云澈趋势论

当前盘面显示，比特币在触及91700一线后再度承压回落，表明该位置已构成坚固的阻力屏障。价格多次上攻未果，消耗了多头上行动能，而短周期图表出现的量价背离与指标顶背离信号，共同预示着短期内的上涨动力正在衰竭，技术性回调风险显著增加。#加密市场反弹 $BTC

从结构上看，价格目前维持在90600至91700的区间内震荡，但重心有下移倾向。关键支撑在于早间低点90600一线，一旦该位置被放量跌破，将确认短期反弹结构的失败。届时，市场可能会进一步向下寻求90000乃至89500等更强支撑区域的考验。综合而言，在价格未能有效突破并站稳92000关口之前，当前的震荡更倾向于为下一波下行积蓄动能。

大饼思路：92000附近空，目标90000
以太思路：3060附近空，目标2950

回顾早间走势，比特币虽在触及90600一线后出现反弹，并一度上探91700高位，但盘面所展现的动能结构已初步显露出多头乏力、空头蓄势的迹象。

从技术层面看，91700美元附近已构成一个明显的局部压力屏障。价格在此承压回落，表明该位置存在强劲的抛售阻力，多头未能形成有效突破，这为短期走势奠定了偏空基调。当前，价格再次回落至91400附近震荡，此处正处于早间反弹区间的中下部，属于相对脆弱的平衡点。若价格无法迅速重返并站稳于91700之上，则反弹势头恐将宣告终结，市场重心将转而向下。

关键支撑需重点关注90600一线。这里是早间的起涨点，也是多头的重要防线。一旦该位置被放量跌破，将确认反弹结构失效，届时可能会引发更大幅度的技术性抛盘，向下测试90000-89500区域将成为大概率事件。#币安HODLer空投AT $BTC

大饼思路：91600-92000区间空，目标90000
以太思路：3020-3050区间空，目标2950

$ETH

The current market is consolidating in a narrow range above the key support level of 3000, demonstrating the strength of the bulls. After a strong rally, the price did not experience a deep pullback but instead digested the pressure through sideways movement at high levels, laying a solid foundation for further gains. The current price has fallen back to around 3010, which is close to our expected ideal support area.

From a technical perspective, the 3000 psychological level has formed a strong bullish defense, and multiple tests without breaking it confirm its effectiveness. This consolidation above strong support is a typical example of a strong consolidation using time to create space, which not only clears out weak hands but also accumulates momentum for another upward attack.

Therefore, as long as the 3000 support level holds, the overall bullish pattern remains intact. In terms of trading strategy, we maintain a buy-on-dips approach. The current area around 3010 and below presents a good opportunity to gradually build long positions, with the initial target at 3045. A break above this level could open up further upside potential. #加密市场反弹

The current Bitcoin is oscillating in a narrow range above $91,000 to $91,800, which can be regarded as a healthy strong consolidation. The market has stabilized above the key support level and has not experienced a deep pullback, indicating limited selling pressure, while the buying power below is solid, creating a firm platform for future trends.

From a technical perspective, the price has consistently held above the $91,000 pivotal point, indicating that the short-term upward trend remains intact. This method of replacing declines with high-level consolidation effectively cleansed floating chips and accumulated new upward momentum in the process. Therefore, as long as the key support at $91,000 holds, the probability of continued oscillation and upward movement is relatively high. #加密市场反弹 $BTC

In terms of operation, attention can continue to be paid to the performance of the price pullback in the support area of $91,200 to $91,000, with stabilization still being the ideal point for seeking bullish opportunities, and the initial upward target is to look for a breakout in the $91,800 to $92,000 range.

Yesterday, the market received effective support at the 90400 line and rebounded strongly, confirming that this area is a solid phased bottom. This 'bottom probing rebound' pattern indicates that the bearish momentum has exhausted, and the market has successfully built a foundation for the rebound, providing a technical basis for future upward movement.

Currently, the price has rebounded to around 91400, and the short-term trend has shifted from bearish to bullish. Once the price stabilizes above the key support, the upper target can first be seen at the resistance area of 91800-92000. If it can break through this position with volume, it will further open up space towards above 92500. #币安HODLer空投AT $BTC

Bitcoin strategy: Buy around 91200, target 92500
Ethereum strategy: Buy around 3000, target 3100

In the afternoon market, Bitcoin received support in the 90800-91000 area and rebounded again, proving that buying power at this position still exists. However, bullish momentum has shown signs of fatigue, failing to push the price to effectively reach the morning high. $92000 has become a strong resistance level for the day, having been tested repeatedly without forming an effective breakthrough, creating a clear 'high-pressure zone'.

