paksambo
27 Posts
paksambo
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Block User
Web3 Strategic & Bussiness | Was Secured $1 M fund and $800K Grant.
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Live
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That's it for today's live...
I might go live again tomorrow afternoon.
That's it for today's live...
I might go live again tomorrow afternoon.
I might go live again tomorrow afternoon.
paksambo
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[Replay] A FEW HOURS UNTIL NFP, HOW ARE MARKET CONDITIONS?
01 h 58 m 12 s · 104 views
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5 minutes left, don’t forget to join, guyyys
5 minutes left, don’t forget to join, guyyys
paksambo
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[Replay] A FEW HOURS UNTIL NFP, HOW ARE MARKET CONDITIONS?
01 h 58 m 12 s · 104 views
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How are the markets looking ahead of today's NFP?
Let's find out together!!
On air in 20 minutes.
Don't forget to join:
How are the markets looking ahead of today's NFP?
Let's find out together!!
On air in 20 minutes.
Don't forget to join:
Let's find out together!!
On air in 20 minutes.
Don't forget to join:
paksambo
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[Replay] A FEW HOURS UNTIL NFP, HOW ARE MARKET CONDITIONS?
01 h 58 m 12 s · 104 views
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Conclusion of tonight's live session.
Tomorrow we'll continue discussing macro data after NFP/
Conclusion of tonight's live session.
Tomorrow we'll continue discussing macro data after NFP/
Tomorrow we'll continue discussing macro data after NFP/
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Ready for some market volatility? 📈
Ahead of the US NFP data release, let’s break down the possible scenarios together tonight at 22:00 WIB.
Join us on Binance Square! 👇
Ready for some market volatility? 📈
Ahead of the US NFP data release, let’s break down the possible scenarios together tonight at 22:00 WIB.
Join us on Binance Square! 👇
Ahead of the US NFP data release, let’s break down the possible scenarios together tonight at 22:00 WIB.
Join us on Binance Square! 👇
paksambo
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[Replay] Markets getting ready for volatility?
📈 Ahead of the US NFP data release
02 h 03 m 22 s · 141 views
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Bullish
Tomorrow, markets will once again focus on the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for October.
The consensus expects around 65,000 jobs to be added, higher than September’s figure of just 29,000.
The question is: Is the US labor market starting to stabilize, or is it still losing momentum?
There are several interesting data points ahead of the NFP release.
- ADP Employment: +86,000, above expectations of 69,000.
- JOLTS Job Openings: 7.52 million, higher than expectations of 7.10 million.
- Initial Jobless Claims: 194,000, relatively low.
Together, these three indicators suggest that the labor market has not weakened significantly.
Based on this data, my primary forecast is around 65,000 jobs, with a moderate scenario range of approximately 50,000–70,000.
I tend to see the labor market stabilizing rather than undergoing a strong recovery. However, ADP is not a direct representation of NFP. So, there is still room for a result that differs from expectations.
Here are the scenarios I’ll be watching:
1. Above 90K: could strengthen the USD, especially if wage growth remains strong.
2. 50K–80K: relatively close to expectations, so the market reaction may be more limited.
3. Below 40K: could put pressure on the USD, especially if the unemployment rate rises.
These are analytical scenarios, not certainties about price direction.
There are three components I believe should not be overlooked:
- Unemployment Rate: Will it remain at 4.2% or increase?
- Average Hourly Earnings: Is wage growth still strong?
- Previous Revisions: Have the previous month’s figures been revised significantly?
The combination of these three factors could change how the market interprets the NFP result.
My base case: NFP around 65K, with an initial moderately positive bias toward the USD. However, I won’t take a position immediately based solely on the NFP headline.
I want to see how the DXY and US Treasury Yields react, then look for confirmation through price action and order flow.
Because ultimately, it’s not just the numbers that matter, but how the market responds to them.
Tomorrow, markets will once again focus on the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for October.
The consensus expects around 65,000 jobs to be added, higher than September’s figure of just 29,000.
