投机实验室
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投机实验室
你们似乎根本不懂，如果实现目标，SpaceX的价值将超过地球上其他一切的总和。
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Three women, three strategies, all made profits ranging from several hundred thousand to tens of millions.
One of them draws only two trend lines; with 14 trades, she earned over 2 million. Another relies on measuring price distance to grow her account by 3 times and secured the runner-up position in the 2025 World Futures Trading Championship. And the third uses two different RSIs to catch price imbalances, making over ten million.
None of them chose to use complicated strategies. Instead, they used the simplest methods to go against emotional, instinct-driven thinking—so they achieved impressive results.$BTC
One of them draws only two trend lines; with 14 trades, she earned over 2 million. Another relies on measuring price distance to grow her account by 3 times and secured the runner-up position in the 2025 World Futures Trading Championship. And the third uses two different RSIs to catch price imbalances, making over ten million.
None of them chose to use complicated strategies. Instead, they used the simplest methods to go against emotional, instinct-driven thinking—so they achieved impressive results.$BTC
If, after turning on your broken old computer, you find that there are 50,000 bitcoins from 2010 still there.
In 2010, 50,000 bitcoins couldn’t even buy a toilet in a courtyard house on Beijing’s Second Ring Road.
Three years later, it could buy 7 sets of 300-square-meter apartments; in 2017, it could buy 83 sets; in 2021, it could buy 217 sets. By the peak in 2025, those 50,000 bitcoins would be worth more than 45 billion yuan—meaning, in theory, you could buy up several hundred units.
You could even act as a sub-landlord... $BTC
In 2010, 50,000 bitcoins couldn’t even buy a toilet in a courtyard house on Beijing’s Second Ring Road.
Three years later, it could buy 7 sets of 300-square-meter apartments; in 2017, it could buy 83 sets; in 2021, it could buy 217 sets. By the peak in 2025, those 50,000 bitcoins would be worth more than 45 billion yuan—meaning, in theory, you could buy up several hundred units.
You could even act as a sub-landlord... $BTC
Buffett Rare Old Photo: Turns Out He Was So Wild When He Was Young—Wearing a Fur Coat Too. $SPCXB
Breaking news: SpaceX has received a U.S. Space Force contract worth $1.6 billion. It will use the Falcon 9 to carry out 18 military satellite launch missions.
These satellites are reportedly intended to detect, continuously track, and provide target data to operational systems.
If the contract amount is accurate, the average value per mission is about $89.9 million.
Moreover, SpaceX has previously secured a $4.16 billion contract for a space-based target tracking system, as well as a $2.29 billion contract for a military space data network. It is now evolving from a mere rocket carrier into a full-chain defense contractor that controls satellite manufacturing, target sensing, military data transmission, and orbital launch.
$SPCXB 牛北！
These satellites are reportedly intended to detect, continuously track, and provide target data to operational systems.
If the contract amount is accurate, the average value per mission is about $89.9 million.
Moreover, SpaceX has previously secured a $4.16 billion contract for a space-based target tracking system, as well as a $2.29 billion contract for a military space data network. It is now evolving from a mere rocket carrier into a full-chain defense contractor that controls satellite manufacturing, target sensing, military data transmission, and orbital launch.
$SPCXB 牛北！
A retail investor initially entered the market with $8,000, and after seven years he had earned about $1.97 million in total.
In the first two years, he traded short-term amid the pandemic market and memes.
With $8,000 plus a $44,000 home equity loan, for a total of $52,000, he first reached $200,000; later he got as high as $368,000. He kept the money needed for taxes, stopped frequent short-term trading, and used almost all of the remaining funds to buy shares in Rolls-Royce, the aerospace engine manufacturer in the UK, stock code RYCEY.
At the time, RYCEY had already fallen from around $10 before the pandemic to about $1.5. He believed the UK government would not let the company go under—even if it took ten years, the stock price could return to $10.
