WanBo Cap

The current timing may be similar to the tail end of the first phase bull market for AI—turning the market from bearish to bullish. It’s not wise to short aggressively right now; it’s better to wait for the market to naturally pull back, and wait for a clear bearish-signal “starting gun.”

You need to change your mindset. Value investing is not wrong, but you also need to consider the time cost. In many cases, you should view problems from a trading perspective.

Trading means going with the direction of least resistance—feel out the tape and constantly look for opportunities between long and short positions.

At the point when semiconductors are nearing a time to pull back, taking a bearish stance may be a good choice.

So pick the weaker stocks, or something like SOXL, and continuously open-and-close shorts.

Also, I think SPCX has already reached a resistance level—it’s a better place for shorts.

But there’s another factor: the war, and also the rate hikes and U.S. Treasury yields. If there is a ceasefire or peace talks, Treasury yields stabilize and start to fall, and the rate hikes are actually finalized, the market will definitely surge for a wave. You can trade driven by events—good-news-driven trading.

As for crypto, my view remains unchanged: it’s still at the early stage of a bull market. When Treasury yields stabilize and gradually begin to decline, that’s the setup.

When the suppression of risk assets gradually fades, BTC may be the first beneficiary—the most liquidity-sensitive target. There are likely big opportunities in several strong names. The relatively strong ones include BTC, NEAR, AAVE, and others.

AAVE surges suddenly
Founder Stani Kulechov says he is “considering” adding a burn mechanism into Aavenomics 3.0

Fundamentals are stacked with an RWA (real-world asset) narrative:
Aave V4 goes live on Base with the Equities Hub, now supporting seven tokenized Coinbase U.S. stocks (Apple, Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla) as collateral to borrow USDC. At the same time, deposits of tokenized commodities in DeFi have reached $133 million, with Aave capturing a substantial share. The market views this as a key step in Aave expanding from pure crypto lending to becoming an “on-chain bank.”

If this scale continues to grow rapidly, and if protocols continue to burn tokens on downturns, the entire valuation model will change.

This mouthful of oil is considered consumed.

Investment is not an isolated tool for making money, but rather a 'long-term shareholder' in the progress of civilization.

Some OGs say: There are no visible factors to start the next round of the BTC bull market. Wall Street is entering, ETFs are approved, Trump’s policies are bullish, and the US strategic reserves have all been allocated – what bigger drivers are left for the next round?

In the past, cryptocurrency was seen as one of the human technological pathways, thus it also absorbed some liquidity overflow.
But this time, no technological innovations have been observed, only a stablecoin that is confirmed to have value.
Without a larger driving logic, liquidity that comes in will only flow to AI, robotics, aerospace, and other established frontiers of human technology.

There is an urgent need for experts to inspire faith.

#BTC Last night it surged to 60,000 in one go; it might be the end of the short-term, but confirmation is still needed.

After the rebound at the 30-minute mark, it is a decline of the same level. If it does not break the new low, it confirms that the temporary decline has ended and enters a consolidation phase at the 30-minute level.

ETH spot is set from 1800 to 1650
The order wall in this range should be very thick, the entire market is waiting to pick up the chips from Boss Yi's liquidation.

$BTC The tops of the two bull markets are so similar
Both are M tops, and the right shoulder is lower than the left shoulder
Once it breaks the neck line... what follows is likely a long bear market

The most painful thing is that I haven't made any money, and the bull market is over
During the New Year, I still have to face the questions from friends and relatives who made money in A-shares, gold and silver, and US stocks
Anyway, I won't admit to playing in the waste circle 🥲 ​​​

Yesterday I was still talking with AI about the serious shortage of gold/silver reserves in the NYSE spot market

The premium of spot gold and silver in Shanghai is also gradually rising, and the concerns about the inability to fulfill massive "paper" futures are increasing

If the NYSE starts the first physical delivery notice on 2.27, and it cannot be fulfilled at that time, it will have a huge impact on the entire credit system

At that time, "physical" gold and silver will be bought up to the sky due to the trust crisis, while various "paper derivatives" will be sold off by everyone due to the inability to fulfill, leading to a price misalignment

Originally, observing market sentiment and K-line indicators, I thought gold and silver had reached a temporary peak and opened a short position on XAU on Binance
But Gemini told me that the XAU on Binance is pegged to physical gold, which may continue to squeeze before the delivery date arrives, and in the moment of crisis, it might spike upwards... So I closed my position

As a result, there was a huge crash today. Which link went wrong? Was it manipulated by Gemini?

In order to acquire Greenland, Chuanzi announced that Europe will face increased tariffs.
First, he applies extreme pressure, then takes a step back; this is his consistent tactic.

Final result speculation: tariffs will be dropped, the United States will obtain resource extraction rights in Greenland, increase troop deployment, while sovereignty still belongs to Denmark.
Achieving his goals while allowing the EU to save face, making it not too embarrassing on the surface.

Affected by the news, $BTC fell below the critical support of 94000... the shorts are ready to pop champagne, and the upcoming market fluctuations will begin to increase.

If the rebound cannot surpass 94000, it is highly likely to return to the lower range around 86000.

On the counterfeit side: #DASH , as predicted yesterday, it rose to near the previous high and is now in a pullback, forming a central axis.

The weakest is #Lıt , but today the code update may lead to the release of version starting2.0.
Staking increases the lockup period, and based on the lockup time, a staking ratio exceeding 1:10 will be given.
Lit staking enjoys protocol dividends!
If this 2.0 version is launched, it will definitely be a great benefit.
Now is the most intense phase of the washout, just hold on.

$DASH starts from 96.85 down to 71.42 can be seen as a complete 1-hour pullback

Now it begins a new 1-hour level upward, and the volume in this segment is generally not very strong

It may start to pull back near the previous high to build the first upward center, preparing for the subsequent rise and consolidation

The positions reduced around 90 have been bought back

$DASH 3 The sky has doubled, and such a strong approach may have some factors driven by a part of the privacy sector, but the core logic of Dash this time is not privacy but "payment implementation and platformization".

The Dash Evolution test network, which has been delayed for many years, will undergo a major upgrade on January 27th.

In terms of payments, it has announced the integration of Alchemy Pay and AEON, with the 50 million terminal devices behind AEON capable of receiving Dash and automatically converting it to fiat currency (settlement).

Currently, the trend is very strong, and many have sold off, hoping for a pullback to buy back in. The target challenges the previous high of 150, and pay attention to the node on the 27th; if it does not meet expectations, most will Sell the News.