.19 space

12.18 Key Points of the Fundamentals:

Yesterday, in terms of fundamentals, a joint survey by the Federal Reserve showed that tariff issues continue to disrupt businesses, and the market expects inflation to rise by 4% next year. Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that current monetary policy remains in a restrictive range, with room for interest rate cuts; the employment market also supports the Fed's continued rate cuts, with the current interest rate level higher than the neutral rate by 50-100 basis points. The Fed's dovish stance directly suppressed the strength of the dollar, while the gold and silver markets responded with a strong rally.

Today's key fundamental events to watch are as follows: 20:00 Bank of England announces interest rate decision until December 18, with the market expecting a rate cut of 25 basis points; 21:15 European Central Bank announces interest rate decision; 21:30 the U.S. releases the unadjusted CPI year-on-year for November, the adjusted CPI month-on-month for November, and the number of initial jobless claims for the week ending December 13, with the expected CPI year-on-year value being 3.1%; 21:45 European Central Bank President Lagarde holds a monetary policy press conference.

12.18 Morning Crude Oil Commentary:

Yesterday's crude oil trend accurately matched the analysis and prediction, with a steady recovery throughout the market. Crude oil opened at $55.17, and after the morning opening, it strengthened directly, with the Asian and European sessions continuing to rise. The U.S. session further extended the upward trend, reaching a high of $56.90, and closing at $56.84, ending strongly.

The daily chart recorded a saturated bullish candle, with clear stabilization signals. The intraday operation suggestion is to rely on the support at $55.60 below to establish long positions, with an initial target of $58.0 above. Specific operational points are based on Haotian's real-time layout.

Buy near 55.60, target 58.0

12.18 Morning Gold Commentary:

Yesterday, gold experienced a fluctuating upward trend, with the movement completely grasped by Haotian's analysis! Shorts were placed around 4345-4355, and gold fell as expected to around 4306 USD for a perfect profit!

The US market did not continue the downward trend, stabilizing around 4306 USD before launching another attack, with prices reaching a high of 4348.8 USD, just a step away from the previous high. From the current pattern, gold still has further upward momentum and demand during the day.

In the morning, we look for a bearish trend, focusing on the support level at 4305 USD. If it holds on a pullback, we will go long! Resistance is seen at the level of 4354 above.

12.17 Evening Gold Review:

Gold precisely opened a short position at 4335 in the afternoon, and the current price has dropped sharply to around 4308, making a huge profit of 2900 points! Witnessed by the entire network!

Gold opened today and started a rebound mode; in the afternoon, gold rebounded to a maximum of 4342.2 USD. We perfectly entered a short position at 4335 USD!

Fearless of the rebound, gold fell as expected, currently dropping to a minimum of 4308.5 USD. Our short position at 4335 has brought in significant profits, sweeping nearly 2900 points, witnessed by everyone! Currently, we continue to look bearish on gold, with a target of 4270 USD below!

Recent gold real-time feedback:

It has been a little over half a month since the shift from Bitcoin to gold, during which there have been many ups and downs. Wei Bo and Xiao🍠 have been consecutively banned, but our fans have always been there. Thank you for your trust 🤝

Still the same saying: Since we are going to do analysis, we must do it to the extreme, and be responsible for every fan. Respect the market, and align knowledge with action!

Silver breaks through $64.5 leading the rise, gold-silver ratio breaks down releasing strong signals

The momentum of the U.S. labor market is slowing, providing support for the rise in gold prices. Despite strong non-farm payroll data, the rising unemployment rate and weak wage growth both point to an economy that is cooling down. This mixed data has increased market expectations for further interest rate cuts in 2026. As a result, the dollar weakened, enhancing the attractiveness of gold.

The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates again in December, but officials still have differing views on the policy path for 2026. The market expects at least two rate cuts next year, but some policymakers remain cautious. Any hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials who are about to speak could trigger a short-term rebound in the dollar.

However, with cooling inflation and slowing growth, the overall trend provides bullish support for both gold and silver. Additionally, silver is leading gold and has successfully broken through the level of $64.50 per ounce. The breakdown of the gold-silver ratio confirms silver's dominant position in the precious metals space. Economic weakness, especially in retail sales and employment, has enhanced the appeal of silver as a hedge against financial uncertainty.

The growing divergence between the strength of hard assets and the weakness of the dollar continues to support these two metals. If the upcoming inflation data confirms the trend of slowing inflation, silver is expected to expand its gains alongside gold in the upcoming trading sessions. Furthermore, the bearish structure of the dollar index also adds momentum to this rally. As traders await key inflation data, the path of least resistance in the precious metals market seems to favor an upward trend.

Yesterday afternoon feedback on crude oil short positions

The short position on crude oil at 56.40 reached a low of 54.87, perfectly hitting the target range! The recent market feel has been excellent, and the short positions are performing quite well.

12.17 Afternoon Gold Commentary:

Last night's non-farm market showed a general fluctuation trend, and I mainly laid out short positions, holding from 4335 all the way to around 4300, after which I chose to observe and did not continue to participate.

