juice13

In the cryptocurrency world for seven years, I have learned to keep my mouth shut.

In 2023, an older sister listened to my advice and bought Ethereum. After a 50% increase, she kept asking, "Should I sell?"

I advised her to HODL, but she kept asking, and I understood: she only wanted me to nod. I said, "Sell it." She placed the order in seconds, and later ETH doubled again. When she asked me about coins, I reminded her of the dinner debt that had been overdue for two years, and from then on, she fell silent.

Entering the scene in 2018, seven years have passed. The higher my level, the fewer friends I have. Thousands of fans, endless likes, yet not a single one truly understands.

They ask, "What do you think of this altcoin?" I reply, "I don’t know." They are shocked, thinking I’m playing coy. But I genuinely don’t know. To study a project, one must look at the whitepaper, unlock schedules, on-chain data, and a month is considered fast. When they ask how much it can rise, I still don’t know. Experts are not fortune-tellers.

I advised relatives to buy BTC in a bull market, and they said, "Wait for the MEME to break even." I smiled wryly, "By the time you break even, Layer 2 will be on its third generation." They acknowledge you as an expert, yet want you to play by the logic of a novice: only buy at low prices, only buy what they are stuck with, only sell when they want to sell. It's like a wife who can't drive but directs the experienced driver every day.

Someone followed my trade, boasted in the group after making a profit, even leveraged to surpass me. Next time they ask, I counter, "What do I gain?" Three years without a red envelope, I’m tired of it. I stay up late analyzing data while they go all-in in five minutes and blame me when they get liquidated. Help once, bear a lifetime of burden.

There was a time when ETH's pattern was perfect; I advised a friend to liquidate, saying there were anomalies on-chain. Later, it really crashed. He avoided the loss but never contacted me again, thinking I was in the know. Another time, I helped a friend double her SOL and escape at the peak; she blamed me for not calling it at the highest point. I was speechless.

Later, when a friend asked about profits, I screenshot my wallet, and we parted ways forever. They said I was showing off; back then, they had villas and luxury cars while I worked odd jobs. Who's showing off?

The loneliness of the cryptocurrency world is that you increase your position in a bear market while others cut their losses; when you escape at the peak, others say you’re just lucky. No more advice, no more explanations.

After seven years, I have learned to keep my mouth shut. If you also look at on-chain data and calculate unlocks, we don’t need to talk to understand each other. @juice13

A fan who trades spot asked me: Master, why are you always so leisurely, only making three or four waves a year, yet you can always double your money?

I pushed my teacup aside and shared the following with him.

First, enlarge the cycle. Treat all fluctuations below the daily line as noise; the 4-hour chart is only for viewing structure, while the real signals for betting must appear on the daily or even weekly charts.

Use very light positions for trial trades, like throwing stones to ask for directions. Once the weekly close confirms the direction, gradually increase the positions, placing stop-losses just outside the opposing low points on the weekly K—wide enough for the market to breathe freely and wide enough for oneself to sleep well.

From opening to closing, it takes at least a month.

During this time, I don’t watch the market; I only spend three minutes after the daily close to compare with my plan: where am I in the current segment, is it a trend continuation or a consolidation? Just having it in mind is enough.

The rest of the time is spent reading, working out, coding, and even taking on a part-time job, treating trading as a side business.

People around me only know I “make some investments”; no one knows I actually hold a seven-figure position.

They can’t hold on because all they see are floating profits and losses.

I only see the life and death of trends: as long as the structure isn’t broken, I treat this position as if it doesn’t exist.

Nine out of ten small stop losses are in vain, but the tenth can recover all costs in one go, plus an entire year’s living expenses. Big money is given by the market, not pointed out by fingers.

Afraid of being anxious? Then start with 0.1 lots and double up as you go. Lower the frequency, and the leverage can naturally increase; if the frequency is high, even gods can’t save you. Remember, no matter how sharp a system is, it can’t withstand high-frequency wear and tear.

Capture three or four waves in a year, with each wave targeting 50%; when compounded, that’s a double.

Don’t be afraid of fewer market movements; the crypto space is never short of fluctuations; what’s scary is treating every fluctuation as a market movement.

Follow @juice13 to reduce trading frequency, allowing the market to work for you; this is the only way to live long and prosper increasingly.

$ZEC 3 AM, the phone kept vibrating

A girl from Wenzhou, Xiaoran, cried in the video: "Brother, 6000U is all gone! Full position 5x BTC long, a 3% pullback led to a liquidation, this is my half a year's internship salary!"

Her trading record is shocking: a full position of 5800U bet, no stop-loss set, and standing in the 4-hour overbought zone.

Many retail investors think "high leverage will lead to liquidation," but they don't know that a full position is the real culprit — it's like a car without brakes, a little bump leads to zero.

Let's do a straightforward calculation:
Full position of 5800U opening 5x, a reverse fluctuation of 6% directly leads to liquidation;

Using only 7% of the principal (420U) to open 5x, a fluctuation of 86.7% is needed to lose all total funds by 1.1%, with a risk tolerance 14 times worse!

