Bit-刘貝

The market crash is always faster than the market rise!

Institutions are fleeing

WINTERMUTE continues to withdraw stablecoins from exchanges

When the wall falls, everyone pushes, constantly crashing and unloading!

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…$BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH

The two doors painted in four hours are really good!

The entire line has completely penetrated the bottomless black hole below.

Reduce positions to ensure break-even loss.

BTC targets 8700, ETH looks at 2970.

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$BTC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $ETH

Black Friday tradition returns!

"On-chain statistics" Bitcoin falls below 89000

In the past four hours, over 200 million dollars worth of leveraged positions have been liquidated!

This indicates that Japanese bonds are beginning to affect global liquidity, increasing the risk of capital flowing back domestically, leading to a general weakening of cryptocurrencies!
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$BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH

Is it true that people only look at the results and not the process?

The four-hour death cross has broken through the mid-level support, and I have been emphasizing to go short all day. In this kind of market, there's no need to bet on a rebound; just hold your short positions steady!

After-hours trading in the US stock market has pulled back, the shorts from the day's highest point have all reached their targets, currently, Bitcoin has a space of 3000 points, and Ethereum has 100 points. It's best to cash out on short-term gains without overthinking the bigger picture!

$BTC #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH

🚨🚨🚨Breaking:

September PCE inflation rate rises to 2.8%,

below the expected 2.9%.

Overall PCE inflation rate reaches its highest level since October 2023!

However, the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates

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$BTC #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH

The pancake has broken through the 90,000 mark

How many long positions are still open above?

The positions were opened publicly in the afternoon, and I had previously reminded to continue holding. If it breaks below the 8,900 position again tonight, it will really open the floodgates to look at the daily bottom of 8,630!

Ethereum is still holding strong, and tonight it will at least test the low of 3,065, if it breaks down, it will directly look at 2,970

$BTC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $ETH

To succeed, first short!

The pre-market trend shows initial signs of decline, the support for BTC has been broken, how long can Ethereum hold?

Continue to pay attention to the two positions of 9000-8900 for the big coin's pullback, only if it rebounds and breaks through and stabilizes at 9160 will it continue to rise.

For Ethereum's pullback, pay attention to 3065-2970, with resistance at 3150; it only has strength if it can stand firm above on the hourly level.
$BTC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $ETH

Today, $4 billion worth of BTC and ETH options are about to expire.
Over $4 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options are set to expire, with $33.6B in BTC options at $91K and $6.48B in ETH options at $3,050.

Meanwhile, gold and the S&P 500 reach $5,000, Bitcoin at $50,000?

2026 mean reversion tendency - Bitcoin turned to a loss as of December 4 after a record 2025, which could have a similar effect to 2007. If cryptocurrencies remain weak before the end of the year, it may support suppressed stock market volatility and drive the mean reversion tendency in 2026, making $50,000 Bitcoin and S&P 500 reaching 5,000 possible, while supporting gold to rise to $5,000 per ounce.
$BTC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $ETH

Tonight's non-farm payroll is absent

It's unusual not to see any big fluctuations on Friday

With a core PCE data, the current market seems relatively normal today, remember not to chase highs or lows, if you haven't opened a position, observe first, and if you have a position, manage your defense well!

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$BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH

Does anyone still remember

Last year on this day, BTC first broke through the 100K mark

Time flies so fast, I didn't expect to still be struggling below 100K now
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$BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金

Daily double top small level bearish engulfing reversal…

The pre-market bearish engulfing signal has begun

Clear bearish signals, the thought process is publicly synchronized

The results of the afternoon high short strategy have been realized, with no ambiguous analysis, real-time accurate positions… BTC currently has a space of 1800 points and ETH has a space of 70 points, whether to change the pattern is up to you!

Next, just wait for the final push of the PCE data after the U.S. market!

$BTC #ETH走势分析 $ETH

The ink has come down for an afternoon

The first target location has been reached

Currently, there is still bearish momentum, just look directly at the previous low

BTC second target 9080, ETH second target 3065

If it can break the previous low, just open the floodgates, at least maintain the pattern with a break-even loss at these two positions
$BTC #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH

The year is coming to an end, liquidity is relatively tight, and the issues of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and the Bank of Japan's interest rate hikes are most concerning to everyone.

On December 9-10, 2025, the Federal Reserve will decide whether to cut interest rates, and currently the market predicts an 87% probability of a 25bp rate cut.

On December 18-19, 2025, the Bank of Japan will decide whether to raise interest rates, and the current market prediction estimates a 90% probability of a 25bp rate hike.
A rate cut by the Federal Reserve will reduce the cost of borrowing funds while increasing the market's risk appetite, which is beneficial for cryptocurrencies. The interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan mainly affects hedge funds, and currently some hedge funds on the CME have already begun large-scale outflows, possibly acting in advance.

