3-5-7 Rule in Trading: Everything Traders Should Know
#MyCOSTrade #CEXvsDEX101 #TradingTypes101 #DGENLiveOnAlpha #PCEMarketWatch $XRP $BNB $BTC Smart trading is not just about chasing profits. It is about managing risk with discipline and consistency. Every trade involves some level of uncertainty, and even a promising setup can lead to a loss. That is why having a simple, reliable risk management rule can help traders stay in the game longer.
The 3-5-7 rule gives traders a structured way to control how much they risk on each trade, how much they expose across their entire portfolio, and how much they aim to make when trades go right. This rule is easy to follow, especially for beginners, and it can be adapted over time as a trader’s experience grows.
In this guide, we will explain how the 3-5-7 rule works, why it matters, and how to use it in real-world trading. You will also learn how to apply it using a free demo account, and how it fits into your overall trading strategy.
Key Takeaways
The 3-5-7 rule is a simple trading risk management strategy. It limits how much you risk per trade (3%), how much you expose across all open trades (5%), and sets a clear target for profit on winners (7%).
Risking no more than 3% per trade protects your capital. This cap ensures a single loss won’t damage your account and helps you trade more objectively.
Limiting total exposure to 5% keeps your portfolio balanced. It prevents overcommitment to any single market or trade idea, reducing the impact of correlated losses.
Targeting at least 7% profit improves your risk-reward ratio. By making your winners larger than your losers, you don’t have to win every trade to grow your account over time.
What Is the 3-5-7 Rule in Trading?
The 3-5-7 rule is a straightforward risk management framework that helps traders limit losses, manage exposure, and focus on high-quality trade setups. It’s designed to bring structure and discipline to the decision-making process, especially in volatile or fast-moving markets like futures.
At its core, the 3-5-7 rule sets three clear boundaries:
3%: The maximum amount of your trading capital you should risk on any single trade.
5%: The total amount of capital you should have exposed across all open trades at any given time.
7%: The minimum profit you should aim to make on your winning trades.
Each number serves a purpose. The 3% rule limits the damage from any single bad trade. The 5% rule protects your portfolio from being too concentrated or overleveraged. The 7% rule keeps your focus on trades with strong potential, helping your winners do more work than your losers.
Unlike complex trading systems or technical models, the 3-5-7 rule does not require advanced math, indicators, or software. It can be applied manually, with a calculator or spreadsheet, or with built-in tools on your trading platform. And because it’s rooted in percentages, it scales easily with your account size, whether you’re trading with $1,000 or $100,000.
Many traders use the 3-5-7 rule as a foundation for more advanced strategies. Others use it as a core system for managing trades across futures, stocks, forex, or crypto. It’s especially helpful for newer traders who are still developing consistency and learning how to protect their capital.
Why the 3-5-7 Rule Matters
Risk is unavoidable in trading. Every trade carries the possibility of loss, no matter how strong the setup looks. What separates successful traders from inconsistent ones isn’t just their ability to find winners, it’s their ability to control risk, protect capital, and maintain discipline over time. That’s where the 3-5-7 rule makes a difference.
This rule matters because it forces structure into your trading. Without a clear framework, it’s easy to fall into emotional patterns: chasing losses, doubling down on bad trades, or overexposing your account when a setup looks “too good to miss.” These behaviors are common, and they often lead to steep drawdowns or account blow-ups.
The 3-5-7 rule helps reduce these risks by setting simple, enforceable limits on:
How much you can lose on a single trade (3%)
How much you can have exposed at once (5%)
How much you aim to gain when a trade goes your way (7%)
This creates a built-in balance between caution and reward. You’re limiting downside while giving yourself room to grow. And because the math is clear from the start, you can plan every trade around defined numbers rather than gut feeling.
Traders often underestimate how much psychology plays into performance. When you know your losses are capped, you’re more likely to stay calm, follow your strategy, and avoid reactive decisions. When you aim for solid profit targets, you avoid settling for small gains that barely move your account forward.
Over time, this kind of consistency compounds. A trader who follows the 3-5-7 rule may not win every trade, but they protect themselves from big setbacks and give their winners enough room to make up for the losers.
In short, the 3-5-7 rule isn’t just about managing numbers. It’s about creating a repeatable system that keeps you focused, rational, and in control, even when markets are unpredictable.
The ‘3’: Risk No More Than 3% Per Trade
The first part of the rule is about how much you can afford to lose on a single trade. The 3% limit means that if the trade goes against you, it should only cost you a small portion of your account.
Why 3%?
It protects your capital from large hits.
It keeps you in the game even after a losing streak.
It forces you to think carefully about stop-loss placement and trade size.
How to Calculate 3% Risk Per Trade
Let’s say you have a $10,000 account.
3% of $10,000 is $300
This means your maximum loss on any one trade should not exceed $300
To calculate position size based on this rule, use this formula:
Position size = Maximum risk ÷ Stop-loss distance
If your stop-loss is 10 points, and you want to risk $300, you would trade 30 contracts if each point is worth $1. Always match your size to your stop-loss and risk tolerance.