I once lost sleep for three days due to a full position liquidation, and later summarized three "survival rules," the account steadily increased by 80%, also helping Xiaoran earn back 8000U in three months:

1️⃣ Only use 7% of total funds per trade
For a 6000U account, the maximum investment per trade is 420U, even if a stop-loss is triggered, it won't affect subsequent operations, leaving enough room for maneuver.

2️⃣ Single loss ≤ total funds 1.1%
Opening 5x with 420U, set a 1% stop-loss in advance, the actual loss is only 8.4U, cut at the point, never hold the position. Xiaoran once thought of waiting for a rebound, but I stopped her in time: "Stop-loss is for survival, not for giving up!"

3️⃣ Stay out of the market in uncertain conditions
Only engage in trends that are "easy to understand," such as daily line breaking key levels + volume cooperation, during volatile periods directly close the software, don't get tempted to follow the trend.

Another fan used these three rules to grow from 3200U to 55000U in four months: "Real experts make big money with small positions because there is always another opportunity."

Contracts are never about gambling with your life, and a full position is not a shortcut.

Surviving through discipline is more important than betting everything. I once stumbled in the dark, now I hold a bright lamp — the light is always on, will you come? @juice13

In the bear market of 2018, I held a full position of $BTC short to 6000 dollars, and 5000U instantly went to zero.

This is my third time blowing up, and I finally understand a truth: when trading contracts, first learn to lose money to survive.

The worst for beginners is not losing money, but losing it without understanding.

At the peak of the bull market at the end of 2017, I followed the call group and went all in on altcoin contracts, not understanding stop losses, not asking for logic, and got kicked out with a single spike after the bull market receded, not even knowing where I went wrong in the end.

Later, in the black swan of 312 in 2020, BTC fell 40% in a single day, and some people around me held onto long positions, losing from 8000U to only a few hundred, just like I did back then — they didn't understand: losing money is the cost of trading, not a shame.

The real "knowing how to lose money" starts with understanding the losses.

Later, I restarted with 1000U, setting a stop loss for every trade in advance:

For example, when charging to 4000 dollars on 2021 $ETH , I built a position with 1200U and set a stop loss at 1100U, clearly knowing I would lose a maximum of 8%. Even if the market reversed and I hit the stop loss, I was clear that it was a wrong trend judgment, not being led by emotions.

More importantly, losses should make sense.

I only take "small bets for big returns":

Risking 1U, at least making 3U profit; stop losses are always set at the daily low before, key moving averages, and other effective points, not set randomly based on feelings.

In 2022, during the FTX collapse, I tried small ETH long positions, immediately stopping losses upon market reversal, losing 50U but avoiding further crashes — this loss helped me preserve more principal.

Slowly, I rolled over with "knowing how to lose money": 1000U→30,000 U→120,000 U, and I never blew up again.

In fact, the core of profitability in the crypto world is not to always make money, but to lose in a systematic way: plan for losses in advance, control risk ratios, and decisively stop losses and exit.

Retail investors always think about "doubling at once", but don't understand: being able to calmly accept small losses is what allows you to withstand big market movements.

The pitfalls I've stepped into tell you: contracts are not about betting high or low, but using controllable losses to exchange for certain profits — first learn to lose money, then making money will come naturally.

It's really hard to walk alone in this market; I have leveled the pitfalls, do you want to walk together? @juice13

$BTC 5 years ago, I slapped myself hard while staring at the remaining 1800U in my account.

5000U entered the market, learned all the indicators, watched the market every day, but the more I traded, the more I lost. Holding positions, chasing uptrends, randomly adding to positions, I squandered my small capital down to just a fraction.

This is the deadlock for retail investors:

Always wanting to catch every market movement, I couldn't help but place orders whenever the K-line moved slightly. Clearly unable to understand, I still forced analyses, resulting in a flurry of futile effort.

Until I lost all my options, I finally comprehended a truth: contracts are an art of letting go; the more you let go, the smaller the risk and the greater the profit.

My core principle, condensed into 11 characters: large cycles, large moving averages, large slopes + waiting.

To be more specific:

Only look at daily charts and above, filter out all small cycle fluctuations;
Focus on moving averages above 100 days, short-term volatility cannot stir up waves;
Slope must be above 45°, directly pass on weak trends;
What remains is just dead waiting.

Markets that require you to think and get tangled in “long or short,” I resolutely avoid; only those trends that are obvious at a glance, without hesitation, are worth acting on.

This is how I operated later:

I spent 10 minutes every day scanning the daily charts, directly crossing out those that did not meet the “three major” principles, regardless of how much short-term profit others flaunted, I remained untempted. I once missed countless seemingly enticing markets, but I also avoided many liquidation traps.

With this simple method, 1800U slowly rolled:

30,000, 120,000, 570,000, 5 years without liquidation. While those around me stayed up all night for meager profits, I gained stability through “letting go.”

Actually, trading isn’t that complicated?

Don’t be greedy for market movements outside your system, only grasp the most familiar typical opportunities, and you’ll find making money becomes very simple.

