The bull market is in full swing. Coco can focus on cryptocurrency futures trading, mainly doing short-term trades, while also watching swing and trend opportunities.
Focus on market timing, capital flow, key support and resistance, and entry points. When opportunities come, act; if there’s no opportunity, wait—don’t blindly chase orders.
Trading should follow one principle: enter with conviction, cut losses when wrong, and take profits off the table when you’re right. Filter the cryptocurrencies worth paying attention to every day, set up in advance, enter precisely, and take profit and stop loss in a timely manner.
$BTC 9 Whether interest rates will be raised in September depends entirely on the two report cards: nonfarm payrolls and CPI
Waller’s recent remarks were relatively hawkish. He did not explicitly say that a rate hike in September is guaranteed, but he repeatedly stressed that bringing down inflation is the top priority, and his tone was tougher than the market expected
The market was immediately moved by this, with the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September jumping from 30% to 50%. It is now a coin toss, hanging in the balance
However, nothing is set in stone yet. The next two key data releases will decide it: nonfarm employment and CPI inflation data
The Fed is now making decisions based on data. If employment remains weak, expectations for a September rate hike will cool quickly; if inflation still stays high, then a rate hike is very likely to happen
👉Actual impact: rising expectations for a rate hike are bearish for stocks and cryptocurrencies, while the U.S. dollar tends to strengthen; if employment data later comes in far worse than expected, rate hike expectations will be pushed back down, and the market trend will reverse #比特币24小时跌3.4%至7.74万美元 #提词员付17万美元和解内幕交易案
On day 100 in office, he made his first appearance at Jackson Hole and, from the moment he spoke, he came out hawkish: the U.S. economy is strong—except inflation, which is still not on target. Rate hikes can come at any time. Immediately after, BTC, ETH, and gold plunged by 3%, the U.S. dollar surged, the probability of a September rate hike jumped from 35% straight to 60%, Nvidia fell more than 4%, and global assets were repriced overnight.
But what’s really tough isn’t just the call for rate hikes—it’s the new set of rules he threw down: going forward, the Federal Reserve won’t give you an "accurate roadmap". It will only give you a "compass"—fresh data, inflation is locked in at 2%, short-term interest rates are the main weapon, and unconventional tools are only for emergencies. In plain terms, the era where you could make money by following the Chair’s remarks is over. From now on, whoever can read the data will survive.
$BTC Life-and-death in one sentence—tonight, focus on Waller’s speech 🚀🚀🚀
Today is Friday, and it’s the final day of the Hong Kong conference. At 22:00 tonight, Waller will deliver a speech at the annual meeting of central banks worldwide—this will also be his first major public address since taking office.
The market is waiting for—whether he will send dovish or hawkish signals. Tonight’s remarks are likely to directly shape market sentiment, and even stir up the BTC market.
If Waller turns dovish: expectations for liquidity improve, BTC breaks through the previous high immediately, and the bulls go wild.
If Waller turns hawkish: rate-hike expectations heat up, BTC plunges in a waterfall drop, and Black Friday comes to life.
If his comments are ambiguous: the market can’t find a clear direction, and BTC keeps grinding in a range-bound consolidation. #加州通过法案拟禁官员发行Meme币 #台股TAIEX受芯片股带动重返46500点 Will we truly see the “Black Friday” scenario? Tonight will tell. Drop your answer in the comments section!
$BTC Is this just the beginning? The real big move may still be ahead 🚀🚀🚀
For this previous round of BTC上涨, it was mainly driven by U.S. institutions and ETFs. But the catalyst for the next phase may start to change. If more and more countries open up spot Bitcoin ETFs and overseas institutions begin entering the market, then the market will shift from “the U.S. singing solo” to “the whole world buying together”—and that’s the real incremental surge.
Right now, there is still a lot of capital globally that hasn’t entered. In big markets like South Korea, for example, ordinary people and companies still face many restrictions in how they allocate to BTC. Once policies gradually loosen, those funds that have been waiting on the sidelines could become fresh buying demand. Plus, with infrastructure like stablecoins and RWA continuing to improve, BTC’s institutionalization worldwide is far from over.
So in simple terms: this is not the most疯狂 stage yet. What you really need to be wary of is the day when even a bank account manager starts recommending BTC ETFs to ordinary elderly ladies—buying Bitcoin as a “savings product.” That would mean even the most conservative money has entered, and the bull market may only then be approaching the top #比特币升破8万美元创三月新高 #美元创近四周最大涨幅