钟灵A

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Mainly: market analysis, trading teaching, intraday short-term, and swing contracts can be consulted!

Why have gold and silver prices soared?

Last night, the three major U.S. stock indices showed mixed performance, with the Dow Jones rising by 1.34%, hitting a record high. Some popular stocks performed poorly, with Oracle down 10.8%, Intel down 3%, and Nvidia down 1.5%. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index saw a slight decline.

Gold rose significantly, with New York futures gold re-establishing itself above $4,300 per ounce, closing at $4,309.3, an increase of over $80 in a single day. The domestic Shanghai gold main contract rose nearly 1%, closing at 968.16 yuan per gram.

Silver's gains were even more pronounced, with New York futures silver at one point rising by 6%. The domestic Shanghai silver main contract broke through 15,000 yuan, reaching a new high. Since the beginning of the year, the cumulative increase in spot silver has reached 120%, significantly surpassing gold.

On the news front, the latest actions by the Federal Reserve provided direct support to the precious metals market: it stated that it would purchase $8.2 billion in Treasury bonds on Friday under a new plan. Previously, the Fed announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut and also indicated it would purchase $40 billion in Treasury bonds over the next 30 days.

At the same time, the U.S. labor market data showed weakness, further raising market expectations for a Fed rate cut, which also supported gold and silver prices. Data from the U.S. Department of Labor on Thursday showed that for the week ending December 6, the number of initial unemployment claims increased by 44,000, marking the largest increase since March 2020.

In addition, tensions continue between the U.S. and Venezuela. On December 11, the U.S. Treasury announced new sanctions against Venezuela, targeting three nephews of President Maduro and six companies and related ships accused of transporting Venezuelan oil. Analysts believe this indicates that the Trump administration is further increasing pressure on Venezuela.
#黄金

Today's 8 orders layout, 1 loss and 7 wins, a minor loss on one order, decisively turning around.
Trading is not about being stubborn; risk control is the lifeline of our trading!
If the direction is wrong, retreat immediately; if the rhythm is off, find it again, and let it run smoothly!
We just need to move steadily upward. Tomorrow we will continue to proceed steadily!

Gold buy order - 4201.45 entry - 4229.88 - 14215 dollars
Gold sell order - 4221.41 entry - 4213.35 - 4030 dollars
Gold buy order - 4213.59 entry - 4218.15 - 2280 dollars
Gold sell order - 4217.99 entry - 4214.35 - 1820 dollars
Gold sell order - 4220.94 entry - 4214.68 - 3130 dollars
Gold buy order - 4209.40 entry - 4272.30 - 31450 dollars
Gold buy order - 4206.48 entry - 4271.77 - 32645 dollars
#黄金

12.11 Clock Spirit Evening Golden Silk Dew Sharing Trend

The Federal Reserve announced its third rate cut of the year by 25 basis points, bringing the benchmark interest rate down to 3.50%-3.75%, in line with market expectations. However, there were significant internal voting differences: out of 9 votes in favor, 3 were against, including one member advocating for a 50 basis point cut, while two others believed rates should be maintained, marking the first time since 2019 that there were three dissenting votes.

The policy statement removed the wording 'low unemployment rate' and acknowledged a slowdown in job growth. The dot plot suggests a possible further cut of 25 basis points in 2026. To supplement liquidity, the Federal Reserve will make large purchases of Treasury bills, but emphasized that this is not quantitative easing. Following the decision, U.S. stocks rose, and the dollar weakened.

Meanwhile, Trump publicly criticized the small rate cut, while Federal Reserve Chairman Powell responded that future policies need to observe data, attributing part of the inflation pressure to tariff policies. Currently, inflation remains above the 2% target, and the labor market shows signs of weakness. The Federal Reserve faces a difficult balance between controlling inflation and stabilizing the economy.