From 2021 to 2025, 99% of his holdings were concentrated in RYCEY, with a peak position of more than 130,000 shares.
In 2024, he began selling in batches between $16.5 and $18.5, and fully exited the position in 2026. $SPCXB
In the first two years, he traded short-term amid the pandemic market and memes.
With $8,000 plus a $44,000 home equity loan, for a total of $52,000, he first reached $200,000; later he got as high as $368,000. He kept the money needed for taxes, stopped frequent short-term trading, and used almost all of the remaining funds to buy shares in Rolls-Royce, the aerospace engine manufacturer in the UK, stock code RYCEY.
At the time, RYCEY had already fallen from around $10 before the pandemic to about $1.5. He believed the UK government would not let the company go under—even if it took ten years, the stock price could return to $10.
From 2021 to 2025, 99% of his holdings were concentrated in RYCEY, with a peak position of more than 130,000 shares.
In 2024, he began selling in batches between $16.5 and $18.5, and fully exited the position in 2026. $SPCXB
When Musk was 17, he came to Canada from South Africa alone, carrying only $2,000 in travel checks.
He boarded a Greyhound bus to go to his relatives, but he never expected that when he got off mid-journey to buy lunch, the bus drove away—leaving his luggage, travel checks, and clothes behind, with only a backpack of books remaining.
With no money to his name, Musk had to work to save up—harvesting crops, sawing wood, cleaning boiler rooms. As long as the pay was good, he would do any dirty, backbreaking job. That period was far from easy.
He boarded a Greyhound bus to go to his relatives, but he never expected that when he got off mid-journey to buy lunch, the bus drove away—leaving his luggage, travel checks, and clothes behind, with only a backpack of books remaining.
With no money to his name, Musk had to work to save up—harvesting crops, sawing wood, cleaning boiler rooms. As long as the pay was good, he would do any dirty, backbreaking job. That period was far from easy.
Someone asked Elon Musk to donate all of his wealth before 2036, and he replied: I really am prepared to do something similar.
The proposal came from Daron Acemoglu, the 2024 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences laureate. Musk previously predicted that by 2036, AI and robots would make money lose its meaning.
Acemoglu then said that since money would already be unimportant by then, Musk might as well donate what he calls his roughly $1 trillion in wealth to charities no later than 2036.
Musk did not confirm the figure of $1 trillion, nor did he accept the 2036 deadline. He only kept the phrase “something similar,” and the recipients and the way it would be carried out have not been disclosed.
The proposal came from Daron Acemoglu, the 2024 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences laureate. Musk previously predicted that by 2036, AI and robots would make money lose its meaning.
Acemoglu then said that since money would already be unimportant by then, Musk might as well donate what he calls his roughly $1 trillion in wealth to charities no later than 2036.
Musk did not confirm the figure of $1 trillion, nor did he accept the 2036 deadline. He only kept the phrase “something similar,” and the recipients and the way it would be carried out have not been disclosed.
The tyrant world’s richest man fell in love with me, a 65-year-old.
In Japan, a 31-year-old guy used AI to pose as Musk and made a heartfelt confession to a 65-year-old woman: “I love you. Listen to me. Now transfer 500,000.”
The woman was already a fan of Musk. She couldn’t resist his repeated heartfelt confessions and thought she was really dating Musk. In total, she made six transfers and was scammed out of 1.85 million yen.
On the other end, “Musk” told her that if she bought fan cards, she could meet him multiple times. The woman paid money, but still couldn’t get an appointment with Musk. In the meantime, she even went to a police station to file a report once.
But afterward, she was soothed and sweet-talked again, and she continued her online romance with “Old Man Ma.” A few months later, she transferred money again. $SPCXB
In Japan, a 31-year-old guy used AI to pose as Musk and made a heartfelt confession to a 65-year-old woman: “I love you. Listen to me. Now transfer 500,000.”