This 11-character principle, those who understand will naturally get it. I struggled for many years to break through this barrier, and I won’t elaborate too much — true experts rely on “comprehension” and maintain their trading boundaries. @juice13

At 1 AM, my phone vibrated incessantly, and fan Aze sent 37 messages $FOLKS

Each one filled with a sobbing tone: “Teacher, save me! 100,000 U is down to 20,000, I understand Bollinger Bands and trend lines, but I just can't hold positions and keep adding, the more I lose, the more I rush to break even, the more I add, the more I lose, I can't sleep at all!”​

This is the fate of 90% of retail investors in the crypto market:

They learn technical indicators quickly, but when losses occur, they can't help but think “just wait a bit longer,” when in profit, they are anxious to add positions, and when the market consolidates, they fear missing out and make random trades — the real pitfall is not “not knowing how to read the market,” but rather “knowing full well, yet being unable to execute.”​

I pointed out 4 core psychological traps that caused his losses:​

Stubbornness: unwilling to admit mistakes after being stuck, small losses turn into big ones, essentially driven by the self-esteem of “not being able to lose”;​

Emotional trading: excited when making money and chasing highs, panicking and cutting losses when losing, being led by emotions;​

Fear of missing out: getting in as soon as the market moves, frequent trading causes the system to spiral out of control;​
Obsession with predictions: always thinking about guessing price movements, getting it wrong but stubbornly holding on, being hijacked by one's own judgment. ​
Even more deadly is the revenge trading after losses: rushing to recover, increasing position size, lowering standards, the more they try to remedy, the more they lose. ​

I gave him a set of strict rules to follow without exception:​

Set a “Calm Zone”: no trading within 20 minutes of a loss, review for 3 minutes before taking action, and the next trade must be half the position;​

Establish a fixed process: only accept A + signals (daily trend + confirmation from shorter cycles), list 10 entry prohibitions, with fixed position sizes and stop losses;​

Practice “small stop losses”: execute small stop losses for 30 consecutive days, recording “small losses protect future opportunities” each day;​

Structured review: for each trade, clearly write down the reasons for entering, whether rules were violated, regretful actions, and optimization directions. ​

Three months later, Aze's 20,000 U rose to 48,000, and he said: “I realized that winning in trading is about mindset; sticking to the rules is more important than understanding the technology!”​

The real enemy of retail investors in the crypto market is not the market itself, but their own psychological weaknesses.

Separating emotions from decision-making and replacing impulses with processes is the only way to break the cycle of losses — this is the core secret of trading. @juice13

$ETH 5 years ago, I entered the market with 5000U and made all the mistakes that new traders make: going all-in, chasing prices up and down, and losing 30% on a big drop. 5000U quickly dwindled to 2000U.

It wasn't until I faced a 20% flash crash while fully invested that I stared at my account with a blank mind, randomly adding positions and stopping losses, losing more with each action — that moment made me realize:

Position management is never about 'how much to invest', but about managing emotions. When emotions are stable, trading won't become distorted.

Later, I changed my rules: never exceed 10% of my position in a single stock, and make important decisions only after 2:30 PM.

The magic of a 10% position is that even if there’s a 20% drop, the loss is still within a manageable range, and emotions won't collapse.

If the position isn’t damaged and the logic remains, then hold on; if a stop-loss is necessary, it won’t affect future operations, and the mindset stays intact.

90% of market mistakes stem from 'grabbing': jumping into the market, rushing to take profits, the more anxious, the more chaotic.

I slowly realized that slowing down can actually be faster — waiting for a day for the market to clarify before acting helps avoid volatility traps; using a 10% position for trial and error, if it’s right, then increase the position, if it’s wrong, withdraw promptly, never stubbornly hold on.

Don’t think that small capital doesn’t need position management; on the contrary, small capital has weaker risk tolerance and needs to treat position size as a strategy, while techniques are at most tactics.

Relying on this 'slow position' logic, 2000U slowly rolled:

30,000, 150,000, 800,000, five years without liquidation, with the maximum drawdown never exceeding 5%. While people around me rely on technical analysis and frequently face liquidation, I steadily doubled my capital by 'controlling position size, stabilizing emotions'.

The transmission chain of trading has always been: emotions → mindset → response → results.

Full positions amplify fear and greed, distorting judgment; while reasonable position sizes can maintain emotional baselines, allowing you to calmly respond to market fluctuations.

The most profound realization after ten years in the market: no technique can replace position management.

If you want to grow your small capital, don’t fall for the mystique of candlestick patterns, first control your position size and stabilize your emotions — this is the true key to entering the trading door.

In this market, walking alone is too lonely. I have already paved the way; do you want to follow along? @juice13

$ZEC In the three years of ups and downs in the cryptocurrency world, I helped my college buddy grow from 3000U to 75,000U, but ultimately saw through human nature.

At the beginning of 2023, A-Zhe insisted on joining me in the cryptocurrency world, transferring 3000U and saying straightforwardly: "Bro, I’ll follow your lead!"

I immediately set three strict rules:

Only deal with mainstream coins like BTC and ETH, individual positions should not exceed 10%, when profits double, withdraw 50% to lock in gains, and stop-loss should be decisive. He patted his chest and agreed, filling up two pages in his notebook.