Alright, back to the point, gold was under pressure and fell back during the day, failing to continue its previous upward momentum. Although there is support around the short-term level of 4200, the market lacks sufficient momentum to push prices further up. As the gains from earlier rate cut expectations are gradually digested, gold prices may re-enter a weak fluctuation pattern.

In the afternoon, the market only rebounded to around 4226. Evening operations can focus on the range of 4220-4225, considering a light short position in this area, with the primary target looking at the key support level of 4200 below; if it effectively breaks down, it can look towards around 4190. Overall, it is currently not advisable to be overly bearish, and the market is expected to maintain a fluctuating trend as the main tone.
#黄金

How to accurately grasp the trend in this wide fluctuation? It's all about following the trend! Currently, in six operations, two small losses are negligible, with a profit of $20,000! Let the overall profit cover the small losses; true trading is not about avoiding losses, but maximizing profits with strength. Keeping up means steadily reaping the rewards!
#黄金

The market on Sunday seemed to have dropped, but by the end it pulled back up, clearly a washout to scare people.
With this happening, the possibility of moving upwards this week is greater, isn't it reasonable to expect a rise to 3250?

The interest rate cut has already been decided, the direction is upwards, but there is a pressure line above, it is estimated that it will take a few more days to grind.
First a fake breakdown, then a fake breakout, both sides of buying high and selling low are being hit.

Many people think about doubling their money every day, but few can make steady profits every year.
In this market, living long is more important than making quick money.
Steady and slow is the way to continue playing in this market.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC

Gold is currently still in a wide range of fluctuations. The important resistance above is around 4265, while the support area below is concentrated between 4163-4175. If the gold price retraces to this support area after the market opens, a short-term long position can be attempted; if it effectively breaks below 4163, it may open up further downward space.

From the 4-hour chart, the core resistance area above is located at 4245-4260, and the short-term pressure focuses on 4225-4230. In the current oscillation pattern, it is more inclined to wait for a price pullback to seek long opportunities.

It is recommended to consider positioning long positions within the 4175-4165 range, with a stop loss set below 4157, targeting the 4245-4250 area.

On Friday, the market exhibited severe fluctuations, with the gold price surging to 4259 during midnight and then rapidly reversing, ultimately closing at 4196, once again breaking below the 4200 threshold. This rollercoaster price action frequently crossing the moving average on an hourly basis indicates a lack of clear unilateral trend in the market, which is still in a phase of repeated washout.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC

Every fluctuation is an opportunity! When the direction is right, doubling might just be a matter of a wave of market trends. Are you ready to catch it?
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12.1 BNB: Currently 827, BNB is facing strong resistance at the 900 USD mark, then turned back down. The early session has seen a continuous decline with no clear signs of a bottom yet, and the short-term downtrend remains intact.

Trading suggestion: Trade between the 837-845 range, target near 800-815
$BTC $ETH $BNB #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #币安HODLer空投AT #香港稳定币新规 #加密市场反弹 #ETH走势分析

12.1 SOL: The current price is at 127, with prices continuing to fluctuate weakly near the lower Bollinger Band. The bearish forces are strongly dominating the market rhythm, and there is still a clear downward trend ahead.

Operational suggestion: Short around 130-132, targeting near 117-119
$BTC $ETH $SOL #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #币安HODLer空投AT #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场反弹 #ETH走势分析

On the first day of December, I was given a warning, with a sharp drop in the early session indicating bad news, plunging 4600 points in space. Currently, it seems there is no strength in the rise, and there are no clear signs of a complete stop in the decline. If it breaks below the short-term support level of 86000, the decline will continue, so be cautious when bottom-fishing!
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #香港稳定币新规 #ETH巨鲸增持

The bearish pattern for ZEC is established! A strong resistance zone is formed at the upper pressure range of 460-480. KDJ and MACD are simultaneously showing a death cross downward, with bearish momentum continuing to expand. It is recommended to set up short positions when the price rebounds to the resistance zone, targeting the support range of 400-420, with strict risk control to capture wave profits!
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #香港稳定币新规 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析

Impatience, how does it make you lose money?