The woman was already a fan of Musk. She couldn’t resist his repeated heartfelt confessions and thought she was really dating Musk. In total, she made six transfers and was scammed out of 1.85 million yen.
On the other end, “Musk” told her that if she bought fan cards, she could meet him multiple times. The woman paid money, but still couldn’t get an appointment with Musk. In the meantime, she even went to a police station to file a report once.
But afterward, she was soothed and sweet-talked again, and she continued her online romance with “Old Man Ma.” A few months later, she transferred money again. $SPCXB
A Korean junior college graduate who couldn’t find a job managed, within 10 years, to turn 1 million won into 10 billion won—roughly from 4,600 yuan to 46 million yuan.
His name is Han Bong-ho, and Korean media have dubbed him a legendary super retail investor.
In 2011, in the Kiwoom live trading contest, he achieved a 504% return in just 8 weeks, winning the 100 million won group championship.
From 2007 to 2019, he won this category seven times in total. Of the other two wins where the exact return rates can be found, they were 408.67% and 318%.
Later, he compressed his trading timeframe to seconds or minutes. Every night from 11:00 p.m. to 1:00 a.m., he wrote trading logs: checking the day’s market, news, and overseas stock markets, then listing the stocks that might be traded the next day. He would also think in advance about when to buy and when to sell.
After the market opened, he first determined whether it was rising, falling, or moving sideways. If the actual direction differed from his plan, he switched to another strategy instead of forcing the original plan onto the market.
Stocks and industries that made it onto his list are usually those with the most concentrated capital on that day. Within a few seconds, there needs to be sufficiently large trading volume and price volatility. Both the buy and sell orders must also be plentiful, so he can enter immediately—and sell just as quickly. The news driving the uptrend must have follow-through; if a new theme suddenly appears intraday that he hadn’t researched the previous day, he typically won’t chase it on the spur of the moment. Without trading volume and volatility, he may not trade at all that day.
His buy points generally come during the brief pause right after the leading stock expands volume and surges upward. As long as the bid side is still continuously consuming sell orders above and the price hasn’t shown clear signs of weakening, that’s when he enters.
After buying, he prepares to sell right away. If the price doesn’t immediately move into profit—and even drops right away—then it means his earlier judgment was wrong, so he exits first. If the price continues rising, he watches every second; once the bid stops pushing, when the stock’s first move makes him feel something is off, he starts preparing to sell. After the second confirmation of weakening, he must leave the position.
He’d rather sell early. After selling, if the stock strengthens again, he can buy once more.
If a scalping trade ends up in a loss, he won’t suddenly change it into a swing trade and then drag the swing into a long-term position. The buy logic he built second-by-second can only be checked second-by-second.
In his early days, the stop loss per trade he set for scalping was 1% to 2%. Later, in a public lecture he gave an example using 3%: if a 1 million won account lost down to 30,000 won on that day, he would stop trading. $SPCXB
His name is Han Bong-ho, and Korean media have dubbed him a legendary super retail investor.
In 2011, in the Kiwoom live trading contest, he achieved a 504% return in just 8 weeks, winning the 100 million won group championship.
From 2007 to 2019, he won this category seven times in total. Of the other two wins where the exact return rates can be found, they were 408.67% and 318%.
Later, he compressed his trading timeframe to seconds or minutes. Every night from 11:00 p.m. to 1:00 a.m., he wrote trading logs: checking the day’s market, news, and overseas stock markets, then listing the stocks that might be traded the next day. He would also think in advance about when to buy and when to sell.
After the market opened, he first determined whether it was rising, falling, or moving sideways. If the actual direction differed from his plan, he switched to another strategy instead of forcing the original plan onto the market.
Stocks and industries that made it onto his list are usually those with the most concentrated capital on that day. Within a few seconds, there needs to be sufficiently large trading volume and price volatility. Both the buy and sell orders must also be plentiful, so he can enter immediately—and sell just as quickly. The news driving the uptrend must have follow-through; if a new theme suddenly appears intraday that he hadn’t researched the previous day, he typically won’t chase it on the spur of the moment. Without trading volume and volatility, he may not trade at all that day.
