ETH Recent Trends: A Journey of Ups and Downs TL;DR Ethereum has experienced a rollercoaster journey over the past 30 days—sliding from a high of $3,427 in early November to a low of $2,764 on November 22 (-19%), followed by a strong rebound of 15.4% supported by the Fusaka upgrade and institutional buying, currently seeking a balance around $3,153. On-chain data shows that 500,000 ETH has been withdrawn from exchanges (-3%), suggesting that whales are quietly accumulating, while a daily net inflow of $140 million in ETFs is building momentum for the future. Core Trend Analysis Price Action: A Reversal Drama of Initial Suppression Followed by Rise
On the morning of the 12th, brothers, the welfare airdrop $BNB has arrived and the testing results are out.
The active user count of alpha has dropped below 280,000. Did sister @Yi He give up on alpha? Or did she clean out the studio? Can she return to the middle of the wave?
1. Testing results: $TIMI Currently a fee of 0.02%, with recent market fluctuations, it is suggested that everyone be patient and wait;
Suggestion: Newbies $KOGE Trial.
2. Alpha airdrop activity: POWER: 6 PM, grab it if you have enough points, no contract no pattern. (Image 3)
3. Spot/Contract: $BNB: Currently continue to hold short positions, take profit at 720, as the expectation for interest rate cuts in December has ended, maintain a bearish outlook; (Image 2)
$ESPORTS : Bearish, waiting to observe; currently at 0.41, predicting 0.35;
There is no major wave in September, and not every day has one, so only strategy adjustments; profits above 30U should not be in the pattern, surviving + breaking even is the truth!!!
USDT Price Breaks 7! Has the Cryptocurrency World Changed Overnight? The Federal Reserve 'Injects Liquidity', Dongda University Strikes Hard
Last night, a message rocked the cryptocurrency world: the USDT price (USDT to RMB) unexpectedly broke 7! The live stream was filled with questions: 'Why has USDT dropped?!'
I responded, 'Did you come to the cryptocurrency world to trade USDT? Isn't it about trading coins? Yesterday, ETH increased by 10%, isn't that great?'
This is not just a digital fluctuation, but rather a fierce collision of two major changes:
1. Is the Federal Reserve about to 'surrender'? Trump's people are coming to power The news is pretty much confirmed: Trump is determined to replace Powell and put his loyalist Harker in charge of the Federal Reserve. The core goal is singular—at all costs, to significantly cut interest rates. Market expectations have completely reversed: the probability of a rate cut in December has soared to nearly 90%, and a sharp cut of 50 basis points next year would not be surprising. The dollar's weakening has become a foregone conclusion, the RMB is passively appreciating, and the exchange rate breaking 7 may just be the beginning.
2. Dongda University Launches a Heavy Strike, Targeting Stablecoin Channels Recently, activities involving illegal currency exchange and money laundering using stablecoins have been strictly regulated. This blow directly strikes at the lifeline of cross-border capital 'gray channels'. Many people were forced to sell USDT for safety, leading to a surge in supply and exacerbating the drop in exchange rates.
Is it contradictory? USDT has dropped, so why are cryptocurrencies rising? This precisely reveals the deeper logic of the current market:
· Clear expectations of dollar depreciation: If the Federal Reserve aggressively cuts rates, global liquidity will flood again. Cryptocurrencies are becoming a new reservoir for funds. · The bizarre mindset of 'crackdown means good news': Some views suggest that regulation will benefit the industry in the long run by attracting compliant capital. · Emotional cycles are reversing: Market expectations are improving, and previous pressures are being released. Historically, before every bull market, the USDT price has experienced similar pressure—it can sometimes be a signal for the market to start.
Old Investors vs. New Investors: A Huge Cognitive Gap In the face of this volatility, market voices are polarized:
· New Investors Panic: 'Is USDT going to be harvested?' · Old Investors Calm: 'It’s always like this before a bull market; a drop in USDT is actually an opportunity.' Some are even planning: to buy USDT at a low price and wait for the exchange rate to return to 7.5 to exchange back, easily making a 10% profit difference.