① The culprit of chasing highs and selling lows: Seeing the market start, afraid of missing out, disregarding the plan to chase high prices, resulting in buying at the peak; seeing a decline, panic selling, resulting in selling at the low point. Impatience makes you a "contrarian indicator" in the market.

② The nemesis of planning: You have carefully formulated a trading strategy, set entry and stop-loss points. But with slight price fluctuations, impatience can lead you to act prematurely or move the stop-loss, ultimately turning the plan into a mere piece of paper.

③ The erosion machine of capital: Not having an open position makes you anxious, always feeling that not trading means missing an opportunity. Therefore, you forcefully open positions in ambiguous situations that do not align with your system. The result is frequent payment of fees and spreads, with your capital unknowingly eroded.

So, how do we cultivate a calm mind?

1. Trust the system, embrace waiting: Establish and strictly follow the trading system. Most of the time, the market is in ineffective fluctuations, and real opportunities require patient waiting. Accepting this "boredom" is the prerequisite for profits.

2. Manage positions, relax your mindset: The size of your position determines your mentality. If every fluctuation makes your heart race, it indicates that your position is too heavy. With light positions, you can see more clearly and go further.

3. The process is more important than the result: Don't get caught up in individual gains and losses, but instead focus on "Did I execute the plan?" As long as the process is correct, good results will naturally appear in the long run.

4. Don't fear missing out, protect your capital: "The market never lacks opportunities, but capital is limited." Missing an opportunity today means the market will still open tomorrow. But losing capital due to impatience means you lose the qualification to participate in the game.

Remember, in the market, your ultimate opponent is yourself. Successful trading is not about precise predictions, but about decisively cutting losses when mistakes happen and patiently holding on when you are right. When you can overcome your inner anxiety and view fluctuations calmly, the rewards the market gives you will naturally come on time.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐

From the current market landscape and macro environment, Bitcoin is still in a phase of consolidation, with overall market sentiment leaning towards caution, and limited capital participation. However, some technical indicators have begun to show initial signs of stabilization. Looking ahead to the next three to six months, the trend could develop in the following three directions:

① Optimistic Scenario: Market Warms Up
If there are positive changes in the macro environment, such as improvements in economic data, combined with a significant inflow of funds into Bitcoin ETFs, then the price is expected to successfully break through the key resistance zone of $96,000 to $100,000, opening up further upward space, with the next target possibly pointing to the range of $110,000 to $120,000.

② General Scenario: Continued Fluctuation
In the absence of clear bullish or bearish guidance, Bitcoin is likely to fluctuate repeatedly between $89,000 and $96,000. The forces of bulls and bears are temporarily balanced, with most investors taking a wait-and-see attitude, and the market displaying a range-bound consolidation pattern.

③ Cautious Scenario: Pullback and Testing of Bottom
If macro uncertainties escalate, or if the market undergoes a phase of deleveraging, Bitcoin may fall below the $85,000 mark, further probing the support area around $80,000 to $74,000. Currently, this possibility still exists, and caution is warranted for the risk of short-term market adjustments.

Overall, in the short term, Bitcoin is expected to maintain relatively high volatility, but its long-term value logic remains intact. On the operational level, it is advisable to closely monitor trading volume and capital movements near key price levels, maintaining strategic flexibility to respond promptly to market changes.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #币安HODLer空投AT #香港稳定币新规 #加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察

The current market is in a stage of consolidation, with clear long upper and lower shadows on the daily chart, indicating fierce competition between bulls and bears. The momentum on the 4-hour level has weakened, indicating a need for technical adjustments. Weekend fluctuations are limited, and the overall short-term strategy remains to maintain high position layouts nearby, considering entry points to hold short positions for a downward view.