The question is: Is the US labor market starting to stabilize, or is it still losing momentum?
There are several interesting data points ahead of the NFP release.
- ADP Employment: +86,000, above expectations of 69,000.
- JOLTS Job Openings: 7.52 million, higher than expectations of 7.10 million.
- Initial Jobless Claims: 194,000, relatively low.
Together, these three indicators suggest that the labor market has not weakened significantly.
Based on this data, my primary forecast is around 65,000 jobs, with a moderate scenario range of approximately 50,000–70,000.
I tend to see the labor market stabilizing rather than undergoing a strong recovery. However, ADP is not a direct representation of NFP. So, there is still room for a result that differs from expectations.
Here are the scenarios I’ll be watching:
1. Above 90K: could strengthen the USD, especially if wage growth remains strong.
2. 50K–80K: relatively close to expectations, so the market reaction may be more limited.
3. Below 40K: could put pressure on the USD, especially if the unemployment rate rises.
These are analytical scenarios, not certainties about price direction.
There are three components I believe should not be overlooked:
- Unemployment Rate: Will it remain at 4.2% or increase?
- Average Hourly Earnings: Is wage growth still strong?
- Previous Revisions: Have the previous month’s figures been revised significantly?
The combination of these three factors could change how the market interprets the NFP result.
My base case: NFP around 65K, with an initial moderately positive bias toward the USD. However, I won’t take a position immediately based solely on the NFP headline.
I want to see how the DXY and US Treasury Yields react, then look for confirmation through price action and order flow.
Because ultimately, it’s not just the numbers that matter, but how the market responds to them.
The consensus expects around 65,000 jobs to be added, higher than September’s figure of just 29,000.
The question is: Is the US labor market starting to stabilize, or is it still losing momentum?
There are several interesting data points ahead of the NFP release.
- ADP Employment: +86,000, above expectations of 69,000.
- JOLTS Job Openings: 7.52 million, higher than expectations of 7.10 million.
- Initial Jobless Claims: 194,000, relatively low.
Together, these three indicators suggest that the labor market has not weakened significantly.
Based on this data, my primary forecast is around 65,000 jobs, with a moderate scenario range of approximately 50,000–70,000.
I tend to see the labor market stabilizing rather than undergoing a strong recovery. However, ADP is not a direct representation of NFP. So, there is still room for a result that differs from expectations.
Here are the scenarios I’ll be watching:
1. Above 90K: could strengthen the USD, especially if wage growth remains strong.
2. 50K–80K: relatively close to expectations, so the market reaction may be more limited.
3. Below 40K: could put pressure on the USD, especially if the unemployment rate rises.
These are analytical scenarios, not certainties about price direction.
There are three components I believe should not be overlooked:
- Unemployment Rate: Will it remain at 4.2% or increase?
- Average Hourly Earnings: Is wage growth still strong?
- Previous Revisions: Have the previous month’s figures been revised significantly?
The combination of these three factors could change how the market interprets the NFP result.
My base case: NFP around 65K, with an initial moderately positive bias toward the USD. However, I won’t take a position immediately based solely on the NFP headline.
I want to see how the DXY and US Treasury Yields react, then look for confirmation through price action and order flow.
Because ultimately, it’s not just the numbers that matter, but how the market responds to them.
1
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Article
Morning Market Update | LONG OPPORTUNITY IN $XAUT?Gold ($XAUT) is starting to react around an important support area after coming under price pressure. But is this rejection enough to open up a long opportunity?
In my view, not yet.
Market Context
During intraday trading, the price was rejected around the key support level at $4.015, which is close to the first-half low of $4.000.
This area is worth watching because it could become a line of defense for buyers.
Even so, we cannot conclude that selling pressure has ended based on a single price reaction.
Morning Market Update | LONG OPPORTUNITY IN $XAUT?
Gold ($XAUT) is starting to react around an important support area after coming under price pressure. But is this rejection enough to open up a long opportunity?