The ‘5’: Limit Total Market Exposure to 5%
The second part of the rule controls how much total capital you have exposed at once. Even if each trade follows the 3% rule, having too many trades open can still put your portfolio at risk.
What Does 5% Exposure Mean?
It means you should not have more than 5% of your capital actively at risk across all trades. That includes correlated positions. If one market falls, others may follow, increasing your total loss.
Example:
With a $50,000 account, the most you should have exposed across all trades is $2,500.
This rule encourages diversification and prevents overloading your account with similar trades. It can also stop you from chasing too many opportunities at once.
The ‘7’: Target at Least 7% Profit on Winning Trades
The final part of the rule shifts the focus to profit targets. While it is important to protect capital, it is just as important to make your wins count.
Why Aim for 7%?
It sets a positive risk-reward ratio
It keeps you from exiting trades too early
It balances out losses from failed trades
A common risk-reward setup with the 3-5-7 rule is risking 3% to make 7%, which is slightly more than a 2:1 ratio.
Example:
If you risk $300, you aim to make at least $700 on that trade. This way, even if you only win 4 out of 10 trades, you could still end up profitable.
This mindset avoids the trap of taking small profits while letting losses run. It encourages patience and better trade selection.
Real-Life Example: How the 3-5-7 Rule Works in Practice
Let’s walk through a full scenario using a $10,000 trading account.
Step 1: Set Up a Trade
You identify a strong technical setup on a crude oil futures contract. You decide to risk 3% on the trade.
3% of $10,000 = $300
Your stop-loss is 15 points
Each point is worth $10
You trade 2 contracts (15 x $10 x 2 = $300 risk)
Step 2: Check Portfolio Exposure
You have one other trade open in the E-mini S&P 500 with $200 risk. Together, your total exposure is $500.
$500 ÷ $10,000 = 5%
You are within the 5% total exposure rule
Step 3: Set Profit Targets
You set a take-profit level that would net a $700 gain on the crude oil trade.
This is a 7% gain on your total capital
It creates a risk-reward ratio of a little over 2:1
Result
If the crude oil trade hits your stop, you lose $300. If it hits your take-profit, you make $700. As long as you stay consistent, your wins will outweigh your losses over time.
Trade Futures with a Small Account
Start your live trading application and begin with margins as low as $80 per contract.
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Tools and Techniques to Help Apply the Rule
Using the 3-5-7 rule effectively means staying organized, prepared, and disciplined. Fortunately, there are plenty of tools and techniques that can help you apply this framework with consistency.
Risk Management Tools
A position size calculator can help you quickly determine how many contracts or shares to trade based on your stop-loss and 3% risk cap.
Setting stop-loss and take-profit orders directly in your trading platform ensures you stay within your defined limits without needing to react in real time.
Keeping a risk log or trading journal helps you track how much exposure you have across trades and how well you’re sticking to the rule.
Trading Platform Features
Many modern platforms offer features that allow you to monitor total exposure across all open positions in real time.
You can create alerts that notify you when your total open risk approaches your 5% threshold, helping you avoid overexposure.
Platforms like MetroTrader give you access to customizable charting and risk-management tools that support strategy development and execution.
Mindset and Habits
Avoiding revenge trades after a loss helps you stay aligned with the 3% risk rule and keeps your emotions in check.
Sticking to your 7% profit target reduces the temptation to take profits too early or close a trade out of fear.
Following a routine that includes pre-trade planning and post-trade review builds long-term discipline and confidence in your system.
Benefits of Using the 3-5-7 Rule
This rule may seem basic, but it supports long-term success in many ways.
Protects your capital by limiting exposure and drawdowns
Builds discipline through clear risk rules and profit targets
Supports consistent decision-making regardless of market conditions
Improves trade quality by forcing you to prioritize risk-reward setups
Traders who apply this rule often stay more focused, more patient, and more prepared for losses. That mindset can make a big difference over time.
Limitations and Considerations
The 3-5-7 rule is not a one-size-fits-all solution. Like any strategy, it has some limitations:
It may be too conservative for small accounts or active scalpers.
It assumes that markets are liquid and easy to enter and exit.
It does not guarantee success without good trade selection and discipline.
Also, some traders may choose to modify the percentages over time based on their risk tolerance, experience, or account size.
How to Practice the 3-5-7 Rule on a Demo Account
The best way to build confidence using this rule is to test it with zero real money at stake.
Use a Demo Account To:
Try different trade sizes and stop-loss levels
Practice applying the 3%, 5%, and 7% limits
See how your strategy performs over 50 or 100 trades
MetroTrade offers a 30-day free demo account loaded with $5,000 in simulated capital. You can use this to apply the 3-5-7 rule in real market conditions and gain experience before going live.
Try a Free Demo Account
Should You Use the 3-5-7 Rule?
The 3-5-7 rule is a simple, effective approach to managing risk in trading. It does not rely on complex formulas or advanced tools. Instead, it gives you a reliable framework for making smarter trading decisions and avoiding emotional mistakes.