From the current market environment, due to the Thanksgiving holiday in the United States causing the US stock market to close, the market has lost an important source of external momentum. It is expected that the overall trading volume will shrink in the evening, and in a low liquidity environment, it will be challenging for prices to gain the significant momentum needed to break through key resistance. This narrow range fluctuation during the holiday often leads to a technical pullback, as the saying goes, 'if it doesn't rise for a long time, there will surely be a drop'. Therefore, technically, the $92000 level has become a dividing line between bulls and bears. If it cannot break through this position with volume, it is more likely that the price will oscillate below this level to build a top and test the support strength at 90800 again. Once this support is broken, the depth of the pullback will open further to the 90000-89500 area. #加密市场反弹 $BTC

Bitcoin strategy: Short in the 91800-92000 range, target 90000
Ethereum strategy: Short in the 3050-3080 range, target 2980

In the morning market, Bitcoin successfully stabilized and strongly broke through the key integer level of 90,000 USD, followed by a surge that reached a high of 91,850. This confirms that the bulls have completely dominated the short-term trend. The current pullback is a healthy technical correction aimed at digesting the pressure near the previous high, with prices firmly holding above 91,000 USD, and the overall strong pattern remains unchanged.

The chart shows two key positive signals: first, 90,000 USD has transformed from a resistance level to a solid support, providing a strong foundation for the rise; second, the high-level consolidation accompanied by moderate trading volume is a typical 'airborne refueling' pattern, which is beneficial for flushing out floating capital and accumulating further upward momentum, preparing for the next wave of increase. As long as the price holds the support zone of 90,500-90,000, the market is expected to attack again and break through the morning high, with the next target looking towards the 92,000-92,500 USD range.

Bitcoin strategy: Long in the range of 90,500-90,800, target 92,000-92,500
Ethereum strategy: Long in the range of 2,980-3,000, target 3,080-3,100
#加密市场反弹 $BTC

In the early trading of $ETH , Ethereum successfully stabilized at the key support level of $2920, and subsequently launched a strong upward movement of over 150 points. This wave of price action effectively validated the effectiveness of this support area, and the subsequent volume increase not only broke through the recent upper boundary of consolidation but also touched a high of 3045, marking a market confirmation of the upward breakout in the short term, thereby establishing a bullish trend.

Currently, the coin price is solidly around $3025, firmly above the important psychological and technical level of $3000. This rally clearly demonstrates the bullish momentum, making the resistance above relatively weak. The next key technical target can be seen at the previous high near $3100, with the current price consolidating in the new high area, accumulating energy for further upward movement. Overall, this breakthrough rally initiated from a strong support level has significantly shifted the technical pattern towards a bullish side. The strategy should align with this new trend, focusing on building long positions on dips as the core strategy. Moving forward, attention should be paid to whether the price can establish a new support platform in the $3000-$3025 range. As long as it remains above this area, the possibility of testing $3100 and even new highs will continue to increase. #加密市场反弹 $ETH

Ethereum strategy: Buy near 3000, target 3080
Bitcoin strategy: Buy near 88800, target 91000

Despite the adverse macro news of rising unemployment benefit claimants, the market for Bitcoin has shown strong resilience against the trend. After the data was released, the price only dipped slightly to 86800 before quickly finding support and rebounding strongly, clearly indicating that the market selling pressure has been effectively absorbed, and the support below is exceptionally solid. This position has become a critical defense line that bulls cannot afford to lose, and its stability has laid a solid foundation for subsequent price increases.

From the perspective of market structure, the trend has formed a strong 'bottoming rebound' pattern in a bearish environment. In the evening, it stabilized precisely around 86800 and rebounded continuously, reaching 87800, which constitutes a typical 'higher low' bullish pattern. Our strategy of adding long positions at the bottom and successfully taking profits is based on an accurate assessment of this strong technical structure. Currently, the bulls are in a phase of sustained upward attack. Prices are steadily breaking through earlier resistance, and market sentiment is shifting from hesitation to positivity. If it can hold the current level and further build momentum, there is a strong possibility of testing the key resistance range of 88000-88200 again in the short term, creating favorable conditions for opening new upward space. #加密市场反弹 $BTC

Bitcoin strategy: Buy near 87500, target 89000
Ethereum strategy: Buy near 2930, target 3050

After a wave of surge and pullback, the morning market shows positive bullish signals. The price surged strongly to 88200 after touching the low of 86600, and the pullback low of 86800 did not break the previous low, forming a bullish structure of 'higher lows,' indicating solid support below and a strong bullish defense line.

