RubyLee

Summarizing my January 2026.

I’m a bit lazy but still have to write it. 🤷🤷🤷 Otherwise, how can I look back at my trading diary and analysis later?
This month, I still made a profit because I held #CHZ and still had some good trades.
However, this month my analysis was a bit off 😂😂😂, partly because I was busy cleaning and moving from January 10 until nearly the end of the month. The other part was due to misplaced trust. So, this month I could only get about 65% of the analysis right.

I believed that the market would have a rebound wave on the weekly chart, trusting that the top coins wouldn't break strong support so quickly. I didn’t believe that this season top coins would die in droves. Therefore, even when $BTC broke the temporary uptrend line on the daily chart, I stubbornly refused to change my mind. It wasn’t until it broke 88k that I accepted the fact that there wouldn’t be any rebound wave on the weekly chart here, because the top coins had completely broken through strong support.

I think this was my biggest mistake. Because I wasn’t clear-headed enough when analyzing. Even $BTC had broken the uptrend line and strong support on the weekly chart, isn't it normal for top coins to break through strong support? Most top coins have no practical application, and there aren’t a lot of users, so why can’t they die in droves?? Except for $BTC , all could end up as worthless coins and fade into dust.

I made a very big mistake. That is, my analysis was not entirely based on the actual situation of the price movements. The market operates in its own way, all reflected in indicators and patterns, candle formations. It doesn’t operate on trust or optimistic or pessimistic emotions, etc...
I will have to improve this shortcoming.

$ETH sắp về vùng điều chỉnh đầu tiên, nên mình sẽ xem xét rải mua lại coin dần.

I temporarily settle $HBAR because I think it's enough already.
The capital part I transfer to $SUI and $NEAR because currently these two have just broken, not yet running a rebound.

That's really enough 🤷🤷🤷
$AAVE $HBAR increased by 10-15%, $CHZ increased only by 3% 🤦‍♀️🤦‍♀️🤦‍♀️
Learn from experience, next time push the volume to buy top coins first. After that, when the top coins increase, then switch to altcoins 😐😐😐

Break the triangle at m15, so it will go up next and then decrease.

Break the triangle frame m15, so it might be adjusted later

$SPK Last time I bought hold but it was a loss once because it hadn't run the main wave yet.
But I'm still monitoring it. The weekly chart looks quite good, a double bottom pattern. However, we still have to wait for the weekly candle to close above the 24 area to be sure. At that time, waiting for it to test the 24 boundary on the weekly frame and then buying back will not be too late.

The coin looks like it wants to correct, but $BTC just broke the bullish flag on the M15 frame. So it might go up a bit more before correcting later. 🤔🤔🤔

$SUI break the price channel down frame h4. The daily frame also breaks.
Waiting to test 9368-9421 to buy that way.

$SOL needs adjustment for the 81$ zone before continuing up.
If it tests deep to the end of yesterday's daily candle, it might go down to 80$

$ETH will adjust to the area 1991-1987, as far back as possible to 1964 before continuing up

This afternoon, after finishing writing, I gathered $CHZ $AAVE and also $HBAR in the hold account.
Now, #AAVE and #hbar have increased by 4-7%, while #chz has only increased by 1.5%. 🤣🤣🤣
Now the altcoins are just following the top coins.
Let’s wait until tomorrow to redistribute to transfer some to #ETH because this wave is recovering to 2k7, which means another 25-30% can be gained. It seems better compared to many other top coins, and the risk is also lower. 🤔🤔🤔

Earlier in the evening, there were a few long orders, but I closed them early and didn’t remember to save the images. Basically, I closed early due to greed. I was waiting for it to drop a bit to catch another wave, but I forgot that in a strong wave, it moves continuously without correcting like usual. 🤷🤷🤷 Just learning from experience, regretting won’t solve anything. Tomorrow, I’ll look for a trading point again. 🤔🤔🤔

Looking at the current general situation, it seems like it will stop falling at this contact point.
Because the downward momentum seems to be slowing down. The MACD on H1 and H4 of $BTC and the top coins are all trending upwards, with the later lows being higher than the previous lows. It looks more like a sideways accumulation taking momentum upwards. The daily candle pattern seems to be forming 2 bottoms, and the 3D frame is also creating candles that tend to increase in price. Most indicators are supporting the upward trend more than the downward trend.