His buy points generally come during the brief pause right after the leading stock expands volume and surges upward. As long as the bid side is still continuously consuming sell orders above and the price hasn’t shown clear signs of weakening, that’s when he enters.
After buying, he prepares to sell right away. If the price doesn’t immediately move into profit—and even drops right away—then it means his earlier judgment was wrong, so he exits first. If the price continues rising, he watches every second; once the bid stops pushing, when the stock’s first move makes him feel something is off, he starts preparing to sell. After the second confirmation of weakening, he must leave the position.
He’d rather sell early. After selling, if the stock strengthens again, he can buy once more.
If a scalping trade ends up in a loss, he won’t suddenly change it into a swing trade and then drag the swing into a long-term position. The buy logic he built second-by-second can only be checked second-by-second.
In his early days, the stop loss per trade he set for scalping was 1% to 2%. Later, in a public lecture he gave an example using 3%: if a 1 million won account lost down to 30,000 won on that day, he would stop trading. $SPCXB
Partly True
SpaceX fell to $110.47 during trading on July 27, 18.1% below its $135 issue price and about 51% below its peak after listing at $225.64.
Investors who bought at the issue price are down $24.53 per share, while those who bought at the peak are down $115.17 per share.
From early July to now, SpaceX has shed about $755 billion, Tesla has shed about $437 billion, and Musk’s two companies combined have evaporated about $1.192 trillion.
The ten U.S. trillion-dollar companies lost a total of about $1.6 trillion in July, with SpaceX and Tesla accounting for nearly three-quarters of that.
Among the same group of companies, six saw market value increase. Apple alone added about $698 billion, making the declines in SpaceX and Tesla appear especially concentrated.
SpaceX will release its first quarterly earnings report after going public on August 4.
Less than two months after its listing, the stock price has already fallen from $225.64 back to $110.47, dropping below the issue price. In the same month, Tesla’s market value dropped by $437 billion.$SPCXB
Investors who bought at the issue price are down $24.53 per share, while those who bought at the peak are down $115.17 per share.
From early July to now, SpaceX has shed about $755 billion, Tesla has shed about $437 billion, and Musk’s two companies combined have evaporated about $1.192 trillion.
The ten U.S. trillion-dollar companies lost a total of about $1.6 trillion in July, with SpaceX and Tesla accounting for nearly three-quarters of that.
Among the same group of companies, six saw market value increase. Apple alone added about $698 billion, making the declines in SpaceX and Tesla appear especially concentrated.
SpaceX will release its first quarterly earnings report after going public on August 4.
Less than two months after its listing, the stock price has already fallen from $225.64 back to $110.47, dropping below the issue price. In the same month, Tesla’s market value dropped by $437 billion.$SPCXB
GENG Yongping buys the dip and makes a profit in seconds—$2.32 million! Peng Yongping’s “insurance company-style” trading strategy: a $115 million SpaceX transaction reveals the cash-printing machine he’s been running for 20 years!!
He posted a screenshot of his $11.5 million order, and many people thought it was just “buying the dip.”
Translated by his own rules: this is a cash-printing machine that’s been running for twenty years—selling calls and selling puts. When calls are sold, it turns expensive into cash; then the cash buys T-bills to earn interest, and that same cash is also used as margin to sell puts. He takes money from both ends while eating the interest in the middle.
He posted a screenshot of his $11.5 million order, and many people thought it was just “buying the dip.”
Translated by his own rules: this is a cash-printing machine that’s been running for twenty years—selling calls and selling puts. When calls are sold, it turns expensive into cash; then the cash buys T-bills to earn interest, and that same cash is also used as margin to sell puts. He takes money from both ends while eating the interest in the middle.
Where does Elon Musk’s inspiration come from? And how did he turn ideas into reality when funds were limited?