It works especially well for beginners and intermediate traders who want to improve consistency without overcomplicating their strategy. Even experienced traders can benefit from the discipline this rule creates.
If you want to trade with more structure and confidence, give the 3-5-7 rule a try. Start with a demo account, stay consistent, and adapt the rule as you grow.
FAQs
What is the 3-5-7 rule in trading?
The 3-5-7 rule is a trading risk management strategy that limits risk to 3% of your account per trade, restricts total exposure to 5% across all open positions, and sets a 7% profit target on winning trades. It helps traders control losses and improve long-term consistency.
How do you calculate 3% risk per trade?
Why is limiting total exposure to 5% important?
What does a 7% profit target mean in trading?
Is the 3-5-7 rule good for beginner traders?
Can futures traders use the 3-5-7 rule?
The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered trading, investment, tax, or legal advice. Futures trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should carefully consider whether trading is appropriate for your financial situation. Always consult with a licensed financial professional before making any trading decisions. Crypto Roar is not liable for any losses or damages arising from the use of this content.
Despite ETF hype, central banks and asset allocators continue to choose gold over crypto for reserve and trade purposes.
What to know:
Gold has outperformed bitcoin since the launch of spot BTC ETFs, rising 58% as bitcoin fell 12%.
Mark Connors says bitcoin remains “too young” for institutional trust, while gold continues to benefit from established infrastructure and trade use.
Bitcoin’s recent slump reflects a global liquidity squeeze, not sentiment, with Connors pointing to U.S. Treasury spending delays as a key factor.
Gold is beating bitcoin BTC$90,735.80 this year — not just in price action, but in investor confidence. Since the launch of spot bitcoin ETFs in early 2025, many expected a strong and sustained rally in the digital asset. But nearly two years later, gold has quietly outperformed, raising questions about whether bitcoin is truly ready to rival traditional safe-haven assets.
While bitcoin is down about 12% since the launch of the ETFs in January 2024, gold has risen 58% over the same period. For Mark Connors, founder and chief macro strategist of bitcoin investment advisory Risk Dimensions and former global head of risk advisory at Credit Suisse, the answer is straightforward: not yet.
Strategy’s Michael Saylor weighs in on whether bitcoin’s four-year cycle is dead: CNBC Crypto World
On today’s episode of CNBC Crypto World, Michael Saylor, the founder and executive chairman or Strategy, provides his outlook for bitcoin in 2026 and discusses whether he thinks the cryptocurrency’s four-year cycle is dead.
Former Prime Minister of Pakistan Imran Khan in Jail.
📰 What’s going on now: Imran Khan in jail & growing unrest
Imran Khan remains imprisoned at Adiala Jail in Rawalpindi. Authorities say he is “in good health” and receiving standard facilities.
Despite official assurances, his family and political allies claim he has been held in isolation for weeks, with no access for his sisters, lawyers, or party representatives.
The lack of transparency about his health and whereabouts has fueled widespread concern and speculation — including alarming rumors that he might have died in custody. These rumors spread rapidly on social media and among supporters.
✊ Sisters’ protest & clash with police
In late November 2025, Imran’s sisters — including Noreen Niazi, Aleema Khan and another sister — along with supporters staged a sit-in outside Adiala Jail after being denied permission to meet him.
The protest reportedly lasted many hours. According to his party, the sisters and other peaceful protesters were “manhandled” and “violently detained” by police, even though they claim they neither blocked roads nor engaged in unlawful behaviour.
After the incident, Noreen Niazi submitted a formal complaint to the Punjab Inspector General of Police alleging a “brutal assault and unlawful detention” of peaceful protesters.
The sisters and PTI supporters have demanded an impartial probe into the police conduct and full transparency regarding Imran Khan's status.
⚠️ Rumours, denial and the atmosphere of fear
Among the public, serious rumours circulated claiming that Imran Khan had died in custody — or had been killed. Some social-media accounts even claimed his body was being moved.
The jail administration strongly denied those claims. Officials said Imran is alive, healthy, and under standard custody care, dismissing death rumours as “baseless.”
However, the prolonged isolation, lack of family contact, and suppression of visits have created growing distrust among his supporters — who view the silence as part of a deliberate attempt to suppress information.
📣 What the family and supporters are demanding — and fears they voice
The family — especially Noreen Niazi — has demanded immediate access to Imran, an independent investigation into police actions against protesters, and assurance that he is being treated humanely and lawfully.
They warn that if anything happens to him, the state would be held responsible — reflecting deep concern for his safety and wellbeing.
Among supporters, there’s a rising sense of urgency and fear that his detention conditions may be worse than publicly acknowledged, fueling calls for accountability and transparency.
📝 Why this matters
The case of Imran Khan is not just about one individual — it touches on larger issues: rule of law, transparency, civil liberties and political rights. The way his detention is handled — whether the state allows family access, whether hospitals/jail transparently report his condition, whether protests are allowed — sends a broader signal about political dissent, human rights, and state accountability in Pakistan.
Given how quickly rumours and tensions are escalating, this issue has the potential to reshape public trust, political mobilization, and international perception of human-rights practices in Pakistan.