In summary: The logic has changed, and so have the strategies. Are you anxious about the exchange rate, or are you looking for opportunities? $ETH $DOGE $BTC #美联储重启降息步伐
Alpha December 4th, the workday is still hanging at 0, hanging at zero has become the norm. Today, I will raid a super big token. Just asking, is your score still above 240? There are about 300,000 people still competing. It seems like this is going to be a relentless competition.
December 4th 1. Expected to continue raiding, around 245 points. A super big token worth 30U. Such a large super big token should be able to recover some losses. Haha.
If the score is not enough, then I can only bottom fish. It makes more than airdrops. No choice, everything is forced.
December 5th
1. POWER - Airdrop, a project with no information, expected 245 points, around 30U. Either it will make you question your life, or it will soar to the sky. Let’s see the fate.
Score brushing suggestions.
1. For score brushing, refer to TIMI, ARTX, it's recommended to brush small amounts. Getting caught once isn’t so painful anymore.
The remaining 300,000 people keep competing fiercely. Let’s see who can lose more. Who gets caught more often.
【alphaDecember 4】Thursday morning~ No airdrop today! The number of employees is over 290,000. Only 1,000 people left yesterday, you are still persevering, and even doing other things can lead to success, haha 🥹
Today I still suggest to brush $TIMI, score 16 points, loss of 3.5U
This morning I saw the distant Dubai, major KOLs in suits, walking the red carpet, presenting awards, and giving speeches. This scene is no less than domestic celebrities walking the red carpet. I'm envious~ When will Hongjie also participate, even as a cleaner it’s fine, just to see more of the world and gain more experience.
Follow Hongjie for the first-hand sharing of airdrop information~
Breaking! He Yi officially promoted to co-CEO of Binance, these coins immediately skyrocketed, did you catch it?
He Yi becoming co-CEO of Binance directly ignited the market. Several coins are being crazily traded, and I will directly share my views.
SAPIEN's trading volume suddenly increased, and there are indeed funds moving. But I feel it's a bit late to chase in now; it's easy to buy at a high.
VOXEL is going to be delisted, if you still have some, it's advisable to handle it as soon as possible; don't wait until the last moment to try to escape.
BOB has a lot of short positions on it, and there may be violent fluctuations in the short term, but ordinary investors should avoid it; it's easy to get hit from both sides.
PIPPIN has increased tenfold in a few days, this is clearly speculation. I checked the data, and large holders may be offloading, so the risk is greater than the opportunity right now.
Coins like $客服小何 , $修仙 are purely being speculated because of news about He Yi's promotion. My opinion is very clear: coins without actual support may have a brief excitement but will likely cool down quickly, so don't take them seriously.
GAIX is leveraging promotional activities to pump, but the project itself is not transparent enough, so it's advisable not to invest heavily. As for meme coins like Evil Penguin, they are just for amusement within the circle, have poor liquidity, and their prices are easily manipulated, so just take a look.
The news about He Yi has indeed brought short-term hype, but many coins are purely capitalizing on the topic. My advice is, if you really want to participate, try it with a very small amount of funds, and definitely think in advance about how much you can lose and set strict stop-losses. Don't act impulsively just because you see prices rising; capital safety is always the most important. #币安区块链周 #ETH走势分析 Recently, I plan to position for a potential coin in the Alpha sector that is highly likely to make a strong surge, expecting a return of 7-10 times is not a problem. Friends who want to catch this big opportunity, feel free to share in the chatroom below.
