Recently, the BTC market has experienced significant ups and downs, causing many to suffer. After incurring losses, they have started to invest again, feeling helpless and frustrated in their investments; a simple phrase about bad luck doesn't fully capture it! They feel trapped in a cycle of losses, unable to see any gains. Occasionally, when they get a trade right, hesitation about when to exit leads to further losses, completely unable to grasp the market trends. Lacking the ability to take control, those who resonate with my articles hope I can help them recover losses, guiding them to learn how to trade, how to manage risks, and how to judge market trends. $BTC $ETH $BNB #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察
The expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates have risen, leading to further increases in U.S. Treasury bonds. According to data from CME Group's FedWatch tool, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 0.25 percentage points in December has surged from 39.1% on November 20 to 69.5% on November 21. This significant increase in expectations is mainly driven by the dovish remarks of New York Fed President John Williams. Speaking at the centennial conference of the Central Bank of Chile, he pointed out that the current monetary policy is in a state of "moderate tightening" and indicated that "there is room for further adjustment of interest rates." However, the latest released minutes of the Federal Reserve's meeting show that there are still "strong disagreements" among Fed officials regarding whether to continue lowering interest rates in December. Additionally, a report released by the University of Michigan indicates that inflation expectations for the next year and the long term have both decreased, providing more support for future rate cuts. As a result, on November 21, local time, the yield on the U.S. ten-year Treasury bond continued to decline, reaching a low of 4.03% during the trading session, further strengthening U.S. bonds. However, key economic data such as U.S. retail sales, producer price index, and durable goods orders reports have yet to be released. These delayed economic data may also impact market trading $BTC $ETH $BNB #币安HODLer空投AT #香港稳定币新规 #加密市场反弹
【The big boss only buys 1% bitcoin! Dalio confesses his holdings, the reasons are too real】💸
Family, do you know how much bitcoin Bridgewater's big boss Dalio has bought? He personally admitted on CNBC — it only accounts for 1% of his investment portfolio! Just this little bit, and he says it has been a configuration that he has always had. 😯
Why so conservative? The big boss gave three major reasons, each one hitting hard:
🔍 Too transparent: Every transaction of bitcoin can be tracked, and Dalio bluntly said, "The government can never use completely transparent currency" as reserves. In other words, countries don’t like the feeling of being exposed.
⚛️ Quantum threat: He warned that "quantum computing could break bitcoin encryption"! Although this might be an issue 10 years down the line, it is indeed a potential bomb.
🏦 Government attitude: He warned back in 2021 — if bitcoin is too successful, "the government will strangle it, and they have the capability to do so".
But to be honest, Dalio has been somewhat lenient towards bitcoin. He acknowledged that bitcoin "has withstood the test of time and hasn’t been hacked," and being able to account for 1% of his trillion-dollar assets is already a form of recognition!
In contrast, he loves gold, this "old lover," more, saying that gold is an asset that "does not depend on anyone".
📉 Now let's take a look at the market — bitcoin has dropped 32% from its October high, once breaking 86000 dollars, and market panic is at its peak. At this time, reflecting on Dalio's 1% strategy, don’t you suddenly feel particularly clear-headed?
💡 Here comes the insight: Even the most powerful advocates of cryptocurrency suggest that ordinary investors should not exceed 1%-2% of their assets. The big boss tells us through action — you can participate, but you must control the risk!
From the four-hour level, BNB's price is gradually stabilizing, showing a series of small upward candles, and has already risen above the middle Bollinger band, with the bulls starting to take control.
Suggestion: Look for support around 875-870, initially targeting 879-882; if it breaks through, it could further rise towards 890; conversely, if it doesn't break through, consider a reversal trade for a small pullback. $BTC $ETH $BNB #币安HODLer空投AT #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场反弹
Unprecedented! The Federal Reserve is in turmoil over an internal dispute, and a "6 to 6" voting deadlock may occur in December. Explosive! The Federal Reserve, which has always emphasized "unity," is now embroiled in a fierce internal debate. Recent analysis indicates that the interest rate decision in December may lead to the first-ever 6 to 6 voting deadlock in history, a scene that will undoubtedly go down in the annals!