Former Prime Minister of Pakistan Imran Khan in Jail.
📰 What’s going on now: Imran Khan in jail & growing unrest
Imran Khan remains imprisoned at Adiala Jail in Rawalpindi. Authorities say he is “in good health” and receiving standard facilities.
Despite official assurances, his family and political allies claim he has been held in isolation for weeks, with no access for his sisters, lawyers, or party representatives.
The lack of transparency about his health and whereabouts has fueled widespread concern and speculation — including alarming rumors that he might have died in custody. These rumors spread rapidly on social media and among supporters.
✊ Sisters’ protest & clash with police
In late November 2025, Imran’s sisters — including Noreen Niazi, Aleema Khan and another sister — along with supporters staged a sit-in outside Adiala Jail after being denied permission to meet him.
The protest reportedly lasted many hours. According to his party, the sisters and other peaceful protesters were “manhandled” and “violently detained” by police, even though they claim they neither blocked roads nor engaged in unlawful behaviour.
After the incident, Noreen Niazi submitted a formal complaint to the Punjab Inspector General of Police alleging a “brutal assault and unlawful detention” of peaceful protesters.
The sisters and PTI supporters have demanded an impartial probe into the police conduct and full transparency regarding Imran Khan's status.
⚠️ Rumours, denial and the atmosphere of fear
Among the public, serious rumours circulated claiming that Imran Khan had died in custody — or had been killed. Some social-media accounts even claimed his body was being moved.
The jail administration strongly denied those claims. Officials said Imran is alive, healthy, and under standard custody care, dismissing death rumours as “baseless.”
However, the prolonged isolation, lack of family contact, and suppression of visits have created growing distrust among his supporters — who view the silence as part of a deliberate attempt to suppress information.
📣 What the family and supporters are demanding — and fears they voice
The family — especially Noreen Niazi — has demanded immediate access to Imran, an independent investigation into police actions against protesters, and assurance that he is being treated humanely and lawfully.
They warn that if anything happens to him, the state would be held responsible — reflecting deep concern for his safety and wellbeing.
Among supporters, there’s a rising sense of urgency and fear that his detention conditions may be worse than publicly acknowledged, fueling calls for accountability and transparency.
📝 Why this matters
The case of Imran Khan is not just about one individual — it touches on larger issues: rule of law, transparency, civil liberties and political rights. The way his detention is handled — whether the state allows family access, whether hospitals/jail transparently report his condition, whether protests are allowed — sends a broader signal about political dissent, human rights, and state accountability in Pakistan.
Given how quickly rumours and tensions are escalating, this issue has the potential to reshape public trust, political mobilization, and international perception of human-rights practices in Pakistan.
$BTC $BNB The Dollar’s Decline: When $1 Feels Like $100 — Understanding the Economics Behind Inflation #ProjectCrypto #BinanceAlphaAlert #BTCRebound90kNext? #USJobsData #CPIWatch There was a time, not too far in the past, when $1 carried real purchasing power. It could buy snacks, groceries, transport, or simple daily essentials. But in today’s world, that same dollar has weakened so much that it feels like $100 from the past. This dramatic shift isn’t just nostalgia—it’s economics in motion.
The story of the dollar’s declining power is the story of inflation, global financial pressures, and a rapidly changing world economy.
The Silent Thief: Inflation
Inflation is often called the silent thief because it reduces your purchasing power without you noticing immediately. When inflation rises, the price of goods and services increases. What used to cost $1 may now cost $10, $20, or even $100 depending on how many years have passed and how fast inflation has climbed.
Why does inflation happen?
Increase in money supply When governments print more currency, the value of each unit falls.
Rising production and transportation costs Higher fuel prices, supply chain issues, and rising wages push costs upward.
Demand-pull pressure When people demand more goods than the market can supply, prices naturally rise.
Global crises Wars, pandemics, and geopolitical tensions can disrupt trade and increase prices worldwide.
Dollar Strength vs. Domestic Purchasing Power
Many people confuse the strength of the dollar with its purchasing power.
A currency can be strong globally but still lose its domestic value.
For example, the U.S. dollar may perform well against foreign currencies, yet everyday American goods become more expensive due to inflation.
This is exactly why people say, “$1 today is like $100 from the past.”
How the Dollar Lost Its Value Over Time
Over the last several decades, the dollar has gradually weakened:
In the 1960s, $1 could buy several meals.
By the 1990s, it still held reasonable power.
In the 2020s and 2030s, inflation accelerated due to supply chain disruptions, global conflicts, excessive printing of money, and rising interest rate cycles.
While wages increased, they didn’t rise fast enough to match inflation. This widened the gap between income and cost of living.
The result? A dollar buys significantly less than it used to.
The Real Impact on Everyday Life
Inflation doesn’t just change numbers—it changes lifestyles.
Savings lose value Money saved years ago buys less today.
Essential goods become unaffordable Food, electricity, rent, healthcare, and fuel prices rise continuously.
Middle class gets squeezed Their income increases slower than their expenses.