At first, his execution was on point: I told him to wait for a pullback to build positions, and he patiently waited for a week; I reminded him to reduce positions and take profits, and he did it without question. Riding the bullish trend, the initial capital of 3000U steadily grew, reaching 75,000U in half a year, a full 25 times increase.

But the profits went to his head, and he later spent every day in so-called “insider groups.”

"Bro, mainstream coins are rising too slowly! The 'mentor' says there’s an altcoin about to be listed on a top exchange, guaranteed to triple, I want to heavily invest in it!"

I was anxious and advised him: “That altcoin team is anonymous, and the white paper is empty, it’s clearly a pump and dump! Isn’t it better to secure your profits?"

He casually replied, “I’ll think about it,” and then turned around and poured all 60,000U into it, even without setting a stop-loss.

By the time I noticed, the coin price had crashed by 35%, and his 75,000U was left with only 49,000U.

I forced him to cut his losses, but he argued with red eyes: “This is the last chance, it’s about to rebound!” I tried to persuade him for three days, but he secretly added to his position.

A week later, that altcoin was delisted and ran away, leaving only 12,000U in his account—all of which were the mainstream coins I had forcibly locked in.

I tried to communicate with him, but he turned it around: “If you hadn’t stopped me, I would have made a fortune following the 'mentor', now it’s all your fault!"

Watching a once close brother become unrecognizable, I said no more, transferred half of the 12,000U to him, and silently blocked his contact.

The saddest part of the cryptocurrency world is not that newcomers lose due to ignorance, but that the people around them are consumed by profits and lose their original intentions.

I could help him avoid the hidden pitfalls of the bear market, but I couldn’t stop his madness after making profits.

The true essence of trading is never to gamble on rumors, but to engrave discipline into your bones and keep your heart steady without crossing the line. @juice13

$pippin 3800U flipped 20 times after liquidation: won the market, lost the heart

When he found me with a remaining balance of 1900U, his messages were filled with despair: “Bro, help me one more time, or I really can't hold on anymore!”

Seeing him anxious after multiple liquidations, I finally relented: “I will teach you the method, but you must stick to the discipline — split your positions into eight parts, no single ticket over 12%, profit must be transferred to an independent account, and never hesitate to cut losses.”

For the first 22 days, we steadily made progress:

Pre-market trend analysis, strictly executing profit-taking and stop-loss during trading, and optimizing through overnight reviews when encountering pullbacks.

From 3800U to 76,000U, the nearly 20-fold increase made him increasingly excited, always saying: “One more push, and I can completely turn it around!”

I repeatedly reminded him: “Preserving profits is ten times harder than doubling, don’t let greed cloud your judgment.” He agreed verbally, but his actions gradually went off track.

On the 25th day, he went all-in on popular altcoins behind my back, even without setting a stop-loss.

By the time I noticed, the account had already pulled back 51%. I urged him to cut losses immediately, but he stubbornly waited for a rebound: “This opportunity is rare, if I miss it, it’s gone.”

On the 28th day, the coin price plummeted sharply, and 76,000U was ultimately reduced to just 8000U. He even blamed me: “Why didn’t you stop me!” I didn’t argue, quietly ended my help.

Originally reaching out with good intentions, I forgot that the scariest thing in the crypto world is not loss, but the loss of respect after gaining profits.

Many can flip thousands of U into tens of thousands of U, but few can keep their original intent without inflating.

Later, I saved our initial chat records as a constant reminder to myself: goodwill needs to be paired with rules, and assistance can’t compete with greed.

The hardest part of the crypto world is not doubling, but remembering why you started after winning.

Real turning points are never about the explosive growth of account numbers, but about maintaining discipline and clarity of purpose.

In this market, it’s too difficult for one person to walk alone; I have organized the trading logic and risk control rules validated by practical experience. Are you willing to follow along? @juice13

3000U rolling to 280,000 U is not a myth blessed by luck, but rather my complete abandonment of the bad habit of 'self-destruction'. $pippin

Surviving in the contract market doesn't require flashy techniques, it relies solely on a few down-to-earth yet brutally effective iron rules. $ETH

When I initially had that 3000U, I never thought it would determine my life. Operations can be aggressive, but one must never act recklessly. I divided my capital into 10 parts, only taking 30U per trade, with 100 times leverage.

If the direction is right, a single point doubles the investment; if wrong, I immediately exit without holding on stubbornly. I never argue with the market; the market is always right, and the one who is wrong can only be myself.

When it comes to stop-loss, I am more ruthless than anyone else. I don't fantasize about rebounds, nor do I wait for 'maybe'; once the market turns against me, every second spent watching losses increases the damage. My stop-loss principle is as follows: if given an opportunity, I leave; if no respect is given, I move on.

Another rule that has saved me countless times: if I incur five consecutive losses, I directly cut off trading. Shut down the computer, uninstall the software, and exit forcefully. When emotions run high, you are not trading but giving away money. When I check again the next day, the market structure is often clear and understandable.

Profits must be realized; this is the bottom line. Earning 3000U without withdrawing is just an illusion of numbers on the screen. Withdraw half into your wallet, and then you understand what 'real money' means. Contracts do not require screenshots to prove strength; the ability to stay at the poker table is the true skill.