Where does the internal division come from?
The Federal Reserve had already cut interest rates twice in a row, but inflation has recently stubbornly remained high, leading to an increasing hawkish (against rate cuts) sentiment. On the other side, economic data is sending contradictory signals—employment growth is exceeding expectations, but the unemployment rate has risen to its highest in four years. This has allowed committee members to find evidence supporting their respective viewpoints.
Key figures suddenly switch sides
Most dramatically, Federal Reserve "third-in-command" Williams made a sudden statement last Friday. This bigwig's line, "There is still room for rate cuts in the short term," directly overturned market expectations—the probability of a rate cut surged from below 40% to over 70%, and the U.S. stock market rebounded in response.
However, this statement also complicated the December meeting further. Now both sides are evenly matched:
❌ Clearly opposing rate cuts: Four regional Fed presidents (Boston, Chicago, St. Louis, Kansas City) plus two governors, totaling six votes.
✅ Supporting rate cuts: Three governors appointed by Trump, now including Williams, totaling four votes.
The key lies with Chair Powell and another governor, Cook—if they join the dovish side, an unprecedented 6 to 6 tie will occur!
What if there is a tie?
This is the most exciting part: the Federal Reserve has never considered such a scenario! It's not written in the rules, and it has never happened in history.
Experts have differing opinions: some say interest rates will remain unchanged, some say the chair may have the deciding vote, while others suggest a re-vote. After all, the Bank of England encountered a similar situation this summer, and a re-vote was held to break the deadlock.
Regardless, if a tie truly occurs in December, it will be the most severe governance challenge the Federal Reserve has faced in decades. This monetary policy drama is definitely more thrilling than any American drama! $BTC $ETH $BNB #币安HODLer空投AT #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场反弹
November 30 Evening Ethereum Analysis Recently, the candlestick chart has formed several small bullish candles, indicating a rebound from the larger bearish candle at the bottom. The current price is fluctuating near 3000, suggesting significant market resistance, but there are signs of stabilization in the short term.
The MACD indicator's DIF is gradually rising but remains negative, showing a weakening of bearish strength, and further confirmation of bullish trend development is needed.
Breaking. Goldman Sachs' Heavy Prediction: The Federal Reserve Must Take Action in December! Interest Rates Approaching the 3% Bottom Line!
Just now, Wall Street giant Goldman Sachs made a bold statement: The Federal Reserve can't hold on any longer and must cut interest rates in December! And it’s not going to be a small adjustment; they are going to directly push the interest rates above 3%!
Why such a drastic move? Chief Economist Jan Hatzius revealed the truth: 1️⃣ The U.S. economy is hitting the brakes too hard, and the speed of recession is beyond everyone's imagination. 2️⃣ The job market looks shiny on the surface, but there are hidden crises. The 119,000 new jobs in September are simply not enough! 3️⃣ A wave of layoffs is spreading, and the labor market is about to have a hard landing.
This is a significant signal! It’s worth noting that interest rates are still hovering at a high of 3.75%-4%. If they really cut it down to 3%, it means the Federal Reserve acknowledges that the economy can’t take it anymore!
For us in the cryptocurrency community, this is like music from heaven! Once the interest rate cut is implemented: ✅ Liquidity gates will reopen ✅ Risk assets will welcome the spring rain ✅ Major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin may enter a new cycle
Now, the market is betting on the Federal Reserve's shift, and Goldman Sachs is going all in! Remember, Wall Street's nose is sharper than a dog’s; their bold statements mean they’ve caught the scent.
There’s only a final sprint left until the December interest rate meeting. Once this liquidity feast begins, it will surely be a stormy market! Are you ready? $BTC $ETH $BNB #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #香港稳定币新规
SWIFT's heavyweight choice ignites the cryptocurrency world! Will Ethereum L2's entry into traditional finance herald the rise of a king in December's upgrade?
Breaking news! Global banking settlement giant SWIFT has just announced a new pilot for cross-border payments in 2025 — they have chosen Linea, a second-layer network based on Ethereum! This is a solid proof, directly striking at the battlefield of all payment tokens.