Investments become necessary, not optional People now invest simply to maintain the value of their money.
In many countries, inflation has become the new normal rather than the exception.
Why $1 Feels Like $100 Now
Several long-term factors contribute:
1. Currency Devaluation
When too much money enters circulation, each dollar becomes weaker.
2. Rising Global Costs
Energy, logistics, and manufacturing have become more expensive worldwide.
If wages don’t grow at the same pace as prices, purchasing power collapses.
When you combine all these factors, the cost of living multiplies. What $1 bought decades ago may now require $100.
Protecting Yourself in a High-Inflation World
While we cannot control inflation, we can control how we respond to it:
Diversify investments Crypto, gold, real estate, index funds—spread your risk.
Avoid holding large amounts of cash Cash loses value fastest during inflation.
Increase financial literacy Understanding markets helps protect your wealth.
Focus on income-generating skills The best hedge against inflation is higher earning power.
Final Thoughts
The transformation of the dollar—from a strong, reliable unit to a weakened currency—tells a bigger story. It reflects how instability, global politics, and economic decisions shape our daily lives.
Once upon a time, $1 was enough. But in today’s world, that same dollar demands strategy, planning, and awareness.
The lesson is clear: Money changes. Value changes. But financial wisdom lasts forever.
The crypto market is up today, for a fourth day in a row, with the cryptocurrency market capitalisation seeing a notable rise of 4.2%, now standing at $3.2 trillion. 88 of the top 100 coins have gone up over the past 24 hours. At the same time, the total crypto trading volume is at $159 billion.
TLDR:
The crypto market capitalisation jumped on Thursday morning (UTC) by 4.2%;
88 of the top 100 coins and all of the top 10 coins have gone up today;
BTC increased by 4.7% to $91,506, and ETH rose by 3.9% to $3,027;
‘Current price structure shows bulls and bears battling around key liquidity zones’;
Global ‘risk-off’ macro environment and leveraged selling was a necessary structural cleanse;
Short-term, speculative players are out, making way for long-term investors;
Investors should monitor the rising risk of volatility ahead of the December meeting in the US;
Bolivia has reversed its long-standing ban on digital assets;
On Wednesday, both US BTC and ETH spot ETFs saw inflows of $21.12 million and $60.82 million, respectively;
Strategy launched a credit-rating dashboard to reassure investors;
Crypto market sentiment has seen a slight increase within the extreme fear zone.
Crypto Winners & Losers
At the time of writing, all of the top 10 coins per market capitalization have seen their prices appreciate over the past 24 hours.
Bitcoin (BTC) appreciated by 4.7% since this time yesterday, moving above the $90,000 mark, currently trading at $91,506. This is the highest increase in the category.
Looking at the top 100 coins, we find that 88 recorded increases. Among these, two saw double-digit rises. Kaspa (KAS) is up 20.8% to $0.06169.
Flare (FLR) rose by 11.9% to the price of $0.01516.
On the other side, MemeCore (M) fell 30.4% to the price of $1.27.
BTC USD price today: Bitcoin rebounded above $90,000 on Wednesday, before Thanksgiving and offered some relief to investors after a challenging two weeks that had many in the crypto community worried about a potential bear market, as per a report.
Bitcoin Price Surges Past $90,000 Amid Market Recovery Before Thanksgiving 2025
The world’s largest cryptocurrency hit a high of $90,334 in the afternoon before dipping slightly, most recently trading at $90,035 as per a report by Decrypt. Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin climbed more than 3%, signaling a modest recovery.
November BTC USD Crash Wipes Out 2025 Bitcoin Gains
November has been a turbulent month for Bitcoin, with the digital asset falling to nearly $81,000 at one point, wiping out its gains for 2025. In October, Bitcoin reached a record high of $126,080, which means that it is now about 29% below that peak.
#USJobsData #BinanceHODLerAT #IPOWave #ProjectCrypto #TrumpTariffs $BTC The job market weakened a bit this month as some employers cut back on hiring plans or reduced employees’ hours and others shed jobs, according to the Federal Reserve’s latest anecdotal Beige Book. The report is a data-light snapshot of the U.S. economy, giving the Fed visibility into what businesses are experiencing as Fed officials prepare to vote on interest rates.1 It may take on added importance at the Fed’s Dec. 9-10 meeting, since the government shutdown prompted the cancellation of October’s jobs report and a delay in November’s.
The picture suggests conditions may have weakened since September, when employers added some 119,000 jobs.
Employment “declined slightly” as of mid-November, the Fed’s Beige Book said, with about half of the Fed’s 12 districts seeing weaker demand for workers.
“Despite an uptick in layoff announcements, more Districts reported contacts limiting headcounts using hiring freezes, replacement-only hiring and attrition than through layoffs,” the report said. “In addition, several employers adjusted hours worked to accommodate higher or lower than expected business volume instead of adjusting the number of employees.” A few businesses also flagged early impacts of artificial intelligence, noting it replaced some entry-level positions “or made existing workers productive enough to curb new hiring.” $ETH
SEC must not let crypto companies 'bypass' rules, stock exchanges say
Nov 26 (Reuters) - The Securities and Exchange Commission's possible plan to grant crypto companies relief from regulation to sell "tokenised" stocks risks harming investors, a group of stock exchanges said in a letter to the U.S. regulator this week.