I only focus on one thing: follow the trend. The trend is where money is made, while fluctuations are a meat grinder. If you don't understand, just wait; wait until the structure is clear before taking action. Missing out is fine; being alive gives you the next opportunity.

I tightly control my position: never exceeding 10%. 30U for trial and error; if I make a mistake, I accept it because I can afford the loss.

Those who can truly make money in the long run are never full-position gamblers, but disciplined individuals who can survive. Contracts are a long-term battle, not a get-rich-quick performance.

When you engrave the rules into your bones and cage your emotions, you will suddenly realize: making money is just a byproduct; being able to survive is the real skill.

I will typically analyze the evening market structure; the rhythm is here, and by moving steadily, the necessary gains will naturally come. @juice13 #巨鲸动向

Recently, some fans asked me: "Bro, should contracts be short-term and fast or long-term?"

Actually, there is no standard answer to this question; the core is not the trading cycle but rather preserving profits and achieving compound interest. $ZEC

Whether it's short-term quick entries and exits or long-term positions waiting, even if a big market trend earns 200%, if everything is lost afterward, it's like a wasted effort. $ETH

But as long as you can preserve most of the profits, and then earn 200% again in the next big opportunity, that would be a 4-fold increase.

In the market, there are no losses from "missing out"; there are only real gains and losses. Instead of getting caught up in the cycle, it's better to first learn to preserve profits.

Many people, when they just touch upon the trading path, believe they are about to get rich. In fact, discovering the path only increases the probability of making money; the real challenge is the cultivation of mindset.

There are three hurdles to overcome:

First, can you patiently wait for a good position without blindly following the crowd to open a position;

Second, after making a lot of money from a position, do you dare to give up some floating profits and withstand the urge to secure gains;

Third, when opening a position, can you let go of the obsession with the principal, remaining calm even if the worst-case scenario results in a total loss, only recognizing trading logic.

The most tormenting thing in trading is the anxiety when missing out, the impatience after profits, and the panic after losses.

These emotional barriers have no shortcuts; they can only be honed through repeated practical experience, using small profits to test and accumulate.

However, to be able to grasp the nuances of trading is already far better than those who trade blindly and chaotically.

Many people in the market have spent a lifetime without understanding the core of making money.

In contract trading, caution is the baseline, mindset is the key; being able to preserve profits and endure loneliness is more important than getting tangled up in whether to focus on short-term or long-term. @juice13

July 24, $ETH surged to $3366

Aya's message came with a crying tone: "Teacher! I built a position with 3000U, sold at 3300 for a 10% profit, and now it's glaringly risen to 3366, missing out on nearly 20%!

Last time I held at 3100 and didn't sell, it dropped back to 2800 for a stop loss, I’m going crazy!"​

This is the deadly cycle for traders — afraid of missing out when making small profits, and afraid of losses when holding big profits.

I pointed out the core: "There is no perfect trading method; one must choose between 'not making small profits' and 'not losing big money.' I choose the former, giving up small gains to bet on larger trends."​

Aya held onto hope and adjusted, anchoring the 2024 ETH oscillation trend, setting two iron rules: build positions at key support levels and a 5% stop loss to prevent big losses; at least wait for a 30% take profit, ignoring 10% fluctuations. ​

After ETH plummeted to $2111 in August and stabilized, she built a position at 2200U, rebounding to 2420 in three days (10% profit), eagerly saying: "Lock in the profits! This market is too scary!"

I sent data on the blockchain: "ETF funds are bottom fishing, and the staking rate hasn’t dropped; this 10% is bait."​

She held on, but a week later ETH pulled back to 2250, leaving only 2% profit, and she sent five anxious messages: "If it drops again, I’ll stop loss!" I only replied: "The bottom line is not losing big money, not missing out on small profits."​

In November, Trump’s victory ignited the market, and ETH broke through 2860, reaching a 30% profit. Aya proactively said: "Got it! Making 10% and running means losing the subsequent 20% big profit."​

But human nature is hard to control: in December she encountered an AI agency concept coin, taking a 12% profit and then missing out on 30%; in January of the following year ETH pulled back, and she stubbornly held on to 2090, stopping loss at a 5% loss. ​

When she was frustrated, I comforted her: "No one can execute principles 100% of the time; achieving 60-70% is enough to outperform most people."​

At the end of the year, reviewing her trades, her initial capital of 20,000 U grew to 32,000 U; she didn’t double but lost the anxiety. She sent a message: "‘Not making small profits’ isn’t about stubbornly holding, it’s about using the pain of oscillation to exchange for the certainty of trends."​

Trading is the art of choice; the concept must be grounded — the more times you resist the impulse to take profits, the more times you can catch the gifts of the trend. ​@juice13

“3 minutes to get the exchange ATM logic - no guessing the rise and fall, no staring at the market, 5 years 0 liquidation, rolling 5000U to seven figures, relying on the ‘probability cheat sheet’ that anyone can replicate.”​

I entered the circle in 2016 with 5000U.

Many colleagues around me faced liquidation and mortgaged their houses, while my account curve rose at a 45° angle, with a maximum drawdown of ≤8%. I didn’t rely on insider information, airdrop farming, or K-line mysticism; I played the market as the “casino boss” rather than as a gambler. ​

Three winning keys, directly copy the homework:​

1. Locking in compound profits: profits wear a “bulletproof vest”, zero risk to the principal​

Always set take profit + stop loss when opening a position.