Why is this a nuclear-level signal? SWIFT, along with over 30 top banks (JPMorgan, HSBC, BNP Paribas...) is pushing forward together. This time, traditional finance did not choose XRP, nor did it favor other payment tokens, but firmly embraced Ethereum L2.
What does this imply? Banks want more than just slogans; they need solid infrastructure. Linea offers: Institutional-level scalability Extremely low costs and high-speed transactions Seamless integration into the Ethereum ecosystem
Traditional finance is voting with its feet, choosing established, scalable, and widely trusted technological routes.
Is the XRP narrative under challenge? For years, the XRP community has positioned itself as “the future of bank settlements.” However, SWIFT's choice serves as a reality check. Has XRP become an option from the “old era”? Or does it still have a chance to fight back? This payment battle has suddenly become more intriguing.
Potential subsequent impacts may include:
· More banks will build payment channels based on Ethereum L2 · Liquidity, asset issuance, and settlement methods may be restructured · The crypto market will respond to this trend in advance
This time, it is not just a pilot; the wind has completely changed.
11.30 Brief Update: Overview of Important Data Next Week: Tuesday 09:00, Federal Reserve Chair Powell will give a speech at a commemorative event; Tuesday 23:00, Federal Reserve Governor Bowman will testify before the House committee. Wednesday 21:15, U.S. November ADP Employment Change; Wednesday 21:30, U.S. September Import Price Index MoM; Wednesday 22:15, U.S. September Industrial Production MoM; Wednesday 22:45, U.S. November S&P Global Services PMI Final; Wednesday 23:00, U.S. November ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI; Thursday 21:30, U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for the week of November 29; Friday 23:00, U.S. December 1-Year Inflation Expectation Preliminary, December University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Preliminary, September Core PCE Price Index YoY, September Personal Consumption Expenditures MoM, September Core PCE Price Index MoM.
Market perspective: After rising above 90000, attempts to break through 93000 failed, and it continues to fluctuate within the range; it has been fluctuating in the 90000-93000 range for 3 days, with prices maintained above the short-term trend line. The first important support below is 90000, and there is not much liquidity over the weekend, so operations can be based on this price location for a short position. $BTC $ETH $BNB #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #香港稳定币新规
The US stock market staged a dramatic scene—Dow Jones surged over 600 points, but tech giants faced severe divergence. The most eye-catching was Nvidia, which plummeted by 7% at one point, evaporating over 810 billion RMB in market value! On the other hand, Meta and Google defied the trend and closed higher.
What happened?
The core reason is: the market has begun to doubt the narrative that 'only Nvidia wins big' in AI. Google has made substantial progress with its self-developed AI chip, and its Gemini model has received widespread acclaim, leading investors to suddenly realize that—Nvidia's moat is not insurmountable.
Some analysts bluntly stated: 'The sleeping Google has awakened.'
Meanwhile, economic data hides concerns:
· US retail sales in September fell short of expectations
· Consumer confidence recorded the largest drop in seven months
· Unemployment rate slightly rose to 4.4%
This data has amplified the dovish voices within the Federal Reserve. Some officials directly called out: 'Interest rates should be lowered to neutral levels as soon as possible; the economy needs support.' Market expectations for a rate cut in December are heating up.
Crude oil fell, and Bitcoin slightly retraced, as funds seem to be repositioning.
What does all this mean for the crypto world?
· Divergence in tech stocks may drive funds to seek new targets beyond the 'AI narrative';
· Weak economic data + Fed turning dovish, the macro environment is again leaning towards easing, which is a long-term positive for risk assets;
· If traditional funds begin to question the high valuations of tech stocks, the crypto market may become a beneficiary of liquidity overflow.
Nvidia evaporated a 'crypto market value' overnight; do you understand where the funds are flowing?