Several crypto companies plan to sell crypto tokens linked to listed equities to retail investors who want to get exposure to stocks without owning them directly. But to sell the products in the U.S., crypto companies which are not registered as broker-dealers would need the SEC to give them a no-action letter or an exemption.
SEC Chair Paul Atkins has said the agency is working on crafting an "innovation exemption" from securities laws which would enable crypto players to experiment with new business models.
The World Federation of Exchanges (WFE), a group whose members include the U.S. Nasdaq (NDAQ.O), opens new tab and Germany's Deutsche Boerse (DB1Gn.DE), opens new tab, said in a letter dated November 21 that an exemption could create market integrity risks and undermine investor protections.
Some analyses expect BTC to trade between $150,000 and $230,000 in 2026 under favorable conditions (strong institutional demand, widespread adoption, macro tailwinds).
A more bullish projection sees BTC possibly reaching ~$200,000 by end of 2026.
Conservative-to-moderate forecasts (less optimistic about a major bull surge) put BTC closer to ~$95,000–$100,000.
Some ultra-optimistic models — often based on long-term “cycle” expectations — suggest a wide but extreme upside: $300,000 and higher, though these carry significantly greater risk and uncertainty.
🎯 Why there’s such a wide range
Volatility: BTC historically swings widely; small changes in sentiment, regulation, macroeconomics can cause large price moves.
Adoption & demand: Institutional investment, adoption by funds or governments, and retail demand could push prices up.
Regulatory & macro conditions: Global economic environment, regulation around crypto, and currency inflation — especially relevant for people in countries like Pakistan — play a big role.
Tech cycles and “halving” effect: Past BTC cycles often show price surges some time after each halving event; some models assume that pattern continues.
✅ My rough “if I had to pick” scenarios (not financial advice)
If I were forced to choose, with current data:
Base-case: BTC around $120,000–$150,000 — moderate growth, no extreme tailwinds.
Bullish-case: BTC reaches $180,000–$220,000 — if adoption, macro factors, and sentiment align.
Bearish / conservative-but-possible: BTC could hover near $90,000–$110,000 — if the market cools, macro conditions worsen.
📈 What Could Be a Likely BTC Outcome After a December 2025 Rate Cut If everything lines up (i.e. rate cut + positive macro tone + renewed institutional interest), we might see: A renewed bullish wave — investors buying BTC again as they shift out of bonds / low-yield assets. Price recovery or rally over the medium term (few weeks to months), especially if investors view Bitcoin as a “risk-on” asset. Potential spillover to altcoins — as BTC stabilizes or rises, capital might rotate into other cryptos seeking higher returns. Increased volatility — price swings may be bigger, which could mean big gains or sharp corrections. If conditions are weak or the cut is seen as a sign of economic trouble, there could be a more cautious or even negative reaction — with volatility and muted gains (or even losses) before stability returns. 🎯 My View: Rate Cut Helps — But Treat BTC as a Macro-Sensitive Risk Asset If I were investing in BTC around a December 2025 rate cut, I’d treat it as a macro-driven opportunity — not a guarantee. I’d expect short-term swings and think medium-term (3–6 months) may bring recovery or growth. I’d stay alert to macro news (global economy, institutional flows, regulations) — they’ll likely matter more than just the rate cut itself. And I’d avoid over-leveraging — because while liquidity might improve, the downside risk remains real in crypto. 🚀 Bullish Scenario: BTC After the Rate Cut 1. Liquidity Rush Boosts Crypto A rate cut means cheaper borrowing and more money entering markets. BTC reacts strongly to liquidity because it’s a high-beta asset. Result: capital flows back into Bitcoin ETFs and exchanges. 2. Institutions Re-Enter Hard When yields on bonds drop, institutions shift toward higher-return assets. BTC is usually their first choice in crypto. 👉 Bitcoin ETF inflows rise 👉 Big funds increase allocations 👉 Volumes jump 3. Dollar Weakens → BTC Strengthens A weaker USD often increases BTC demand globally. 4. BTC Breaks Key Levels Momentum traders and algos follow liquidity signals. BTC pushes toward new resistance zones. Possible bullish BTC range: ➡️ 10–20% rise in 1–3 months ➡️ Recovery toward previous highs ➡️ Altcoins begin rotating upward after BTC stabilizes 5. Market Tone Turns Risk-On Stocks, tech, and crypto rise together. Twitter, YouTube, analysts start pushing bullish narratives again. Result: A slow but solid crypto recovery leading into 2026. 📉 Bearish Scenario: BTC After the Rate Cut 1. Rate Cut Seen as a Warning If the Fed cuts because the economy is weakening, markets may panic. BTC behaves like a risk asset — not a safe haven — so: ➡️ Investors reduce risk ➡️ Crypto sees volatility first ➡️ Some sell BTC fearing recession or slowdown 2. Liquidity Doesn’t Arrive Fast Enough Sometimes rate cuts don’t immediately increase liquidity. If credit markets are stressed or banks are cautious: BTC won’t get the liquidity boost it needs. 3. Sell-the-News Reaction If BTC already rallied in anticipation: Traders take profit after the cut. Short-term correction of 5–15% is possible. 