The current market performance reflects a healthy momentum shift. The pullback after the morning surge effectively digested short-term profit-taking, reducing pressure for subsequent upward movement. Now the price has stabilized and rebounded to around 87550, indicating that market buying power remains active and has the potential to attack again. Overall, the technical structure leans towards bullish. As long as the price can hold above the key support area of 86800-86600, after consolidating and building momentum, it is expected to test the resistance range of 88200 again, and further upward space is anticipated. #加密市场反弹 $BTC

Bitcoin strategy: Buy around 87300, target 89500
Ethereum strategy: Buy around 2930, target 3020

$ETH The current Ethereum is continuously fluctuating within the range of $2880 to $2980, which is a typical strong consolidation pattern. Although the price has pulled back from the upper range to around $2950, it has consistently remained above the key support level of $2880. This sideways movement has effectively digested floating chips, laying the foundation for a subsequent breakout.

From a technical structure perspective, the market has built a solid platform through fluctuations, with the low points holding strong, indicating that the upward trend remains intact. This pullback can be seen as a healthy confirmation of the core support. As long as the support area of $2880-$2900 can hold, the longer this fluctuation lasts, the stronger the accumulated upward momentum will be. Overall, the conditions for a second bullish attack are increasingly maturing. With market sentiment warming up, Ethereum is very likely to experience a significant breakout today. Once the price successfully stabilizes above the upper range of $2980, it will officially open up upward space, leading the coin price to strongly return to the psychological barrier of $3000. #加密市场反弹

Ethereum Strategy: Buy near 2935, target 3050
Bitcoin Strategy: Buy near 87300, target 90000

$BTC The current Bitcoin price is oscillating between $86100 and $88100, which is a typical consolidation pattern before a breakout. Although the price has pulled back to around $87500, it has consistently held above the key support level of $86100. This sideways consolidation has effectively cleared floating positions, laying the groundwork for a subsequent rally.

From a technical perspective, the market's focus remains solid, and the fact that the lows have not been broken indicates that the bullish structure is still intact. This pullback can be seen as a healthy confirmation of the support below. As long as the support zone between $86100 and $86500 is not broken with significant volume, the longer the current oscillation lasts, the stronger the accumulated upward momentum will be. Bulls are actively gathering strength, and the conditions for a secondary volume breakout are becoming increasingly mature. Once the price breaks above the upper limit of the $88100 range with significant volume, it will completely open up upward space, and today may lead the price to once again challenge the significant $90000 threshold. #加密市场反弹 $BTC

Bitcoin Strategy: Buy around $87500, target $89500
Ethereum Strategy: Buy around $2950, target $3050

From today's market trends, Bitcoin has successfully stabilized below $86,500 after experiencing a nearly 3,000-point one-sided decline and has surged nearly 1,500 points as the US stock market opened. It has now re-established itself above the $88,000 mark, clearly indicating that the buying support below is strong and market bullish sentiment is rapidly recovering.

On a technical level, today's deep drop formed a solid phase bottom in the 86,100-86,500 area. The evening's strong V-shaped rebound, characterized by a relatively long bullish candlestick, recouped most of the intraday losses, constituting a strong bullish engulfing pattern. This not only effectively curbed the downward momentum but also proved the effectiveness of the key support area. Prices quickly broke through multiple short-term resistances, indicating that bullish momentum is very robust. This surge driven by the strength of the US stock market has injected new confidence into the market. Currently, prices have returned above the key moving average system, and short-term technical indicators like RSI have also strongly rebounded from the oversold area. As long as the market can stabilize above the 87,500-88,000 support platform, a new round of upward momentum is expected to unfold, with the next target directly aimed at the morning high of 89,100 and even the psychological barrier of $90,000. $BTC #加密市场反弹

Bitcoin Strategy: Buy near 87,500, target 89,000
Ethereum Strategy: Buy near 2,930, target 3,050

The rebound has already started, and the bulls are likely to push up again. Buy at the current price, looking at 87200#加密市场反弹 $BTC

In the afternoon, Bitcoin saw a dip but quickly rebounded after precisely touching the 86600 line. It currently stands firmly around 87400, indicating strong buying support below. Market sentiment is shifting from a bearish dominance to a bullish counterattack.

From a technical perspective, the 86600 low has not breached the previous key support, likely forming a short-term "double bottom" or bottoming structure. The price has strongly rebounded over 800 points from this position, fully demonstrating the bulls' ability to support. On the hourly chart, this rebound is accompanied by increased trading volume, forming a clear bullish engulfing pattern, which is a positive signal for a short-term trend reversal. The price has returned above key moving averages, and short-term momentum indicators like RSI have also strongly turned from the oversold area, indicating a depletion of downward momentum, with a new round of upward momentum building. As long as the price can stabilize above the 87000 support platform, there is hope for another upward test towards 88500 or even the previous high resistance level. #加密市场回调 $BTC

Bitcoin strategy: Buy near 87000, target 88500
Ethereum strategy: Buy near 2865, target 2960

$BTC From the current trend, Bitcoin has once again retreated after touching the key resistance at $88,500, showing that there is heavy selling pressure at this position and the bullish momentum is clearly insufficient. The price failed to effectively break through the morning high and instead fluctuated weakly around the $88,000 mark, indicating signs of weakening in the short-term structure.