In the afternoon, I re-entered short at 4338, and I am currently floating a profit of several points. In the upcoming European session, as long as the price rebounds, I will still consider continuing to short at high points.

The recent high short strategy has shown clear effects, with profit margins usually in the tens of points. In my view, any rebound is worth being cautious about.

Opportunistically short between 4330 and 4335, with the initial target set at around 4290.

Gold faces the big non-farm payroll!

12.16 Evening gold commentary:

Yesterday's gold trend basically replicated Friday's script: whatever gains were made during the day were largely lost in the evening. Furthermore, the rebound today has shown a notably weak momentum, continuing to decline as of the time of writing. From a technical perspective, it is possible that gold prices will continue to retrace and test the support level around Friday's low of 4260. The short positions established at 4315 in the morning have seen some exits, while the remaining ones continue to be held.

Tonight, we will see the non-farm payroll data, with the market currently expecting an increase of about 40,000 jobs in November. However, considering the recent ADP employment data and the continuous decline in initial jobless claims, it is difficult for this non-farm payroll data to show an optimistic performance, and it is likely to remain below expectations, which will provide certain bullish support for gold.

If before the data is released, gold prices can pull back and approach the 4260 level, combined with the potential positive news from the non-farm payroll, this would be a relatively ideal setup opportunity, and everyone can pay close attention to the reactions in this area; if 4260 is effectively broken below, the next support level will be around 4245. The upper pressure during the day is mainly concentrated at the two key points of 4315 and 4340.

The morning crude oil is positioned short around 56.7, currently stabilizing around 55.92, perfectly reaching the target!

12.16 Afternoon Gold Commentary:

Gold has experienced a decline today, with short positions around 4315 being executed, and the overall space has been realized; crude oil has seen a slight retreat today, with limited fluctuation. This evening, the non-farm payroll data will be released, and we will focus on whether it can bring new trading opportunities to the market. Real-time market conditions should be guided by in-session guidance.

Currently, the daily gold chart remains in a high-level range oscillation pattern, with continuous long upper shadows appearing in the candlesticks, indicating a weakening of short-term upward momentum, and prices are clearly under pressure near the 4350 line. At the 4-hour level, short-term moving averages are starting to turn downward and display a divergent trend. Candlesticks continue to be under pressure below the short-term moving averages, showing an overall weak trend. In the short term, attention should be paid to the defense situation in the support area around 4265–4270. After experiencing a bottoming rebound at the hourly level, it is currently maintaining a narrow range of oscillation at low levels, with technical patterns showing signs of gradual repair completion. There may be some rebound space in the short term, and we need to pay attention to the rhythm changes during the subsequent adjustment and repair process.

Short positions near 4295-4300, stop loss at 4310, target 4260-4240!

Yesterday 4346's highest position gave the gold short position, which has now successfully exited.

Subsequently, I will mainly focus on gold, returning to the previous field!

12.1 Afternoon ZEC Express 🔥：

Previously repeated reminders indicate that the bullish momentum for ZEC is insufficient, and the rebound high points continue to be shorted! Current price is 375, continuing to oscillate weakly along the lower Bollinger Band, with no signs of a stop or stabilization yet. Moving averages show a clear bearish alignment, and trading volume remains low, solidifying a short-term bearish pattern.

Personal insights：

Enter short positions in the 400-450 range, with a target looking down to 350-300; if the support level of 300 is broken, the target can be extended to 280.
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12.1 Afternoon Pancake Insights🔥：

Key focus on the 86000 support level!

Today's core rhythm: watch for a rebound in the small time frame, but be wary of the "weak rebound trap". If the rebound lacks strength, we may have to continue downward! Support levels are progressively lower.

If we can hold above 86000, the small time frame will enter a consolidation phase; once it breaks and stabilizes below, watch the support levels closely at 85689→84520→82250!

Only if we can firmly stay above 87500 will the rebound strength increase, with upper pressure levels looking at 88578→91500→93100
#加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 $BTC $ETH

12.1 Afternoon SOL Express 🔥：

1-hour technical analysis hits the core: SOL has plunged from a high of 140+, with a massive bearish candle directly breaking through the middle Bollinger Band at 135.46, continuing to drop to the lower band near 127.13, reaching a low of 126.87, almost touching the lower band!

Key defense line: 130！

If the rebound cannot break through 130, it indicates a continuation of weak pullback, first looking at the previous low support of 127; holding above 127 will lead to a small level sideways movement, but if it breaks below, the next supports to watch are 125→123→121！

Only by stabilizing above 130 can an effective rebound be initiated, with upper pressure levels accurately looking at 133→135→137, seizing the rebound dividend in the trend!
#加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH trend analysis $SOL $BNB $XRP

Wishing my brothers wealth, wealth, wealth!

$DOGE Yesterday reminded that the main focus is on rebound, there is already space.
#加密市场反弹