4. Global Headwinds Cancel Out Gains If: unemployment rises inflation stays sticky geopolitical tensions increase regulations tighten → Crypto markets could stay sideways or bearish. 5. Altcoins Bleed More Than BTC As always: BTC falls slowly Altcoins fall fast Dominance rises as people flee to safety. 🔮 Neutral–Realistic Scenario (Most Common) The market rarely goes fully bullish or fully bearish. Most likely: Small bounce → volatility → medium-term upward trend BTC doesn’t explode but begins a gradual upward recovery with 2026 becoming the real breakout year, not December itself 🎯 Final Take A December 2025 rate cut helps Bitcoin, but doesn’t guarantee a bull run. Bitcoin behaves like a macro asset now — it depends on: liquidity risk appetite institutional flows global confidence If conditions align → BTC uptrend begins If conditions worsen → BTC becomes volatile and cautious
Bitcoin climbs to $89,000 after hefty weekly losses
#BTCRebound90kNext? #USJobsData #IPOWave #ProjectCrypto #WriteToEarnUpgrade Bitcoin climbs to $89,000 after hefty weekly losses Economies.com 2025-11-24 14:32PM UTC Bitcoin posted a slight rebound on Monday after a difficult week, though the broader crypto market remained under pressure amid persistent institutional outflows and uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve’s policy path heading into December. The world’s largest cryptocurrency was up 1.4% at 87,050.5 dollars as of 01:25 ET (06:25 GMT). Bitcoin had fallen more than 10% last week, hitting a seven-month low near 80,000 dollars.
Continued ETF outflows extend institutional selling pressure
The token dipped to a 24-hour low of 88,610.4 dollars before recovering above 90,000 dollars.
Data showed that US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs logged another week of heavy redemptions, extending their losing streak to a fourth straight week. According to SoSoValue, these funds recorded 1.22 billion dollars in net outflows during the week ending November 21, bringing total redemptions over the past four weeks to about 4.34 billion dollars.
At the same time, trading volumes in spot Bitcoin ETFs surged to record levels, which analysts described as a sign of “institutional capitulation.” Weekly trading activity in these funds exceeded 40 billion dollars.
Economic uncertainty continues to weigh on crypto assets. Market pricing now suggests roughly a 70% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in December, up from around 44% a week ago.
But despite rising expectations, many Fed officials remain cautious, warning that inflation is still elevated and the labor market remains resilient.
Without fresh catalysts, the crypto market may stay under pressure in the near term.
Uncertainty was also amplified by the recent US government shutdown, which delayed key economic releases. The absence of timely data has left markets “flying blind,” raising doubts about how aggressive Fed easing can realistically be.
Investors are now watching for crucial reports such as retail sales and the producer price index, due later this week.
Crypto prices today: modest gains in altcoins after a steep weekly pullback
Most major altcoins edged higher on Monday following sharp declines last week, though trading remained confined within narrow ranges. Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, rose 1.2% to 2,842.88 dollars. XRP, the third-largest token by market value, climbed 1.7% to 2.07 dollars. $BTC $ETH $BNB
On November 24, 2025, U.S. District Judge Cameron McGowan Currie delivered a startling ruling: the appointment of Lindsey Halligan as interim U.S. Attorney for the Eastern District of Virginia was invalid, and as a direct consequence, the indictments she secured against former FBI Director James Comey and New York Attorney General Letitia James must be dismissed.
The Legal Basis
Judge Currie concluded that Halligan’s appointment violated both the statutory limit for interim U.S. Attorneys under 28 U.S.C. § 546 and the Appointments Clause of the U.S. Constitution. Specifically:
The law allows the Attorney General to appoint an interim U.S. Attorney for 120 days after the prior U.S. Attorney leaves office. After that period, the vacancy must be filled by the district court if the Senate has not confirmed a nominee.
In this case, the clock had already been triggered by Halligan’s predecessor, meaning Halligan’s appointment exceeded that lawful window without being approved by the court. Judge Currie held that this meant her appointment was unlawful.
Because Halligan alone signed and presented the indictments, the court found that “all actions flowing from Ms Halligan’s defective appointment … constitute unlawful exercises of executive power and must be set aside.”
Impact on the Cases The charges against Comey and James were dismissed without prejudice — meaning prosecutors could technically re-file the charges, but only under a lawfully appointed prosecutor. In Comey’s case, Judge Currie suggested re-indictment may be impossible because the statute of limitations has expired. For Letitia James, the door for a re-file remains open, but only if the DOJ proceeds under proper legal authority.
Political & Institutional Implications This ruling is significant beyond the individual indictments. It represents a major check on how interim U.S. Attorneys are appointed — reinforcing that the Senate confirmation/oversight process cannot simply be bypassed by repeated interim appointments.
