币圈美股A股付费群聚合转发

Interest rates have come down but cryptocurrency prices have not? Trump's new strategy focuses only on AI and ignores cryptocurrencies, Powell talks of rate cuts but thinks of rate hikes, and the domestic regulatory warnings continue... Is this market afraid everyone will make too much money? Or is it suppressing the bull market in its cradle?
Too long; didn't read (TL;DR):
Last week's PCE was again below expectations, and interest rate cuts seem almost certain, but the cryptocurrency market reacted tepidly because the market had already fully priced in the 'December rate cut'; now there’s a fear of a hawkish FOMC this week. Trump's release of the national security strategy, which did not mention cryptocurrencies, also dampened sentiment, leaving hope only for his sons to fill the gap. The SEC chairman continues to advocate for cryptocurrencies, suggesting that the financial system will eventually shift towards Bitcoin, which could be seen as the only positive policy signal. This week, the focus is on the Supreme Court's ruling on the Cook case and Trump's new tariff plan, both of which relate to his control over the Federal Reserve and executive power; a win would be a direct benefit. The domestic 'Seven Associations' issued statements mostly targeting fraud, which has limited actual impact on the cryptocurrency market; OTC is slightly below par mainly because retail investors fear risks. The biggest highlights of the market tonight are the HumidiFi public offering (with a limit of 1000U after bot withdrawals, offering real users a chance) and the stable TGE (likely to launch in second or third tiers; if it dips to around 1 billion FDV, it may be worth considering). Over the weekend, on-chain memes have warmed up after a long absence, and bankrupt concept coins are also flying around; currently, the secondary market isn't very interesting, except for fat applications, relying only on memes and short-term sentiment to capture volatility, with the goal still being to strive for big profits.

Recent mainstream views on the Fed's interest rate cut expectations show a high degree of consistency, with general expectations that the Fed will take easing actions at the upcoming policy meeting.
The following is a summary of the current mainstream views in the market:
1. Core view: The likelihood of an interest rate cut is extremely high
Interest rate cut expectations: The market widely expects that the Federal Reserve is very likely to cut interest rates by 25 basis points (0.25 percentage points) at this month's (December) meeting.
Market probability: According to the CME's 'Fed Watch' tool, the market is pricing the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in December at about 86% to 87%.

Okay, I am glad to analyze the Bitcoin/USDT (BTC/USDT) 4-hour candlestick chart from the perspective of a Wall Street professional trader. From the intraday short-term trading perspective, we focus on the short-term structure, key price levels, and momentum.
Based on the chart information you provided (current price around $91,043) and the candlestick pattern, here is my professional analysis and operational advice.
📈 Intraday Short-Term Market Analysis (4H/1D)
1. Structure and Trend
Short-Term Structure (4H): The market is in a phase of high-level oscillation and consolidation. After declining from the mid-November peak (around $107,000), the price found strong support near $80,600 and formed a strong rebound. The current price is consolidating in the $90,000 - $95,000 range with low volume.

📈 BTC/USDT Market Analysis (Based on 2025/12/05 K Chart)
As a professional trader, based on the Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) daily chart you provided (as of December 5, 2025, with the price around $89,711), I analyze the market trend, key support levels, and resistance levels for the next week (short-term) as follows:
1. 🔍 Short-term Market Trend Analysis (Next Week)
Main Trend Judgment: High-level fluctuations forming a bottom, short-term leaning towards neutral/bullish.
Morphological Analysis (Bottom Structure):
After the price dropped from the high point (around $126,199) to around $80,600 in November, a clear V-shaped reversal attempt has emerged.

The era of massive monetary easing may be coming soon. Last night, Trump finally revealed his big plan, giving $1,000 in stocks to each American citizen newborn born between January 1, 2025, and December 31, 2028, naming it the Trump account. The funding source is tariff revenue, which essentially forces a linkage between tariffs and the stock market, thus achieving monetary easing.
Moreover, the founder of Dell also donated $625 million, which is a supplement to Trump's account, injecting $250 in stock funds for each American child under 10 years old. From these two matters, it can actually be seen that Trump is about to make a big move, possibly because the mid-term elections are not going well, and he almost lost the previously advantageous states. If he doesn't take action soon, the Democrats are going to take over next year. It can be anticipated that there will be more moves to come.