Today's alpha analysis: trading volume and number of people have decreased again No airdrop announcement today, but a raid would be nice. Yesterday I was grinding points, and a TIMI trade got squeezed for 8 dollars, very painful. The rewards for KITE's trading competition have been distributed, with a cost of 3 dollars and a profit of 15 dollars, not bad. Yesterday, Lao Mao's raid score increased by 253 points again, mainly because the number of shares is too few. He will ensure that those who have enough shares can grab them at his announced scores, but if there are 30,000 shares, the score won't be that high. The current situation is like this, everyone is hanging in there, and it hasn't reached the point of losing money; it's just a matter of perseverance. I estimate that once it gets to that point, the number of people will be halved in about a week #币安Alpha上新
Yesterday, I was also squeezed while grinding points, feeling uncomfortable. I was squeezed for eight dollars by TIMI, very uncomfortable. Next time I grind points and sell, I need to set the prices for these high-volume coins lower to ensure I can sell. If I set it too high, I won't be able to sell, and once squeezed, it can easily expand losses. The only one I can grind is TIMI, and the volatility has obviously increased, so I need to choose a stable time to grind today. #ALPHA
For KITE's trading competition, I made a round trip with 1010 dollars, with a cost of less than 3 dollars, and I earned a total of 17 dollars, a great earning competition. A piece of dry straw in the cold winter, slightly warming.
The future is not absolute; I hope to move forward further when the sunk cost is very small, to see if we can welcome a broader future.
For grinding points, look for Mao Ge, follow Mao Ge and you won't get lost! If you have questions, leave a message, and I will reply to everything I see.
It must be said, is this rebound due to the suggestion from American banks for investors to allocate 1%-4% of their assets to cryptocurrency?
Ethereum has already broken through the 3000 mark, falling yesterday and rising back today, isn't this a typical double kill for both bulls and bears?
It's simply limitless, while everyone is generally bearish, they suddenly push you up, the main point is don't think you can make money from the dog fund.
Crash alert sounded: Japan's 80% rate hike probability triggers a $19 trillion 'bomb'! Have you bottomed out on BTC? Remember the 2022 interest rate arbitrage disaster?
This morning BTC suddenly fell below 83000, did you think it was just a normal adjustment? I broke out in a cold sweat staring at the screen—just because of one number: 80%. The market is frantically betting on the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike in December, with the probability soaring to 80%, and even reaching 90% in January! This is not just a rate hike; it directly ignites the fuse for the global $19 trillion yen carry trade!
For global traders, this awakens painful memories of Christmas 2022. At that time, the Bank of Japan also unexpectedly adjusted its yield curve control (YCC) policy at the December meeting, raising the upper limit of the 10-year government bond yield from 0.25% to 0.5%, triggering severe turmoil in global markets.
Considering that December 19 is right before the Christmas holiday, market liquidity is typically at its annual low, and any unexpected tightening of policy could be amplified in a weak liquidity environment, triggering a new round of 'carry trade disaster'.
For decades, the near-zero interest rate yen has been borrowed and converted into dollars to rush into US stocks and the crypto market. Once Japan raises interest rates, a massive amount of funds will instantly flow back out. The result? BTC is the first to suffer. The data doesn't lie: BTC's monthly decline exceeds 20%, $3.5 billion lost in ETFs, over $400 million in a single night liquidation... the market is as fragile as paper.
Don't forget about the Federal Reserve! Powell did not mention policy tonight, which is even more frightening—the silence often precedes the storm. If Japan tightens and the US does not provide liquidity, BTC will face a 'double whammy' situation.
Look at BNB, it has fallen to heartbreak. The new officer Lina parachuted in as the BSC growth director, but the retail investors are almost gone; what can grow? On-chain projects have dropped below CZ's buy price, and the notorious penguin has long become a 'down-and-out penguin'. But don't panic, the most urgent is not you—but the new official and the exchanges. Market rescue? Maybe it's already on the way.
Remember: closing carry trades is just a short-term shock, not the end of the world. After Japan's interest rate hike in 2024, BTC will reach new highs within three months. Key points to watch: December BOJ meeting, Federal Reserve dot plot. Don't rush to go all in; manage your positions well; surviving is the key to eating the next wave of rebound.
So, now I ask you—#加密市场回调 Today, did you dare to bottom out? $BTC $ETH $DOGE
🚀Binance Alpha, December 2nd Airdrop Announcement, 20,000 less, back to 300,000!
📅 December 2nd (today) 1. Hang at zero, expecting a raid, 16:00-19:00, 245 minutes, around 30U.
Today's operation suggestion: 1. For score brushing, refer to TIMI, JCT, ARTX, small amounts of multiple transactions 300-500U, look more at the stability dashboard. The ARTX I brushed yesterday was quite good and relatively stable.