When profits reach 10% of the principal, immediately withdraw 50% of the profits to a cold wallet, and roll the remaining 50% - only take “free profits” for speculation, enjoying compound profits as the market continues to rise, and only giving back a portion of the profits without harming the principal.

In 5 years, I withdrew profits 37 times, with a maximum single-week withdrawal of 180,000 U, and the exchange customer service once verified my identity via video. ​

2. Misalignment positioning: the liquidating point for retail traders = my ATM password​

Three-cycle linkage: daily chart sets the direction, 4-hour chart finds the range, 15-minute chart targets. Open two positions for the same cryptocurrency:​

A position (trend position): chase long/short after breaking key levels, set stop loss at the previous low/high on the daily chart;​
B position (ambush position): set limit orders in the 4-hour overbought/oversold area. ​
Both positions have stop losses of ≤1.5% and take profits set at over 5 times. The market oscillates 80% of the time; while others hold positions and get liquidated, I profit in both directions. ​

3. Stop loss means big profits: a 1.5% small cut for a big bull market​

Treat stop loss as an entry ticket: stop loss ≤1.5%, a misjudgment only leads to a small loss; if the market is favorable, then move the stop profit to let the profits run, and immediately stop loss without taking chances. ​

Remember: “The casino isn’t afraid of you winning, but afraid of you not playing; the market isn’t afraid of you being wrong, but afraid of you not being able to get back up after liquidation.”​

These three tricks are all games of probability and discipline; take notes and let the exchange work for you next week - the core of stable profit has never been about how fast you earn, but how long you can survive. @juice13

In the cryptocurrency world for three years, I helped my brother double his investments and also saw the true nature of people.

A Zhe is my college roommate, and at the beginning of 2023, he insisted that I bring him into the cryptocurrency world, transferring 3000 U: "Brother, just tell me what to do!"

I set three strict rules with him: "Only invest in mainstream coins like BTC and ETH, no single position over 10%, take 50% profit when it doubles, and never delay stop-losses." He confidently agreed, taking notes on two full pages.

At first, his execution was perfect: I told him to wait for a pullback to enter, and he watched the market for a week; I reminded him to reduce his position, and he immediately complied. With the 3000 U principal, he steadily grew it during the bull market, reaching 75,000 U in six months, a 25-fold increase.

But the profits made him complacent, and he spent every day in "insider communities": "Brother, mainstream coins are too slow, the 'mentor' says there are altcoins that will hit the major exchanges, guaranteed to triple, I want to invest heavily!"

I urgently advised, "Those altcoin teams are anonymous and their whitepapers are empty; they are just schemes to exploit investors! Isn’t it better to cash out safely?" He replied with "Let me think about it," but immediately threw 60,000 U into it without setting a stop-loss.

By the time I noticed, the coin price had plummeted by 35%, and 75,000 U was left with only 49,000 U. I urged him to cut his losses, and he argued with red eyes: "This is the last chance; a rebound is coming!" I advised him for three days, yet he secretly increased his position instead.

A week later, the altcoin was delisted and the team disappeared; his account was left with only 12,000 U, all in the mainstream coins I had forced him to lock in.

When I contacted him, he instead blamed me: "If you hadn't stopped me back then, I would have made a fortune following the 'mentor', now it's all your fault!"

Seeing a once-close classmate turn into a stranger, I said no more, transferred him half of the 12,000 U, and blocked his contact.

The most lamentable aspect of the cryptocurrency world is not the losses of inexperienced traders but the way profits have consumed the original intentions of those around you.

I helped him avoid the pitfalls of the bear market, but I couldn't stop his madness after making profits.

The true essence of trading is never to gamble on insider information, but to engrave discipline in your heart and maintain your original intentions without crossing the line. @juice13

He found me in the square, 5800U principal has only 900U left in altcoins.

My friend circle is full of whispers of "unwillingness", but when he talks to me, he is very sincere: "Brother, I know I was too anxious, I want to learn real things from you, please help me out."​

I set two rules with him:

"First, only deal with mainstream coins, do not touch any altcoins;

Second, do not exceed 5% when building positions, take half of the principal once profits reach 1 times, immediately exit if it falls below the stop-loss line, and absolutely do not average down."

He immediately took a screenshot of the rules and said, "I will definitely obey."​

In the first 18 days, his execution was amazing:

I asked him to wait for mainstream coins to pull back to key support levels before entering, and he spent 3 days monitoring on-chain data;

I reminded him that the market volatility was increasing and to reduce his positions, and without hesitation, he cut half of his holdings.

The account went from 900U all the way up to 2000, 10,000, 38,000, and by the 22nd day, it shot directly to 56,000 U, a 62-fold increase.​

But since the account broke 50,000, he kept talking about being "aggressive": "Brother, now altcoins are skyrocketing, mainstream coins are too slow, I want to heavily invest in that hottest meme coin, it will definitely double quickly!"