The timing and context are politically charged: both Comey and James have been vocal critics of Donald Trump, and the appointments and charges were viewed by many as intertwined with Trump’s agenda. Judge Currie’s ruling underscores that legal technicalities of appointment and process are still potent constraints on executive power.
The decision may prompt further litigation or appeal, possibly reaching the Supreme Court, given the wider issue of presidential and DOJ power in staffing prosecutions. What’s Next The U.S. Department of Justice has already indicated it will appeal the decision.
The question now: Can the DOJ refile the cases under a prosecutor lawfully appointed, and if so, will the charges survive scrutiny?
Also, this may lead to heightened scrutiny of other interim U.S. Attorney appointments across the country — whether similar defects in appointment might invalidate other actions.
In short: A procedural, but powerful, legal ruling has undone two high-profile prosecutions by finding the person who brought the charges lacked lawful authority. The ripple effects for prosecutorial power, the independence of the judiciary, and the integrity of politically‐charged cases are substantial. #IPOWave #US #Haligan #USJobsData $SOL $XRP $BTC
In September 2025, the U.S. economy added 119,000 non-farm jobs, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
The unemployment rate was 4.4% in September — slightly higher than recent months.
Some sectors saw growth: health-care added ~43,000 jobs, food services ~37,000, and social assistance ~14,000.
The government states that wages for some workers are rising and they point to private-sector gains.
⚠️ What’s Concerning
Job growth is much slower than in previous years. The 119,000 figure is modest relative to historical norms.
August’s job numbers were revised downward (to a job loss, in fact) — showing part of the slowdown.
Data for October is missing or delayed because of the federal government shutdown — making real-time interpretation harder.
Announced layoffs and cost-cutting are up, especially with automation (AI) and weak hiring in some sectors.
Some indicators suggest the labour market is cooling, even if not yet collapsing.
🧮 Economic Indicators & Outlook
Because of the data gap (October’s report missing), the BLS will publish combined data for October + November later than normal.
While some officials (like the Treasury secretary) express optimism that there won’t be a recession in 2026, risks remain — especially in rate-sensitive sectors (housing, consumer).
Inflation, consumer sentiment and borrowing costs remain key watch-points: slower job growth + high rates = a tricky balance.
For policy: The Federal Reserve is likely to keep a “wait and see” stance given mixed labour data and inflation pressures.
🔍 What to Watch Next
The combined October + November jobs report: this will give a clearer picture of where the labour market is heading.
Wage growth trends: if wages stagnate while jobs slow, household purchasing power could weaken.
Job losses/layoffs announcements: increasing lay-off volume could signal a more serious slowdown.
Treasury Secretary Bessent says there won’t be a US recession in 2026 ✅ Economic Growth & Outlook
The U.S. economy grew at an annualized 3.8% in the second quarter, a significant upward revision from earlier estimates.
Scott Bessent (Treasury Secretary) said the 43-day government shutdown cost the economy about $11 billion, but he does not believe the whole economy is headed into recession.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the US is not at risk of a recession in 2026 – adding that he’s “very, very optimistic” about the impact from President Trump’s tariffs and trade deals.
When asked whether the US could slip into a recession next year, Bessent said “no.”
“I am very, very optimistic on 2026. We have set the table for a very strong, noninflationary growth economy,” Bessent told NBC News’ Kristen Welker during “Meet the Press” on Sunday.
Bessent added that Americans will feel relief next year as Trump’s tariffs, trade deals and “big, beautiful bill” set in.
Specifically, “health care is going to come down,” Bessent said, adding that details on this front will come this week.
It’s a sharp turnaround from earlier this year, when Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan hiked odds of a US recession to 65% and 60%, respectively, after Trump unveiled his “Liberation Day” tariffs.
Back in 2000, every random company that added “.com” to its name got crazy overvalued. People invested in hype, not revenue. So when reality kicked in, boom — prices collapsed.
🤖 Now about AI stocks… could the same thing happen?
AI right now is the hottest thing on Earth. Companies are booming, money is flying, and valuations are sky-high. But here’s the twist: AI isn’t a fad tech like many 1999 dot-coms — AI is already being used in:
healthcare
finance
manufacturing
creative tools
robotics
defense
logistics
phones, apps, OS… literally everywhere
This means AI has real revenue, real products, real adoption.
BUT…
Some AI stocks are definitely overhyped, especially tiny AI-labelled companies with no real tech. Those can crash.
📉 So will there be a crash?
A mini-crash? Yes, absolutely possible. Some companies will go down 70–90% just like the dot-com era.
A full-blown 2000-style meltdown? Less likely. Because the major players (NVIDIA, MSFT, Google, OpenAI partners, AWS, Apple) have actual businesses, not just hype.
💡 Think of it like this:
The AI bubble is real.
The AI revolution is also real.
Some stocks will die.
Some will become giants like Amazon did after the dot-com crash.
🔥 My honest take:
The losers will be copycats. The winners will dominate the next 20 years. History won’t repeat, but it definitely rhymes.