From a technical perspective, the hourly chart shows a trend of declining rebound highs, with short-term moving averages forming resistance, and momentum indicators like RSI leaning towards the bearish side. This indicates that the buying power in the market is waning, and bears are gradually gaining short-term dominance. Overall, the market needs to pay close attention to the previous low support at the 87,300 line. If the price continues to be pressured below 88,000 and effectively breaks below the 87,300 support level, it will confirm the continuation of the downward trend, and the downside space is expected to open further.
#加密市场回调
Bitcoin strategy: Short near 88,500, target 86,500
Ethereum strategy: Short near 2,940, target 2,850

$ETH Despite Ethereum's strong rally following Bitcoin in the early morning, the bulls once again gained momentum and reached a high of 2986, but the current price at 2945 has shown signs of stagnation. This rally can be seen as a test of the key psychological resistance at the 3000 mark. The failure to break through effectively and the subsequent pullback indicate strong selling pressure in this area, suggesting that the bullish momentum may have been exhausted in the short term.

Currently, the $2900 level has become a key pivot point determining the morning trend. This position is not only an important psychological support but also the upper boundary of the previous fluctuation range. If the price effectively breaks below 2900, it will confirm a short-term top structure, likely triggering a large number of short-term long positions to take profits and close positions, leading to a technical correction downward. Therefore, it is not advisable to blindly chase long positions at the current level. Operations should be cautious, with a focus on observing the price's testing of the 2900 level. If this support is broken, the short-term momentum will turn bearish, with the first support target looking at the 2870-2850 area. #加密市场回调

Ethereum Strategy: Short around 2960, target 2880
Bitcoin Strategy: Short around 88500, target 87000

$BTC Despite the strong rise of Bitcoin in the early morning, it has shown signs of fatigue at the high point of 88500, with signs of exhaustion in upward momentum. This wave of increase has consumed too much bullish strength, and the price has faced pressure and fallen back at the 89100 level, forming resistance, making it difficult to continue breaking upwards in the short term.

Currently, the key on the盘面 is the support strength at the integer level of 88000. Once this position is effectively broken, it will confirm a short-term top structure, likely triggering a chain reaction of profit-taking and bullish liquidation, leading to a technical pullback in the morning prices. Therefore, chasing bullish positions at the current price is risky. It is recommended to remain cautious and closely observe the defense situation at the 88000 level. If the price breaks this key support, market sentiment may shift towards bearish in the short term, with subsequent support levels to focus on being 87500 and 86500.#加密市场回调 $BTC

Bitcoin Strategy: Short near 88800, target 87500
Ethereum Strategy: Short near 2975, target 2900

$BTC Although the market today has experienced intense long and short battles, the overall pattern is clearly leaning towards the bulls. The 'W'-shaped double bottom structure formed in the morning session, along with the successful defense of the critical support level at 86300, fully demonstrates the strong absorption capacity of the bulls. The fact that all our intraday long positions can take profit is the most direct reflection of the effectiveness of this bottom support.

With the US stock market opening high in the evening providing external catalysts, the price surged to around 87500 and stabilized at a high level, indicating that the intrinsic buying power in the market is solid and the holding sentiment is stable. The current market shows that through intraday fluctuations, floating chips have been effectively cleared, accumulating sufficient momentum for subsequent upward attacks. Looking ahead, the price remains stable in the upper part of the trading range, forming a favorable model of 'high support, low pressure.' As long as the 86300 support holds, the subsequent upward challenge and breakthrough of the 88100 intraday pressure level will be a high-probability event. #加密市场回调 $BTC

Bitcoin strategy: Buy around 87300, target 88600
Ethereum strategy: Buy around 2900, target 3000

$BTC Morning Bitcoin tested the 88000 mark three times without forming an effective breakthrough, indicating strong selling pressure at this position, creating a clear "triple top" prototype. The price has repeatedly hit the ceiling and retraced, showing that bullish momentum is gradually weakening, and the resistance above is being solidified, laying the groundwork for a bearish trend in the future.

Although the 86300 line provided support twice in the morning and triggered a rebound, the support effect will weaken as the number of touches increases. The current price has fallen to the lower part of the 87000 range, and if it tests 86300 for the third time, the probability of breaking it will greatly increase. Once it breaks down, it may trigger a chain sell-off, opening up deeper downward space. The technical structure is shifting, and bears may dominate. From an overall perspective, the unbroken W-shaped oscillation is more likely to evolve into a "descending continuation." Various momentum indicators show signs of retreating from high levels, suggesting that short-term dominance is shifting to the bears. #美国非农数据超预期

Bitcoin strategy: short around 87500, target 86000
Ethereum strategy: short around 2870, target 2760