Is Saylor crazy?! 1.5 billion bitcoins thrown directly into the 'black hole', I can't believe this move by Saylor…
Just saw the news and I couldn't believe it, MicroStrategy CEO Saylor actually destroyed the private key of 17,000 bitcoins by hand! A whole $1.5 billion, just like that, gone. It's harsher than burning money; it's like throwing the vault key into a volcano.
The crypto community exploded instantly, with some calculating overnight: this is equivalent to a one ten-thousandth reduction in the globally circulating BTC! It's worth noting that the total supply of bitcoin is only 21 million, and this fire burned an asset that can never be recovered. Some old investors dug up historical records and exclaimed: besides the dormant coins of Satoshi Nakamoto, this is definitely the most drastic personal destruction behavior in history!
Saylor just lightly left a sentence: "This is my legacy." Wow, while others leave behind houses or stocks, he leaves behind a string of codes on the blockchain that can never be touched again. As the number one bitcoin bull, is he betting on the future with this move, or is he telling us with his actions: true faith doesn’t need a backup plan?
Personally, I think this operation will definitely stir the market in the short term. The supply has already been tightening after the halving, and now a large piece of liquidity is permanently removed... The supply-demand balance is likely to tip. What do you think the market will do next? Will it enter a crazy bull mode, or is the good news already priced in? $BTC $ETH $XRP #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #ETH巨鲸增持
The meeting on the coordination mechanism for combating virtual currency trading has been held, which is conducive to preventing capital from speculating on virtual currency trading. After all, China does not recognize these virtual currencies; Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin are all not recognized by China because they carry uncontrollable risks. They are inherently a form of decentralized currency without national credit backing, and are purely capital operations. Such currencies are only acknowledged by capital countries in the West, and the risks are very high! It depends on capital speculation! Therefore, we will resolutely combat virtual currency trading, which is entirely beneficial for the A-share market, allowing more funds to flow into the capital market $ETH $BTC $XRP #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #香港稳定币新规
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations are in a "tug of war"
Are the Fed's interest rate cuts suspended? The Americans are really chameleons! The current expectation has reached 84.9%. Will next month be just talk again?
Recently, the market's expectations regarding whether the Federal Reserve will cut rates in December have experienced drastic fluctuations, rising and falling like a "roller coaster," attracting widespread attention.
This round of expectation speculation began after the October interest rate meeting. At that time, the market had high hopes for a continued rate cut in December, with the probability reaching about 70%. However, subsequently, several officials, including Fed Chairman Powell, released a series of "hawkish" signals, indicating that a rate cut was not a foregone conclusion, leading to a rapid cooling of market optimism. By November 19, with the release of the minutes from the October monetary policy meeting, it showed that there were significant divisions within the Fed regarding whether to cut rates in December—"many" officials preferred to maintain the interest rate unchanged, with only "a few" supporting a rate cut, which caused the expected probability of a rate cut to plummet to 30%.
However, the situation reversed again within just a few days. On November 21, due to key officials like New York Fed President Williams publicly stating that there is still room for rate cuts against the backdrop of a cooling job market, market expectations quickly rebounded, and the probability of a rate cut soared to 71%, nearly doubling from the previous day.
Currently, according to the latest data, the market bets on a 25 basis point rate cut in December have reached as high as 84.9%. Nevertheless, analysts point out that the prospects for a rate cut still have variables. On one hand, it remains to be seen whether the current economic fundamentals in the U.S. are sufficient to support another rate cut; on the other hand, the Fed's internal opinions have not yet unified, and how Chairman Powell coordinates differences and guides consensus will be key. Additionally, the market's own expected pricing will also in turn affect the Fed's decision-making considerations.
Overall, as we approach the December interest rate meeting, the direction of the Fed's monetary policy remains full of uncertainty, and this "tug of war" over rate cuts is expected to continue $BTC $ETH $XRP #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #香港稳定币新规
【ZEC Plummets Overnight! Is the Faith in Privacy Coins Crumbling, or is it a Bottom Fishing Opportunity? The Entire Network is in a Frenzy!】
Family, who understands this! Woke up today and was stunned to see my account—ZEC actually halved in just one day! Veteran traders are collectively losing their minds; this drop is even more thrilling than that of altcoins!
