The market temporarily stabilized on Monday. The bulls will enter a safe period in the first few days of this week. It is no problem to make a short-term rebound of one or two thousand points around 65k-64k (specific support is around 64300). The fluctuation range is about 1%. If it exceeds 2%, it will leave the market. However, it will not stand at 68k in the future. There is still a certain risk after Wednesday. It may be difficult to have a large increase before the halving.
The biggest pain point of Ethereum this week is at 3400. When can it start to rise? The current support of Ethereum is around 3100. The fluctuation range is about 1%. If it exceeds 3%, it will leave the market. Pay attention to the rebound around 3400. Today's live broadcast is temporarily postponed. Tomorrow will be as usual at 9:30.
The pressure level for the weekend night surge is likely to be around 65500-66000. If the price falls back below 63k, it is theoretically a safe period to go long. As we are busy recently, the live broadcast will be postponed to Monday. The idea is the same as in the previous round. Just look for low-level long opportunities in conjunction with the halving.
As the international conflict intensified last night, Ethereum once again dropped to 2800. The BTC/ETH double bottom predicted this week finally appeared. Facing the upcoming BTC halving at 8 o'clock tomorrow morning, the bottom has been built in advance, and there is no need to say more about the idea. The intraday retracement to the mid-line long position is open.
Pay attention to 61000/2940 (up and down fluctuations of 1%) in the retracement range to find buying opportunities. If the decline does not exceed 2%, continue to hold. The first-line target is 64000/3100. After reaching the first line, reduce the position and move the stop loss. The next round will look at 67000/3300 again.
This round of rebound hit 63K and 3050, with the highest profit of 3000 and 100 points.
Short-term short orders have reached the target range for all exits. If you have not exited yet, please pay attention to the short-term options above and clear your positions.
In the second half of the night, temporarily short positions will be paid attention to the dynamics of the market pressure, and the next round of layout will be made tomorrow. The live broadcast will be postponed to Friday.
The success of BTC and ETH bottom-fishing is beyond words
The bottom below (60K, 2950) completes the bottoming pattern
After decisively taking long positions, the first target (62K, 3050) is reached in the morning
So far, 2000 and 100 points of space have been taken, and the midday pattern has stabilized to a certain extent
Before 8 pm, long positions can be further held
The intraday rebound is predicted to be at 63500 and 3100. Conservative friends can consider reducing positions and moving stop losses. See you at 9:30 pm for the live broadcast.
Bitcoin has formed a double bottom pattern as expected in the evening, but the overall downward range of Ethereum is not large. It has bottomed out in the evening after touching the four-hour BOLL. It is recommended to pay attention to 60k and 2950 to start buying positions. Hold if the decline does not exceed 2%. Short-term rebounds can reach 62k and 3080. If the line change can stabilize the short-term target tomorrow, it can further reach 64k and 3150. $BTC
The rebound space observed yesterday successfully came out in the second half of the night. After a short-term rebound, it touched the upper pressure and still could not break through. The top touched the suppression range mentioned yesterday (64.3K, 3150). The intraday trend short position was completed. If you failed to enter the market, continue to look for entry opportunities within 1% of the above-mentioned points, and exit the market when the increase exceeds 2%. The double bottom of the decline is predicted to be 60K and 2800 this week.
Recently, the market is mainly concerned about the foreign situation. The sound of the cannon is worth a lot of gold. The gold market has been rising recently, but the financial products such as digital currency have continued to fall. However, as long as there is no sudden news, there will be a certain rebound space before the decline this week.
Tonight, the bottom will touch 3000 in the short term (1% amplitude), and there will be a certain demand for bottoming. There is a possibility of rebounding to 3130-3160 again in the evening, but if it fights again, there will be no way. Take a decline of less than 2% as a defense.
The trend of the morning session was generally weak, but it is not recommended to choose to chase aggressively. There will still be a rebound. Wait patiently for the intraday rebound to occur. The short-term intraday rebound is still optimistic about 64.3K and 3150. It is recommended to short at the above points before entering the market. Friends who hold short-term long positions can hold them first.
The range of volatility was slightly beyond expectations, with Bitcoin falling by more than 2%. BTC failed to go long for the first time in the short term this week, but Ethereum 3080 was within 2% and did not exceed 3%, so Ethereum's low long position was still within the tolerable range.
However, the continued weakening after the failure of the first round of upward surge means that the market will be more weak this week than we imagined, and the early safety period will also be questioned. It is difficult to stop the decline before the market trend has a second exploration.
Ethereum's average price of 3080 yesterday was low and long. It is recommended to focus on the rebound of 3150 (fluctuation of 1%) and leave the market (BTC at 64300) and open a short position. Hold if the increase does not exceed 2%. Look at the double bottom (60000, 2800) this week. More ideas will be shared live at 9:30 tonight.
In the evening, we tested the results of the white market. Short-term short selling successfully won a thousand points of space, and Ethereum was close to 100 points.
The strategy was declared a great success. The market was to cope with the high-speed wash of BTC halving. The spot and mid-term levels were basically thankless. The contract found a precise point of high-altitude and low-multiple returns. For more exciting information, please pay attention to Yanbihang (ybx094).
All short-term short orders were cleared in the second half of the night, and the weekly rebound forecast of the white market was continued. Pay attention to 64000 and 3080 (1% amplitude) below for long orders. Hold if the decline does not exceed 2% and 3% respectively. If the volatility is stable after entering the market tomorrow, the target point will be announced later.
The short-term momentum of Bitcoin has become somewhat powerless at the moment. If it does not break 67k in the afternoon, you can look for a short-term position to short around 1,000 points. For Bitcoin, look for short-term opportunities in the 3250-3280 range. It is estimated that the retracement space is also around 100 points.
The dealer took advantage of the Iranian war to launch a sudden blitz during the US trading hours, and the short position exploded instantly. Yesterday, the expectations of chasing short positions at 67K and 3280 were confirmed, but affected by the war, the decline increased and further fell to the daily MA80 daily moving average of 60,000.
When the big cake fell below 64K by more than 2% at the first time, the individual long orders did not enter the market. Affected by the current war factors in Iran, the current market environment is unstable. After clearing the short orders today, the market will be suspended and wait-and-see. Follow up sharing and continue to follow Yanbihang (ybx094).
There is still one week before the Bitcoin halving. This is also the potential crisis mentioned before. It is the last wash before the rise. The foreseeable suppression of Ethereum's rebound in this round is in the 3280-3310 range. The synchronous thinking is bearish first, and the expectation of another decline is still in the 3150-3100 range.
The trend over the weekend is relatively slow, and the bulls have begun to partially recover. The 67K short-selling idea left in the morning needs to expand the error tolerance space of the increase to about 2% to avoid being swept down. The normal thinking is to look at the decline first, and the bottom reaches the support mentioned, and then the low-long is the main focus in the future.
The decline on Friday was beyond expectations, falling below the 2% of the previous round of mid-term layout, and collectively breaking the support level of this week - 67000/3380. This round of mid-term thinking was broken, and it also meant that the previous mid- and long-term long orders were forced to withdraw. The short-term trend will be more volatile, and the overall shock range will increase. The thinking will be readjusted:
First, after falling below 67K, it is expected that the end point of this round of downward exploration will go to 64K before the decline is possible. Therefore, if the weekend white market trend is small, it can be considered to approach 67K (exit when the increase exceeds 1%) and chase to 64K in the short term, and finally reverse at 64K (the decline does not exceed 2%), and then continue to look at 70K.
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