In my view, not yet.
Market Context
During intraday trading, the price was rejected around the key support level at $4.015, which is close to the first-half low of $4.000.
This area is worth watching because it could become a line of defense for buyers.
Even so, we cannot conclude that selling pressure has ended based on a single price reaction.
In my view, not yet.
Market Context
During intraday trading, the price was rejected around the key support level at $4.015, which is close to the first-half low of $4.000.
This area is worth watching because it could become a line of defense for buyers.
Even so, we cannot conclude that selling pressure has ended based on a single price reaction.
1
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Japan’s stock market came under sharp selling pressure yesterday.
The Nikkei 225 fell nearly 5% intraday, with technology and semiconductor stocks among the hardest hit.
Advantest, Tokyo Electron, SoftBank, and Kioxia all posted significant declines.
Two factors weighed on the market:
Growing concerns about the sustainability of AI valuations and investment.
Preliminary U.S. election results that raised concerns about the potential for stricter AI regulation.
In my view, this is worth watching. Japan is an important player in the global semiconductor supply chain.
When expectations for AI growth start to be questioned, the impact can spread far beyond U.S. technology companies.
The AI trade is growing increasingly sensitive to changes in market sentiment.
Is this just a temporary correction, or the beginning of a broader repricing?
Japan’s stock market came under sharp selling pressure yesterday.
The Nikkei 225 fell nearly 5% intraday, with technology and semiconductor stocks among the hardest hit.
Advantest, Tokyo Electron, SoftBank, and Kioxia all posted significant declines.
Two factors weighed on the market:
Growing concerns about the sustainability of AI valuations and investment.
Preliminary U.S. election results that raised concerns about the potential for stricter AI regulation.
In my view, this is worth watching. Japan is an important player in the global semiconductor supply chain.
When expectations for AI growth start to be questioned, the impact can spread far beyond U.S. technology companies.
The AI trade is growing increasingly sensitive to changes in market sentiment.
Is this just a temporary correction, or the beginning of a broader repricing?
The Nikkei 225 fell nearly 5% intraday, with technology and semiconductor stocks among the hardest hit.
Advantest, Tokyo Electron, SoftBank, and Kioxia all posted significant declines.
Two factors weighed on the market:
Growing concerns about the sustainability of AI valuations and investment.
Preliminary U.S. election results that raised concerns about the potential for stricter AI regulation.
In my view, this is worth watching. Japan is an important player in the global semiconductor supply chain.
When expectations for AI growth start to be questioned, the impact can spread far beyond U.S. technology companies.
The AI trade is growing increasingly sensitive to changes in market sentiment.
Is this just a temporary correction, or the beginning of a broader repricing?
1
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Yesterday's live results.
For the live link and verification process, please watch the replay!!!
Yesterday's live results.
For the live link and verification process, please watch the replay!!!
For the live link and verification process, please watch the replay!!!
paksambo
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[Replay] ALPHA HUNT: FINDING OPPORTUNITIES FROM NEW PROJECTS
01 h 57 m 37 s · 84 views
1
66
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Bullish
I just got $60 from the $KOR airdrop just by registering an ID. How can I find opportunities like this?
Tonight, I’ll be going live to look for alpha like this.
Don’t forget to watch [Link Live Disini](https://app.binance.com/uni-qr/cspa/48077761292450?l=en&r=LPLV2WDZ&source=host_share&uc=web_square_share_link&us=copylink)
I just got $60 from the $KOR airdrop just by registering an ID. How can I find opportunities like this?
Tonight, I’ll be going live to look for alpha like this.
Don’t forget to watch Link Live Disini
Tonight, I’ll be going live to look for alpha like this.
Don’t forget to watch Link Live Disini
3
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Don't forget to join!!
Don't forget to join!!
paksambo
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[Replay] ALPHA HUNT: FINDING OPPORTUNITIES FROM NEW PROJECTS
01 h 57 m 37 s · 84 views
1
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Verified
Cardano Is Preparing for the Future, But Let's Not Get Ahead of OurselvesTwo interesting developments are being discussed in #Cardano .