I repeatedly advised him: "Meme coins have no value support, they rise quickly and fall even faster; you can pull out your principal now and make a guaranteed profit, there's no need to take risks."​

He said "I'll think about it again", then secretly invested heavily in that meme coin, even without setting a stop-loss.

By the time I noticed, the coin price had already crashed by 40%, and 56,000 U was left with only 34,000 U.

I told him to cut losses immediately, but he argued with red eyes: "It's about to rebound! You don't understand, this time is different, I can definitely hold on!"​

As a result, 3 days later, the meme coin made its last drop before going to zero, and he completely blew up, with only 1200U left in the account.

He didn't blame me, but deleted me, and updated his friend circle with a line: "So close to success."​

Looking at the screenshot of him promising "I will definitely obey" in the chat records, I suddenly understood: the most terrifying thing in the crypto world is not the ignorance of novices, but the arrogance after a small achievement.

Many people can make money by following the rules, but very few can maintain their original intention after making a profit and avoid risks beyond their capability. ​

True trading wisdom has never been about learning how to double your money, but learning to stop when it’s time to stop. ​@juice13

The cryptocurrency world is never short of myths

With a principal of $pippin 5000u, rolling to a million in one month.

But the more heartbreaking reality is that some people earn 50,000 in a single day with $ZEC , only to have it wiped out the next day by a wave of pullback, leaving them with nothing — this isn't a joke, it's the daily drama unfolding in the contract market.

Many people focus on technical analysis for targets like $FHE , yet fail to understand that the core of trading is not about skills, but about "being able to roll positions, and even better, knowing when to stop."

After stumbling into countless pits of doubt and loss, I finally grasped the essence of rolling positions: it is not a game of high-frequency trading, but rather precise execution only during explosive market conditions.

Most people's contract losses are trapped in three deadly traps:

1. Forcing entry into a flat market,
2. Leveraging up aggressively after making a small profit,
3. Refusing to cut losses when a pullback occurs.

Those who can truly retain profits, instead carry an extreme level of restraint. The rolling position logic I've summarized is simple yet counterintuitive:

First, take profits on the first trade, and withdraw the principal.

Once the first profit is secured, immediately transfer out the initial principal, and only use profits for subsequent trades. This way, even if a pullback occurs, the loss is only from market money, and the mindset won’t collapse.

Second, the more profit, the more risk control.

When profits reach 50%, raise the stop-loss to the breakeven point; if it rises further, at least lock in 30% profit as a safety net. The goal of trading is never to maximize profits, but to "never return to the starting point."

Third, when the opportunity is not yet there, resolutely stay out of the market.

Rolling positions is not about trading frequency, but about market judgment. Wait for the trend to clarify and the volatility to be sufficient before decisively entering; when there’s no opportunity, it’s better to observe than to stubbornly hold.

The cryptocurrency world is never short of people seizing opportunities, but what it lacks is those who can hold onto profits.

The real difference is never about who can capture the most doubling trends, but who can reliably keep the money earned in their pocket.

Remember: knowing how to wait, how to take profits, and how to stop is what qualifies you to talk about long-term profitability.

In this market, it’s too difficult for one person to explore alone. I have already paved the path verified by practical experience, do you want to walk it with me? @juice13

99% of retail investors fall into the trap of the phrase "limited decline", always thinking that the price can only go to zero at worst, and that they can turn things around by holding on, unaware that this is a fatal trap.

The crash of $LUNA in 2022 is a classic example:

In 48 hours, it fell from $119 to $10, a decline of 91.6%, and many believed it was the right time to buy the dip, entering at $10.

As a result, 36 hours later, Luna dropped to $0.1, and these people's principal was further reduced by 99%, leaving them with only $1,000 from $100,000.

It’s important to know that a drop from $100 to $1 is a loss of 99%, and a drop from $1 to $0.01 is also a loss of 99%; the cruelty of the decline is never in the initial crash, but in the aftershock when you thought it had "bottomed out".

The triple decline of $FTT further confirms this:

It fell from $24 to $2.4 (a 90% drop), attracting bottom fishers;
Then it dropped to $0.88, and when it rebounded to $1.2, more people increased their positions, ultimately falling to $0.01, a total decline of 99.96%.

Even $BTC saw a drop from 69,000 to 15,000 in 2022, with a 78% decline; buying in at 60,000 dropped to 30,000, losing 50%, and increasing the position at 30,000 dropped to 15,000, losing another 50%. The so-called "limited decline" is merely self-comfort.

In reality, the absolute value of price decline has a limit, but percentage losses, time costs, and opportunity costs are infinite. Many do not die at zero, but rather in the internal friction of holding on.

The truly reliable mindset is:

The decline seems limited, but you cannot withstand it, you must cut losses; the rise seems infinite, but your time is limited, you must take profits. In practice, set stop-loss limits based on your tolerance – if you can hold for 3 months, exit with a 20% floating loss; if you can hold for a year, it can be relaxed to 40%; don’t be greedy with profits, take profits at 20% with a 50% floating gain, take profits at 30% after doubling, and secure your target.

The core of investing is risk control and calculating profit-loss ratios, while the illusion of "limited decline" can lead people to abandon risk control.

