用逻辑去分析

For projects like $Aif that are not yet online,
the best practice is "how to write a trading plan before going live."

Taking it as an example, I will write in my notebook in advance:

On the day it goes live, will I participate, and if so, what percentage of my total position will I use;

What situation will lead me to choose "just watch and not act";

Once I participate, how will I set the first take profit line and the first stop loss line.

The emotions on the day it goes live will definitely be noisy,
but as long as you have a well-prepared plan in hand,
you won't be led by the first K line.
#Aif

📱69｜Margin Call Intercontinental Missile (Copy Trading · Emotional Management)

The not yet online $Aif,
has already been hyped in many groups as "the next myth."

At such times, the most dangerous thing is not the project itself,
but our own imagination:

Imagining a tenfold return immediately after going live;

Imagining that I will definitely hit the rhythm this time;

Imagining that others can't understand, only I am the "prophet."

The true "anti-margin call mindset" is to think clearly in advance—
if the worst trend occurs on the day it goes live, can I bear it?
#Aif

Why I started to intentionally reduce trading at 'mid-price levels'

Reviewing the past 100 orders, I specifically counted:

When opening positions near support/resistance levels, the risk-reward ratio is generally still visible;

When opening positions randomly in the middle of the price range, it has almost been 'random fluctuations → transaction fee players' in the long term.

The numbers are quite honest:
Trades at mid-price levels accounted for 60% of my entry frequency but contributed to less than 20% of my profits, while consuming a lot of time and energy.

So for the next month, the experiment I set for myself is:
Only allow trades at the 'edges' — close to key support/resistance/breakout points,
While treating the middle positions as just watching the show.

I want to see if, when I cut off the 'ineffective areas',
Will the account curve start to look cleaner.
#用逻辑去分析

A Must-Read Scam Prevention Checklist for Newbies in the Crypto Space (Recommended to Save)

In Web3, safety is always the first lesson.
Many people don't lose due to market conditions, but due to scams.
The following pitfalls are particularly easy for newcomers to fall into 👇 Digital One Agency

1️⃣ Phishing Websites / Fake Apps
Links that look exactly like the official website, just missing one or two letters.
Once you connect your wallet or enter your recovery phrase, your assets can be drained immediately.
✅ Only click links from official channels (official website, official Twitter, official TG/Discord);
✅ Add commonly used websites to your browser favorites and access them from there.

2️⃣ Fake Customer Service / Fake “Account Unfreeze”
They actively add you as a friend, claiming to be platform staff.
They ask you to “cooperate with operations,” “pay a deposit,” or “provide verification codes/recovery phrases.”
✅ Officials will not privately ask you for your password and recovery phrase;
✅ Anyone asking you to transfer coins to “unfreeze” or “unlock” is to be blocked immediately.

3️⃣ Fake Airdrops / Fake Whitelists
Randomly sending strange tokens to your wallet.
They prompt you to visit a certain website to “claim airdrop” or “authorize transactions.”
✅ Do not casually interact with tokens of unknown origin;
✅ Treat unknown airdrops as if they do not exist.

4️⃣ Rug Pull
Teams hype up projects, shout out investments, create FOMO.
After everyone rushes in, the project suddenly crashes and removes liquidity, causing the token to drop to zero.
✅ Try to avoid projects that rely solely on “stories and emotions;”
✅ Check if the contract is locked, if liquidity is secured, and if the team is transparent.

How I design a "1 trade"

A single transaction for me is not "just call a direction + casually open a position," but a small model:

Input:

Entry price = Breakthrough / Pullback / Key interval edge

Stop loss price = The position where the structure is broken

Process:

Risk = Distance between entry price and stop loss price × Position size

Target = 2 to 3 times the risk (2R to 3R)

Output:

This trade is +2R / +3R / −1R

As long as I maintain:
Average profit R value > Average loss R value,
Even if the win rate is only 40% to 50%,
This system is statistically profitable.

I no longer ask "Can this trade double my account in one go,"
I only ask "Is this trade reasonable in my system."
#用逻辑去分析

Where do airdrops come from? 3 key terms beginners should know

In the circle, it's often said 'grab airdrops, interact, brush the chain', so what exactly is an airdrop?

An airdrop is essentially a way for project teams to attract attention and reward early users by distributing a portion of tokens for free to wallet addresses that meet certain criteria.

Common airdrop logic generally includes:
You have actually used a specific chain or protocol
Completed certain actions: transfers, trades, providing liquidity, staking, etc.

The project team then takes a 'snapshot + scoring' based on your past behavior, and addresses that meet the criteria can claim tokens.

3 reminders for beginners:
1️⃣ Don't just recklessly chase 'grabbing airdrops'
Some projects won't distribute at all
Some projects do distribute, but the tokens have no liquidity

2️⃣ Pay attention to interaction costs and security
Gas fees and cross-chain bridge fees are real money
Be careful of fake websites, fake contracts, and fake 'airdrop claim entrances'

3️⃣ Treat airdrops as 'handy rewards', not a primary focus
The core is still to learn and truly understand what the protocol is doing
The deeper your understanding, the easier it is to discern which are worth participating in and which are obviously fake.