Live Coverage:
· ZEC firmly holds a spot in the top three on the liquidation leaderboard, many traders are now in ICU · The community is buzzing with conspiracy theories: a certain whale sold off 28,000 ZEC in the early hours · Twitter is buzzing with “ZEC Going to Zero” performance art, grave marker memes are flooding the feed
The Cause of the Plunge is Being Investigated Online: 1️⃣ Regulatory Hammer: A certain country plans to legislate against privacy coin trading (this news is unconfirmed but has already sparked panic) 2️⃣ Ecological Crisis: The trading volume for ZEC on leading exchanges has plummeted by 80% 3️⃣ Technical Anxiety: Zcash's next-generation upgrade is delayed, and the community is angrily accusing the “development team of slacking off”
Popular Comments from the Community:
· “Privacy coins are just paper tigers in the face of regulation; Monero is the true king!” · “Don’t catch falling knives! This drop is clearly a coordinated attack on retail investors by institutions” · “Lightning Network + Bitcoin ecosystem is the future; ZEC is outdated”
Magical Reality: At the same time as ZEC's crash, a certain anonymous wallet suddenly transferred 4,000 BTC, and netizens are wildly guessing: “Could it be that a whale is rebalancing to bottom fish?” Hardcore Data:
· ZEC network hash rate has decreased by 15% in the past week · 12,000 ZEC net outflow from exchanges (suspected to be miners cutting losses) · Fear and Greed Index has hit a historic extreme of 12
Now for the key point: Do you think this drop for ZEC is a permanent death spiral, or a golden pit? Bet in the comments on the future trend for the next 24 hours!
(There’s a hidden message at the end: it turns out the ZEC development team has just been exposed for holding over 10% of unlocked tokens... those who understand, understand) $BTC $ETH $XRP #币安HODLer空投AT #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场反弹
The price of Bitcoin recently reached the key resistance level of 93,000 and has since corrected as expected. From the support system perspective: a strong support zone has formed around 89,000, while the round number of 90,000 has weak support but can be tested lightly. Short-term resistance still focuses on 93,000; if it can break through effectively, it will push towards the ultimate target range of 97,000-98,000 for this rebound, and attention should be paid to the volume conditions.
With only 10 days left until the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, the market's risk appetite remains high, providing fundamental support for a bullish market. The line of 97,000 corresponds to the 0.382 retracement level on the daily chart, which is a clear layout node for positioning. Regardless of whether the rate cut is implemented, this is a good opportunity for positioning. After the Federal Reserve cuts rates, it will no longer position for short trades, and preparations for adjustments should be made in advance.
Tips: Position for Bitcoin at 89,000-90,500 for long trades, looking at around 97,000–98,000 for the long term.
From the recent market structure and macro environment, Bitcoin is still in an adjustment cycle, with weak funding sentiment, but bottom signals are gradually emerging. In the next 3-6 months, the following three scenarios can be focused on:
① Optimistic scenario (trend reversal) If macro data improves and large-scale net inflows into ETFs reappear, Bitcoin has the opportunity to break through the key range of $98,000 - $100,000, the trend may strengthen again, and the upper space could point to $110,000 - $120,000.
② Neutral scenario (range fluctuation) When the market lacks clear catalysts, Bitcoin is likely to maintain a wide fluctuation between $88,000 - $98,000. The bullish and bearish forces are balanced, with funding primarily in a wait-and-see mode.
③ Pessimistic scenario (further correction) If macro risks intensify or the market experiences continuous deleveraging, Bitcoin may fall below $85,000, looking for stronger support in the $80,000 - $75,000 range. This is also a turbulent phase I predict has a probability of occurring.
Overall, in the short term, high volatility remains dominant, but the long-term logic remains unchanged. Steady investors can pay attention to changes in transaction volume and fund flows in key ranges. $BTC $ETH $XRP #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #香港稳定币新规
Many people focus on AXS, PIXEL, and YGG but overlook the underlying logic. The RON public chain is the 'skeleton' of this game's ecosystem, and those who understand the ecosystem know how crucial this relationship is. RON is an Ethereum sidechain, designed for a low-fee environment, underlying technology, and network security, which are the foundations that enable the three tokens to operate.