Operation Suggestions:
Trade Bitcoin in the range of 91100-91600, target around 88800
Trade Ethereum in the range of 3010-3030, target around 2870
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #币安HODLer空投AT #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场反弹 #ETH巨鲸增持

There is no need to be overly anxious about short-term fluctuations; each deep adjustment in the four-year cycle is actually paving the way for more robust rises in the future. One should also not become complacent due to temporary profits, as gains achieved by luck are often given back to the market due to insufficient understanding. In a bear market, it is essential to reserve funds and enhance understanding, allowing one's abilities to support ambitions. When a bull market arrives, one should hold positions calmly, allowing patience to truly become wealth.

Returning to the current trend, as we anticipated last weekend, the market is still fluctuating within a small range, and no obvious breakout signal has yet emerged. In this pattern, it is more suitable to engage in short-term operations, cashing in weekend profits in a timely manner, and gradually building positions in batches. It is currently not the right time to arrange for a wave or medium-term strategy, so there is no need to force a large space; take the profit when it's good and avoid increasing risks due to excessive positions.

From a structural perspective, the afternoon market is gradually stabilizing above the support at the 90000 level, with long positions still having profit opportunities. This support remains effective. On the 4-hour level, the price is slowly rising with small bullish candles, while the Bollinger Bands continue to contract, with the middle and lower bands moving upward simultaneously. The price is currently converging with the middle band, overall within a narrow range of fluctuations. On the 1-hour level, the Bollinger Bands are further contracting, with the three bands leveling off, and no obvious one-sided trend has formed, primarily maintaining range-bound operations in the short term. Therefore, evening operations are recommended to focus around the support level, adopting a strategy of buying low and selling high.

Operation suggestions:
Bitcoin: Buy near 90000, target 93000
Ethereum: Buy near 2950, target 3200
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #香港稳定币新规 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Looking back at the first half of November, the market's performance has provided the strongest validation for our thoughts.
Precise analysis has captured the space of tens of thousands of points, which is the best proof.
Strength needs no further explanation; the market will provide the answer; trust comes from results, and profits will naturally speak.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #币安HODLer空投AT #香港稳定币新规 #加密市场反弹 #ETH走势分析

BTC one-hour line suddenly triggers "key signal"! Is the market about to change tonight, will it crash or take off?

Attention everyone! The BTC one-hour candlestick has shown a rare pattern - the Bollinger Bands are rapidly narrowing, the upper band is holding down the price, while the lower band is quietly inching up! This is not a normal fluctuation; this is the main force holding back a big move! The EMA and MA indicators have started to "fight"; the short-term line is diving down, while the long-term line is securely supporting the base. History tells us: once this pattern appears, a violent rise or fall is just a moment away!

Technical indicators are on full alert: MACD death cross has appeared, the red bars are still shortening, and a short-term correction is imminent! But on-chain data reveals a secret - whale addresses are frantically accumulating, increasing their holdings by 120,000 BTC in just 3 days, with large funds showing bullish intentions!

Confidential news: US regulators are quietly giving the green light, and the entry channel for institutional funds is about to open! Remember the institutional bull market of 2020? History may repeat itself! The current fluctuation is just the main force washing out retail investors, waiting to shake them off the ride!

Operational strategy (suggest saving):
🔥 Short-term: Buy immediately if it breaks below the Bollinger lower band, with a stop-loss set 1% below the key level.
🔥 Medium-term: Hold onto your spot! Whales are increasing their positions, why are you panicking?
🔥 Urgent reminder: Be sure to control your position size; a black swan could strike at any moment!

Opportunities are always for those who are prepared! Every dip right now is an opportunity to get on board! Tomorrow at the same time, I will guide you to see through the dealer's hidden cards using on-chain data. Like and follow, let’s feast together in the bull market!
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #币安HODLer空投AT #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场反弹 #香港稳定币新规

This week, our swing strategy has only one word: "Duo".
The challenge is not in finding opportunities, but in maintaining your judgment during every moment of fluctuation. Clearly, watching Duo indeed allows you to reap rewards every day; if the direction is right, persistence is the answer!
$BTC $ETH $MON #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察