RAZIEL DMK

It is very unlikely that this scenario will happen. And I'll quickly explain why.

Before, the drop that occurred was a natural correction. Today, it is completely different.

The people who believe that it will fall to such low values are not taking into account something very important. And that is that before there were no super large investors, there were also no large companies and Wall Street was not involved at all.

Today it is very different, because now there are institutions, Wall Street exists, and there are many large independent investors who will never allow the market to collapse because that would massively destroy their own economy.

WHAT I THINK:
It is likely that the price will drop, yes, but not to those values. To see Bitcoin in the $50,000 range, many significant things need to happen in economic terms. It would be a temporary collapse. And given how the world is today, I doubt that an economic collapse will occur.

I have seen many people saying that Bitcoin is going to fall to the $40,000 zone.

I’ll tell you directly and without beating around the bush:
that chart is NOT a valid technical or macro signal to assert that BTC is going to 40k. It's narrative + generic psychology, not real market analysis.

WHAT IS THIS CHART REALLY?
It's the “Market Psychology Cycle”:
• It has no price,
• It has no time,
• It has no volume,
• It has no structure,
• It has no on-chain data,
• It has no macro context.

It serves to educate emotions, not to predict prices.

For BTC to go to 40,000, all of this would have to happen together:
1. ❌ Clear breach of macro support 69–70k
2. ❌ Loss of the weekly 200 EMA
3. ❌ Strong global risk-off market (stocks falling sharply)
4. ❌ Liquidity withdrawing (ultra restrictive FED / systemic event)
5. ❌ Real capitulation (extreme volumes + general panic)

👉 None of that is confirmed today.

What we have now is:
• Strong correction ✔️
• Cleaning up leveraged positions ✔️
• Fear on social media ✔️

That is not a market heading to 40k.
That is a normal correction phase within a larger structure.

Could it drop to 80k? Yes, in fact going down to 73k wouldn’t be crazy, but 40k is very unlikely.

BITCOIN IS REPEATING THE 2017 CRASH CONFIGURATION

Before looking for +110k again. It will first sweep down to 102k because there is a lot of liquidation in that area. The most logical thing is to look to liquidate there to start the descent towards 70/75/80 and begin the new cycle.

IN SUMMARY:

- Same 5 phases.
- Same overflow peak.
- Same emotional curve.
Each stage has developed.

Phase 5: Prepare for maximum pain
This is not capitulation.
It's the disguised launch pad.
Get ready. Survive. Accumulate. $BTC

Image by @Infinito purpura .

I told you so 😎😎😎😎😎😎

For those who have asked me about my Configuration, here it is:

$ETH behaves exactly like Bitcoin. This means that the next support of #ETH is the 80,000 of #BTC . If Bitcoin stays below 80, the price will inevitably go to the next support which is the area of 60,000 to 70,000. Because the next support of #ETH is equivalent to that value of Bitcoin. (60k / 70k)

If you're thinking of going Long, I recommend doing the following:

- Enter at 80k with a minimum TP at 105k and SL at 75k.
This is ideal because upon entering at 80,000, if the price rebounds, it will seek a new maximum rebound; previously, it reached 93,000, so right now it would look for the area of 100,000. Thus, you can capitalize a good amount before a possible breakdown lower (zone 60k) or that the price breaks upwards directly.

Having an SL at 75,000 is ideal because in that value area, it means that the price broke the barrier and will seek a lower zone, like the area of 65 to 70. So, even if your SL closes there, you can reopen a position with a higher profit margin.

I am not an expert; this is my projection based on my technical knowledge. We will see if time proves me right.

Success investors ✅💚