Use the "Four Quadrants" to label your trades

Many people review their trades, only looking at profits and losses, without considering "what type of trade this is".
I created a simple four quadrants for myself:

Direction correct + Execution correct

Direction correct + Execution wrong (early take profit, holding the position, not following the plan)

Direction wrong + Execution correct (stop loss when needed)

Direction wrong + Execution wrong

After a month, I found that:
👉 The real hindrance comes from the quadrant of "Direction wrong + Execution wrong", which accounts for less than 20% but contributes to more than 70% of the losses.

The logic is straightforward:
All future improvements will focus on this quadrant first—
it's not just about increasing the win rate, but finding ways to minimize the occurrences of "Direction wrong + Execution wrong".
#用逻辑去分析

NFT: Not just images, but a 'certificate of the digital world'

Many people's first impression of NFTs is:

"It's just a bunch of random JPGs being traded for sky-high prices."

But a more accurate understanding is:

NFT = a 'unique digital certificate' recorded on the blockchain, used to prove that a certain digital asset or right belongs to you.

ChainUp

It can correspond to not just profile pictures, but also:

A piece of digital artwork
A concert ticket / qualification for offline events
A membership card for a private community
Weapons, skins, cards in games
Others can right-click and save your profile picture, but cannot copy:
The on-chain record that you are the holder of the NFT
The exclusive permissions and rights that come with the NFT

So, when you see an NFT project, you can ask yourself three questions:

What specific rights does this NFT represent? (Ticket/Identity/Item/Profit sharing…)

Does the project have real products or community support?

If no one is buying tomorrow, is this NFT still useful to me?

Reconsidering NFTs from 'speculative symbols' to 'digital certificates', you will find that Web3 is far more than just trading images.

I determine whether "today is a good day to trade" in three steps

Most people just want to know whether to go long or short today,
but I first ask myself a more fundamental question every day: Is today suitable for taking action?

My process is very simple, three steps:
1️⃣ Look at the volatility range:

If the expected volatility for the day is less than half of yesterday's, I directly reduce the frequency or even don’t trade at all.
2️⃣ Look at the structure:

If the highs and lows are messy and the moving averages are tangled, treat it as a consolidation day and only consider light positions at extreme levels.
3️⃣ Look at my own state:

Lack of sleep, two consecutive losses, unstable emotions → This day is automatically downgraded to an "observation day".

If any of these three criteria are not met, I would rather accept "missing out" than "acting recklessly".
True logical trading starts not with finding opportunities, but with filtering out the days when one should not take action.
#用逻辑去分析

The 'liquidity pool' and AMM in DeFi aren't really that hard.

Do you want to close the page when you see 'DeFi, liquidity pool, AMM'? Come on, let’s explain it in simple terms.

In traditional finance:

When you buy and sell stocks, you need to match buyers and sellers.
If no one is placing orders, you can't execute a trade.

In many DeFi protocols, a different logic is used: AMM (Automated Market Maker) + liquidity pool.

You can think of it as:

A pool of tokens (funding pool) just sitting there,
Anyone can directly swap coins with this pool,
The price is automatically calculated by a formula based on the ratio of the two types of tokens in the pool.

Those who provide funds for this pool are called LPs (liquidity providers):

They deposit two types of coins in proportion,
Helping others with the convenience of being able to swap at any time,
In return, they take a portion of the transaction fees.
It looks like 'helping others to market-make and earn fees', but don't forget:
When the prices of the coins fluctuate a lot, there is a risk of impermanent loss.
It's not 'just putting it in and passively earning without risk'.

So, here’s a summary for beginners:
First understand the risks, then decide whether to become an LP,
Don’t just look at APR; very few people will explain the four words 'impermanent loss' in detail.

CEX vs DEX, which one should beginners use?

Newcomers who just entered the field usually encounter two types of places to 'exchange currencies':

① CEX: Centralized exchanges (like Binance)

Characteristics:
Need to register an account, complete KYC
Assets are stored in the exchange's wallet
User-friendly interface, with clear order book/depth/candlestick charts
Suitable for beginners to deposit funds, fiat currency transactions, and regular buying and selling Encyclopedia Britannica

Disadvantages:
You do not control the private keys; in extreme cases, you have to trust the platform's risk control and security.

② DEX: Decentralized exchanges (Uniswap, Pancake, etc.)

Characteristics:
No need to register an account, no need for real-name authentication
You use your own self-custody wallet and manage your own private keys
Buying and selling are done through on-chain smart contracts and liquidity pools

Disadvantages:
Not very beginner-friendly: the interface is simple, you have to choose the network, gas fees, etc.