The effects of both have a certain offsetting effect, but the influence of the Federal Reserve is clearly greater, and there is still some room for gamesmanship in the future.
$BTC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $ETH

If there is no delay in the information

Tonight is very likely to be a big plunge, capital is fleeing!
#比特币VS代币化黄金

On October 11, after a massive shock in the cryptocurrency market,
U.S. regulatory agencies, investment groups, and banks have fully opened the door to Bitcoin, the first cryptocurrency!
Among them, the CFTC's new policy is the most noteworthy!!!
This policy is expected to bring in a larger influx of funds than the SEC's approval of the BTC ETF in 2024, with an estimated total influx scale equivalent to 1-2 times that of the ETF, strongly optimistic about the main accounts of BTC/ETH.

On December 4, 2025, Caroline D. Pham, acting chair of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), announced that cryptocurrency products will begin trading for the first time on CFTC-registered futures exchanges under federal regulation in the U.S.
This move signifies an important step in the U.S. government's commitment to ushering in an era of innovative golden opportunities, aiming to make the U.S. the 'capital of the world's cryptocurrency.'
Similar to the market effects after the SEC approved the Bitcoin spot ETF in 2024.

What does this mean?
It means that traditional exchanges will directly allow Bitcoin to be traded, just like the Shanghai Stock Exchange listing Bitcoin. Can you imagine what this scene would look like?
It can be anticipated that in the near future, Bitcoin will be accompanied by a group of good brothers, gradually landing on the New York Stock Exchange, NASDAQ, Tokyo Stock Exchange, Korea Exchange, Hong Kong Stock Exchange...

That said, the CFTC's green light for Bitcoin signifies a complete shift in regulatory paradigms: from 'enforcement first' to 'innovation-friendly.' The CFTC will no longer solely rely on fines for 'post-event punishment,' but will actively provide regulatory 'green lights,' allowing cryptocurrency trading to integrate into the mainstream financial system. This is akin to the process of the stock market transitioning from over-the-counter trading to the standardization of NYSE/NASDAQ, marking the transition of cryptocurrencies from 'wild growth' to the 'mature stage.'

$BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH

Short-term trading wave

BTC
Target at 9160-9080

ETH
Target at 3110-3065

$BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH

Black Friday again?

BTC

Currently in an upward test at 9410 with a pullback consolidation, still in a state of fluctuation.

Whether it can continue to rise depends on whether it can break through the pressure zones of 9400-9600. If it breaks through, a large amount of institutional funds will enter the market, looking up to 10K-15, but if it cannot break through, it will continue to fluctuate.

On the contrary, if it breaks below the two support levels of 9080-8900, it will trigger market fear and a chain selling reaction. If the weekly rebound fails to break through, it will seek support near 8500.
$BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金

Is ZEC's Bull Here?

7.1 million ZEC shorts were liquidated

ZEC's market cap rose from 6.3 billion to 6.7 billion dollars 💵, leading to the liquidation of 7.1 million shorts within an hour!

$ZEC #ETH走势分析

December 5th BTC/ETH Analysis:

Evening PCE becomes the last straw for bulls and bears!

The September core PCE index will be announced at 23:00 after the US market closes, along with the long-term inflation expectations that determine the interest rate cut in December. The market expects the PCE to be at 2.8%, which is above the target and weakens the expectations for interest rate cuts, triggering panic selling. If it is below the target, it will drive market prices to recover!

BTC
A double top has formed on the daily line, and the narrowing of the BOLL channel indicates a significant oscillation pattern. Yesterday's downward fluctuation just reached the support level of 9090 before rebounding. During the day, pay attention to whether it can close above 9270 on the four-hour chart for a strong rebound. Due to the K-line showing a bearish engulfing pattern accompanied by a volume-price divergence, the focus should be on short positions, with attention on the support levels of 8900-9090 for rebounds.

Around the range of 9250-9300, the target is to break below 9160-9080 and look down to 8900.

ETH
The same situation for ETH, oscillating within a range, unable to go up or down. During the day, pay attention to the 3180 level; if it can close above 3180 on the four-hour chart, it will continue to rise. For long positions, pay attention to the 3065-2970 levels for rebounds.

Around the range of 3168-3187, the target is to break below 3110-3065 and look down to 2970.

Short-term trading is flexible, and defense should be determined based on your actual position situation! $BTC #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH

It's not that there is no water in the well, it's that your well is not deep enough.

Both long and short positions can benefit, maintain the rhythm, and maximize precision!

BTC
In the evening, a precise prediction of a small-level pullback near 9300, with a short target aiming directly at 9090-8900. The market's lowest point reached 9080, easily capturing a space of 2200 points! Then, preemptively ambushed a long position at 9090, with the price rebounding to a maximum of 9260, yielding another 1700 points of space～

ETH
A short position was indicated near 3200 for Ethereum, with a lowest dip to 3064, securing a steady profit of 140 points; decisively reversed to a long position at 3080, with the highest rebound to 3192, adding another 120 points of profit!

The market is not always one-sided; by controlling the rhythm and combining absolute execution power, there are objective profits even in volatile markets!
$BTC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $ETH