First, efforts to add support for digital signature technology designed to withstand quantum computing threats. Second, discussions about a shared technical standard for stablecoins.
At first glance, both sound like major steps for the Cardano ecosystem. And indeed, their direction is quite interesting to watch.
But after looking at the proposals behind this coverage, I think a few things need to be clarified.
Cardano Is Preparing for the Future, But Let's Not Get Ahead of Ourselves
Two interesting developments are being discussed in #Cardano .
First, efforts to add support for digital signature technology designed to withstand quantum computing threats. Second, discussions about a shared technical standard for stablecoins.
At first glance, both sound like major steps for the Cardano ecosystem. And indeed, their direction is quite interesting to watch.
But after looking at the proposals behind this coverage, I think a few things need to be clarified.
First, efforts to add support for digital signature technology designed to withstand quantum computing threats. Second, discussions about a shared technical standard for stablecoins.
At first glance, both sound like major steps for the Cardano ecosystem. And indeed, their direction is quite interesting to watch.
But after looking at the proposals behind this coverage, I think a few things need to be clarified.
3
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🚨 LIVE BTC MARKET OUTLOOK — TONIGHT.
What is Bitcoin's outlook for this week?
We'll discuss market structure, key levels, order flow, and potential scenarios for BTC going forward.
🕙 22:00 WIB
📍 Binance Square
Don't miss it.
[Klik Disini Untuk Bergabung!!!](https://app.binance.com/uni-qr/cspa/47990958266177?l=en&r=LPLV2WDZ&source=host_share&uc=web_square_share_link&us=copylink)
See you there! 🔥
#Bitcoin #BTC #BinanceSquare #IndonesiaCrypto
🚨 LIVE BTC MARKET OUTLOOK — TONIGHT.
What is Bitcoin's outlook for this week?
We'll discuss market structure, key levels, order flow, and potential scenarios for BTC going forward.
🕙 22:00 WIB
📍 Binance Square
Don't miss it.
Klik Disini Untuk Bergabung!!!
See you there! 🔥
#Bitcoin #BTC #BinanceSquare #IndonesiaCrypto
What is Bitcoin's outlook for this week?
We'll discuss market structure, key levels, order flow, and potential scenarios for BTC going forward.
🕙 22:00 WIB
📍 Binance Square
Don't miss it.
Klik Disini Untuk Bergabung!!!
See you there! 🔥
#Bitcoin #BTC #BinanceSquare #IndonesiaCrypto
1
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What do you guys think??
Share your thoughts in the comments so we can discuss!!
What do you guys think??
Share your thoughts in the comments so we can discuss!!
Share your thoughts in the comments so we can discuss!!
paksambo
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BTC MARKET UPDATE — NOVEMBER 2, 2026
New Monthly Session: Waiting for Directional Confirmation.
This Monday marks the start of a new monthly Bitcoin session. However, so far, the market has not provided a strong enough indication of its next direction.
A. MARKET CONTEXT.
BTC is currently between September’s POC and October’s VAL. At the end of October, the price briefly broke below October’s VAL at $79,900, but then stalled around September’s POC at $77,300.
For context, POC (Point of Control) is the price level with the highest trading activity over a given period, while VAL (Value Area Low) is the lower boundary of the area that contains approximately 70% of the trading volume during that period.
This Monday marks the start of a new monthly Bitcoin session. However, so far, the market has not provided a strong enough indication of its next direction.
A. MARKET CONTEXT.
BTC is currently between September’s POC and October’s VAL. At the end of October, the price briefly broke below October’s VAL at $79,900, but then stalled around September’s POC at $77,300.
For context, POC (Point of Control) is the price level with the highest trading activity over a given period, while VAL (Value Area Low) is the lower boundary of the area that contains approximately 70% of the trading volume during that period.
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