Errors in operation (wrong chain, wrong contract) are your own responsibility

👉 Practical advice for beginners:

In the early stages: focus on CEX to understand the basic concepts and risk control
Once you have a basic understanding of wallets, chains, and gas, then try a small amount of funds on DEX for practice
Always remember: whoever controls the private keys, truly controls the assets.

Many beginners stumble at the first step on the words "wallet".

First, remember one concept:

Exchange account ≠ your wallet,
What truly belongs to you is the wallet where you control the private keys/mnemonic phrases.

Wallets can be roughly divided into two types:

1️⃣ Hot Wallet
Mobile App, browser plugin
Always online, suitable for daily small transactions, interactions, and claiming airdrops.
Risk: Connected to the internet, easily targeted by phishing links and malicious authorizations.

2️⃣ Cold Wallet
A small hardware similar to a USB drive, usually offline.
Suitable for long-term, large-scale storage.
A bit more cumbersome to operate, but with higher security.

A simple principle for beginners:

For practicing & getting familiar: use a hot wallet.
For real money: store in a cold wallet.
For all money: never screenshot and share your mnemonic phrases with anyone.
Later, I will publish a separate piece, focusing solely on "mnemonic phrase safety" and common pitfalls.🔐

What is Web3? Let's explain it in a way that a beginner can understand.

Many people feel overwhelmed when they hear about Web3, but it can be remembered like this:

Web1: You can only "view content"

Web2: You can "view + publish content" (like Weibo, short videos)

Web3: Building upon the first two, adds one more — "you can truly own your assets and data" McKinsey & Company

In the Web2 era, your account, data, and content are all on the servers of big platforms, and they can suspend access at will;

In Web3, assets and identities are more often stored on the blockchain and in your own wallet, using cryptographic technology to ensure who owns what and who has permission. Amazon Web Services,

You can understand Web3 in one sentence:

Evolving from "platform ownership" to "user ownership," moving from the account era to the wallet era.

In the following series of posts, I will guide you step by step through this new world, covering wallets, exchanges, NFTs, and DeFi.

【Significant Positive News】
At the latest congressional hearing, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell clearly stated that the Federal Reserve does not oppose U.S. banks providing services to cryptocurrency companies and investors, as long as they adhere to existing risk management and consumer protection requirements. At the same time, the Federal Reserve has removed 'reputational risk' from the bank regulatory handbook, reducing the space for a one-size-fits-all rejection of cryptocurrency businesses due to 'image issues'.
This means:
Compliant banks can more boldly provide accounts, clearing, and custody services for exchanges, custodians, funds, etc.;
The long-standing pressure of 'de-banking' on the cryptocurrency industry is expected to ease, further connecting traditional finance with the crypto world;
The compliant channels for institutional funds entering the cryptocurrency market are being formally confirmed, which is positive for the adoption and liquidity of mainstream assets like Bitcoin in the medium to long term.
Regulators have not flashed a 'red light' for cryptocurrency but have instead given a 'can do' signal after clarifying the rules. Do you think this is one of the key catalysts for the next market cycle?

In the cryptocurrency world, making money relies on "staying alive" and "preserving profits," not on divine predictions. Remember three things:
① Don't be greedy for the last bite; take profits in stages, prioritize recovering your principal, and only the money that has been deposited is real.
② Strictly cut losses; if it falls below the preset level, sell off, and don't turn yourself into a "market ATM"; conserve your capital for the next opportunity.
③ Selling early is not scary as long as the logic is still correct; be bold enough to buy in again at a higher price— the essence of trading is continuous error correction.
Protecting your capital and adhering to discipline is much more important than trying to catch the so-called "bottom and top."

$BNB There is strong support here, and while other coins are declining, this coin is relatively strong. The current pattern is also good, look for opportunities to enter, and you can see a profit margin of 10%. $BTC #Crypto market correction

On December 11, trend analysis for the next month
Bitcoin is influenced by the U.S. government's reopening, which has led to a premature release of positive news, rising to the resistance level of 107400 before retreating. No significant positive news is expected in the near term, and the bearish trend remains unavoidable.
The fluctuations in the crypto market primarily depend on policy, followed by market sentiment.
This wave of large corrections belongs to a structural adjustment in the bull market, not an arrival of a bear market. It may follow a script similar to that from early this year to April, with Bitcoin predicted to eventually correct to the range of 88,000 to 92,000.
Ethereum may correct to the range of 2500 to 2700.
BNB may correct to the range of 770 to 850.
Spot trading will encounter a 'golden pit' at this time.
In the next three to five days, the market is expected to remain in a sideways fluctuation, entering a stage of accumulation, with predictions for a start next Monday or Tuesday.
If there are more bears, it will first rise to the level of 112,000 to liquidate the short positions.
Conversely, it will drop to the level of 93,000 to liquidate the long positions.
The above content is a personal analysis and does not constitute investment advice. I hope everyone manages risk well and makes more money.