Remember, after a 99% drop, it can still drop another 99%; every "bottom" could be a new starting point for losses. Preserve your principal, manage stop-loss and take-profit measures, and you will have the strength to wait for the next cycle. @juice13

Last year, on the day I lost 720,000, I smashed my phone to pieces and deleted all trading apps,

blocked more than half of my contacts — I thought I had reached the end of the road in the cryptocurrency world.

But staring at the empty account late at night, I was unwilling to just let it grow like wild grass: why should I accept defeat?

At the beginning of 2025, only 3300U was left in my account.

I told myself, this is the last chance; if I lose, I’m out for good. Unexpectedly, it was this meager principal that allowed me to turn things around step by step: from 3300U to 80,000, then up to 120,000, and finally not only recouping the 720,000 but also netting over 20,000.

Actually, I didn’t rely on any profound skills; I just adhered to three iron rules:

First, never gamble with your life.

Going all-in, seeking to gain more from small profits, and stubbornly holding on to losses are the three main sources of liquidation.

I always only operate with 40% of my position; 60% of my capital is kept as "emergency funds" and remains untouched; every trade must set a 15% stop-loss line, no exceptions, no matter how tempting the market is — as long as I don’t get liquidated, there are infinite possibilities.

Second, only follow the trend.

Don’t guess the top, don’t bottom-fish, and definitely don’t go against the market. When the market rises, grab strong coins without hoping for rebounds; when the market falls, decisively short, refusing to bottom-fish against the trend. Many times, making 5000U in 10 minutes is just standing in the right place.

Third, profits must be taken.

Each time I earn money, I only roll 30% of the profits into the next wave, and withdraw the remaining 70% directly in USDT. With small funds, relying on "snowballing" to accumulate slowly, I have gradually crawled back from the brink.

Don’t envy others’ comebacks, and don’t wait for miracles to fall from the sky. What you lack is not skills, but a guide who can help you maintain discipline and keep the rhythm.

Among my followers, some have gone from 1100U to 26000 in 17 days, and some have been pulled back from the brink of liquidation and now earn over 10,000 a month.

Right now, the market is moving again; opportunities for BTC and ETH contracts + spot trading are here.

Real trading does not boast, precise timing does not draw empty promises, the last few spots in the team are available, those who want to turn things around together, don’t hesitate — many have survived relying on this system, now it’s your turn! @juice13 #美联储降息

5 years without liquidation: I relied on 3 tricks to turn the exchange into a "cash machine"

In 2017, I entered with 5000U and saw too many people get liquidated trading contracts to the point of mortgaging their homes,

but I managed to keep my account curve at a constant 45° upward with a set of counter-intuitive methods. My principal drawdown never exceeded 8%. I don't rely on insider information or obsess over K-line theories,

I simply treat the market as a probability game, acting as a "casino owner" that guarantees profit. In 5 years, I grew from 5000U to seven figures, with the core being 3 tricks.

The first trick is to lock in profits with compound interest, giving profits a "bulletproof vest".

As soon as I open a position, I set stop-loss and take-profit orders. Once the profit reaches 10% of the principal, I immediately withdraw 50% to a cold wallet, while using the remaining "free profits" to roll over. If the market continues to rise, I enjoy compound interest; if it reverses, I only give back half of the profits, keeping my principal as solid as a rock. In 5 years, I've withdrawn profits 37 times, with a single-week maximum withdrawal of 180,000 U, and the exchange's customer service even verified via video whether I was laundering money.

The second trick is to build positions with misalignment, focusing on liquidation points of retail investors.

Simultaneously observe the daily, 4-hour, and 15-minute charts:

The daily chart sets the direction, the 4-hour chart finds the range, and the 15-minute chart allows for precise entry. Open two positions in the same cryptocurrency:

Position A pursues a breakout to go long, with the stop-loss set just below the daily chart's recent low;
Position B sets a limit order to short, lying in wait in the 4-hour overbought zone.

Both positions have stop-losses not exceeding 1.5% of the principal, with take-profits set above 5 times.

The market is in a range 80% of the time, while others get liquidated, I profit from both sides. Last year, during the LUNA crash, the market plummeted 90% in 24 hours, yet I took profits on both long and short positions, with my account increasing by 42% in a single day.

The third trick is to turn stop-losses into huge profits, taking small risks for big opportunities.

I treat stop-losses as "entry tickets", using a small loss of 1.5% to gain the opportunity to take a position.

When the market is good, I move the take-profit to let profits run; when the market is bad, I exit in time. My win rate is only 38%, but my profit-to-loss ratio is 4.8:1, with a positive mathematical expectation of 1.9%. For every unit of risk, I make 1.9 units.

In practice, remember these 3 details:

Divide funds into 10 parts, use at most 1 part for a single position, and hold no more than 3 parts; if I suffer 2 consecutive losses, I shut down and work out, avoiding revenge trades; every time my account doubles, I withdraw 20% to buy US Treasuries or gold, ensuring peace of mind even in a bear market.

The market doesn't fear your mistakes, it fears that you won't recover after a liquidation.

These three tricks may seem simple, but they can help you avoid human weaknesses. Follow them, and let the exchange work for you next week. @juice13