First, start with things that have a low barrier to entry.
When you don’t have much money, you can start with projects that mainly rely on knowledge and technology. Software and internet companies don’t require too much startup capital—just a few people can begin.
Musk first built Zip2 and PayPal, and only after accumulating funds did he move into industries like rockets that require much higher investment.
Second, think from the most basic questions.
Don’t assume that rockets can only be as expensive as they were before. Break them down to see what they’re made of—how much each material weighs, what each part costs—then look for better combinations.
Also, bring methods from different fields together.
Problems that one industry has already solved may be applicable to another. Recombining knowledge from different domains often leads to new ideas.
Finally, keep trying repeatedly.
Most plans won’t succeed. You can only keep testing—eliminating approaches that don’t work—until, occasionally, you find an answer that truly works.$SPCXB
First, start with things that have a low barrier to entry.
When you don’t have much money, you can start with projects that mainly rely on knowledge and technology. Software and internet companies don’t require too much startup capital—just a few people can begin.
Musk first built Zip2 and PayPal, and only after accumulating funds did he move into industries like rockets that require much higher investment.
Second, think from the most basic questions.
Don’t assume that rockets can only be as expensive as they were before. Break them down to see what they’re made of—how much each material weighs, what each part costs—then look for better combinations.
Also, bring methods from different fields together.
Problems that one industry has already solved may be applicable to another. Recombining knowledge from different domains often leads to new ideas.
Finally, keep trying repeatedly.
Most plans won’t succeed. You can only keep testing—eliminating approaches that don’t work—until, occasionally, you find an answer that truly works.$SPCXB
31-year-old Musk, just had PayPal acquired and earned about $150 million. If it were you, what would you do with the money—buy a house and a car, or travel around for a few years first?
In 2002, Musk chose to bet his money on a big rocket.
He put up roughly $50 million to found SpaceX, aiming to bring the price of launching a single rocket down to about $6 million. The media dubbed him the “rocket man,” while skeptics believed it was just another unrealistic fantasy about space.
What’s truly astonishing about this isn’t the outcome we came to know later—it’s that a person can choose to take the money earned in the internet age and put it into a venture with a very high chance of failure, a long payback period, yet the potential to change the world.$SPCXB
In 2002, Musk chose to bet his money on a big rocket.
He put up roughly $50 million to found SpaceX, aiming to bring the price of launching a single rocket down to about $6 million. The media dubbed him the “rocket man,” while skeptics believed it was just another unrealistic fantasy about space.
What’s truly astonishing about this isn’t the outcome we came to know later—it’s that a person can choose to take the money earned in the internet age and put it into a venture with a very high chance of failure, a long payback period, yet the potential to change the world.$SPCXB
There is a middle-aged office worker named Caleb Davies who predicts movie ratings and Spotify charts using models, then places bets on platforms such as Kalshi—accumulating about $1.1 million in total profits.
For years, he has been scraping Rotten Tomatoes movie ratings and Spotify play data, updating his model every day. After a platform posts the expected final score for a particular movie or whether a song will make it onto the charts, he places bets based on the results predicted by his model.
Just from music and movie contracts alone, he has earned more than $500,000.
Davies has more than a decade of trading experience, and he has also worked for financial institutions and in IT.
His first bet was in 2015, with an amount of only $300.
In March 2024, he deposited $10,000 into his Kalshi account. By the end of the year, his account was already over $200,000. Today, he is publicly listed among Kalshi’s top traders.
The model can also run into data that has been manually altered.
This year, a trader bet on the obscure song “Earrings,” which suddenly surged. Davies placed a reverse bet and lost $4,500.
Afterward, he found that the song’s play count showed extreme anomalies. Spotify later confirmed that there was artificial mass streaming and removed more than 500,000 plays, but Kalshi had already settled the contract based on the chart when the play volume was being boosted.