2. No forecasts these days, all raids, it seems the strategy has changed again, not letting you ponder, just eat directly if you can, first recover the wear and tear, just hold on. I estimate that in the next few days, people will gradually leave their positions, hoping to return to 200,000 people; will you be at the table then?
3. The wallet has started charging now; filling in the invitation code can save brothers 30% on fees (the highest in the network), and the system will automatically rebate you (can be checked on the web version). The key is that brushing Alpha can also earn rebates! Those who haven't filled in can use my TIANWEN; already 1408 people are using my invitation code. The more people use it, the higher the rebate for everyone. After the subsequent upgrade, I will adjust the rebate ratio for everyone as soon as possible. The specific operation is as follows: Step 1, open the Binance app, click 'Wallet' in the upper right corner → Invite Friends Step 2, click to enter the invitation code, and the transaction fee will be reduced by 30% Step 3, enter the invitation code TIANWEN to confirm #ALPHA🔥 #空投大毛 #加密市场反弹
Why is the speech of the Governor of the Bank of Japan causing such panic?
In the past few instances, when people asked him about raising interest rates, his responses were always vague, and the result was not to raise interest rates, which aligned with the market's probability predictions.
However, this time, both last week's and today's speeches indicate: if the economic outlook is realized, interest rates will be raised.
As prices in Japan are still skyrocketing, with inflation close to 2%, the market will interpret this as a sudden shift to a strongly hawkish statement.
Global investors do not want him to raise rates But unfortunately, the issue of rising domestic prices is too significant.
🚀 Binance Alpha, December 1st airdrop preview, around 300,000 people have to endure another cycle!
📅 December 1st (today) 1. On workdays, it hangs at zero again, a raid is expected, from 16:00 to 18:00, 245 minutes, around 30U.
Today's operation suggestions: 1. For score brushing, refer to TIMI, JCT, GUA, small amounts of multiple transactions 300-500U, combining with the stability dashboard, if there are other stable options, go for them. If it can’t be moved, continue to keep a low score, I will accompany everyone to endure another cycle.
2. After the chaotic November, we welcome December, the key time to determine whether Alpha continues has arrived. Let’s not talk far, if it continues in this form, a wave of resignations will arrive in 1-2 weeks, currently, it’s basically a slight profit or even break-even, a little squeeze will lead to a loss, if there are other better options, we will choose the others.
3. Wallets are starting to charge now, filling in the invitation code can help brothers save 30% on fees (the highest in the network), the system will automatically give you a commission (checkable on the web version), the key is that brushing Alpha can also earn commissions! Those who haven't filled it in can use my TIANWEN, already 1408 people are using my invitation code, the more people use it, the higher the rebate for everyone, after the subsequent upgrade, I will notify everyone to raise the commission rate as soon as possible, the specific operation is as follows:
Step 1, open the Binance app, click on "Wallet" in the upper right corner → Invite friends Step 2, click to enter the invitation code, trading fees reduced by 30% Step 3, enter the invitation code TIANWEN and confirm #ALPHA🔥 #空投大毛 #加密市场反弹
💥 Trading sometimes requires a bit of patience and courage The market will never disappoint those who analyze seriously‼️ If you want to walk more steadily in the crypto world and earn more reliably, it's better to follow Sister Ting She will help you understand the true layout logic and seize every wave of certainty opportunities~👏 #加密市场反弹 #美SEC推动加密创新监管
Alapha 17.00, raid on old coins, 245 points, worth about 30U. The 4x coins are unstable now, so be sure to wait for the market to stabilize before grinding. Getting caught in this market is equivalent to working for nothing, and getting caught twice leads to losses. There are hardly any projects now! It's basically at a point where there’s nothing to grind for. Even in this market, how can someone bring in new accounts for rebating? I really don't understand the thought process!
Remember to pay attention to the market when grinding points.
