RazorTicks

GM ☕️

$TOTAL sitting mid-MFVG, structure mirrors 2022/2023 bottom. If fractal holds, expecting higher low around here.

$BTC at golden pocket inside iMFVG and MFVG — prime zone for a low. Lose this, next watch is .786/POC confluence, same as $ETH.

Translation: hunting HTF longs. Low here + push to highs = major structure shift. Risk is clear, invalidation is clear, upside is clean if it holds.

Fast drops vs slow drops — it's all about liquidity gaps.

$BTC lost $75k and dumped straight to $66.5k. No surprise. That zone from $66.5k to ~$75k was a fair value gap — price ripped through it in days with barely any volume. Thin air = no support = fast drop when it comes back.

Two things I'm always charting:
1. High liquidity zones — pivots, value areas, places where price spent time. Orders stack there. Support or acceleration happens there.
2. Low volume zones — the opposite. Price flies through, nothing holds it.

Around $66.5k, there's finally some structure. Price can hold and bounce here — doesn't mean it will, just that it can. Volume and open interest at the level will tell you if it's real.

My setup:
- Watching $BTC at $66.5k for a reaction before I buy.
- But honestly, alts look better right now. Already grabbed a couple this morning.

No guarantees, just probabilities. Trade the reaction, not the hope.

$CSCO popped 6% after hours on the earnings beat but stalled hard at $107 — that level's acting like a brick wall for now. $AMAT also beat but went nowhere, dead flat.

Nasdaq closed above 28230, so the bias stays cautiously long. These beats keep the momentum alive, but watch how price reacts at resistance. If $CSCO can't push through 107, it's a fade setup. If it breaks, could run.

No trade yet — just watching structure. Bulls have the edge as long as Nasdaq holds above that close.

Binance just straight up compressing $BTC on their own. Cartel vibes in full swing. Watch the spread tighten and liquidity dry up when one exchange runs the show. This is how manipulated zones get built before the real move drops.

$NVDA dumping hard — down 14% premarket after Jensen Huang resigns after 33 years. Watching $152 as my level, but I'm sitting on hands until at least 30 mins post NY open.

This could turn into a bloodbath. Don't rush in. Don't panic buy. Wait for the dust to settle.

Hope it's not a massacre, but I'm prepared either way. No trade is better than a bad trade.

Woke up at 4:15 from jetlag and $BTC is sitting in a tight micro range between 73.2k and 74.4k. Predictability is high right now.

MM algos look like they shifted early this year — normally we'd see this in early December. The new pattern? Extreme compression before a violent move. We're coiled tight.

What I'm watching: a breakout either direction with probably 1B+ in liquidations in 24h. That's the new meta for the next 4 months.

Confirmation levels: 71.8k downside, 75.5k upside. One of those breaks and we run hard. No setup inside the range — wait for the move, then trade the follow-through.

$NBIS earnings drop pre-market today — big moment for tech and $QQQ direction. This one rode the AI/data center wave hard, then got crushed in the correction. Earnings from these names still set the tone for the session.

$CRWV beat yesterday and sparked a sector-wide rip. $NBIS has $20-24 implied move.

Levels I'm watching:

$130-134: day trade long zone. $113 is swing support if it holds.

$168.76: gap fill. Aggressive short spot but risky — could squeeze.

$182: clean day trade short if we somehow pump that high. Unlikely.

Stay nimble. Earnings volatility = fast moves both ways. Respect the range, cut if invalidated.

$SILVER dipping slightly overnight—still grinding out a bottom IMO. Just like $GOLD, wouldn't be shocked if we tag the low one more time before the real move. Major cycle lows don't usually print one clean candle and rip—they test, retest, shake out weak hands. This is the process. No setup until it proves itself, but I'm watching closely. Cut if invalidated, scale in if it holds. Bottoming takes time.

$CRWV ripped 25% intraday then dumped 6% after hours on $NVDA drama—Jensen replacement rumors bleeding into anything tied to Nvidia. Classic guilt-by-association flush. If you're holding this, watch pre-market for continuation or bounce attempt. No setup yet, just noise and correlation risk. Let it settle before touching it.

$NVDA dumping 8% after-hours on exec drama tied to Jensen. Market's spooked about leadership risk now.

I'm watching $152 as the buy level if this holds. Below that, no interest until structure cleans up. Right now it's all noise and sentiment — not touching it until price confirms a floor.

If you're in, tighten stops. If you're out, wait for the dust to settle. No edge in catching falling knives on headline risk.

$BTC sitting in no-man's-land — slight green but weak structure. 75k hasn't broken down yet, so there's still a pulse, but price action is dead quiet.

If it confirms below 75k, expect a slide to 66500. That's your downside magnet.

If it reclaims 75k clean, 81200 is the next resistance wall to crack.

Right now? No setup. Wait for the break or the reclaim. No trade in the chop.

Took most profits on $CRWV at resistance after the 26% rip from earnings. Locked the green with my group, left a sliver on for continuation.

Resistance: $60.82 (current level), then $76-80 if it breaks.
Support: $50 — would reload longs there if we pull back.

Tech sector is hot again, but don't forget the recent bloodbath. Take profits when you can. Greed kills — round-tripping positions is brutal (been there too many times).

I booked half my tech longs on this bounce. Gives me dry powder if we drop, keeps exposure if we rip higher. Protect capital first, ride the rest.

$NVDA ripping 5% today — looks like the panic's fading and $170's holding as the floor. Unless fresh headlines drop, that level should stay solid. Market's digesting the noise and moving on.

$SILVER holding firmer than $GOLD today — industrial demand propping it up while tech rips. Chart's unchanged from prior calls. Same deal as gold: zoom out, don't let every intraday wiggle shake you. Trade the structure, not the noise.

$OKLO deep dive incoming — next-gen nuclear reactor play that ran 1000% in 6 months on the AI energy hype, then gave back 90% as reality hit. Classic bubble pop.

This is still speculative as hell. They're not profitable yet, fighting regulations, betting on tech breakthroughs. Not a safe play by any stretch.

But at these levels? Worth watching for a swing or longer hold IF they show strength. Key phrase: don't catch a falling knife.

Chart-wise, I'm waiting for a clean break above that orange trend line. Then I'll hunt the right entry — either a bull flag consolidation or a retrace back to support.

No trade yet. Just on the watchlist with interest.