Davies is still working in prediction markets. Until the issue is resolved, he won’t take on any new Spotify chart contracts.$SPCXB
For years, he has been scraping Rotten Tomatoes movie ratings and Spotify play data, updating his model every day. After a platform posts the expected final score for a particular movie or whether a song will make it onto the charts, he places bets based on the results predicted by his model.
Just from music and movie contracts alone, he has earned more than $500,000.
Davies has more than a decade of trading experience, and he has also worked for financial institutions and in IT.
His first bet was in 2015, with an amount of only $300.
In March 2024, he deposited $10,000 into his Kalshi account. By the end of the year, his account was already over $200,000. Today, he is publicly listed among Kalshi’s top traders.
The model can also run into data that has been manually altered.
This year, a trader bet on the obscure song “Earrings,” which suddenly surged. Davies placed a reverse bet and lost $4,500.
Afterward, he found that the song’s play count showed extreme anomalies. Spotify later confirmed that there was artificial mass streaming and removed more than 500,000 plays, but Kalshi had already settled the contract based on the chart when the play volume was being boosted.
Davies is still working in prediction markets. Until the issue is resolved, he won’t take on any new Spotify chart contracts.$SPCXB
Everyone can check whether they are getting paid.
In many places in China, people are being encouraged to get married and have children. For example, in Naling Village on Longgui Street in Guangzhou, local registered household shareholders can receive up to 80,000 RMB for a first marriage.
Having one child can add up to 120,000 RMB, and even those who get less may receive 1,000 to 2,000 RMB on the spot.
If you meet the requirements but haven’t claimed yet, you can claim it all—and there’s also a deposit guarantee afterward.$SPCXB
In many places in China, people are being encouraged to get married and have children. For example, in Naling Village on Longgui Street in Guangzhou, local registered household shareholders can receive up to 80,000 RMB for a first marriage.
Having one child can add up to 120,000 RMB, and even those who get less may receive 1,000 to 2,000 RMB on the spot.
If you meet the requirements but haven’t claimed yet, you can claim it all—and there’s also a deposit guarantee afterward.$SPCXB
People dare to do something, very often because they don’t know just how difficult it really is.
Even if Hwang In-hun returned to being 30 years old with today’s experience, he wouldn’t start Nvidia again—because this path was 1,000,000 times harder than he had expected.
There is pain, vulnerability, challenges, awkwardness, and shame, along with countless things that can go wrong. If anyone knew from the beginning what they’d have to endure, no normal person would start.
But precisely because of ignorance, there is fearlessness. This is, in fact, a kind of superpower.
People must first believe that things aren’t so hard, so they can begin—and then, after realizing it is far more difficult than they imagined, keep going.$NVDAB
Even if Hwang In-hun returned to being 30 years old with today’s experience, he wouldn’t start Nvidia again—because this path was 1,000,000 times harder than he had expected.
There is pain, vulnerability, challenges, awkwardness, and shame, along with countless things that can go wrong. If anyone knew from the beginning what they’d have to endure, no normal person would start.
But precisely because of ignorance, there is fearlessness. This is, in fact, a kind of superpower.
People must first believe that things aren’t so hard, so they can begin—and then, after realizing it is far more difficult than they imagined, keep going.$NVDAB
Japanese stock god mom Choruko, while raising two kids at the same time, turned 2.4 million yen into 500 million—essentially taking 100,000 yuan into 21 million.
Along the way, she lost 24 million yen in a single day, cut losses again for 50 million yen in 2024, and in the end still pushed her assets to 500 million yen.
Choruko changed her trading methods three times, using long-term holding, margin and intraday trading, large-cap panic swing trading. Each method was tied to either a huge win or a huge loss.$SPCXB
Along the way, she lost 24 million yen in a single day, cut losses again for 50 million yen in 2024, and in the end still pushed her assets to 500 million yen.
Choruko changed her trading methods three times, using long-term holding, margin and intraday trading, large-cap panic swing trading. Each method was tied to either a huge win or a huge loss.$SPCXB
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