🗓️November 29 Alpha Airdrop Preview Brothers, happy weekend!! Today there is an airdrop. Alpha currently has 360,397 employees, compared to yesterday, there were 4,500 who left. This $TIMI is simply devastating; it has only stabilized for so long, and now it's a direct cut, starting to harvest, everyone must not get trapped, otherwise, several airdrops won't come back, the main reason is that it's indeed very difficult to score points recently. Encountering such a stable situation has relaxed vigilance, leading to this scenario. I hope everyone can learn from this in the future. (1) GaiAl (GAIX) Project Introduction: Decentralized Creative AI Agency Project Details: GaiAl is a decentralized creative AI agency dedicated to building a new paradigm for on-chain visual creation, copyright ownership, and profit sharing. In GaiAl, every image is an asset, every call is a collaboration, and every share generates revenue. Core Investors: Adelson Ventures Advokate Limited Heemin Capital Time: 16:00 How to Claim: First come, first served (every five minutes drops by five points) Today's Operational Suggestions: 1. Recently, there are big KOLs advertising on the $TIMI square, coupled with the hotness of alpha scoring, many people fomo in thinking they can make a profit, but instead they get bitten back. This is how the crypto circle works; you can only earn money within your understanding. Remember to participate with small positions in such hot coins or not to participate at all. 2. The price of old Mao is currently very stable around 30u. If everyone can't stand the volatility of new coins or guesses inaccurately, claiming old Mao is also a good choice. #空投大毛 #空投分享 Today's Scoring Suggestions: 1. $BAY and $timi, wait for stability to score, after this wave of operations, timi should stabilize a bit, everyone remember to score with small amounts to reduce risk. Any Alpha questions can be directed to Old Zhou @空投猎手老周 , Old Zhou will answer everyone for free. #ALPHA #ALPHA🔥
Missing persons have returned. $TIMI had an avalanche at midnight. It was terrifying; during those four minutes by the waterfall, the amplitude reached 4% within a minute. If I were still brushing with 4000-6000 like before, I would probably end up buried alive again, then carrying the order, and praying for it to go back up, and finally cutting losses.
Fortunately, I have learned my lesson and improved now. 😭🤣 Only using small funds to brush can minimize the fate of being caught in extreme situations. Avoiding situations like TIMI.
Still the same saying, treat alpha tokens like a heartless scumbag. Never develop any feelings for a particular coin; the next one will be better.
For the past two days, I've been brushing at the regular 17 levels, see image one, prioritizing competition coins. The wear for these two days was 8.534u and 10.996u respectively. This wear is better than all my dumb operations over the past two months, but there's still a bit of distance from the ideal wear of 6.553u.
Especially the wear on the 28th yesterday was quite large. Yesterday, due to procrastination, I was just in time, brushing in the last hour (7-8 AM on the 29th). TIMI had an avalanche at midnight, and since there was liquidity in competition coins, I didn't touch TIMI yesterday. Mainly brushing $BAY , plus a small amount of $DGRAM , leaving the other two competition coins BSU and LAB for a few days later. Due to poor liquidity at midnight and being in a hurry, I still got caught a few times.
To briefly explain my current strategy: I now withdraw 1000u daily from my investments to brush, varying between 100u-994u depending on the liquidity of the target, using reverse orders to enter and exit quickly. I don't fill the 1000u in one go but leave out 6u, setting a shortcut for 994u in the trading interface as an observer for wear and progress. Once I click this shortcut and it prompts me that my balance is insufficient, I know I've brushed enough or the wear is too large; it’s time to stop.
This strategy is really great, saving time and energy, allowing me not to work like a slave with panda eyes for several hours, while successfully controlling the handling wear.
Lastly, a preview: during these two days of absence, I've been working on a small tool for iPhone to assist in alpha competitions. Once I finish testing it perfectly, I will share it with everyone. 🥳🥳. I am also writing a program to comprehensively analyze all historical competition data of alpha. I love alpha competitions, and I must conquer it. 🤨🤨
Surprised, right? Little seal is actually a _______.
$BTC Bitcoin this time, if it doesn't rebound above 100,000, then it will be sorry for the impact caused by this decline. Holders look down on this level of increase, at least to 150,000 US dollars {future}(BTCUSDT)