AXS: The governance of the native Axie on Ronin, a core for staking; without early support from Ronin, it would be difficult to establish the game token benchmark.
PIXEL: After migrating, it supports new traffic in the ecosystem; without Ronin's low-fee transactions, farming gameplay would struggle to sustain high activity;
YGG: Not just a guild token, it acts as a verification node after cross-chain on Ronin, inherently binding to the core interests of the ecosystem.
The market loves to chase token hype but overlooks that 'the trunk determines the growth of the leaves'—without Ronin's support, these tokens would have long been stifled by high gas fees. Those who understand focus on ecological synergy, while those who don't still get tangled in short-term fluctuations of a single token. $BTC $ETH $XRP #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察
Trump's Air Force One 'Crypto Gang' Gathering! What do you think about the signals from a dinner revealing the cryptocurrency scene four years later in 2026? Let's chat about it here. Last night, the cabin of 'Air Force One' was brightly lit. This was not ordinary political diplomacy, but a Thanksgiving feast captured by the media — Trump gathered with his son, House Speaker Johnson, Health Secretary Small Kennedy, Musk, and his eldest son, Small Donald.
On the same day, Trump publicly announced: Biden's 'Turkey Pardon' is invalid.
At first glance, it seems like a joke, but upon deeper reflection, it’s terrifying. The fate of a turkey has become a battleground for two presidents. However, behind this seemingly absurd 'Turkey War', a strong signal is being conveyed: once Trump returns, all 'policy consensus' of the Biden era could be overturned at the push of a button.
What truly excites the cryptocurrency community is the face at that dinner table — Musk.
This top KOL in the crypto world sat next to Trump, along with House Speaker Johnson — a political leader who has always held an open attitude towards the crypto industry. This dinner can almost be seen as an informal closed-door meeting for 'America's New Crypto Policy'.
Reflecting on Trump’s previous shift from questioning Bitcoin to embracing NFTs and accepting crypto donations, and now conspiring with Musk and Johnson for the bigger picture. This dinner table is redistributing the power and asset landscape for the next four years.
The Biden administration continues to pressure the crypto industry, while Trump’s camp is gathering the most powerful allies. Once the regime changes, loosening regulations, promoting ETF 2.0, and even integrating cryptocurrencies into the mainstream financial system could become a reality.
The turkey pardon is merely a symbol. What may truly be 'pardoned' is the long-repressed crypto market.
History tells us: whenever there are cracks in the power center, it is always accompanied by a reconstruction of the asset landscape. And that high-altitude dinner last night may just be the signal for the beginning of the next cycle.
Breaking news: This close ally of Trump is the top candidate for the next chairman of the Federal Reserve? On the 26th, the U.S. Bloomberg News reported, citing informed sources, that in the eyes of U.S. President Trump and his advisors and allies, Kevin Hassett, the director of the National Economic Council, is the top candidate for the next chairman of the Federal Reserve.
Unnamed sources said that choosing Hassett would mean Trump is placing a close ally he knows well and trusts into the Federal Reserve. Some of these sources indicated that Hassett is seen as someone who can bring Trump's advocated interest rate cut policies into the Federal Reserve.
However, sources also pointed out that Trump is known for his surprising personnel and decision-making style, which means that the related nominations could still change before being officially announced. White House Press Secretary Caroline Levitt stated, "No one really knows what President Trump will do until he takes action. Stay tuned!"
Hassett previously said in an interview with Fox News that if invited to serve as chairman of the Federal Reserve, he would say, "Yes, I would." "But you know, we are waiting to see, and there are many excellent candidates."
The current chairman of the Federal Reserve, Powell, will end his term in May 2026. Since taking office for the second time as President of the United States in January of this year, Trump has been urging the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, hoping to boost the economy and lower government borrowing costs. Frustrated by the Federal Reserve's failure to cut rates aggressively, Trump has repeatedly called for Powell's resignation. $BTC $ETH $XRP #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