The top coins, a few have broken the downward trendline on the daily frame. The rest, mostly from $ETH $SOL , have the daily MACD in the zone preparing to transition from red to green.

Therefore, I temporarily dismiss the possibility of the market forming a long-term bottom this month. Leaning towards the direction of a wave running up to test hard resistance before continuing to fall. It may be in the second quarter that we get a bottom.
But of course, there is still a probability of continuing to decrease and forming a long-term bottom. So after buying, we still need to set a stop-loss at the recent bottom. 🤷🤷🤷
Because currently, there are only a few top coins giving clear and beautiful signals, while #BTC #ETH #sol may run slower. Because the daily MACD is still in red and has not narrowed down enough to turn green immediately, the short-term RSI is still contending with the long-term RSI, which is unclear whether it will break down or up. Thus, there will be some top coins that do not run in the same phase with each other.

After going short on $HBAR yesterday morning.
Today I looked closely at the chart and there are a few top coins that look quite good.
$HBAR broke the downtrend line on the daily frame yesterday, today there has been a bounce to test the trend line and it hasn’t broken. The MACD on the daily frame has also turned green for several days now. This is one of the very few coins that didn’t hit a second bottom after the recent decline. It may have found a temporary bottom to rally to the 12-13 range.
$AAVE also broke the downtrend line extending on the daily frame yesterday. Today it is also testing the trend line again. The possibility of a rally is also very high. The MACD on the daily frame is about to turn green. It could run a rally to test the 140$ area.

Currently, most of the top coins' MACD on the daily frame are at the boundary of turning from red to green. So it’s very likely that the recent decline is just a test creating two temporary bottoms, then a rally to test the strong resistance. I believe buying to catch the rally is also very reasonable, so I am preparing to use USDT in my holding account to gather a few coins that I find decent.
However, for me, this rally is only to test the strong resistance before continuing to decline, not a real uptrend yet. In reality, most coins still haven’t found a long-term bottom.

$CHZ if you don't pay attention for a moment, you'll forget this one
Chart h12 breaks short-term downtrend line
Closing the D 3D candle looks quite nice. It seems like there is a bottom now.
If I miss the bottom, then I'll buy again 😂😂😂

$BTC broke the trendline on the H1 frame and has tested it again

Cannot go up but the trend has broken then 🤔🤔🤔
That's fine

$SOL must test the range 80.84-80.89 before turning down again.
$ETH also need to wait to test 1966-1970 or break the upward trendline.
Either is fine, wait for the test point or when it goes up to test the broken trendline then short for safety. I use leverage x4 so the entry point can only be a maximum of 0.4% away from the stoploss 😐😐😐

$ETH is currently in the test area for the date frame, as far as possible to the 2037 area.
But for me, this is still a test to further reduce, because it still hasn't reached a real bottom.
This morning I went short, so I’m waiting until tonight to find an entry for another order. And if today drags on without a clear trend, I will take a break 🤔🤔🤔

$SOL has broken through the descending channel on H4. Now it is rising to test the channel and H12 candles to go down further. I don't know how high it will test, but I am already placing shorts 😂😂😂
$HBAR broke the bullish flag pattern, and is currently testing the flag.
$ETH Testing the H4 and H12 frames.
I am selecting from these options to short. If this one doesn't trigger, I will short another. Sometimes with technical analysis, just one asset might not trigger the order or might not meet the volume, which is a bit disappointing 🤷🤷🤷